01-28-2009, 10:27 AM
<b>China Tells Obama What to Do With His Yuan Views: William Pesek</b><!--QuoteBegin-->QUOTE<!--QuoteEBegin-->Jan. 28 (Bloomberg) -- China took Barack Obamaâs views on the yuan seriously. So seriously that it is doing the exact opposite of what the U.S. president would like.
China let the yuan fall the most in a month on Jan. 23, right after Timothy Geithner, Obamaâs pick for Treasury secretary, relayed Obamaâs campaign position that China was âmanipulatingâ its currency. The reaction was Chinaâs way of telling the new U.S. leader what he can do with his foreign-exchange views.
<b>What should currency traders do now? Is a trade war brewing between the worldâs No. 1 and No. 3 economies? Is the yuan about to strengthen? Will Obama risk the ire of the most populous nation to make good on his protectionist campaign-trail rhetoric? Perhaps the answer is for everyone to relax.</b>
<b>Yes, China manipulates its currency. Arguably, so do Singapore, Argentina, Saudi Arabia and any nation that either pegs its currency, maintains a tight trading band or oversees a âmanaged floatâ system. Even Hong Kong, routinely ranked as the worldâs freest economy by the Heritage Foundation, manipulates its currency. It has to maintain its link to the U.S. dollar.</b>
âManipulateâ is a charged word, and itâs politically incorrect in financial circles. And yet it was hard to keep a straight face when a Commerce Ministry official argued on Jan. 24 that âChina has never tried to gain advantage in international trade by manipulating its currency.â
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China let the yuan fall the most in a month on Jan. 23, right after Timothy Geithner, Obamaâs pick for Treasury secretary, relayed Obamaâs campaign position that China was âmanipulatingâ its currency. The reaction was Chinaâs way of telling the new U.S. leader what he can do with his foreign-exchange views.
<b>What should currency traders do now? Is a trade war brewing between the worldâs No. 1 and No. 3 economies? Is the yuan about to strengthen? Will Obama risk the ire of the most populous nation to make good on his protectionist campaign-trail rhetoric? Perhaps the answer is for everyone to relax.</b>
<b>Yes, China manipulates its currency. Arguably, so do Singapore, Argentina, Saudi Arabia and any nation that either pegs its currency, maintains a tight trading band or oversees a âmanaged floatâ system. Even Hong Kong, routinely ranked as the worldâs freest economy by the Heritage Foundation, manipulates its currency. It has to maintain its link to the U.S. dollar.</b>
âManipulateâ is a charged word, and itâs politically incorrect in financial circles. And yet it was hard to keep a straight face when a Commerce Ministry official argued on Jan. 24 that âChina has never tried to gain advantage in international trade by manipulating its currency.â
...
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