US Elections 2008 - III

[Guest]

<!--QuoteBegin-->QUOTE<!--QuoteEBegin-->Barak at 224
Hillary at 264 (mind you 270 is magic number)
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I don't think this has much relevance now since democratic nomination is determined by proportional allocation of delegates from CDs. Either democrat will win states like NY, CA, IL, CT, VT, RI, ME etc. Kerry won 250+ electoral votes and I believe Obama will be able to hold on to almost all those states, but I can not say the same about Hillary.

As of now, I think he will put the following states in play that clinton can not
CO (9), IA(9), NM(5), WI(10), VA(13) and to a lesser extent NC(13)

Both could be somewhat equally competitive in the following
MO, OH

Hillary could be more competitive in the following
WV, FL

Hillary could lose the following states won by Kerry
WA, OR, WI and to a lesser extent MN

i.e. any advantage of Hillary winning FL will be neutralized by her losing some of the above. But Obama has a 46 electoral vote advantage over the states that only he can win (like CO, VA etc. without counting NC)

That is my $0.02