07-20-2008, 07:00 AM
Another list numbers:
UPA
INC:152*; SP:33*; RLD:24; DMK:16*; NCP:11; PMK:6; JMM:5; LJSP:4; MDMK(Rebels):2; IUML:1; AIMIM:1; PDP:1; SDF:1; RPI:1; BNP:1; NLP:1; IND(SK Bwiswmuthiary):1;
= 261
Riders:
1. Unclear if Karnal MP Arvind Sharma (INC, Haryana) would support UPA. Had 1-on-1 meeting with Sonia Gandhi. MP Kuldeep Bishnoi could be the lone rebel.
2. Rebel List: MP Munawwar Hasan, MP Jaiprakash Rawat, MP Rajnarayan Budholiya, MP SP Baghel, MP Ateeq Ahmad, MP Afzal Ansari
3. MP Dayanidhi Maran will vote for UPA
Potential Supporters:
1. [2] National Conference would most probably support UPA
2. [1] TRS (rebel) MP Ale Narendra is inclined to back UPA also.
3. [2] 2 of the 4 may support: MP Thupstan Chhewang (Ind., Ladakh), MP Mani Charenamei (Ind., Manipur), MP Vanlalzamwa (MNF), MP Wangyu Konyak (NPF)
4. [3] Rashtriya Lok Dal of Ajit Singh is proving to be a very difficult customer
5. [0] There have been reports of MP Dr. P. Pookunhi Koya (JD(U), Lakshadweep) to have lent his support to UPA.
6. [0] There is speculation that some MPs from parties such as BJP, JD(U), Akali Dal, Shiv Sena, BSP and others may either abstain or vote with UPA.
7. [0] Janata Dal (Secular) of Deve Gowda would probably go with the opposition.
8. [0] Trinamool Congress of Mamata Banerjee will either abstain or vote against to precipitate early elections.
Total UPA = 269
It is however not clear if even more MPs from Samajwadi Party and RJD may desert their parties.
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OPPOSITION*
**********
NDA:169; Left Front(incl. JD(S):1; KC:1; IND:1; Speaker:-1):61; UNPA(incl. IND:1):8; BSP:17; SP(Rebels):6; INC(Rebels):1; MDMK:2; IND(Nagpal):1; TRS:2;
= 267 Assured
Possible Opposition
JD(S):2; TC:1; IND+Small Parties:2
= 5 Possibly
Total Opposition = 272
This Opposition figure is calculated without all those who would abstain or vote with UPA.
If Ajit Singh goes with UPA, there is a very good chance UPA could win. If JD(S) should also go with UPA, then the chances increase further.
UPA
INC:152*; SP:33*; RLD:24; DMK:16*; NCP:11; PMK:6; JMM:5; LJSP:4; MDMK(Rebels):2; IUML:1; AIMIM:1; PDP:1; SDF:1; RPI:1; BNP:1; NLP:1; IND(SK Bwiswmuthiary):1;
= 261
Riders:
1. Unclear if Karnal MP Arvind Sharma (INC, Haryana) would support UPA. Had 1-on-1 meeting with Sonia Gandhi. MP Kuldeep Bishnoi could be the lone rebel.
2. Rebel List: MP Munawwar Hasan, MP Jaiprakash Rawat, MP Rajnarayan Budholiya, MP SP Baghel, MP Ateeq Ahmad, MP Afzal Ansari
3. MP Dayanidhi Maran will vote for UPA
Potential Supporters:
1. [2] National Conference would most probably support UPA
2. [1] TRS (rebel) MP Ale Narendra is inclined to back UPA also.
3. [2] 2 of the 4 may support: MP Thupstan Chhewang (Ind., Ladakh), MP Mani Charenamei (Ind., Manipur), MP Vanlalzamwa (MNF), MP Wangyu Konyak (NPF)
4. [3] Rashtriya Lok Dal of Ajit Singh is proving to be a very difficult customer
5. [0] There have been reports of MP Dr. P. Pookunhi Koya (JD(U), Lakshadweep) to have lent his support to UPA.
6. [0] There is speculation that some MPs from parties such as BJP, JD(U), Akali Dal, Shiv Sena, BSP and others may either abstain or vote with UPA.
7. [0] Janata Dal (Secular) of Deve Gowda would probably go with the opposition.
8. [0] Trinamool Congress of Mamata Banerjee will either abstain or vote against to precipitate early elections.
Total UPA = 269
It is however not clear if even more MPs from Samajwadi Party and RJD may desert their parties.
**********
OPPOSITION*
**********
NDA:169; Left Front(incl. JD(S):1; KC:1; IND:1; Speaker:-1):61; UNPA(incl. IND:1):8; BSP:17; SP(Rebels):6; INC(Rebels):1; MDMK:2; IND(Nagpal):1; TRS:2;
= 267 Assured
Possible Opposition
JD(S):2; TC:1; IND+Small Parties:2
= 5 Possibly
Total Opposition = 272
This Opposition figure is calculated without all those who would abstain or vote with UPA.
If Ajit Singh goes with UPA, there is a very good chance UPA could win. If JD(S) should also go with UPA, then the chances increase further.