US-Election 2008

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<!--QuoteBegin-->QUOTE<!--QuoteEBegin-->ARIZONA DEMOCRATS

MSNBC/McClatchy/Mason-Dixon
Likely Democratic primary voters' choice for nominee
January 30 -- February 1
Clinton 43%
Obama 41%
<b>Unsure 16%</b>
Sampling error: +/-5% pts

CALIFORNIA DEMOCRATS
California Democratic poll of polls
January 30-February 2
Likely Democratic primary voters' choice for nominee
Clinton 44%
Obama 40%
<b>Unsure 16%</b>

*The Democratic and Republican California poll of polls both consist of three surveys: Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby (January 30-February 2), MSNBC/McClatchy/Mason-Dixon (January 30-February 1), and American Research Group (February 1-2).

CONNECTICUT DEMOCRATS
American Research Group
January 30-31
Likely Democratic primary voters' choice for nominee
Clinton 48%
Obama 35%
<b>Unsure 17%</b>
Sampling error: +/-4% pts

DELAWARE DEMOCRATS
American Research Group
January 31 -- February 1
Likely Democratic primary voters' choice for nominee
Clinton 44%
Obama 42%
<b>Unsure 14%</b>

Sampling error: +/-4% pts
GEORGIA DEMOCRATS
MSNBC/McClatchy/Mason-Dixon
January 30-February 1
Likely Democratic primary voters' choice for nominee
Obama 47%
Clinton 41%
<b>Unsure 12%</b>
Sampling error: +/-5% pts

<b> ILLINOIS DEMOCRATS</b>
Chicago Tribune/WGN
January 30 -- February 1
Likely Democratic primary voters' choice for nominee
Obama 55%
Clinton 24%
<b>Unsure 21%</b>
Sampling error: +/-4.4% pts

American Research Group
January 30 -- January 31
Likely Democratic primary voters' choice for nominee
Obama 51%
Clinton 40%
<b>Unsure 9%</b>
Sampling error: +/-4% pts

American Research Group
MISSOURI DEMOCRATS
Missouri Democratic poll of polls
January 30-February 2
Likely Democratic primary voters' choice for nominee
Clinton 44%
Obama 43%
<b>Unsure 13%</b>

*The Democratic and Republican Missouri poll of polls both consist of three surveys: Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby (January 30 -- February 2), MSNBC/McClatchy/Mason-Dixon (January 30 -- February 1), and American Research Group (January 31 -- February 1).

NEW JERSEY DEMOCRATS
New Jersey poll of polls
January 30 -- February 2
Likely Democratic primary voters' choice for nominee
Clinton 46%
Obama 39%
<b>Unsure 15%</b>
**The Democratic and Republican New Jersey poll of polls both consist of three surveys: Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby (January 30 -- February 2), MSNBC/McClatchy/Mason-Dixon (January 30 -- February 1), and Monmouth University (January 30 -- February 1).

NEW YORK DEMOCRATS
WNBC/Marist
January 30 -- 31
Likely Democratic primary voters' choice for nominee
Clinton 54%
Obama 38%
<b>Unsure 8%</b>

Sampling error: +/-5% pts
UTAH DEMOCRATS
Deseret Morning News/KSL-TV
January 31 -- February 1
Likely Democratic primary voters' choice for nominee
Obama 53%
Clinton 29%
<b>Unsure 18%</b>
Sampling error: +/-6.5% pts
 
National Democratic poll of polls
Likely Democratic primary voters' choice for nominee
Clinton 47%
Obama 40%
<b>Unsure 13%</b>
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Unsure is very high, it means these people don't want to tell other, there is no description ablout unsure based on race or gender.
Why ILLINOIS is showing 21% unsure, it is Obama's home turf, I think people are not disclosing their choice?
So we may see surprise.