US-Election 2008 (View original topic)
rajesh_g
Posted 23 January 2008 - 01:20 AM
A very interesting article. German article xlated to english. The article makes several interesting points but not even once thinks its important enough to mention that Obama is black and that actually might (just might) be a factor with white voters in the US of A.
I read somewhere before the Iowa primaries that Republicans said Obama was the guy to watch. How many amongst us think that, if nominated, Obama's race might give a significant advantage to Republicans ?
Question for US politics guroos -> Has anybody seen any surveys that analyzes the race factor in Obama's nomination ? Any surveys, interviews etc ? I am really curious to know
1. whether race is really a non-issue in Obama's case ?
2. whether race-as-a-factor has been debated in the open enough or is it something that just stays in the background - a dont-ask-dont-tell type thing ?
3. whether it has been debated plenty and the society has accepted a black man as a-ok for the top-post in western world.
Mudy
Posted 23 January 2008 - 02:54 AM
It is a issue, actually white votes are like Hindus votes in India. Not all votes based on race, but lot do. In Iowa, white votes was divided which gave Obama advantage, plus don't forget Independent are behind Obama, not traditional Democrats. If you count Hillary + Edwards (above 80% from registered democrats), it is much higher than Obama (which are some white, all Independent and all black). Black population is less than hispanic. Both votes as bulk.
Who are independent? Some are really independent, some just swing things, some are Republican in heart but don't like current Republican crop, or some are true republican, they want Obama to get ticket so that Republican can win election hands down.
USA had never elected woman as President, woman population is over 50%. Republicans are hell scare that Hillary had better chance to snatch election. Media is propping up Obama, Oprah and others are funding him.
2. whether race-as-a-factor has been debated in the open enough or is it something that just stays in the background - a dont-ask-dont-tell type thing ?
It is don't ask in open, behind curtain people express, as they did in New Hampshire.
3. whether it has been debated plenty and the society has accepted a black man as a-ok for the top-post in western world.
See both side are equally racist, if black are voting for Obama, they are calling it black pride but if white will vote for white candidate it will be called as racist. I think current bickering will harm democrats more. Obama openly challenging Bill Clinton, infact completely rail roading him will hurt him most. Look what happened to Al-Gore and Kerry. Edward is smart, he may end up with Vice President Ticket.
Read some comments here
Yeah!!!! Hillary beat Barak. I am thrilled. His wife's prescense in Nevada only reminded me more why I will NOT vote for him. Maybe if he got a divorce, ha ha... No, seriously, that man can't do anything but pick on others and steal their views. If this jr. senator could form his own opinion, he might have a shot.
Hopefully, not in my lifetime and I am in my 30s.
It's interesting to see the race develop on the Republican side. Almost scary. Are they channeling the current administration?
Can't wait to see the report.
acharya
Posted 23 January 2008 - 03:35 AM
A very interesting article. German article xlated to english. The article makes several interesting points but not even once thinks its important enough to mention that Obama is black and that actually might (just might) be a factor with white voters in the US of A.
I read somewhere before the Iowa primaries that Republicans said Obama was the guy to watch. How many amongst us think that, if nominated, Obama's race might give a significant advantage to Republicans ?
Question for US politics guroos -> Has anybody seen any surveys that analyzes the race factor in Obama's nomination ? Any surveys, interviews etc ? I am really curious to know
1. whether race is really a non-issue in Obama's case ?
2. whether race-as-a-factor has been debated in the open enough or is it something that just stays in the background - a dont-ask-dont-tell type thing ?
3. whether it has been debated plenty and the society has accepted a black man as a-ok for the top-post in western world.
There wont be talking about Obama.
There is a silent revival of civil rights movement right now in US.
SOme interviews with black show thay they think the time is right for a black in the WH. They now beleive that This is bigger than Obama
Mudy
Posted 23 January 2008 - 03:44 AM
But I think or strongly believe this is prop up by Rep, as they did before last election, they let gay marriage in Ma and Ca, later added issue for voting, walla everyone came out in bulk to vote against democrats.
rajesh_g
Posted 23 January 2008 - 12:25 PM
Notice in the article a few things.
- the article explicitly talks about how hispanics wont vote for blacks but never talks about a significant amount of white population that wont vote for a black man.
- the article is from europe and talks about what the europe wants the 'modern america' to be -> a black america. i dont know how many european heads of state are minorities (let alone blacks) but still when it comes to doling out advice to other fellow whites the hope is for a black-america.
- the article talks about how older population and women dont like Obama but no mention whether Obama's race has anything to do with it.
- article mentions how Obama might be too early and then balances it with "or might be too late" and then spends an entire para trying to explain how he might be too late. Nothing on why he might be too early.
As a contrast consider Indian politics. In Guj elections people openly talk about the Patel factor. In UP elections people talk about Yadav factor and the brahmin-bahujan alliance. Almost as if there is nothing to be ashamed of but not so in white world it seems.
It might seem like something that maybe quite obvious to many - race as a factor that is. But what seems more interesting to me is race-as-a-factor-in-public-discourse. I cant really lay my finger on this but this whole issue in the blindspot is interesting. Something to keep an eye on while Democratic primaries progress.
dhu
Posted 23 January 2008 - 01:02 PM
It seems that europeans may be turning the black man into their mascot. It's been noted that the Nazis never turned the Jews into mascots unlike what Americans did to Natives and (for a while) Blacks. European learning curve may be advancing.
rajesh_g
Posted 23 January 2008 - 10:56 PM
----------
In the meantime sorry to use this thread but can somebody please explain the subtleties here ?
http://www.bloomberg...id=a86pY4CBoF0U
rajesh_g
Posted 24 January 2008 - 12:09 AM
Mudy
Posted 24 January 2008 - 12:22 AM
Yesterday, I was talking to small group and they openly said, if Obama gets democrats ticket which is now very very remote, they will either stay away during this election or will register as republican. Privately people are talking, but media is ignoring because of recent backlash against some radio host.
We have to see how big defeat is. Currently Democrats
1/20-22- Zogby
Obama 43%, Clinton 25%, Edwards 15%, Kucinich <1%, Gravel <1%, Someone else 4%, Not sure 14%
African Americans, a group that made up slightly more than half of the sample, backed Obama by a margin of 65% to Clinton’s 16%. Eighteen percent of black voters said they were undecided. Clinton did better among white voters, getting 33% support to 32% for Edwards. Obama lagged at just 18% among whites.
link
Not sure 14% - depends on race will go either to Obama or Clinton. I won’t be surprised if Edwards voters decides to votes for Clinton.
Viren
Posted 24 January 2008 - 02:03 AM
Rajesh: Dick Morris successfully managed Clinton's '96 election as a backroom consultant. Backroom as he didn't get along with others on Clinton team then - Carville among them. Around '97 or '98 he was caught on tape sucking toes of some prostitute in some DC hotel and that was end of his career as a democratic consultant. He's been a regular feature on Fox News since then. He's been right on the money for very elections since - 2000 Republican Presidential primary, Kerry-Bush '04 and every big congress/senate elections since; this when his skeptics (including moi) thought he was talking through his hat. I've since started paying close attention to whatever he says.
Hillary's already skipping SC to focus on the big 22 for Super Tuesday (Feb 5th). Bill's working in SC and he does have a pretty good rapport within the African-American community going back atleast 20 years. And mind you SC is still the (only?) state that hoists the Confederate flag on it's state capital. So, Obama has a pretty uphill task ahead of him in SC despite everything else.
rajesh_g
Posted 25 January 2008 - 01:58 AM
ramana
Posted 25 January 2008 - 02:51 AM
Viren
Posted 25 January 2008 - 03:30 AM
In '92 Blacks had threatened to boycott Clinton after the Sister Soluja incident. And another incident where he played golf in a white only club.
Jesse Jackson I think led on this front then. So Slick Willy's been there and done that.
It's deja-vu all over again with the 'it's economy, stupid!' mantra.
Mudy
Posted 25 January 2008 - 08:23 AM
Democrats – South Carolina
1/21-23 1/20-22
Obama
39% 43% (only 10% white supporting, rest how they will vote behind curtain)
Clinton
24% 25% (only 30% blacks supporting her but behind curtain it may drop)
Edwards
19% 15% (he is prefered by 40% white and 10% black)
“Obama maintains a 15-point lead, but he has dipped under 40%, losing ground, including a few points among African Americans. And nearly one in five African Americans is now undecided with just three days to go until the election. Still, his is a commanding lead with just three days to go.
Mudy
Posted 27 January 2008 - 10:31 AM
In sum: Obama was an irregularly practicing Muslim who rarely or occasionally prayed with his step-father in a mosque. This precisely substantiates my statement that he "for some years had a reasonably Muslim upbringing under the auspices of his Indonesian step-father."
Therefore, what MMfA calls the "Obama-Muslim falsehood" is in fact confirmed by both articles as truthful and accurate.
Calling this a falsehood is in itself a falsehood.
Mudy
Posted 27 January 2008 - 10:36 AM
Then there are the usual paranoids, like a reader who posted on my blog last week that Obama was a front for Osama. This underscores the challenge everywhere, that as the "globalization" of societies spreads, a lot of unevolved, uninformed and violent people remain among us. Thank heavens the Secret Service is out in force.
Mudy
Posted 27 January 2008 - 10:50 AM
dhu
Posted 27 January 2008 - 01:54 PM
Pandyan
Posted 28 January 2008 - 02:18 AM
Obama got 80% of black vote. White vote was a three-way split between the candidates.
Mudy
Posted 28 January 2008 - 02:29 AM
After last debate, Edward and Clinton had chat, according to report Clinton had asked Edward to stay in race, because all anti Clinton vote will go to Edward and it will help Clinton to reduce Obama delegate kitty.
Edward is working as spoiler, In SC because of Edward's Obama missed around 6-7 delegates.
Edward will be king maker.
Far left Kennedy are endorsing Obama, it will help Clinton in North American states.
All is going according to Clinton game plan, Tuesday Florida win will prove, what Clinton had done. More than 48 super delgates are in Clinton pocket.
In the overall race for the nomination, Clinton has 249 delegates, followed by Obama with 167 delegates and Edwards with 58. A total of 2,025 delegates are needed to secure the Democratic nomination.
Mudy
Posted 28 January 2008 - 05:55 AM
The 'Race' Factor
FOX News - Sun Jan 27, 3:06 PM ET
Al Sharpton weighs in on the role of race in the Democratic primaries
Excellent, he is right and on dot for a change.
Shambhu
Posted 28 January 2008 - 06:17 AM
Pandyan
Posted 28 January 2008 - 08:58 AM
Both Bill and his wifey are liars.
Mudy
Posted 28 January 2008 - 09:13 AM
His middle name is Hussein. He was muslim, now convert.
Mudy
Posted 28 January 2008 - 09:16 AM
"It was a dumb mistake on our campaign's part and I made it clear to my staff in no uncertain terms that it was a mistake," Obama told the AP in a brief interview.
The memo has created a furor in the Indian-American community and raised questions about Obama's claims that he is above attack politics epitomized by secretly distributing opposition research about a rival. Placing the blame on his staff is not new. Earlier this year, Obama faulted his staff for comments in a dispute with the Clinton camp over Hollywood donor David Geffen.
Shambhu
Posted 28 January 2008 - 09:21 AM
Mudy
Posted 28 January 2008 - 09:41 PM
He made the statement when asked to comment on reports that he and Singh have been approached by Hillary's campaign managers.
"So far, I have not received any invitation. If invited, Singh will go since he is well versed in foreign affairs," Kumar said.
Lauding profusely the first woman aspirant for the top job in the US, he said, "I am definitely in favour of Democratic Party candidate Hillary Clinton".
Next will be Laloo.
Mudy
Posted 28 January 2008 - 10:19 PM
..........
Rezko had long been a fundraiser for Obama. The Democratic presidential candidate and senator from Illinois has said he had no indication of problems with Rezko when he accepted thousands of dollars in campaign contributions. When prosecutors unsealed their charges against Rezko in 2006, Obama gave $11,500 in Rezko contributions to charities
...
Earlier this month, Obama gave to charity more than $40,000 in past political contributions from seven individuals with ties to Rezko. The decision to donate the money contributed to Obama's House and Senate campaigns — but not his current presidential bid — came after a published report that Obama is the unnamed "political candidate" in one paragraph of a 78-page prosecution document that outlines the case against Rezko.
Obama also has had to answer questions about how Rezko became involved in the purchase of the Obama family home as well as other ties that go back more than 15 years.
acharya
Posted 28 January 2008 - 11:29 PM
Shambhu
Posted 28 January 2008 - 11:36 PM
Lauding profusely the first woman aspirant for the top job in the US, he said, "I am definitely in favour of Democratic Party candidate Hillary Clinton".
---
This guy probably has no other rationale for his choice than the fact that Hillary is gora chamdi mem. She is blonde too, which makes her mem-er.
Not that I have anything against Hillary..she is the pick of the lot as far as I am concerned. Obama seems too raw (with only 4 yrs experience), and will have a hard time working with anyone in DC. Yeah, yeah..JFK was young too..but he had good looks. Now Eddie Murphy could win if he decided to take up politics (I'm serious).
Mudy
Posted 28 January 2008 - 11:42 PM
You mean, last white male democrat candidate.
Media is playing big game, I thought Indian media is nasty, here they are worst. Lets see how much it will effect voters. Repb money is in good use.
Who knows, we may see Gore as candidate and once again we will have Rep government.
Romney or Huckabee had better shot.
acharya
Posted 29 January 2008 - 12:17 AM
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Sen. Edward Kennedy, who bears one of the most famous names in politics and is a leading liberal voice in the Congress, will endorse Sen. Barack Obama's presidential campaign on Monday, Democratic sources said.
Kennedy, the youngest brother of assassinated President John F. Kennedy and a veteran senator from Massachusetts, intends to announce his support for Obama at American University in Washington, a source close to the senator said.
http://www.reuters.c...742304120080128
Mudy
Posted 29 January 2008 - 12:36 AM
shamu
Posted 29 January 2008 - 12:49 AM
http://www.mercuryne...?nclick_check=1
Mudy
Posted 29 January 2008 - 02:20 AM
01/28/08 10:23 AM An endorsement from the man who has killed and did no time, that puts him right in the same cell as Charlie Manson in my opinion. I'm not voting for anyone democratic any way. I also wonder why they refer to her as "Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton" in the news stories, but do not say "Barack Hussein Obama" in his news stories. Is the media playing favorites? Or trying to lessen the fact of who he is named after? It scares me to think of either of these two candidates to become president.
sara0135Message #70
01/28/08 10:39 AM I have always supported the Kennedy family since i was a child, i feel betrayed and disrespected by the family. Hillary was getting the majority of the female vote. Clearly the democratic party now is hampering women in the United States and obviously they don't even care. We should send Kennedy a black flower arrangement because he died to numerous democratic women today. If Hillary does not get the nomination..I will not vote Obama. The media didn't even catch his reverse discrimination of John Edwards at the last debate where John was just a White man. Perhaps the republician party can do an outreach to the democratic women-We need help- Our party does not care about us. I urge all democratic women who feel betrayed like me to call Kennedy and tell him they will no longer endorse him until he accepts our views as women. It probably was best if he did not endorse at all. Also, I urge all democratic women that are Hillary supporters to let the democratic party know we will not take this abusive approach to our future(s). Now is the time to UNITE WOMEN within the Democratic Party. If they continue to push Obama down our throats-we will not vote and the may again be in the white house. I am a mother, sister, wife, aunt, worker, and daughter MY VOTE COUNTS STOP TELLING ME WHO YOU ENDORSE AND WHO TO VOTE FOR IN THE PRIMARY.
freedomeagleoneMessage #27
01/28/08 10:24 AM What will be interesting is the trip Obama (Hussein-Bin-Lama) took with the most notorious Muslim Louis Farrakan to see the Muslims terrorists back in the late 80's. That will be interesting. Two muslim radical fathers. It is amazing how gullable people are in this country surely as the muslims stated we will get the US from within. Looks like the anti-christ is emerging.
T.MoonMessage #30
01/28/08 10:24 AM Strange to see Ted Kennedy talking about changing the evil atmosphere in Washington while Andrea Mitchell gloats in the background about Hillary Clinton being hurt by this endorsement - really ugly, Andrea...
So what if the Kennedy's endorse Obama! They're as corrupt as they come. Never liked them, and don't like Obama. Enough said!
mysonismyheroMessage #36
01/28/08 10:26 AM Hillary Clinton should be down on her knee's thanking God that Ted -I never met a bottle of Jack Daniels I didn't like- Kennedy has endorsed Obama! She is indeed a lucky lady.
jerasmilesMessage #81
01/28/08 10:42 AM As much as I think that Senator Obama is perhaps what we need as a president, I think with the Kennedy endorsements he just lost the nomination for the Democratic party. Their endorsement of Obama will make the Independent voters back-off and he can't win in the primaries without them, especially as he heads west. Hillary isn't liked by Indpendent's and if she wins the nomination, I think the Republicans will come out in droves. Personally, I think it's time for a third party candidate to step forward since the candidates of both parties only offer more of the same. Same free trade policies, bigger national debt, larger trade deficit, higher taxes, and all of the candidates are for the (SPP) Security Prosperity Partnership, which will give amnesty to the illegal aliens and form the North American Union.
aghast_and_amazedMessage #13
01/28/08 10:16 AM How do I feel about it? It doesn't change a thing. I supported Obama before and I support Obama now.
Vevita1Message #54
01/28/08 10:33 AM I feel that the Kennedys are traitors to the Clintons. I will not vote for Obama even if JFK came back from the dead to support Obama. Again, I do not think that just because someone is black he should be president. If the democrats choose Obama, I will vote Republican. Teddy and Caroline you are both traitors.
NothingbettertodoMessage #14
01/28/08 10:16 AM Rain fell on Teddy's parade with the announcement Reczko was arrested today by the FBI. Bad timing, Teddy. What is your endorsement worth? Ask John Kerry who also got your endorsement. You have been a non-player in the party for decades now. But, it makes you feel good, I guess. Sorry about the rain today.
freedomeagleoneMessage #15
01/28/08 10:18 AM These Kennedy's are no way close to John or Bobby, these Kennedy's are a joke and the brothers would probably be turning in their graves to see the nonsense little edward has become. The EXTREEEME left endorses Obama it is just to show in whcih direction this team is heading. Next they will invite Castro and Bin Laden to retire in this U.S. More and more the anti-christ (obama bin lama) is showing his stripes.
nycguyMessage #16
01/28/08 10:18 AM This is the "Kiss of Death" for Obama..........Barack we hardly knew ye!
adayspayMessage #17
01/28/08 10:19 AM They should be endorsing booze and not a muslim boofer...
freedomeagleoneMessage #18
01/28/08 10:20 AM Endorements do not mean a thing. I will support who is best suited for the position, nonsense circus politicians (Kennedy) could never sway my vote.
MN TOMMessage #62
01/28/08 10:36 AM If Bozo Obama gets the nomination--I will be voting Republican this year!! This country is NOT ready for Obama
chalmersMessage #63
01/28/08 10:36 AM The Kennedy endorsement tells me that it's not just Republicans who don't want to see the Clintons back in the White House. Are both sides willing to risk everything to make that happen? It seems so. Putting Obama in the White House, at this perilous time, could be national suicide.
MicahMessage #64
01/28/08 10:37 AM You are right Max, it will be if Obama wins the Democratic Ticket, Hello Mr McCain, President Sir!
dhu
Posted 29 January 2008 - 02:27 AM
Mudy
Posted 29 January 2008 - 05:45 AM
His amendment opposed giving India the right to build strategic fuel reserves for its imported nuclear reactors. As it turned out, the Obama amendment was rejected along with the other “killer” proposals and the Hyde Act passed into law.
He is anti-India and Indian, no love for Punjabi, very soon we may hear slur against Guju community.
Mudy
Posted 29 January 2008 - 09:02 AM
Mr Odinga told the BBC's The World Today that Senator Obama's father was his maternal uncle.
.....
Mr Obama has previously been identified as a distant cousin of Vice-President Dick Cheney
.....
He said Mr Obama had on Monday taken time out of campaigning for the New Hampshire primary to call him twice, to express his concern, and to say that he would also be calling Mr Kibaki
http://newsimg.bbc.c...00_split203.jpg
Mr Odinga party is behind current Kenya killing
Mudy
Posted 30 January 2008 - 11:05 AM
McCain 36%
Democrats Vote
Clinton 50
Giuliani to quit race, endorse McCain
Giuliani look very sick, no info out yet, but something had happened to him in St. louis, when he was in hospital for couple of days.
His cancer is back?
McCain - another skin cancer patient
Romney is still better candidate.
Try Satta here Political Market - CNN
it is really fun. I am doing very good, target is to come first 10.
Mudy
Posted 30 January 2008 - 11:17 AM
Bush quietly advising Hillary Clinton, top Democrats, says new book
“Especially if it’s a Democrat,” the chief of staff told The Examiner in his West Wing office. “He wants to create the conditions where a Democrat not only will have the leeway, but the obligation to see it out.”
To that end, the president has been sending advice, mostly through aides, aimed at preventing an abrupt withdrawal from Iraq in the event of a Democratic victory in November 2008.
“It’s different being a candidate and being the president,” Bush said in an Oval Office interview. “No matter who the president is, no matter what party, when they sit here in the Oval Office and seriously consider the effect of a vacuum being created in the Middle East, particularly one trying to be created by al Qaeda, they will then begin to understand the need to continue to support the young democracy.”
To that end, Bush is institutionalizing controversial anti-terror programs so they can be used by the next president.
“Look, I’d like to make as many hard decisions as I can make, and do a lot of the heavy lifting prior to whoever my successor is,” Bush said. “And then that person is going to have to come and look at the same data I’ve been looking at, and come to their own conclusion.”
As an example, Bush cited his detainee program, which allows him to keep enemy combatants imprisoned at Guantanamo Bay while they await adjudication. Bush is unmoved by endless criticism of the program because he says his successor will need it.
“I specifically talked about it so that a candidate and/or president wouldn’t have to deal with the issue,” he said. “The next person has got the opportunity to analyze the utility of the program and make his or her decision about whether or not it is necessary to protect the homeland. I suspect they’ll find that it is necessary. But my only point to you is that it was important for me to lay it out there, so that the politics wouldn’t enter into whether or not the program ought to survive beyond my period.”
The Examiner asked Bush why Democratic candidates such as Clinton and Barack Obama, who routinely lambaste his handling of Iraq, should take his advice.
“First of all, I expect them to criticize me. That’s one way you get elected in the Democratic primary, is to criticize the president,” Bush replied. “I don’t expect them to necessarily take advice from me. I would expect their insiders to at least get a perspective about how we see things.”
He added: “We have an obligation to make sure that whoever is interested, they get our point of view, because you want somebody running for president to at least understand all perspectives, apart from the politics.”
Besides, Bush suggested that Clinton and Obama just might benefit from his advice.
“If I were a candidate running for president in a complex world that we’re in, I would be asking my national security team to touch base with the White House just to at least listen about plans, thoughts,” he said
This is great about USA, national priority is always first, not like Indians.
Continuation of policy is very important.
Obama is fighting this election on anti-war agenda, his 60 days return policy, lets see whether he can do, but after Ted endrosement it will be impossible.
Behind administration will make sure that Hillary gets white house.
Mudy
Posted 30 January 2008 - 11:48 PM
Is Bill Clinton not only "our first black president," but our last?
A race divided
In a Press-Register/University of South Alabama poll, black Democrats in Alabama favored Obama over Clinton 49%-18%.
Even so, Alabama's black power brokers remain divided. The Alabama Democratic Conference, the state's oldest black Democratic coalition, has endorsed Clinton. The younger New South Coalition? Obama.
"Black people would be ungrateful not to support Sen. Clinton," says state Rep. Alvin Holmes of the ADC. "She has introduced bills to stop discrimination against blacks. She has introduced bills to stop discrimination against women."
Mudy
Posted 31 January 2008 - 04:47 AM
http://www.youtube.c...h?v=jOFT8jtuVpo
http://www.youtube.c...feature=related
What these videos say is Obama did favors for Rezco, GOT favors from Rezco and GAINED politically and financially from a 17 year relationshipwith a CORRUPT Chicago POLITICAL FIXER.
Pandyan
Posted 03 February 2008 - 06:12 PM
http://www.youtube.c...h?v=VVlG-FsL-7I
He wants everyone to be morons together.
Mudy
Posted 03 February 2008 - 10:09 PM
That is why, he may not be V.President candidate. But he is big favorite in bible belt, even among highly educated conservatives.
acharya
Posted 03 February 2008 - 10:14 PM
The executive committee of the Democratic National Committee has elected three Indian-Americans to the standing committees at the 2008 Democratic National Convention, convening Aug. 25-28 in Denver, Colo....Pakistan-born Iman Malik Mujahid, founder and president of Chicago-based Islamic teaching materials distributor Sound Vision Foundation, was named to the credentials committee, which coordinates selection of convention delegates and alternates.
Sunita Leeds, co-chair of the Washington, D.C.-based education-oriented Enfranchisement Foundation, was named one of the three co-chairs of the rules committee...San Francisco District Attorney Kamala Harris and Smita Shah, ...were named to the platform committee...
Mujahid is a Muslim leader, activist, film producer and non-profit entrepreneur. An imam at three Chicago mosques, he has a Ph.D. in political science from the University of Chicago and is currently president of the Council of the Islamic Organizations of Greater Chicago. A producer of over 40 educational programs, his book, "Conversion to Islam: Untouchables Strategy for Protest in India," won the Outstanding Academic Book of the Year award from the American Library Association.
acharya
Posted 03 February 2008 - 10:17 PM
DNC Elects Three Indian Americans to Convention Committees
By RICHARD SPRINGER
India-West Staff Reporter
The executive committee of the Democratic National Committee has elected three Indian Americans to the standing committees at the 2008 Democratic National Convention, convening Aug. 25-28 in Denver, Colo.
Sunita Leeds, co-chair of the Washington, D.C.-based education-oriented Enfranchisement Foundation, was named one of the three co-chairs of the rules committee, which proposes convention rules, adopts an agenda and makes recommendations for permanent convention officers.
San Francisco District Attorney Kamala Harris and Smita Shah, founder and president of Chicago-based engineering and construction management company Spaan Technologies, were named to the platform committee, which drafts the party’s national platform.
In addition, Pakistan-born Iman Malik Mujahid, founder and president of Chicago-based Islamic teaching materials distributor Sound Vision Foundation, was named to the credentials committee, which coordinates selection of convention delegates and alternates.
The executive committee voted unanimously for DNC chairman Howard Dean’s nominations for the nine co-chairs and the 75 additional committee members.
Shah told India-West from Chicago that she hopes to have an impact on the platform from the perspective of being an Indian American and also as a woman who has owned and headed an engineering and construction company for the past 10 years.
A member of the Society of Women Engineers, she said she will listen to what others say, but also be vocal about issues she cares about, such as the need for more women to enter the engineering field and the sciences.
Asked about what people expect from her, she added, “Everyting people don’t expect me to be, I tend to be.”
Shah, who will be married in February, was a delegate to the Democratic national conventions in 1996 and 2004 and on the rules committee in the 2000 and 2004 conventions.
She said that the Indian American community has changed dramatically since 1996, when “there were just seven people of Indian origin as delegates.” There were about 19-21 in 2004 and many more are expected this August.
A former appointee to President Bill Clinton’s Millennium Council to Save America’s Treasures, Shah is supporting Barack Obama for president.
“I have great respect for them (the Clintons), but I have been a supporter of Barack Obama and they have been gracious and understanding to me. They know I have to support my guy.”
A member of Loyola University’s board of regents and one of six Indian American winners of last year’s Ellis Island awards (I-W, May 4, 2007), Shah has an M.S. from MIT and a B.S. in engineering from Northwestern University.
Dean, in a statement about the inclusiveness of the selection process, added, “These outstanding leaders reflect the great strength, diversity and energy of the Democratic Party, and I’m confident their efforts will ensure our convention in Denver is reflective of our shared values and our nominee’s vision for America.”
The three committees will eventually have 186 members, with an added 161 members named to each committee by the states’ and territories’ convention delegations this spring.
Also named to the platform committee was California State Controller John Chiang. Other Asian Americans elected to the rules committee were council member Evan Low of Campbell, Calif., and Boston, Mass. city councilor Sam Yoon.
Harris, who is of Indian American and African American heritage, in 2003 became the first woman district attorney elected in San Francisco, the first African American elected a DA in California and the first Indian American elected a DA in the U.S.
A supporter of Obama, she was named “Woman of Power” by the National Urban League and received the Thurgood Marshall Award from the National Black Prosecutors Association in 2005.
Leeds, a longtime Democratic Party activist, recently moved to Washington from Paris, France, where she was president of the Parent Faculty Association and treasurer of an Anglo-French Jewish congregation. Before that, she headed a software development team at Bell Labs.
Leeds also chairs the advisory board of the DNC’s Indo-American Leadership Council.
Mujahid is a Muslim leader, activist, film producer and non-profit entrepreneur. An imam at three Chicago mosques, he has a Ph.D. in political science from the University of Chicago and is currently president of the Council of the Islamic Organizations of Greater Chicago.
A producer of over 40 educational programs, his book, "Conversion to Islam: Untouchables Strategy for Protest in India," won the Outstanding Academic Book of the Year award from the American Library Association.
:by indiawest
dhu
Posted 04 February 2008 - 12:35 AM
"I don't want February to have 31 days so I won't vote for Obama"
Mudy
Posted 04 February 2008 - 04:21 AM
Harris father is African American and mother is from Kerala Hindu, she is from Oakland and Obama/black candidate supporter.
Mudy
Posted 04 February 2008 - 10:25 PM
acharya
Posted 04 February 2008 - 10:35 PM
Mudy
Posted 04 February 2008 - 11:02 PM
hahahha!!!
I am top 500 in this. I am making money.
People in west just woke up, they will swing by afternoon.
Mudy
Posted 04 February 2008 - 11:10 PM
MSNBC/McClatchy/Mason-Dixon
Likely Democratic primary voters' choice for nominee
January 30 -- February 1
Clinton 43%
Obama 41%
Unsure 16%
Sampling error: +/-5% pts
CALIFORNIA DEMOCRATS
California Democratic poll of polls
January 30-February 2
Likely Democratic primary voters' choice for nominee
Clinton 44%
Obama 40%
Unsure 16%
*The Democratic and Republican California poll of polls both consist of three surveys: Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby (January 30-February 2), MSNBC/McClatchy/Mason-Dixon (January 30-February 1), and American Research Group (February 1-2).
CONNECTICUT DEMOCRATS
American Research Group
January 30-31
Likely Democratic primary voters' choice for nominee
Clinton 48%
Obama 35%
Unsure 17%
Sampling error: +/-4% pts
DELAWARE DEMOCRATS
American Research Group
January 31 -- February 1
Likely Democratic primary voters' choice for nominee
Clinton 44%
Obama 42%
Unsure 14%
Sampling error: +/-4% pts
GEORGIA DEMOCRATS
MSNBC/McClatchy/Mason-Dixon
January 30-February 1
Likely Democratic primary voters' choice for nominee
Obama 47%
Clinton 41%
Unsure 12%
Sampling error: +/-5% pts
ILLINOIS DEMOCRATS
Chicago Tribune/WGN
January 30 -- February 1
Likely Democratic primary voters' choice for nominee
Obama 55%
Clinton 24%
Unsure 21%
Sampling error: +/-4.4% pts
American Research Group
January 30 -- January 31
Likely Democratic primary voters' choice for nominee
Obama 51%
Clinton 40%
Unsure 9%
Sampling error: +/-4% pts
American Research Group
MISSOURI DEMOCRATS
Missouri Democratic poll of polls
January 30-February 2
Likely Democratic primary voters' choice for nominee
Clinton 44%
Obama 43%
Unsure 13%
*The Democratic and Republican Missouri poll of polls both consist of three surveys: Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby (January 30 -- February 2), MSNBC/McClatchy/Mason-Dixon (January 30 -- February 1), and American Research Group (January 31 -- February 1).
NEW JERSEY DEMOCRATS
New Jersey poll of polls
January 30 -- February 2
Likely Democratic primary voters' choice for nominee
Clinton 46%
Obama 39%
Unsure 15%
**The Democratic and Republican New Jersey poll of polls both consist of three surveys: Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby (January 30 -- February 2), MSNBC/McClatchy/Mason-Dixon (January 30 -- February 1), and Monmouth University (January 30 -- February 1).
NEW YORK DEMOCRATS
WNBC/Marist
January 30 -- 31
Likely Democratic primary voters' choice for nominee
Clinton 54%
Obama 38%
Unsure 8%
Sampling error: +/-5% pts
UTAH DEMOCRATS
Deseret Morning News/KSL-TV
January 31 -- February 1
Likely Democratic primary voters' choice for nominee
Obama 53%
Clinton 29%
Unsure 18%
Sampling error: +/-6.5% pts
National Democratic poll of polls
Likely Democratic primary voters' choice for nominee
Clinton 47%
Obama 40%
Unsure 13%
Unsure is very high, it means these people don't want to tell other, there is no description ablout unsure based on race or gender.
Why ILLINOIS is showing 21% unsure, it is Obama's home turf, I think people are not disclosing their choice?
So we may see surprise.
acharya
Posted 04 February 2008 - 11:18 PM
Yes, We Can! - Si, Se Puede!
Song & video, featuring a star cast, by Will.i.am of The Black Eyed Peas. Inspired by Barack Obama's 'Yes We Can' speech.
http://www.yeswecansong.com
http://www.barackobama.com/
http://factcheck.barackobama.com/
It was a creed written into the founding documents that declared the destiny of a nation.
Yes we can.
It was whispered by slaves and abolitionists as they blazed a trail toward freedom.
Yes we can.
It was sung by immigrants as they struck out from distant shores and pioneers who pushed westward against an unforgiving wilderness.
Yes we can.
It was the call of workers who organized; women who reached for the ballots; a President who chose the moon as our new frontier; and a King who took us to the mountaintop and pointed the way to the Promised Land.
Yes we can to justice and equality.
Yes we can to opportunity and prosperity.
Yes we can heal this nation.
Yes we can repair this world.
Yes we can.
We know the battle ahead will be long, but always remember that no matter what obstacles stand in our way, nothing can stand in the way of the power of millions of voices calling for change.
We have been told we cannot do this by a chorus of cynics...they will only grow louder and more dissonant ........... We've been asked to pause for a reality check. We've been warned against offering the people of this nation false hope.
But in the unlikely story that is America, there has never been anything false about hope.
Now the hopes of the little girl who goes to a crumbling school in Dillon are the same as the dreams of the boy who learns on the streets of LA; we will remember that there is something happening in America; that we are not as divided as our politics suggests; that we are one people; we are one nation; and together, we will begin the next great chapter in the American story with three words that will ring from coast to coast; from sea to shining sea --
Yes. We. Can.
Celebrities featured include: Jesse Dylan, Will.i.am, Common, Scarlett Johansson, Tatyana Ali, John Legend, Herbie Hancock, Kate Walsh, Kareem Abdul Jabbar, Adam Rodriquez, Kelly Hu, Adam Rodriquez, Amber Valetta, Eric Balfour, Aisha Tyler, Nicole Scherzinger and Nick Cannon
Also check out this other great song and video inspired by Barack:
acharya
Posted 05 February 2008 - 12:13 AM
US is not ready for a Black President. H
Younger generations are thinking that it may happen. They think that it is a different country. Hence the younger gen looks at Obama to connect with their gen.
Mudy
Posted 05 February 2008 - 06:33 AM
Mudy
Posted 05 February 2008 - 06:43 AM
TIP: Current value = probability prediction will occur, e.g. $10 = 10% chance prediction will occur.
Select one:
PREDICTIONS CURRENT VALUE TODAY
Hillary Clinton $52.89 $1.20
Barack Obama $47.11 $-1.20
Hahhaha , told you !!! now west coast is up and mow it is reverse.
I made some money.
acharya
Posted 05 February 2008 - 08:22 AM
The old establishment is nervous.
The republicans quickly came together and made a front runner making sure that there is no close call for Rep nominee.
Obama sweep is coming
Mudy
Posted 05 February 2008 - 08:49 AM
Not yet.
If you see "not sure" percentage, they are key. Media and Washington establishment is supporting Obama because they hate Bill too much.
Media is so scared of black bashing and trying to be political correct.
If Hilliary wins nomination and Presidentship, I really want to see how Clinton couple will treat Oprah train.
Just recently Clinton had spent over 53 millions on Africa and lot they did in Orleans and other black neighbourhood, Blacks just showed them middlefinger and started following untested person because of his race. We blame Indians who vote based on caste not what leaders or party brings to table.
I think this may be last chance, as demograpghy is changing fast, Hispanics are largest minority.
Ron Paul is very popular among young and educated, but no chance for him, too bad.
Pandyan
Posted 05 February 2008 - 10:32 AM
It's so sad that there is no chance for the candidate that exhibits the most integrity and truthfulness among the all the candidates from both parties. What is more sad is how the media has been censoring him thoroughly. This guy even beat Rudy a few times
Vote fraud confirmed, Clinton reversed mammoth pre-polling deficit to beat Obama, Diebold machines aid Giuliani, Romney
Yeah human error my ass. There is a concentrated effort to censor R.P through all avenues possible. This guy raised 4 million in 24 hours through individual donors alone and none of the news channels even mention his name.
Mudy
Posted 05 February 2008 - 01:01 PM
Media was behind only for those candidates who had paid for ads.
dhu
Posted 05 February 2008 - 01:13 PM
1 Massa gets a jolt plus sets good precedent of minority rule in US
2 will starve global faith based initiatives for want of attention
3 May start fragmentation of American social fabric - less time to meddle in Asia (eg Joshua Project)
4 will withdraw and invite next round of Islamic ire, weakening both sides
Anything wrong with these?
Shambhu
Posted 05 February 2008 - 04:28 PM
I think Obama will try to disprove his muslimness (or rumors thereof), and encourage faith-based (xtian-based) initiatives. An understanding woman pres is Dharma's best bet. Also, Hillary would be sure to encourage more diversity than Obama to show people that it is she and not Obama who is more pro-black.
Bodhi
Posted 05 February 2008 - 04:39 PM
Mudy
Posted 05 February 2008 - 08:58 PM
Obama stand is not clear on anything, he is far left. Currently he is stealing lines from Huckabee, McCain, Bill Clinton, Hillary, Chris Mathew, Bill Maher, .....
Oprah will rule, and her faith based agenda will come into play in big way. I am not sure how Muslim countries will treat him.
With Obama he says something but do something. He said, he will never take money from lobbist but over 90K known money he had received from them.
Mudy
Posted 05 February 2008 - 09:20 PM
Middle East is very unstable, it will effect India very much because weak government is ruling India. I think at this stage unstable US is not good for rest of world.
We have to wait and see how Chinese people will react after last two weeks of snow strom and government mismanagement. I think world is heading for big shake up.
Hiliary is better because she is centrist and not a risk taker. They know how to run country and had setup. She will be excellent Commander of Chief.
Pandyan
Posted 05 February 2008 - 09:21 PM
From what I understand those donations were from individuals associated with certain lobbies but not from the lobbies themselves. That's his explanation during the debates, I don't believe him. I don't believe Hillary either because she was funded by healthcare industry and then stopped pushing so much for universal health care back in the 90s after the money started coming in.
I'm willing to bet that neither Hillary or Obama will end this war. I'm hundred percent sure troops will stay. Republicans (except for Paul) are overtly in support of the war and Democrats are covertly for the war.
Media was behind only for those candidates who had paid for ads.
Yea he is too old, but media is excluding him not because of money or ads, but because they've already chosen for America the candidates. People raised 4 mil for his campaign in 24 hrs. He's played a few ads too. For what reason did Fox News ban him from the Republican debates, he was also heavily censored in the CNN debates while Romney and McCain were blabbering on about nothing for 10 mins.
Mudy
Posted 05 February 2008 - 09:26 PM
Obama will be forced by leftist to bring back forces in 60 days or they will do Carter on him. Don't under estimate those who gets elected by anti-war machine, they lose or treated like Carter.
Bharatvarsh
Posted 05 February 2008 - 09:59 PM
http://www.youtube.c...h?v=p8TkmE5t1Pk
As far as I know he hasn't said anything specific about TSP, from what I can tell he is a non interventionist (no spreading of "democracy" for the savages of the 3rd world u see) and a strict constitutionalist (opposed to the Iraq war and the Patriot Act), a Libertarian I would say.
acharya
Posted 05 February 2008 - 10:27 PM
I think Obama will try to disprove his muslimness (or rumors thereof), and encourage faith-based (xtian-based) initiatives. An understanding woman pres is Dharma's best bet. Also, Hillary would be sure to encourage more diversity than Obama to show people that it is she and not Obama who is more pro-black.
There is already a campaign for Christians for Obamaa. They will hijack the civil rights movement and make it a christian based movement.
http://youtube.com/watch?v=iqPqBVxxNbY
Barack Obama's vision for a 'United' States of America is rooted in Jesus Christ's teaching of loving your enemies. Barack Obama discusses religion, faith and politics. Relevant for Mitt Romney's speech about his Mormon faith.
"I think we make a mistake when we fail to acknowledge the power of faith in people's lives — in the lives of the American people — and I think it's time that we join a serious debate about how to reconcile faith with our modern, pluralistic democracy."
"Americans are a religious people. 90 percent of us believe in God, 70 percent affiliate themselves with an organized religion, 38 percent call themselves committed Christians, and substantially more people in America believe in angels than they do in evolution."
"As progressives, we cannot abandon the field of religious discourse. Because when we ignore the debate about what it means to be a good Christian or Muslim or Jew; when we discuss religion only in the negative sense of where or how it should not be practiced, rather than in the positive sense of what it tells us about our obligations towards one another; when we shy away from religious venues and religious broadcasts because we assume that we will be unwelcome - others will fill the vacuum, those with the most insular views of faith, or those who cynically use religion to justify partisan ends."
Keywords: barack obama religion politics christianity christians christian speech spirituality faith in america hope change
"Imagine Lincoln's Second Inaugural Address without reference to "the judgments of the Lord." Or King's I Have a Dream speech without references to "all of God's children." Their summoning of a higher truth helped inspire what had seemed impossible, and move the nation to embrace a common destiny. After all, the problems of poverty and racism, the uninsured and the unemployed, are not simply technical problems in search of the perfect ten point plan. They are rooted in both societal indifference and individual callousness - in the imperfections of man. Solving these problems will require changes in government policy, but it will also require changes in hearts and a change in minds."
"We might recognize some overlapping values that both religious and secular people share when it comes to the moral and material direction of our country."
Given the increasing diversity of America's population, the dangers of sectarianism have never been greater. Whatever we once were, we are no longer just a Christian nation; we are also a Jewish nation, a Muslim nation, a Buddhist nation, a Hindu nation, and a nation of nonbelievers."
"Even if we did have only Christians in our midst, if we expelled every non-Christian from the United States of America, whose Christianity would we teach in the schools? Would we go with James Dobson's, or Al Sharpton's? Which passages of Scripture should guide our public policy? Should we go with Leviticus, which suggests slavery is ok and that eating shellfish is abomination? How about Deuteronomy, which suggests stoning your child if he strays from the faith? Or should we just stick to the Sermon on the Mount - a passage that is so radical that it's doubtful that our own Defense Department would survive its application?"
http://youtube.com/u...tforBarackObama
Subscribers: 178
Channel Views: 8,678
Support Barack Obama in his vision and mission to bring harmony between believers of all religions, between voters and politicians of both parties, between ethnic groups, between nations and between men and women.
CHRIST FOR BARACK OBAMA, CHRIST FOR ALL CANDIDATES
Christ for Barack Obama doesn't mean Christ against the other candidates as some people seem to think is my message. Do you assume that when I say 'Christ loves you' that I mean 'Christ doesn't love your mother' or 'Christ doesn't love the person you are in competition with'? I don't: I've said in my earliest videos that Christ loves every human being and every candidate and is at work in the heart of everyone.
When you assume that 'Christ for Barack Obama' means 'Christ against Hillary' or 'Christ against Rudy' than it is your belief, whether you realize this or not, that Christ is against certain human beings.
It is our responsibility to look at the confusion and absence of love in our heart that makes us think this, to look at the motes in our eyes.
Why did I choose the monicker 'ChristforBarackObama' then? To make people think about this subject and to make people aware of the importance of Barack Obama's Christian faith in his private and political life.
Most importantly though: I believe, and here you might obviously disagree, that of all candidates Barack Obama has done the most work and has accomplished the most in freeing his heart from hatred and petty self-interest to put his life into the service of God and Christ. He tries his best every day to be aware that politics is not about acquiring power but to put power into the service of the common good of the American people and human beings around the world. He shows this by trying not to be attacking persons, not to put his political life in the hands of financial powers and to formulate policies that empower people to make the best of their lives and communities.
More than any policy issue, that's what explains why Barack Obama has connected with the hearts of so many Americans and world citizens. This does not imply he runs as a Christian candidate in the same sense that he is not running as a black candidate. It means people of all religions, agnostics and atheists connect to Obama's inner values of putting aside self-interest and putting aside the notion that Democrats are different and better human beings than Republicans, Christians are better than non-Christians and Americans are better than non-Americans.
He lives the political version of 'Love thy enemies', the core and most difficult teaching Christ has revealed to mankind. For 2000 years most attention in Christianity has been focused on 'Love your neighbours as your neighbours are like you and you are better and more loved by Christ than others'. Now the time has come to recognize Christ and the Kingdom of Heaven are at the center of the soul of every human being and to realize that when we hate another person or group as a whole we hate God and we hate Christ. We can disapprove of other's actions and even be angry about the actions and be angry about their hate, it's a healthy sign of longing for justice. But when we hate the whole person or the whole group we also hate God and Christ who are inseparable of that human being or group.
Christ has given to us his life on earth as Jesus as the example we can follow. If you reject Christ's teaching of 'Love your enemies' you reject Christ's love for you that He conveys in this teaching. What set Christ apart from other human beings is that He loved the Pharisees, the prostitutes, Samaritans, Romans, the thief next to him on the cross, Romans and those that put Him to death. Loving His enemies was what made it possible for Him to bear His cross, loving your enemies is the greatest strength you can acquire in your life.
If, even after this message, you still believe 'Christ for Barack Obama' is blasphemous or unchristian or insulting to you: my apologies. Yet I hope you realize I am responsible for the thoughts and feelings of non-love for others I feel, you are responsible for yours.
Love to you,
ChristforBarackObama
Viren
Posted 05 February 2008 - 10:44 PM
Chances are that it'll be a McCain-Huccabee ticket for GOP.
McCain will be crowned today but if Obama-Clinton isn't settled today (or relatively soon) it'll hurt Dems. Longer the Obama-Clinton plays out, better it'll be for McCain.
Nothing changes, no matter who. State Dept calls shot and they are all in same mold when it comes to dealing with TSP. All this in my humble opinion onleee.
dhu
Posted 05 February 2008 - 11:44 PM
Oprah is on a mission. Repeatedly stated, her "mission" is, "I want people to see things on our show that makes them think differently about their lives...To be a light for people. To make a difference...to open their minds and see things differently…how to get in touch with the spiritual part of their life." Unfortunately, the "light" Oprah offers is the "angel of light" (2 Corinthians 11:14), and "opening their minds," in this case means their brains fall out-they become empty headed (Romans 1:21-25).
Clinton will bring back the next version of Madeleine Albright.
Mudy
Posted 05 February 2008 - 11:55 PM
after first round in West Virgina,
Romney 41%
Huckabee - 37%
McCain - 17%
They are going for next round
all for grab
dhu
Posted 06 February 2008 - 12:53 AM
..
In January of 2008, on XM Satelite Radio, Ophah will sponsor a year long study on the New Age Christ put forth in the book entitled, A Course In Miracles.
"A Course in Miracles is allegedly a “new revelation” from “Jesus” to help humanity work through these troubled times. This “Jesus” bears no doctrinal resemblance to the Bible’s Jesus Christ.
A Christ-centered Obama also explains how easily he forgave the Clintonian Race Baiting.
acharya
Posted 06 February 2008 - 01:54 AM
By John Whitesides, Political Correspondent Tue Feb 5, 6:19 AM ET
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Democratic presidential hopeful Barack Obama surged to a big lead over Hillary Clinton in California hours before "Super Tuesday" voting began in 24 states, according to a Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby poll released on Tuesday.
In the Republican race, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney held a 7-point advantage on Arizona Sen. John McCain in California, while McCain added to commanding double-digit leads in New York and New Jersey.
On a sprawling day of coast-to-coast voting, the biggest ever in a U.S. primary race, the U.S. presidential contenders in both parties were fighting to win a huge cache of delegates to this summer's nominating conventions.
In California, which alone provides more than one-fifth of the Democratic delegates needed for the nomination, Obama led Clinton by 49 percent to 36 percent, the poll found. The margin of error was 3.3 percentage points.
Clinton pulled into a 5-point lead in New Jersey, 46 percent to 41 percent, after being tied on Monday. Obama held a 45 percent to 42 percent edge on Clinton in Missouri. Both polls had a margin of error of 3.4 percentage points.
Obama had a 20-point edge in Georgia, aided by a more than 3-to-1 lead among black voters.
Obama, an Illinois senator, and Clinton, a New York senator, are in a hard-fought battle for the Democratic presidential nomination and split the first four significant contests.
"There is clear Obama momentum in California," pollster John Zogby said. "But in New Jersey, things seemed to swing in favor of Clinton, and Missouri was very mixed."
In the Republican race, Romney maintained a stable 40 percent to 33 percent lead on McCain in California, fueled by heavy support in the southern part of the state and among self-described conservatives. The margin of error was 3.4 percentage points.
DASH TO CALIFORNIA
Both Romney and McCain made last-minute changes to their campaign schedules to fly to California for late appearances. A Romney win there could be his last hope of blunting McCain's growing momentum in other states.
McCain held a 26-point edge on Romney in New York and a 29-point advantage in New Jersey as he pushed for a convincing triumph that could knock Romney out of the race to be the Republican candidate in November's presidential election.
McCain held a narrow 34 percent to 27 percent lead over former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee in Missouri, with Romney running third at 25 percent. The margin of error was 3.4 percentage points.
"It looks like a big day for McCain with Romney making a last stand in California," Zogby said.
The two launched hard-hitting attack ads on Monday questioning each other's conservative credentials before the vote.
McCain won the last two contests, in South Carolina and Florida, to seize the front-runner's slot in a hard-fought Republican race despite qualms among some conservatives about his views on taxes, immigration and campaign finance.
More than half of the total Democratic delegates and about 40 percent of the Republican delegates are up for grabs on Tuesday.
The Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby rolling tracking poll surveyed presidential races in both parties in California, New Jersey and Missouri. The polls also looked at the Republican race in New York and the Democratic race in Georgia.
The rolling polls were taken Saturday through Monday, except for the California survey, which was a two-day poll on Sunday and Monday. In a rolling poll, the most recent day's results are added while the oldest day's results are dropped in order to track changing momentum.
acharya
Posted 06 February 2008 - 01:57 AM
24 minutes ago
CHARLESTON, W.Va. - Mike Huckabee won the first contest declared on Super Tuesday, picking up all 18 national delegates awarded at West Virginia's state GOP convention.
Huckabee bested Mitt Romney, who entered the Mountain State event with the largest bloc of pledged convention-goers. Both men and Ron Paul made in-person appeals to the more than 1,100 convention delegates attending Tuesday's convention.
But the former Arkansas governor beat his Massachusetts counterpart after delegates for John McCain defected to his side.
The first round of voting at the state convention produced no winner, but eliminated Paul after his fourth-place finish.
The results are the first from the 21 states with GOP primaries or caucuses Tuesday.
Arizona Sen. John McCain challenged his remaining rivals for control of the Republican presidential race Tuesday in primaries and caucuses from Connecticut to California. Democratic rivals Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama vied for delegates in a grueling campaign with no end in sight.
After an early series of low-delegate, single-state contests, Super Tuesday was anything but — primaries and caucuses spread across nearly half the country in the most wide-open presidential campaign in memory.
McCain was the Republican front-runner, all but unchallenged in winner-take-all primaries in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut and his home state of Arizona.
Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, struggling to sustain his candidacy, concentrated on Missouri and California as well as several caucuses states.
Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee concentrated in a swath of Southern and border states. Texas Rep. Ron Paul had the fourth spot on the ballot.
In the first contest decided Tuesday, Huckabee won all 18 delegates at the West Virginia GOP convention. Romney had hoped to claim victory there, but with McCain trailing, his backers switched their support to Huckabee to deprive Romney of the win.
Addressing the convention beforehand, Romney asked voters, "Are we going to put a true conservative in the house that Ronald Reagan built or are we going to take a left turn?"
Earlier, on NBC's "Today" show, McCain said he had to convince voters that he is the conservative candidate. "I've got the record, and I can lead this nation in the struggle against radical Islamic extremism," he said.
Obama and Clinton conceded in advance that neither was likely to emerge from the busiest day in primary history with anything more than a relatively narrow edge in Democratic convention delegates.
"Senator Clinton, I think, has to be the prohibitive favorite going in given her name recognition, but we've been steadily chipping away," said Obama, seeking to downplay expectations.
As she voted in Chappaqua, N.Y., Clinton acknowledged, "The stakes are huge."
Already, both campaigns were looking ahead to Feb. 9 contests in Louisiana, Kansas, Nebraska and Washington state and Feb. 12 primaries in Maryland, Virginia and the District of Columbia. And increasingly, it looked like the Democrats' historic race between a woman and a black man would go into early spring, possibly longer.
Republicans had 1,023 Super Tuesday delegates at stake in 15 primaries, six caucuses and one state convention.
The evening began with McCain holding 102 delegates, to 93 for Romney, 43 for Huckabee and four for Paul. It takes 1,191 to win up the nomination.
Democrats had 1,681 delegates to allocate in primaries in 15 states and caucuses in seven more plus American Samoa.
Clinton led Obama in the delegate chase as the polls opened, 261 to 196, on the strength of so-called superdelegates. They are members of Congress and other party leaders, not chosen by primary or caucus-goers.
The de facto national primary was the culmination of a relentless campaign that moved into overdrive during Christmas week.
After a brief rest for the holiday, the candidates flew back to Iowa on Dec. 26 for a final stretch of campaigning before the state's caucuses offered the first test of the election year. New Hampshire's traditional first-in-the-nation primary followed a few days later, then a seemingly endless series of campaign days interspersed by debates and a handful of primaries and caucuses.
Along the way, the poorest performers dropped out: Democratic Sens. Joe Biden and Chris Dodd, New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson and Rep. Dennis Kucinich of Ohio; and Republican Reps. Duncan Hunter and Tom Tancredo, and former Tennessee Sen. Fred Thompson.
Former Sen. John Edwards pulled out of the Democratic race last week, and former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani left the Republican field.
Edwards offered no endorsement as he exited, instead leaving Obama and Clinton to vie for help from his fundraisers and supporters.
But Obama benefited from an endorsement by Sen. Edward M. Kennedy, who made a series of campaign appearances in California as well as his home state of Massachusetts.
Giuliani quit the race and backed McCain in the same breath, clearing the way for the Westerner in New York and New Jersey.
Giuliani's departure also made it possible for California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger to back McCain. He said he would not have done so as long as the former mayor was in the race.
Obama and Clinton spent an estimated $20 million combined to advertise on television in the Feb 5 states.
Obama spent $11 million, running ads in 18 of the 22 states with democratic contests. Clinton ran ads in 17, for a total of $9 million.
Neither advertised in Illinois, Obama's home state.
acharya
Posted 06 February 2008 - 02:08 AM
I Got a Crush...On Obama" By Obama Girl
You can Borak me tonight
Recently named biggest web video of 2007 by People magazine...the AP...Newsweek...and AOL.
Created by: Ben Relles
Starring: Amber Lee Ettinger
Vocals: Leah Kauffman
Music Producer: Rick Friedrich
Directed by: Larry Strong and Kevin Arbouet.
http://www.youtube.c...h?v=ye_2a7Lrl80
http://www.youtube.c...h?v=wKsoXHYICqU
Mudy
Posted 06 February 2008 - 05:38 AM
democrats
Obama is declared projected winner.
So it is race based voting.
GOP three way race
Mudy
Posted 06 February 2008 - 06:40 AM
Conn -
OK - Hillary
AR - Hillary
TN -
Kansas -
IL - Obama
Georgia - Obama
Rep -GOP
IL - MC
Conn - McCain
Mass - Rommeny
Mudy
Posted 06 February 2008 - 09:16 AM
Obama should build up his machinery and try after 8 years and gain some experience.
Race played important role.
GOP is as usual confused and trimming each other.
acharya
Posted 06 February 2008 - 10:33 AM
By The Associated Press
Tuesday, February 5, 2008
(02-05) 19:27 PST , (AP) --
Comments from California voters:
"I don't believe in dynasties. We've got Kennedys, Clintons, Bushes. That's not what this country is about. It's not a monarchy." — Hank Hardin, 61, who voted for Barack Obama.
___
"I just like the fact he says things the way it is. I like the fact he works across boundaries with Republicans and Democrats." — Mike Ronnebeck, 45, who voted for John McCain.
___
"As an intellectual feminist type, I'm excited to have a woman running. I'd like to see a woman be president, but she's not the one right now." — Kiersten Johnson, 38, who voted for Barack Obama.
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"Race and gender don't matter. I will vote for who I think will be a good president, I think that's Hillary Clinton." — Elizabeth Kim, who voted for Hillary Clinton.
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"He presents a remarkable skin color for the rest of the world to admire." — Steve Scheibel, 51, who voted for Barack Obama.
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"I think she is well-educated, well-spoken and she has the foreign policy experience we need." — Linda Kennedy, 61, who voted for Hillary Clinton.
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"I agree with the issues that he is proposing. The health care reform, the economy, his stand on the war and immigration reform, which is really the thing that made me vote for him." Juan Carlos, 32, who voted for John McCain.
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"After eight years of the dark ages under Bush, the Democrats deserve a strong candidate." — Allison Goldberger, 49, who was undecided.
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"My first choice was Giuliani. But when he dropped out, I decided to go with Mitt (because of his position on illegal immigration). He's the only one talking about it. ... It's getting so bad, it's an issue." — Lindsey Aimone, 33, who voted for Mitt Romney.
dhu
Posted 06 February 2008 - 10:43 AM
This site should continue to dissect Mr. Obama. I am sick of the love affair the Black community has for him and it is obvious by the knee-jerk reactions many on this site has displayed because someone dared look at him honestly and not get carried away with his looks, charisma and speech.
Until we stop looking for a Black first and look at who represents our interests, we will always be in the same boat. Sinking.
KS, really do not argue with these people. You're quite right they're supporters and want to squash and divert any crticial critique away from Mr. Obama. Do not fall into their trap.
acharya
Posted 06 February 2008 - 10:58 AM
If they are pushing Obama then it is a image buildup for worldwide coverage. It will get sympathy and connection.
Mudy
Posted 06 February 2008 - 11:24 AM
If they are pushing Obama then it is a image buildup for worldwide coverage. It will get sympathy and connection.
Oh yes, they have created something, now they don't know how to bring him down. Establishment won, even California independent voted for Clinton.
Now Bill Clinton real work will start, he will try to sure off super delgates and I don't think delgates will go against Clinton now.
dhu
Posted 06 February 2008 - 11:58 AM
http://www.topix.com...C3UQNUJVB28QGJT
renegade comment:
Why don't you crackers go find something to talk about. Anybody with common sense know doggone well that man did not say those things in that way. You all just found another black celeberty to mess with; all the time bush is destroying this country. Yet instead when that white disc jockey made his comment you white people were the first to say he didn't mean it that way. You crackers have never had to endure no hardship ever like any other race but you always complain. One day yours will come and it won't be nice.
Much of what passes for Black leadership no longer represents African American political interests or opinion, having broken from their progressive mass moorings under the lure of corporate money and “faith-based” government bribes. Black politicians dance to the tunes of Big Business campaign contributors, while many Black preachers “ape the undemocratic and bigoted worst” of their white Christian counterparts. The ambitions of both the secular and religious hustlers converge in Memphis Tennessee, where Black preachers fan the flames of homophobia to elect their chosen candidate, and in Georgia, where an elected Black county executive is poised to run for Cynthia McKinney’s old seat in Congress with the help of real estate interests and money-grubbing mega-preachers, thus threatening to push the Congressional Black Caucus further to the Right. The Black Georgia incumbent congressman’s crime: he’s a Buddhist.
Viren
Posted 06 February 2008 - 08:26 PM
If they are pushing Obama then it is a image buildup for worldwide coverage. It will get sympathy and connection
As of last weekend media had about 80+ positive stories on Obama and 40+ negative stories on Clinton. This was reported by Chris Matthews of MSNBC. Media's playing a big role in all this.
-----------------
On GOP, as I had mentioned yesterday, Hucakbee is now a very strong contender for VP post. McCain knows that he can't get elected without carrying south.
If Gulliani had VP aspirations in McCain Presidency, it's over - like his candidacy.
-----------------
Something that strikes me is that in almost every state, the number #1 in Democratic party is pulling in as many votes as the combined #1 and #2 of Republican!!!
For example: in GA, Obama alone has 696,622 votes.
Which is greater than #1 Huckabee (325,602) and #2 Romney(289,118) combined!!!
Pick any other state, and you'll see a very similar pattern across the nation.
Is Republican confidence so low that they are sitting this one out?
Or there are less registered Republicans than registered Democrats?
Or states where independents are allowed to vote going democrat in big way?
Not sure. But this trend doesn't bode well for McCain.
Mudy
Posted 06 February 2008 - 10:55 PM
http://www.youtube.c...h?v=7RJhp-v6bCs
Mudy
Posted 08 February 2008 - 09:55 AM
McCain and high probability Huckabee.
Democrats -
still same.
acharya
Posted 08 February 2008 - 11:01 PM
Is Republican confidence so low that they are sitting this one out?
Or there are less registered Republicans than registered Democrats?
Or states where independents are allowed to vote going democrat in big way?
Not sure. But this trend doesn't bode well for McCain.
McCain and Hillary are the only members of CFR
Mostly less republicans come out and vote compared to democrat and this is historic fact.
Hence the votes are less. It is a party thing.
Democrat rally the unions and large community every where and make sure that people feel that they are participating in choosing a candidate and participating in elections.
But the superdeligates are the UNION and other org which are powerful and make deals with the democratic leadership and they make sure the winner is from the establishment.
The people will feel that they have elected their leader
rajesh_g
Posted 09 February 2008 - 01:01 AM
Meanwhile interesting stuff
http://www.timesonli...icle3330288.ece
They live by all those little quotes on the side of Starbucks cups about community service and global warming. They embrace the Obama candidacy because to them he transcends traditional class and economic divides. He is a transformative political figure - potentially the first black man to be president - and is seen as the one to revive America's faith in itself and restore America's status in the world. For these voters the defining emotion is hope.
Mrs Clinton is the candidate of what might be called Dunkin' Donut Democrats. They do not have money to waste on multiple-hyphenated coffee drinks - double-top, no-foam, non-fat lattes and the like. Not for them the bran muffins or the biscotti. They are the 75-cent coffee and doughnut crowd. For them caffeine choice doesn't correlate with their values but simply represents a means of keeping them going through their challenging day.
Though they don't doubt that global warming is important, they think it can wait. They want to make sure first they can pay the heating bills. They're not in favour of the Iraq war but neither are they so focused on restoring America's image in the world. They're not necessarily racist, it's just that they're not especially animated by the idealism represented by the first black president. For them anxiety, not aspiration is the defining factor.
Mudy
Posted 09 February 2008 - 01:05 AM
Check CNN and CBS websites, on map or clicking on county option.
acharya
Posted 09 February 2008 - 03:33 AM
5 minutes ago
WASHINGTON - Former President Clinton says he's learned a lesson from the dustup over his remarks on the campaign trail — he can promote his wife's presidential candidacy, but he's not free to defend her.
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Bill Clinton also said that everything he said in South Carolina about Illinois Sen. Barack Obama was "factually accurate," but a lot that has been said about what he said is "factually inaccurate."
"I think the mistake that I made is to think that I was a spouse like any other spouse who could defend his candidate," Clinton said, referring to his wife, New York Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, who is waging a hard-fought contest with Obama for the Democratic nomination.
"I think I can promote Hillary but not defend her because I was president. I have to let her defend herself or have someone else defend her," Clinton said in an interview with NBC affliate WCSH-TV as he was campaigning in Portland, Maine, Thursday.
On the eve of the New Hampshire primary, Clinton called Obama's celebrated opposition to the Iraq war "a fairy tale," suggesting that while Obama had spoken out against the war in 2002 while he was an Illinois state senator, Obama had moderated his anti-war stance during his 2004 U.S. Senate campaign.
Later, campaigning for his wife in South Carolina, Clinton suggested an Obama victory there would be a racial one, like the Rev. Jesse Jackson's twenty years ago.
Critics accused Clinton of injecting race into the Democratic campaign.
"A lot of the things that were said were factually inaccurate," Clinton said. "I did not ever criticize Senator Obama personally in South Carolina. ... But I think whenever I defend her, I, A, risk being misquoted, and, B, risk being the story. I don't want to be the story."
While he's toned down his defense of his wife, Clinton said he doesn't intend to stop campaigning for her even though some critics have suggested it's inappropriate for a former president to take sides in a nomination race.
If his wife is elected president, Clinton said he will not interfere with her work or her advisers.
"I will do what I'm asked to do," Clinton said. "I will not be in the Cabinet. I will not be on the staff full-time. I will not in any way interfere with the work of a strong vice president, strong secretary of State, strong secretary of Treasury.
"I will do what we've always done for each other," he said. "I will let her bounce ideas off me. I will tell her what I think."
acharya
Posted 09 February 2008 - 03:56 AM
By BETH FOUHY, Associated Press Writer 40 minutes ago
SEATTLE - A distasteful comment about Chelsea Clinton by an MSNBC anchor could imperil Hillary Rodham Clinton's participation in future presidential debates on the network, a Clinton spokesman said.
In a conference call with reporters, Clinton communications director Howard Wolfson on Friday excoriated MSNBC's David Shuster for suggesting the Clinton campaign had "pimped out" 27-year old Chelsea by having her place phone calls to Democratic Party superdelegates on her mother's behalf. Wolfson called the comment "beneath contempt" and disgusting.
"I, at this point, can't envision a scenario where we would continue to engage in debates on that network," he added.
MSNBC said Shuster, who apologized on the air for his comment, has been temporarily suspended from appearing on all NBC news broadcasts except to offer his apology.
"NBC News takes these matters seriously, and offers our sincere regrets to the Clintons for the remarks," MSNBC spokesman Jeremy Gaines said, adding the network was hopeful the debate would take place as planned.
Clinton and Barack Obama are scheduled to participate in an MSNBC debate Feb. 26 from Ohio, which holds its primary March 4. The Clinton campaign has pushed hard for as many debates as possible with Obama, but Wolfson said the Feb. 26 debate could be jeopardized.
Wolfson pointed to what he called a pattern of tasteless comments by MSNBC anchors about the Clinton campaign. Weeks ago, "Hardball" host Chris Matthews apologized to the former first lady after suggesting her political career had been made possible by her husband's philandering.
Shuster told The Associated Press he has tried to reach Clinton to apologize.
Shambhu
Posted 09 February 2008 - 05:33 AM
The best fighing I have ever had the privilege of reading!
dhu
Posted 09 February 2008 - 05:44 AM
"I, at this point, can't envision a scenario where we would continue to engage in debates on that network," he added.
She's speaking as if her writ is same as that of the party. Sonia is cast in the same mold.
There must be a running joke in the US that Hillary hides behind Chelsea. I came across recently a similar accusation that Hillary was more worried about a photo-op with Chelsea than anything else during the Clinton scandal.
--------------------------------------
Racist code words used by clintons:
hillary: 'SPADE WORK' (clinton racist code words)
http://video.google....8040463104948&q
rajesh_g
Posted 09 February 2008 - 06:01 AM
hillary: 'SPADE WORK' (clinton racist code words)
http://video.google....8040463104948&q
What are they using in the video - text-to-speech convertor ?
Mudy
Posted 09 February 2008 - 07:49 AM
Shuster told The Associated Press he has tried to reach Clinton to apologize.
MSNBC is working very hard to demonize Clintons, they are NDTV to Modi.
Shambhu
Posted 09 February 2008 - 10:57 PM
Sonia is an all out bitch. Hillary at least loves US. Sonia hates hindus. She will love India only when all hindus become psecs..
acharya
Posted 10 February 2008 - 05:51 AM
Somalia is one of many nations who may be affected by the new US president [EPA]
Al Jazeera website readers from Somalia, Israel, Venezuela and the Philippines give their view on how the US elections will affect them.
Abdullah Sheikh, 26, school teacher, Somalia
Somalis are interested in the US election more than any other nation in the world, because the US government is involved in Somalia and supports the transitional federal government (TFG) which is composed of ruthless warlords formed by Ethiopia and supported by the Bush administration.
In focus
In-depth coverage of the
US presidential election
I am in Mogadishu. The US proxy war in Somalia has caused me to lose my job, my school was destroyed by Ethiopian missiles, my students fled and my wife and three kids are suffering in an IDP [internally displaced persons camp] in the outskirts of the city.
I am jobless and I cannot get job unless there is peace and there is no peace unless Ethiopian forces leave the country.
If Democrats win in the election I hope they will condemn the [war] in Somalia and urge Ethiopian forces to stop killing innocent people.
Barack Obama seems the best candidate for me and my country because he is an ethnic African, he is from the Democrats and he is a young, intelligent man [who] can understand the concerns of African nations and the poor people.
Some people in Somalia still remember the 1993 battle between the late Somali warlord General Mohamed Farah Aideed and US rangers.
Your Views
What impact will the US elections have on your country?
Send us your views
That operation caused several hundreds of Somalis and 18 US soldiers to die and US Black Hawk helicopters were shot down.
Hillary Clinton was the first lady and her husband, Bill Clinton, was in the White House at that time, so Somalians fear that she may continue supporting the Ethiopian occupation.
We believe any change in the White House could also change the situation in Somalia.
The presence of the Ethiopian occupation has created generations of religious warriors in Somalia, and there are thousands of nationalists radicalised by the daily diet of violence.
The Bush administration in the White House is happy with the brutal events in Somalia by Ethiopian forces but, God willing, the Democrats will be different from Bush and his Republicans.
People in Somalia prefer Democrats to dominate the White House, because the Democrats are less violent than Republicans.
Su Schachter, Kibbutz Gezer, Israel
"Any US president who would push us, either politically or by using the aid package as a bribe, to end the conflict in a peaceful and just way would be good for Israel"
Su Schachter, Israel
I think it is a frightening reflection of the enormous power that the United States exerts worldwide that most of the world's countries are thinking, wondering and worrying about how the US elections will affect us all.
Certainly, Israel would be better off if it were more independent of US influence and more concerned about elections and power shifts in the neighbouring Middle Eastern countries, who are our more natural allies in the global scheme.
Israel only suffers from the continuation of conflict between us and our neighbours; we suffer morally, financially, socially, ecologically, socio-economically and of course politically.
Any US president who would push us, either politically or by using the aid package as a bribe, to end the conflict in a peaceful and just way would be good for Israel.
Therefore I would say that any of the Republican fundamentalist candidates would be worst for Israel since they all encourage (and fund) the conflict and encourage (and fund) fundamentalist groups and politicians in Israel.
Hillary Clinton, though she talks a good line of two-state solution and the importance of conflict resolution, seems likely to be similar to her husband in foreign policy and hence more invested in the appearance of pushing for an end to the conflict rather than taking radical steps to force us to withdraw from territories and negotiate meaningfully.
Obama is an unknown in foreign policy, but I am afraid he will rely on liberal Jewish votes to get elected and American Jews tend to be liberal on domestic issues but too unthinkingly supportive of Israeli governmental policies.
Perhaps Obama will live up to his promise and implement a new American policy on third world and Middle Eastern issues. If so, he could be our best candidate.
My fear is too many Americans are committed to a hawkish Israel, either as the fulfillment of their Christian messianic beliefs or as a stronghold for an interventionist American military presence, to allow any candidate to push for a significant change in the status quo.
The sad reality is that too many Israelis agree with them.
Luis Quijada, Cabimas, Venezuela
The primaries on the Republican side have been a bit shocking for me.
Chavez's relationship with a new US leader
will prove crucial to Venezuela[AFP]
I thought [former New York mayor] Giuliani and [Arizona senator] McCain would be now neck-and-neck, but Giuliani preferred to wait for Florida. Bad choice!
For me, it's McCain on the Republican side. On the Democrats it's a bit more clear, I think Hillary will get the nomination despite her clumsy husband (I don't think the attacks on Obama are helping Hillary at all).
Senator Obama can wait and get re-elected as senator in 2010.
As for Venezuela, I guess we'd prefer a Democrat. I don't think it's going to affect my life at all, not even an insane US president would ever dare to invade us.
But as far as diplomatic relations are concerned, a Democrat is easier for us to talk to.
All of them are talking about getting out of Iraq and President Chavez has condemned over and over again the invasion, so if it is a Democrat - he or she will have something in common with Chavez.
I cannot predict the future, but I do hope the new US president is someone everyone can talk to, negotiate with, and above all, be reliable.
Ian K Siaotong, Philippines/Saudi Arabia
I am a migrant worker from the Philippines and currently reside and work in Saudi Arabia.
"The US has changed leadership for decades yet there is no change in their policy towards their Third World country allies"
Ian K Siaotong, Philippines/Saudi Arabia
The Philippines is a traditional ally of the US. Our country, a Third World country, for decades has been dependent on US aid, particularly military equipment.
Our government is hostage to the US since we cannot change our foreign policy - such as establishing closer relations with other nations that America considers as enemy - or we risk losing US aid.
Aside from the aid, we could also face economic sanctions and it would mean economic collapse as the US is our number one trade partner.
I see no difference in whoever wins the US presidential race. The US has changed leadership for decades yet there is no change in their policy towards their Third World country allies.
For me it is a close call between Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton for the Democrats and John McCain and Mitt Romney for the Republicans.
I personally want a candidate from the Democratic Party to win this year's presidential election; I prefer Hillary Clinton over Barack Obama as she is more experienced.
The Republicans are too conservative and I doubt if a new Republican president would dare to change their foreign policy.
I do not think that the US elections will affect my life directly. The results may affect my country and Saudi Arabia, where I work, but not me.
However, the devaluation of the US dollar has affected the economies of so many countries and the Philippine peso is at an all time high.
The downside of the rising peso is that migrant workers' earnings are reduced. The Saudi Arabian riyal is a fixed currency so the declining rate of dollars does not affect the Saudi Arabian economy.
With the rising oil prices at $100 per barrel, it will only make Saudi Arabia richer.
Everyone in the US wants change. It would be a breather if a Democratic president is elected. However, a 360-degree change in US foreign policy is maybe too idealistic.
acharya
Posted 10 February 2008 - 05:51 AM
Whoever wins the US election will inherit the issue of Iraq's ongoing violence [GALLO/GETTY]
As candidates in the US primaries prepare to battle it out for their parties' presidential nominations, Al Jazeera spoke to readers across the world for their thoughts on the hotly contested race.
We asked whether they feel the parties' choice of candidate will have an effect on their lives if elected, and what impact, if any, the new US president could have on their lives and their country.
Yousef Hel, Gaza City, Gaza
We as Palestinians are not concerned about the elections, we know the US administration's policy on the Middle East has totally neglected the Palestinian cause for many years.
In focus
In depth coverage of the
US presidential election
It is pro-Israel and financially supports them, neglecting the Palestinian cause and our suffering.
We hope that the American situation will improve, that any new candidate will be willing to push the peace process forward and put pressure on Israel to end the occupation.
We would like to live in peace and stability, it is sad that we will live in 2008 in a few days and the US administration is using double standards.
It will make no difference which candidate from which party is elected. The candidates say things for the election and care only about internal issues, not external issues.
We have witnessed Clinton and Bush the father and even the current president promising Palestinians a state, but never they never fulfilled their promises.
We expect that the new president will focus on the war on terror instead.
The Palestinian people are struggling to seek independence, so will the new president also brand us as terrorists?
Essam Fahim, Lahore, Pakistan
Who becomes the next US candidate will have a huge impact on Pakistan, because Pakistan is a key player in the so-called war on terror.
Will the next US president follow Bush's line on
Pakistan? [GALLO/Getty]
The most obvious ways in which this will happen can be understood by looking at a particular candidate's views about Pakistan.
At least one candidate considers Pakistan to be the most dangerous country in the world right now.
Others are considering the possibility of military action in Pakistan if elected. Even the Bush administration has not ruled out such a possibility.
So how the next president of the US views Pakistan - regarding its role in the war on terror, its internal law and order situation and its nuclear presence in the region - will most definitely affect the Pakistani state and its people.
Pakistan depends considerably on the US for military and economic support and, much as Musharraf would like to take the sole credit for improvement in Pakistan's economy over the past seven or eight years, the fact remains it has been bolstered by US economic aid and political support.
This has been in return for Pakistan's involvement in the war on terror.
But with growing anti-US sentiment in Pakistan, US policy regarding Pakistan after the elections will either act a catalyst for this sentiment or will dampen it and as such affect the kind of pressure that the Pakistani civil society will put on its own new government.
Maithem Abdullah, Baghdad, Iraq
Your Views
What impact will the US presidential race have on your country?
Send us your views
I remember after the 1991 Gulf war, I had a debate with one or more Baathist comrades.
Some preferred that Republicans should win the presidential race of that time.
Their justification was that "the bad enemy that you know is better than the good one you do not know".
Others wished that the Democrats would win, saying that foreign policy would be changed for the better.
However, I believe that the foreign policy of a superpower is fixed in strategy - decision makers are not the presidents we see. The details might differ but the main goals are unchanged.
Therefore, I believe that the elections results will change nothing regarding the Iraq issue.
If you remember in the beginning of the war of 2003, both parties were united and many Democrats as well as Republicans visited Iraq to support American troops there.
The Americans know what are they doing and they are moving towards their strategic goals regardless of the points of views publicised here and there.
As an Iraqi, I feel that the future of my country is not much better than the former Yugoslavia, if not worse.
Niloufar, Tehran, Iran
The great majority of Iranians believe that the outcome of the US elections will make little difference to their lives.
"The ideal candidate for Iran's interests would be the Republican Party's Ron Paul, because he is totally opposed to US interventionism"
Niloufar, Tehran, Iran
They think there will be more of the same traditional militarism and interventionism from either a Republican or a Democratic US president. As such, they basically do not care and see all the media noise as a distraction.
But I think this coming election is potentially significant for the rest of the world, including for Iran.
Aggressive US foreign policy breeds extremism and undermines democratic forces in countries like Iran.
The ideal candidate for Iran's interests (and for greater peace globally) would therefore be the Republican party's Ron Paul, because he is totally opposed to US interventionism and would close all of the US's 150 military bases across the world.
His election would affect the whole political system in America, reverse extremist pressure on the Middle East region by the US and Israel and allow some breathing space for the great majority of Iranians to express their democratic views more freely at home.
Unfortunately, the radical Paul is unlikely to win. Republican party forerunners are all violence-prone and in the pockets of corporatist forces and aggressive Zionist interests in America, as is the Democratic frontrunner, Hillary Clinton.
Barack Obama is likely to reduce some of the pressure on Iran by withdrawing from Iraq and perhaps also from Afghanistan, but he is likely to be pro-Israel and thus of little help to establishing longer-term peace in the region as a whole.
So the best Democratic candidate would have to be the consistently anti-war Dennis Kucinich. His chances, however, are also slim.
The rest are more or less determined to continue aggressive policies against Iran.
Krenar Loshi, Pristina, Kosovo
I think Hillary Clinton is the right candidate for Kosovo.
In 1999, Hillary Clinton called for the US to aggressively engage itself in Kosovo.
Bosnia and Kosovo are examples of foreign engagements that she favoured on moral and strategic grounds.
Kosovo would have never achieved peace had it not been for US involvement and the support of [Bill] Clinton's administration.
What do I hope from the next US president is that they restore the US's reputation in the world and become willing to work together with other nations to reach peace and freedom in the world.
I also hope the next president recognises Kosovo's call for independence and continues to support its integration in Euro-Atlantic structures as the key step towards sustainable peace in Balkans.
acharya
Posted 10 February 2008 - 07:23 AM
American Elections... Interests, Groups and Mass-voting
By Khaled Amayreh
February ‘08
Egypt - Al Ahram - Original Article (English)
Each time an American elections starts, the Arabic political mind raises the same question: Which is better? –The Democratic Party or the Republican? And which will support more or less the interests of the region?... However, a careful examination suggests that there are no radical differences between the positions of the two big parties of America: the differences are only in the detail. The classical sense of the party no longer has value in the context of the rule of interest groups and voting blocs… How so?
The American elections that took place in 2000 explained that the political life of America exceeded customary partisan competition, as is present in Europe, and restored an American tradition that existed until World War I – that interest groups support the central rule of the the presidency in expressing America... The elected president is not considered to be a candidate of a particular party or an advocator of his own vision, but is a guardian of the interests of the giant economic entities that are politically organized under the name of interest groups.
The two major parties in the end have only two channels through which to deliver candidates for the presidency of the United States. Observers of American politics over recent years notice for example how the majority enjoyed by the Democratic Party in Congress has not changed the orientations of the American administration regarding their external policies and that the majority agreed to everything that had been asked in the special American Security budgets, and so on. Also, observers of the campaigns of the current candidates of the two parties cannot observe any clear differences between them … both democratic and republican support the Jewish establishment... (reducing taxes without reducing budgets allocated for the security of America; controlling sources of energy, but within the framework of a comprehensive strategy; refusal to retreat from the war on terrorism, but without a loud statement of intent) .. As a result, the relationship between the citizen and the party in America is no longer the same as the relationship in Europe, where party reflects the rescue of a European gathering of social groups and specific economic policies depend on the coming to power of particular sympathizers and voices.
The party in America includes various groups and various social strata and the successful candidate does not depend primarily on the party members themselves, because the X-factor in the support of a party in America is not its members, but groups and voting blocs, who support candidates who promise to pursue their interests.
Hence, we find a group of voters that is not, in fact, partisan, but is composed of interest groups and with masses of votes, these groups seek to influence politicians and policy. This makes presidential candidates interested in these groups and diverse voting blocs, which the American electoral system accommodates. Since the assassination of Kennedy (Democrat from Massachusetts) in 1963, no other democratic candidate succeeded from the North has succeeded in reaching the presidency. Both Carter and Clinton are from the southern states, which are characterized by the predominance of conservative social religious trends (and provides a bloc of votes of up to 40 million). In this context, specific voting blocs is starting to formalize: religious, colored, ethnic, or geographical (southern vs. northern), and form a network of interests whose supreme interest is the military-industrial-technological-financial complex that that is associated with various interest groups (arms industry, medicine, oil, and others), such that we can say that the Republican Party did not actually govern over the past eight years (2000-2008), even though officially they did.
But the government is an alliance between neo-conservatives and the new religious right - a coalition that reflects radical shifts in the ideological and political map of America: new conservatives have been able to resolve the historic, traditional trend toward liberalism to express their interests. They have also succeeded, through intellectual discourse, to promote conservative values, turning the religious bloc voting base into a social movement, even though it includes various social groups - poor, segments of the middle class and the rich. However, the core of the association of these groups is religious, and it does not matter that the new administration has passed legislation that offer tax breaks for the rich and increase the gap between them and the poor, disregarding spiritual and moral values of justice and equal opportunity. Yet, the poor did not object because the legislation and the privileges it offered the rich came under the cover of religion.
The foregoing has caused candidates of each party to flirt with bloc voting, regardless of party affiliation, according to a study by the Brookings Institution (2007), on American policies and religious division as determinants of voting in America. It focuses on the role of religion and religious voting blocs, explaining the basic parameters that govern voting and how religion, race and state intersect in the electoral process at the expense of political choice.
The result is that the rich minority needs for its interests masses of votes to ensure the success of its candidates, and for example, the religious voting bloc can deliver nearly 25% of all votes when not fragmented. Consider too that not more than 50% of the population participates in the electoral process in grassroots elections, while the electoral college can be won, as in the case of the election of President Bush (2000) with the loss of the popular vote (of which he obtained less than 48%), while obtaining 271 of a total of 538 Electoral College votes.
In summary, we should understand the phenomenon of America from the inside, and discover how to deal not only with its parties but also its interest groups and voting blocs, and their visions and plans, if we want to influence and support moderates in the political process. In particular, this type of democracy seems to prevail in many areas, including in a democratic process that involves a rich minority and small numbers of voters but organized and committed, while the political majority is absent – an issue that long-standing democracies (such as the German and Japanese) have considered.
acharya
Posted 10 February 2008 - 07:24 AM
Germans Weigh in on US Election
By Patrick McGroarty in Berlin
As Americans vote in primaries in 24 US states this Super Tuesday, Germany will be watching. In Berlin, residents say they are looking for an American president who can lead the country away from the divisive policies of George W. Bush.
A float in the Rose Monday carnival parade in Cologne made light of the close race between Democratic US Senators Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama leading into Tuesday's primary contests.
Zoom
AP
A float in the Rose Monday carnival parade in Cologne made light of the close race between Democratic US Senators Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama leading into Tuesday's primary contests.
With polls opening at primaries in 24 US states on this Super Tuesday, America's 303 million citizens will not be alone as they monitor contests that could well determine the Democratic and Republican presidential nominees.
Germans, Europeans and the world are also keeping close tabs on this year's American presidential race. After all, no less is at stake than the election of the "leader of the free world," as American media have often called the presidency since the Cold War -- even if that moral supremacy has been bruised in recent years.
SPIEGEL ONLINE surveyed Germans on the streets of Berlin in the run-up to Super Tuesday to find out their views on the presidential primary. While they had varying opinions on which candidate is best-suited to lead the United States, most favored Democrats Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama -- and all agreed that this year's election is particularly crucial because it represents a chance for major political change in America and the world.
"I think it would be fantastic if a black man won, and I think it would be fantastic if a woman won," said Marlene Gruppe, interviewed at Berlin's central train station. "Either would be a breath of fresh air for America." Gruppe said she favors Clinton, and she is not alone.
"I would like to see Hillary Clinton win," said Charlie Holst, of Lübeck, speaking at Pariser Platz, near the Brandenburg Gate. "I think she is likely to carry forward the policies of her husband, and his policies were in many cases favorable to Germany."
Hillary Leads in Poll of Germans
If public opinion polls are anything to go by, then that view is also shared by most Germans. A December poll for the French news channel France 24 and the International Herald Tribune newspaper found that 44 percent of Germans said they would vote for Clinton if they were allowed -- far greater support than the 22 percent she had in a nationwide survey in the US at the time. Obama came in a distant second, with 11 percent. On the Republican side, the only candidate who obtained any support in Germany was Rudy Giuliani, who had even less backing here (1 percent) than in Florida, where a disappointing third place primary finish ended his presidential bid.
Germans have a long tradition of following US elections closely, and most major newspapers and TV news channels here have a handful of reporters on the campaign trail. The obsession with US politics is a tradition rooted in a long and close relationship between Germany and the United States that extends back to the aftermath of World War II, when Washington helped rebuild West Germany with the Marshall Plan. The Berlin Air Lift brought critical supplies to a city cut off from the West by Soviet troops, and American soldiers stationed in the city helped to insure Moscow didn't invade during the Cold War.
But decades of warm friendship between America and Germany -- first West Germany and later a reunited Germany -- temporarily soured early this century when German Chancellor Gerhard Schröder was re-elected in 2002 on a campaign driven by his disapproval of US President George W. Bush's decision to invade Iraq (more...) and his refusal to pledge Bundeswehr troops for the "adventure" in Iraq.
"We as Germans do not understand why Bush led the world into a war in Iraq," said Helga Nähreng of Berlin, who was interviewed on Potsdamer Platz. Her husband, Rheinhard Nähreng, agreed. "What Bush has done is a mistake," he said.
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The Nährengs said Obama was their candidate of choice. "I think it would be particularly good for black America," said Reinhard.
"He also comes from a younger generation than the Clintons and has taken a very centrist path -- not to the left, not to the right. I think he can find a new path. It is unimportant whether the next US leader is a woman, like we have here in Berlin with Chancellor Angela Merkel, or a man. What we need is a path out of the crisis situation that we have now."
Since taking office as chancellor in 2005, Merkel has made efforts to mend German-US relations (more...), but the German people remain highly critical of the war in Iraq, Bush and his leadership of the United States.
Ruth Schumbecher, a Berliner who was walking along the Spree River near the German parliament building, the Reichstag, last Friday, said that she believed only a Democrat could help America rebound from the policies of Bush's "oppressive" administration.
"It's very important that the next president turn away from the policies of President Bush and find a new way," she said. "That's the big hope. I'm a big America fan, but I'm also a fan hoping for change."
acharya
Posted 10 February 2008 - 07:25 AM
Global Issues and the American Presidential Election
Days before Super Tuesday, here are the reasons why we need to observe what’s taking place across the Atlantic.
By Susanne Sinclair
Translated by Noga Emanuel
February 04, 2008
Switzerland - Le Temps - Original Article (French)
On Tuesday, voters in 22 states will cast their votes to name their Democratic and Republican candidates. On the conservative side, the suspense seems to have dissipated somewhat; as John McCain is expected to prevail. On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama are in a tight, shoulder to shoulder, race. However the chips may fall, this presidential election is a choice among exceptions: Hillary Clinton, the first woman president, Barack Obama, the first black president, and John McCain, the oldest president at the beginning of his mandate. For months now the world has been enthralled by this spectacle. Here is a rundown of the various reasons why there is such an intense interest in these elections, which reflect how the United States is generally viewed in this world.
The United States remains the primary world power. "With a three hundred million population, and a $14 trillion GDP, how is it possible to remain indifferent to the events which unfold over there?" asks Jeanny Wildi, researcher with the IMD (international School of management), in Lausanne. "As long as dollar is the principal currency of exchange in the world, as long as tales of the private life of a president animate the gossiping classes, the world will continue to be interested in the next star."
Roland W Scholz, professor at the Federal Polytechnic School of Zurich, stresses the centrality and preponderance of American universities in the sciences: "Seventeen of the top 20 world universities are in the United States. If you want to be taken seriously, studying or teaching in the US will be to your advantage." Thus, the academic world is vigorously engaged with this country. What is more, a million people applied for US permanent residence in 2007, never mind the estimated 12 million illegal immigrants.
Persistent myth
American policy also has an effect on the world economy. Historically, the dollar is stronger under a Democratic president than under a Republican one. "The Conservatives tend to utilize larger budgets and cause greater deficits. Imported goods become more expensive and buying power declines. The German automobile industry thus lost 10% sales in 2007", argues the Russian-Israeli investor, Gregory Berenstein, located in Switzerland. Similarly, the future President will chart the denouement in other important issues, such as foreign policy and environmental questions, which in their turn affect global economy and international diplomacy
For most people, the American myth persists. "The American model continues to fascinate. All is possible there”, analyzes Bertold Walter, Head of Finances at the federal polytechnic School at Lausanne. “Europe, by comparison, is not yet unified. Each country is self-defensive of its culture. The right to citizenship in one European country does not extend to its neigboring country." "The United States always excite the dream: the election is a show, a spectacle in its own right. We never scrutinize in the same way elections in China, for example”, adds Nicole Bacharan, an American policy pundit. Barack Obama incarnates the American dream on a worldwide scale. That’s the enthralling part: a black man, modest, educated abroad, and here he is, poised to take on the number one job in America."
Unlike the familiar contests between old political tenors, the present presidential campaign has yielded iconic candidates in Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama. "This election is particularly interesting because it does not re-enact another wrestling match between Republicans and Democrats, but rather poses the question: are the United States about to change?" opines Bruno Engelric, Director of Motor-Engineering at Ferrari.
To conclude: "If change does not happen, Uncle Sam’s country is likely to suffer the same fate as the United Kingdom, which passed from being a world power in the nineteenth century to become a country of lesser importance."
acharya
Posted 10 February 2008 - 07:27 AM
By Rick Kuethe
Translated By Dorian de Wind
Super Tuesday has become an unforgettable election day. The Democrats’ fight remains extremely exciting; with the Republicans, a miracle is needed to withhold the nomination from John McCain.
February 6, 2008
The Netherlands - Elsevier – Original text (Dutch)
“We are the change we are looking for, what began as a whisper has swollen to a powerful sound,” said Barack Obama from Illinois, where he won convincingly.
“Give me your sick, and your wounded,” cried his Democratic opponent, Hillary Clinton, recalling the text on the Statue of Liberty. She spoke in New York, where she won.
Republican John McCain said from Arizona that he had always found it amusing to be the underdog, but that being a front-runner now is also fine.
The Spoils
In the Democratic camp, Barack Obama has performed much better than could be expected after his loss in New Hampshire one month ago. He won a whole procession of states.
Hillary Clinton, who half a year ago seemed to have the nomination in the bag, but who has lost some ground since then, didn’t do too badly either. She triumphed in big states like New York, New Jersey and California.
One must keep in mind, however, that with the Democrats the number of delegates (and that’s what it is all about!) are distributed proportionately, so that Obama gets a share of the spoils even in those states.
Compelling
Of course, the converse also applies. Clinton did particularly well among relatively low income voters and among Hispanics. Contrary to what is often the case, the race is still wide open with Democrats after Super Tuesday.
That is attractive, especially now that that for the first time in history a black man steps into the arena against a white woman. The fact that the battle is still undecided, improves the chances for Obama, who is waging a much more compelling campaign.
Especially difficult
The picture is much clearer on the Republican side. A miracle has to occur for the nomination to elude McCain. Only last year, the head-strong Republican was “nowhere” and he flew economy class to Iowa to talk to two corn farmers and a tractor mechanic.
McCain, a Vietnam War hero who often works closely with Democrats in the Senate, is an attractive candidate (for Europe, too) who can make it especially difficult for Hillary Clinton this fall, should she become the chosen Democrat.
Premier Jan Peter Balkenende (CDA—Translator’s note: the Dutch “Christian Democratic Appeal” Party) has rightly pointed out to vice-premier Wouter Bos (PvDA –Translator’s note: Partij van de Arbeid, the Dutch Labor Party), who has said that he for Obama is, that the (Dutch) Government will not meddle in this fight.
acharya
Posted 10 February 2008 - 10:49 AM
Well, looking at the recent results... just to quote NY times...
Link: Obama Defeats Clinton in 3-State Sweep
(BTW, the 57% looks like a typo, according to AP it is close to 67%)...
acharya
Posted 10 February 2008 - 10:49 AM
No one landed a knockout blow on Super Tuesday, so the fight between Clinton and Obama is set to go the distance. Now each candidate's king of strategy will assume a vital role as micro-management of the campaigns takes on an unprecedented significance. Paul Harris in New York reports
The slight figure, wearing a dark rumpled suit, stood in the cavernous press room at the Chicago Hyatt Regency hotel. All across America, millions of people had voted in 24 separate states, seeking a winner in the fight for the Democratic nomination.
But David Plouffe, campaign manager for Barack Obama, was not talking of grand strategy, or new policies or sweeping visions of a united America. He would leave that to his candidate.
Instead Plouffe was talking statistics, crucial in winning the delegates that decide the Democratic nominee. He had added up the estimated delegate totals from Obama and Hillary Clinton's respective home states of Illinois and New York. 'We should be net 15 up there,' he said, relaying the news to an eager press pack.
Such wonkish minutiae do not make for great headlines. But they are now at the heart of the epic battle unfolding between Clinton and Obama. It is a fight not so much between the two duelling candidates, but between their top staffers. It is over who can master the tiny intricacies of the remaining races and the labyrinthine party rules that govern the contest.
It was not meant to be this way. In recent history one candidate has quickly emerged from early contests and been declared the winner. Arcane delegate counts did not matter. But that has all been thrown out of the window. A massive ground war is breaking out across the rest of America as the Democratic party realises this contest will go on for weeks, and probably months, to come. It is a war of micro-managing that could end up being won by the slimmest of margins. That was why when Plouffe announced his 15-delegate positive result from Illinois and New York, he was smiling broadly.
The master of micro-strategy for Hillary Clinton's campaign is Mark Penn, an obsessive pollster whose specialism is defining and identifying small interest groups and then working out policies that will bring them into Clinton's camp.
Penn, who has been a long-term confidant of Clinton and her husband, Bill, is hugely influential in her campaign. His strategy might be ideally suited to the battle ahead which will focus on a series of divergent states and their complex shifting demographics.
He is a classic Washington insider, living in a $5m mansion in the plush Georgetown district with his wife Nancy Jacobson. Penn's constant polling for the campaign has been instrumental in shaping Clinton's strategic shifts - especially on the war in Iraq - and is likely to continue monitoring the thorny way ahead. Some see that attention to detail as vital in the coming fight as voters turn to the policy-heavy Clinton over Obama's talent for rhetoric that is heavy on inspiration but light on plans. 'It's an advantage for Clinton, especially as the economy goes down. She's got specific policies on so many concerns. Obama's team has more rethinking to do than Clinton's has,' said Professor Shaun Bowler, a political scientist at the University of California at Riverside.
At the same time a host of other talented staffers will be alongside Penn seeking to negotiate Clinton's path through the battle. Chief among them is Howard Wolfson, a hard-edged communications expert. While Penn supplies the backstairs data and research, Wolfson is a sometimes ferocious operative not afraid to go negative on his candidate's opponents. In a tight race, in which handfuls of votes in key areas can make the difference between winning and losing, Wolfson's combative style will be invaluable.
Like Penn he too is a long term member of Hillaryland - the network of close advisers surrounding Clinton. He has been compared to Karl Rove, the mastermind of President George W Bush's two presidential victories and a man known equally for his aggression and attention to detail. Both men, and other top staffers such as campaign manager Patti Solis Doyle, have already had to cope with a shift in tactics. Clinton's team envisaged her path to the nomination as an 'inauguration' but the stunning rise of Obama put paid to that. Now, as the smoke from the early battles recedes, they are adjusting yet again.
Lining up opposite Clinton's team are Obama's staff. Plouffe is the highly competent campaign manager who has engineered stunning victories in Iowa and South Carolina that have hauled the insurgent effort to level pegging with Clinton. He has run political races before, netting impressive victories that belie his quiet public persona.
But his real strength is his relationship with his business partner, David Axelrod. Axelrod is Obama's top politicial consultant and perhaps the biggest single strategic influence on Obama's staff. The tall, mustachioed figure is a dominant presence in the Obama camp and his status is rapidly rising among America's political classes as Obama's campaign surges onwards. The Jewish journalist turned political operative was born in New York but went to college in Chicago. It was there he came across Obama and the two have forged a close political and personal relationship. Axelrod is seen as a master media manager. His touch can probably be seen in much of the gushing press that Obama has generated, even though journalists following his campaign rarely get to interact on any level with the candidate. Indeed, though Clinton is far more open to reporters tailing her every move, she is still often portrayed as more distant and hostile. In terms of the 'media primary', Axelrod has already won a massive victory for his candidate. As the campaigns now invade states including Texas and Ohio, that few thought would ever play a role in the competition, that wave of positive media will have arrived before them. That could be crucial.
Yet the landscape of the coming fight is confused and difficult to predict with any confidence. 'We are now into uncharted territory,' said Cary Covington, a professor of political science at the University of Iowa.
The first battleground is demographics. The contests held so far have shown that the Democratic party has split into two camps with each one often dominant in distinct social groups. Following Clinton are women, white working-class voters, the elderly and Hispanics. Backing Obama are black voters, the young, college students and educated, often high-income, voters. Yet, as Super Tuesday showed last week, the two camps are pretty much in a numerical draw. Adding up all the votes cast across the nation last Tuesday the score reads: Obama 7,070,977 votes against Clinton's 7,293,588. In polling terms that is a razor-thin edge and to break it each candidate must cut into the other's support bases.
Yet it is unlikely now that the Democratic nomination will be settled by any 'big momentum' that suddenly has one candidate's support collapsing. It means that what matters is not winning states, but winning delegates. Clinton and Obama are now engaged in a race for the 2,025 delegates needed to to be voted the party's nominee at the convention in August in Denver. Currently the score is 1,045 for Clinton and 960 to Obama.
At the moment the race looks to favour Obama in the short-term. This week, races will be held in Virginia, Maryland and Washington DC whose populations match Obama's main strengths. The so-called 'Potomac Primary', after the river that abuts all three states, could see Obama edge into a lead. However, after that come contests in delegate-rich big states, including Ohio and Texas, in March. They could go in Clinton's favour. One possibility now being discussed is the so-called 'Pennsylvania Scenario'. That state holds its primary in April, after a long break from other major contests. That could lead to a repeat of the sort of prolonged town-to-town campaigning in Pennsylvania that marked the contest in the early states of Iowa and New Hampshire. Such a massive effort will be a huge drain on the resources of candidates, staffers and finances alike.
And it all might be in vain. For party rules also include some 796 super delegates, who are party officials, Democratic congressmen and other office holders. If public voting still leaves the battle for delegates unwon then the real fight will take place on the phone as staffers and candidates seek to plead, bully, browbeat and beg with individual super-delegates to get their support.
Both candidates have staffers who are more than adept at such tactics. Wolfson and Axelrod in particular are deeply well connected and have 'persuasive' talents. But it could be an ugly fight with a generation of political reputations at stake. Just look at the case of Rahm Emanuel. The Illinois congressman was heralded as a rising star after engineering the Democratic win in the 2006 mid-term elections. As an Illinois politician he is close to Obama. But he is also a long-term friend and ally of the Clintons who mentored his early career. He is a super delegate. He has joked that he is 'hiding under his desk' rather than make a hasty decision. That might be safe for now. But eventually Emanuel - and many others - will have to pick a side.
But it could also spell trouble for the Democratic base. After the entire national party membership has voted, the result could end up being sealed with backroom dealing between officials and political professionals. 'The perception of that sort of wheeler-dealing could easily poison the process. That has serious implications,' said Covington, the professor of political science.
Watching all this unfold is John McCain, in effect the Republican nominee. The contrast with the Republicans could not be more different. After a fierce, and comparatively brief, battle the Republican field is down to McCain and the outsider, former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee. The two are likely to scrap politely a little longer with McCain able to rack up more of the aura of a winner and Huckabee assuming the mantle of the leader of his party's conservative wing.
In the meantime, Republican operatives will already be laying the groundwork for McCain's November election campaign, raising money, preparing field offices, polling and getting their political machine in place. So by the time whichever battered, tired Democrat campaign emerges as the victor from the Obama and Clinton fight, they will immediately be plunged into the real fight: for the White House itself. McCain and the entire Republican attack machine will have been waiting for them for months.
Mudy
Posted 10 February 2008 - 11:13 AM
Obama already started crying foul play.
For Clinton, media is very hostile towards them. Republicans are doing good job funding Obama and helping him in caucus.
First time I have heard, candidates are buying votes. Money in street generate votes.
So get ready for President McCain and Vice president Huckabee.
Mudy
Posted 10 February 2008 - 10:01 PM
The president weighed in on the Democratic race, saying it "seems far from over to me." And he rejected criticism of former President Clinton's work on the campaign trail for Sen. Hillary Clinton, D-N.Y.
"I can understand why President Clinton wants to campaign hard for his wife. And those accusations that Bill Clinton's a racist, I think is just wrong. I just don't agree with it."
As for Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., Bush said, "I certainly don't know what he believes in."
Establishment want Clinton for continuation of policy at this critical point.
acharya
Posted 11 February 2008 - 10:26 AM
The Madness of John McCain
A militarist suffering from acute narcissism and armed with the Bush Doctrine is not fit to be commander in chief.
by Justin Raimondo
John McCain’s reputation as a maverick is no recent contrivance. The senator first captured the media spotlight in September 1983, not long after he’d been elected to his first term in the House, when he voted against President Reagan’s decision to put American troops in Lebanon as part of a multinational “peacekeeping” force.
Prefiguring the revolutionary Jacobinism of Bush’s second inaugural address, which proclaimed the goal of U.S. foreign policy to be “ending tyranny in our world,” McCain was straining at the bit to launch a global crusade while George W. Bush was still touting the virtues of a more “humble foreign policy.” Neither time nor bitter experience has mitigated his militancy.
Other politicians were transformed by 9/11. McCain was unleashed. His strategy of “rogue state rollback” was exactly what the neoconservatives in the Bush administration had in mind, and yet, ever mindful to somehow stand out from the pack while still going along with the program, the senator took umbrage at Rumsfeld’s apparent unwillingness to chew up the U.S. military in an endless occupation. He publicly dissented from the “light footprint” strategy championed by the Department of Defense. More troops, more force, more of everything—that is McCain’s solution to every problem in our newly conquered province.
Rumsfeld became increasingly un-popular not only with the American people—the abrasive defense secretary saw his poll numbers dropping to 34 percent from 39 percent in May 2004, as McCain and Gen. Norman Schwartzkopf took aim—but also with the media, which had grown tired of him. In the bitter winter of 2001, when the War Party was riding high, the Philadelphia Inquirer had enthused, “No doubt about it, Donald Rumsfeld is a stud muffin.” As Rumsfeld’s cachet faded, McCain felt safe in attacking him, and, after Rumsfeld had resigned, declaring him “one of the worst secretaries of defense in history.” As the war itself became more unpopular, McCain managed a feat of triangulation of Clintonian proportions, posing simultaneously as a war critic and a super hawk.
He was unrelenting in his criticism of the Bush administration, even as he pledged to carry its foreign policy forward: he continued to denounce the “tragic mismanagement” of the war, while hailing the surge—and strongly implying that the Bush White House had plagiarized his views. With the war enjoying the support of about a quarter of the American people, however, it was necessary to frame a narrative that would deflect the disadvantages of a pro-war position, while enhancing his image as a straight-shooter who doesn’t care about polls and just tells it like it is.
But “straight talk” has increasingly turned to reckless talk: on the campaign trail, he was caught on video singing “Bomb, bomb, bomb Iran” to the tune of “Barbara Ann”—not one of his better moments. With his presidential campaign in the doldrums, and Giuliani and the rest of the Republican pack stealing much of his thunder, a new extremism seemed to possess him: in answer to repeated questions from one antiwar voter, McCain told a town-hall meeting in Derry, New Hampshire that the United States could stay in Iraq for “maybe a hundred years” and that “would be fine with me… as long as Americans aren’t being killed or injured” in any great numbers, as in Korea.
Mudy
Posted 11 February 2008 - 10:59 PM
And then come a list of states almost all of which should go for Obama, including likely victories in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Indiana. By the convention, he will have more than enough delegates to overcome the expected margins Hillary may rack up among super delegates.
And don’t bet on all the super delegates staying hitched to Hillary. These folks are politicians, half of them public office holders who are really good at reading the handwriting on the wall and really bad at gratitude for past favors.
Republicans and Independent are already doing in caucaus, so that Republican can have hands down victory.
Hauma Hamiddha
Posted 11 February 2008 - 11:42 PM
acharya
Posted 11 February 2008 - 11:44 PM
American Elections... Interests, Groups and Mass-voting
By Samer Murkus
Translated by Mola Mola
February 09, '08
Egypt - Ahram.org - Home Page (Arabic)
Each time an American elections starts, the Arabic political mind raises the same question: Which is better? –The Democratic Party or the Republican? And which will support more or less the interests of the region?... However, a careful examination suggests that there are no radical differences between the positions of the two big parties of America: the differences are only in the detail. The classical sense of the party no longer has value in the context of the rule of interest groups and voting blocs… How so?
The American elections that took place in 2000 explained that the political life of America exceeded customary partisan competition, as is present in Europe, and restored an American tradition that existed until World War I – that interest groups support the central rule of the the presidency in expressing America... The elected president is not considered to be a candidate of a particular party or an advocator of his own vision, but is a guardian of the interests of the giant economic entities that are politically organized under the name of interest groups.
The two major parties in the end have only two channels through which to deliver candidates for the presidency of the United States. Observers of American politics over recent years notice for example how the majority enjoyed by the Democratic Party in Congress has not changed the orientations of the American administration regarding their external policies and that the majority agreed to everything that had been asked in the special American Security budgets, and so on. Also, observers of the campaigns of the current candidates of the two parties cannot observe any clear differences between them … both democratic and republican support the Jewish establishment... (reducing taxes without reducing budgets allocated for the security of America; controlling sources of energy, but within the framework of a comprehensive strategy; refusal to retreat from the war on terrorism, but without a loud statement of intent) .. As a result, the relationship between the citizen and the party in America is no longer the same as the relationship in Europe, where party reflects the rescue of a European gathering of social groups and specific economic policies depend on the coming to power of particular sympathizers and voices.
The party in America includes various groups and various social strata and the successful candidate does not depend primarily on the party members themselves, because the X-factor in the support of a party in America is not its members, but groups and voting blocs, who support candidates who promise to pursue their interests.
Hence, we find a group of voters that is not, in fact, partisan, but is composed of interest groups and with masses of votes, these groups seek to influence politicians and policy. This makes presidential candidates interested in these groups and diverse voting blocs, which the American electoral system accommodates. Since the assassination of Kennedy (Democrat from Massachusetts) in 1963, no other democratic candidate succeeded from the North has succeeded in reaching the presidency. Both Carter and Clinton are from the southern states, which are characterized by the predominance of conservative social religious trends (and provides a bloc of votes of up to 40 million). In this context, specific voting blocs is starting to formalize: religious, colored, ethnic, or geographical (southern vs. northern), and form a network of interests whose supreme interest is the military-industrial-technological-financial complex that that is associated with various interest groups (arms industry, medicine, oil, and others), such that we can say that the Republican Party did not actually govern over the past eight years (2000-2008), even though officially they did.
But the government is an alliance between neo-conservatives and the new religious right - a coalition that reflects radical shifts in the ideological and political map of America: new conservatives have been able to resolve the historic, traditional trend toward liberalism to express their interests. They have also succeeded, through intellectual discourse, to promote conservative values, turning the religious bloc voting base into a social movement, even though it includes various social groups - poor, segments of the middle class and the rich. However, the core of the association of these groups is religious, and it does not matter that the new administration has passed legislation that offer tax breaks for the rich and increase the gap between them and the poor, disregarding spiritual and moral values of justice and equal opportunity. Yet, the poor did not object because the legislation and the privileges it offered the rich came under the cover of religion.
The foregoing has caused candidates of each party to flirt with bloc voting, regardless of party affiliation, according to a study by the Brookings Institution (2007), on American policies and religious division as determinants of voting in America. It focuses on the role of religion and religious voting blocs, explaining the basic parameters that govern voting and how religion, race and state intersect in the electoral process at the expense of political choice.
The result is that the rich minority needs for its interests masses of votes to ensure the success of its candidates, and for example, the religious voting bloc can deliver nearly 25% of all votes when not fragmented. Consider too that not more than 50% of the population participates in the electoral process in grassroots elections, while the electoral college can be won, as in the case of the election of President Bush (2000) with the loss of the popular vote (of which he obtained less than 48%), while obtaining 271 of a total of 538 Electoral College votes.
In summary, we should understand the phenomenon of America from the inside, and discover how to deal not only with its parties but also its interest groups and voting blocs, and their visions and plans, if we want to influence and support moderates in the political process. In particular, this type of democracy seems to prevail in many areas, including in a democratic process that involves a rich minority and small numbers of voters but organized and committed, while the political majority is absent – an issue that long-standing democracies (such as the German and Japanese) have considered.
acharya
Posted 11 February 2008 - 11:56 PM
February 10, 2008
Dead hand of Bush is shaping this election
Andrew Sullivan
Of the many theories purporting to explain the increasingly unpredictable contours of the US primary election season, the most obvious has not yet become the conventional wisdom that it richly deserves to be. Perhaps it’s the simplicity of the point that has submerged it. Perhaps the subject has become such a crashing bore that we all simply prefer to move on. But that doesn’t make it any the less true. This election has been crafted by the man who isn’t in it. This is an election about George W Bush.
Most presidential elections, to be sure, are about the last one. Young, electrifying JFK was the antidote to arguably the best and certainly the most tedious president of the last century, Dwight Eisenhower. Jimmy Carter was a purist rebuke to the sordidness of Watergate. Ronald Reagan in turn provided the stylistic pomp and ideological clarity that Carter clearly lacked. George Bush Sr was a “kinder, gentler” Yankier version of Reagan conservatism. Bill Clinton was the clued-in, lower-class hipster to replace the out-of-it patrician pensioner of the first Bush. W, in turn, was the plain-spoken, hedgehog-rather-than-fox antidote to the wily, slippery, verbose Bubba Bill Clinton.
And now we have the three potential Bush replacements: John McCain, the man who ran against him in 2000, voted against his tax cuts, excoriated his torture policy and assailed his Iraq occupation; Hillary, the wife of the man Bush succeeded and who beat his daddy; and Barack Obama, a young, charismatic JFK-liberal whose eloquence and erudition are almost textbook negatives of Bush’s folksy, faux-ignorant charm. It all makes a little more sense now, doesn’t it?
But Bush has empowered his nemeses even more than most presidents. Partly this was a function of the absence of an obvious successor. Unlike most presidents, he had no vice-president to succeed him. Dick Cheney never intended to run for election in his own right (and even seemed somewhat affronted that he had to parade himself before the voters for approval in 2004). The most obvious appointed successor – the accomplished former governor of Florida, Jeb – was a Bush too far even for America’s current dynasticism.
And a Bush clone simply wasn’t available. The president’s uncanny ability to persuade the business elites he was one of them, to appeal to evangelicals by actually being one of them and to corral national security voters on the war was, it turns out, sui generis.
The business elites liked Mormon Mitt Romney enough – but the evangelicals didn’t. The Southern Christianist right loved Mike Huckabee. And the hawks championed McCain, but everyone else mistrusted him. McCain, to be sure, won the nomination last week. But it would be more accurate to say that everyone else lost it. McCain failed to secure a clear majority in the primaries and caucuses. In fact, he’s the only successful candidate I can recall who had to spend the day of his final victory apol-ogising to party activists for winning.
And what, in the end, was the positive Republican reason to vote for McCain? To my mind, it came down to government spending and the war in Iraq. On both core subjects, McCain became the Republican antidote to Bush, without forcing the Republican base of the party to actively repudiate the sitting president. This was a very hard trick to pull off, and McCain hasn’t been given enough credit for managing it.
Bush’s greatest domestic conservative failure has been fiscal. The explosion of discretionary and entitlement spending on his watch would make a left-liberal blush. And one of the core, consistent principles of McCain has been fiscal rectitude. Voting for McCain now is a way for conservatives to renounce the fiscal reckless-ness of the Bush era. And McCain was careful not to blame the president publicly for the mess.
Iraq is a more complicated picture. It is now extremely hard – and I mean extremely – to defend the decision to go to war in 2003. In hindsight, it looks like one of the biggest miscalcu-lations in the history of American foreign policy (and yes, I was for it). But McCain has brilliantly been able to change the subject from this debacle by arguing forcefully that the project is still defensible in principle, if botched brutally in practice.
His brave criticism of Donald Rums-feld and the occupation nonstrategy in 2004 led to the surge; and the surge’s surprising tactical success in bringing a raging civil war down to 2005 levels of murderousness has enabled him to gain just enough credibility to run a national security campaign against the Democrats.
And so he manages both to rebuke Bush while rescuing his most troubled legacy. I’m sceptical he can do it if he gets elected. But his is the only position on the war that both pleases the Republican base and retains even a semblance of credibility among the public at large. For good measure, he opposes the torture policy that many conservatives privately feel ashamed about.
Bush is the reason, in other words, that this unlikely maverick has become the Republican nominee. And Bush is also the reason, I would argue, that Hillary Clinton’s meticulously planned coronation as the next Democratic nominee came unstuck.
It came unstuck because the depth of the Democrats’ disgust with Bush required more than just partisan revenge. And in the glare of the campaign, the Clintons began to represent for many Democrats the kind of politics that Bush himself had mastered. They remembered that before Karl Rove there had been Dick Morris: political consultants skilled at dividing and polarising electorates to get their candidate a 51% victory. Would reelecting the Clintons be in some way an endorsement of continuing Bush-style politics?
If Bush had not so enraged and dispirited liberals, Clinton would have been fine as the next career politician running their machine. But Bush had become for this generation of Democrats what Nixon had become for a previous generation. And they wanted a revolution against him and all he represented. They wanted someone who had clearly opposed the Iraq war in the first place and would not foment a new one against Iran. They wanted someone who wouldn’t require translation by Washington professionals – but could instead inspire and rally the broader public.
The demoralisation of the Bush era made possible the emotional and social forces that have combined to create the Obama movement. Hurricane Katrina and the terrible treatment of poor blacks in New Orleans made a black man almost necessary. Abu Ghraib made a man of integrity important. And the stain that many liberal and independent Americans felt the Bush era had left required a much stronger astringent than careful, focus-grouped, split-the-difference Clintonism.
And that’s why the Republicans realised that up against the transformative power of Obama, they had to risk a move to the centre or face obliteration. Without Obama, I doubt that McCain would have emerged. But up against a clear, fresh, inspiring character, the Republicans couldn’t run a mere regional candidate like Huckabee or a phoney Bush composite like Romney. They needed a Republican who could appeal to the independents who were rushing to the Obama primaries and caucuses. And so Bush made Obama possible and Obama made McCain necessary.
If, as is still narrowly probable, the Clintons still strong-arm and bully their way to the Democratic nomination, something even more unexpected may happen. The conservative repudiation of Bush may finally beat the liberal version. History has its ironies. With McCain, this campaign may just have produced its biggest one.
Mudy
Posted 12 February 2008 - 01:39 AM
If Obama is on ticket, US will get Huckabee, who will change consitution and whole list from bible.
Democrats are just democrats
Blacks are just seeing skin color and whatever Clinton had done for them is gone into drain.
Pandyan
Posted 12 February 2008 - 04:01 AM
Huckabee, Brownback, and Tancredo were the three that raised their hand when the moderator of one of the Republican debates asked if any of the candidates did not believe in evolution.
http://www.youtube.c...h?v=FJ88l5ql_FQ
Seriously, how do these losers live with themselves?
Mudy
Posted 12 February 2008 - 04:12 AM
They will get elected only on this issue.
shyam
Posted 12 February 2008 - 06:10 AM
Democrats are just democrats
Blacks are just seeing skin color and whatever Clinton had done for them is gone into drain.
This is not fair comment on blacks. Whatever good Clinton did they ensured him two terms. You can't expect as a group they do same to elect the next Clinton or his kid Chelsea.
Having said that Obama is not true American black as he is not from the generation of blacks that went through slavery and segregation after slavery ended. I am not sure what he will do for blacks that Hillary Clinton cannot do.
acharya
Posted 12 February 2008 - 10:59 AM
A False Election: John McCain, the Abortionist and Leftist “Neocon”
By Eduardo Arroyo
Translated by Fortunato Brown
February 08, 2008
Spain – El Semanal Digital - Original Article (Spanish)
An election carried out exclusively by the Party ‘establishment’, not by the citizens: in this way, if caucuses and primaries in general are manipulated, voters will have no choice except to vote for false options, which mean no possibility of authentic change. For example, among Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee and John McCain, the differences in the key subject of foreign policy are minimal or differences only in shade. In the case of McCain, his opinions are not, by far, in line with the principal worries of the Americans who vote republican.
In 1993, senator McCain voted in favor of the leftist pro-abortion judge Ruth Bader Ginsburg for the Supreme Court. In 2006, he was part of the so-called ‘gang of 14’ which sought to prevent the Republican Party from avoiding the obstructionist maneuvers of the democrats who wanted to stop by all means president Bush from appointing conservative Anthony Alito again to the Supreme Court. McCain made it possible for the Democratic Party to block the appointment of conservative judges. With these antecedents, the voters of the Republican Party consider it very very unlikely that McCain would reverse the famous Roe vs. Wade sentence that guarantees abortion in the US.
There is still more. In declarations to The Detroit News on January 3rd this year, John McCain stated: ‘when you analyze history, whenever we have adopted protectionist measures we have paid a high price’. We do not know which History has senator McCain read, but certainly it is not ours. The United States has been a country built on the ‘protectionism’ that has led to the manufacture of 42% of all merchandise in the planet. Now the Asian countries that rival its power are adopting openly ‘protectionist’ economic policies that would be unacceptable to the gurus of “free” trade in the West. How can reality be ignored in this way?
But there is still more. McCain led the republican delegation that opposed the so-called ‘proposal 200’, an initiative of the state of Arizona, approved in November 2004, which required that a person had to demonstrate US citizenship before being eligible for receiving state benefits or to vote. It is not surprising, consequently, that John McCain has been openly favorable to the suicidal policy of ‘amnesty’ that pretends to convert to ‘North Americans’ the 12 million illegals who are in the country in violation of the law.
Lastly, on Youtube, you can find a video in which John McCain, in the style of the old song by the Beach Boys, Barbara Ann, the senator sings in front of the audience ‘Bomb, bomb, bomb—bomb, bomb Iran’. The pun is most telling, and if you listen to McCain in Polk City, Florida, on January 27 in front of CNN cameras stating: ‘I am sorry to tell you but there will be other wars. We will never give up, but there will be other wars’, you know that John McCain has morphed into a good opportunity for the return of the ‘neocon‘ epidemics to the power centers in Washington. Between a president McCain and the Zionist hawks spread all over the world, the West can find itself immersed again in an absurd and unnecessary war against a country three times more populated than Iraq.
In short, a new ‘100-year war’ –but planetary in scope, delocalization and immigration without restrictions and abortion for everybody. Is this representative of the American conservative base? No. Is there any difference with what Hilary Clinton says? Once again, no.
The worst is, however, how the truthful debate has been swindled out of the people. Ron Paul, the only candidate to the presidency who said something different from the other three candidates on the key points of immigration, economic policy and foreign policy has been excluded by the very ‘establishment’ of the Republican Party and especially by the mass media. Fox News vetoed him off the debate, which surprised many, and MSNBC did the same. On the web page of the Ludwig von Mises Institute there is a brilliant article by David J. Heinrich about the candidate’s ostracism.
In Spain, from La Razon to El Pais newspapers, and the same in the rest of Europe, all irreconcilable enemies have coincided in silencing the best kept secret of the American elections: the critical position of a senator from Texas who thinks immigration is destroying his country’s cohesion, ‘free trade’ is not free but the blackmailing of people by big corporations and banks, and that disastrous foreign policy is pushing the country over the abyss.
As ever, you may think what you want about ‘democracy’, but the data once again demonstrate that before being just an idea, democracy is a strategy of power so that those who actually govern may consolidate an indisputable power and push us to decisions that do not reflect public opinion. To that purpose, the media create a virtual reality that helps to elect only and exclusively among what they want.
Mudy
Posted 12 February 2008 - 12:16 PM
In last two years Clintons Global had spent 50+ millions in Africa. He raised money for New Orleans. His and Her contribution after 2000 is remarkable. Even then 81% + black voters decided to vote for new guy, untested because of Skin color.
He had no slave or underprivileged history etc. but he is able to get all benefits.
Some says he is new Martin Luther King or Black pope.
As Obama sister's says we are hybrid.
Some tidbit about Obama and family
Obama father was Kenyan Muslim, mother White anthropologist from Kansas, he is married to African American, since last 20 years he is practicing Christianity. Before that he was Muslim/ studied Upanishad, bible and Koran
Obama half sister's father was Indonesian Muslim. She is married to Vietnam/Chinese Canadian, she practice Buddhism.
Obama other half sister is Kenyan Muslim.
True international, multi-culture, multi-racial, multi- religion family.
Viren
Posted 12 February 2008 - 08:56 PM
Let's see how much lead he's gains over Huckabee.
Hence the appeal to 'progressive' types, if you catch my drift. Remains to be seen if they'll back him all the way to Nov or they start bailing out once the Republican machinery start swift boating him.
Mudy
Posted 12 February 2008 - 09:06 PM
I am waiting for swift boat, I suspect it will start very soon.
acharya
Posted 13 February 2008 - 02:52 AM
Maureen Dowd
February 7, 2008
Page 1 of 2 | Single page
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HILLARY Clinton denounced Dick Cheney as Darth Vader, but she did not absorb the ultimate lesson of the destructive Vice-President: don't become so paranoid that you let yourself be overwhelmed by a dark vision.
I think Hillary truly believes that she and Bill are the only ones tough enough to get to the White House. Jack Nicholson endorsed her as "the best man for the job", and she told David Letterman that "in my White House, we'll know who wears the pantsuits".
But her pitch is the colour of pitch. Because she has absorbed all the hate and body blows from nasty Republicans over the years, she is the best person to absorb more hate and body blows from nasty Republicans.
Darkness seeking darkness. It's an exhausting spectre, and the reason that Tom Daschle, Ted Kennedy, Claire McCaskill and so many other Democrats are dashing for daylight and trying to break away from the pathological Clinton path.
"I think we should never be derisive about somebody who has the ability to inspire," Senator McCaskill told David Gregory on MSNBC on Tuesday. "You know, we've had some dark days in this democracy over the last seven years, and today the sun is out. It is shining brightly. I watch these kids, these old and young, these black and white, 20,000 of them, pour into our dome in St Louis Saturday night, and they feel good about being an American right now. And I think that's something that we have to capture."
Tuesday's voting showed only that the voters, like moviegoers, don't want a pat ending. Hillary and Obama will battle on in chiaroscuro. Her argument to the Democratic base has gone from a subtext of "You owe me," or more precisely, "Bill owes me and you owe him," to a subtext of "Obambi will fold at the first punch from the right."
Hillary's strategist Mark Penn made the argument last week that because the voters have "very limited information" about Obama, the Republican attack machine would tear him down and he would lose the support of independents. Then Penn tried to point the way to negative information on Obama, just to show that Obama wouldn't be able to survive Republicans pointing the way to negative information.
As she talked on Sunday to George Stephanopoulos, a former director of the formidable Clinton war room, Hillary's case boiled down to the fact that she can be Trouble, as they say about hard-boiled dames in film noir, when Republicans make trouble.
"I have been through these Republican attacks over and over and over again, and I believe that I've demonstrated that, much to the dismay of the Republicans, I not only can survive, but thrive," she said, adding that "frankly, in his prior election in Illinois, Senator Obama didn't face anyone who ran attack ads against him".
Better the devil you know than the diffident debutante you don't. Better to go with the Clintons, with all their dysfunction and chaos — the same dysfunction and chaos that fuelled the Republican hate machine — than to risk the chance that Obama would be mauled like a chew toy in the general election.
Better to blow off all the inspiration and the young voters, the independents and the Republicans that Obama is attracting than to take a chance on something as ephemeral as hope. Now that's Cheney-level paranoia.
Bill is propelled by Cheneyesque paranoia, as well. Bill's visceral reaction to Obama — from the "fairy tale" line to the inappropriate Jesse Jackson comparison — is rooted less in his need to see his wife elected than his need to see Obama lose, so that Bill's legacy is protected. If Obama wins, he'll be seen as the closest thing to JFK since JFK. And JFK is Bill's hero.
Even though Obama stopped smoking when he started running for president, he has lost more than 2 kilograms racing around the country. Just like Hollywood starlets, he works out religiously and can make a three-course meal out of a Nicorette.
For much of the year, when matched against Hillary in debates, the Illinois senator seemed out of his weight class. Though he has slimmed down, he has moved up to heavyweight. The big question is: can he go from laconic to iconic to bionic? Will he have the muscle to take on the opposition, from Billary, to the Republican hate machine, to the terrorists overseas?
"I try to explain to people, I may be skinny but I'm tough," he told a crowd of more than 15,000 in Hartford the other night, with the Kennedys looking on. "I'm from Chicago."
The relentless Hillary has been the reticent Obama's tutor in the Political School for Scandal. He is learning how to take a punch and give one back.
When she presents her mythic narrative, the dragon she has slain is the Republican attack machine. Obama told me he doesn't think about mythic narratives. Nonetheless, if he wants to be president, he'll have to slay the Clinton dragon.
Maureen Dowd is a New York Times columnist.
acharya
Posted 13 February 2008 - 03:02 AM
American Press is Sick of the Clintons
WASINGTON – The American media predict a fierce battle between Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama. The journalistic sympathy clearly goes out to the black senator.
By FRANK HENDRICKX
Translated by Dorian de Wind
February 07, 2008
The Netherlands – Het Parool- Original Article (Dutch)
A battle between “darkness and light.” That is how Maureen Dowd, the popular New York Times columnist, sees the Democratic primaries. “If Obama wants to be president, he has to slay the dragon,” concludes Dowd after Super Tuesday. “His dragon is the Clinton attack machine, which emerged Tuesday night, not invincible but breathing fire.”
It is sometimes not entirely clear who fights harder against Hillary Clinton: Barack Obama or the fine flower of American journalism. If the former first lady wins the democratic nomination, she will in no way have to be thankful to her “friends in the media.” “Hillary has had the whole dinner service thrown at her head,” complains one of her advisors. “It is time that the media also take a look at Obama.”
It is a complaint that continues to be expressed by Clinton supporters: Obama is the darling of the press. News experts almost declared him the winner on Tuesday. According to exit polls, Obama would win New Jersey as well as California. Eventually Clinton won in both states. Some journalists come right out: they want something newsworthy, not the Clintons again. “Obama is a new guy,” said Howard Fineman of Newsweek. “He is an interesting guy, a trendsetter and path breaker. Perhaps it is true that he is not looked at very critically.
Time’s Mark Halperin, who believes that the media are excessively critical of Clinton, was even clearer: “No one hopes that she wins.” Former president Bill Clinton can’t do any more good. “I am sick of him,” wrote Alex Beam, Boston Globe columnist, frankly. Maureen Dowd called Clinton “a narcissist” and her colleague Bob Herbert wrote that Clinton “sometimes comes across as a man who doesn’t take his medication.”
Only a few come to the aid of the Clintons. Columnist Craig Crawford called the criticism “insane.” “The evidence-free bias against the Clintons in the media borders on mental illness." Crawford went on to state, "I mean, we've gotten into a situation where if you try to be fair to the Clintons, if you ask for proof, you're accused of being a naïve shill for the Clintons.”
acharya
Posted 13 February 2008 - 03:04 AM
Back to Ronald Regan
By Christian Wernicke
Translated By Ron Argentati
(Originally written before Romney’s resignation)
Germany - Sueddeutsche Zeitung - Original Article (German)
Despite Mitt Romney’s Michigan victory in the Republican primaries, the party hasn’t smartened up. He’s not a Phoenix rising from the gray ashes of the Republican party. America’s Republicans are as puzzled as ever. They neither know where to go nor whom they want to follow. None of the men aspiring to the presidency fulfills the voters’ longing for new leadership.
It seems that George W. Bush is leaving his party only scorched earth: Eight out of ten American citizens (and one out of two Republicans) think the nation is on the wrong course. At the beginning of the election year 2008, the Grand Old Party lies in rubble and ashes. And nowhere in this gray pile is a Phoenix to be seen.
In its malaise, America’s right-wingers have emerged as an ancestor-worshiping cult. Everyone yearns for the long-departed Ronald Reagan – America’s 40th president – who during the nineteen eighties managed to unite the differing and often contrary wings of his party and forge them into a powerful army for his conservative revolution. None of the current aspirants exudes such an aura.
John McCain, for example, war veteran and aging senator, attracts moderate voters. But he appeals only to that segment of the party that places a strong military and national security above all. Meanwhile, the religious right, until now the most faithful conservative supporters, gathers around former Baptist preacher Mike Huckabee.
Powerful economic conservatives, at the same time, incline toward Mitt Romney, ex-business manager and former governor of Massachusetts, who won the Michigan primary vote. An interim review of Republican self-discovery – three primaries with three winners – reveals there is no leader to bind the party together
In the midst of this emergency, each of the Republican candidates campaigns for the right to the halo pronouncing him the rightful heir to Reagan’s throne. It is precisely this competition that leads the party off the track. Reagan's political mixture - military rearmament, religious renewal, radical tax cuts, including reducing government - is not a cure for current problems: The nation can no longer cope with billions more for the Pentagon, ever more fanatical Christian zeal against abortion and gays, and more tax relief for the wealthy at the expense of already impoverished communities. More of this kind of drastic remedy à la Ronald would drive the country to ruin. The popular desire for change, long rumbling amongst the people, is beginning to rumble in the Republican ranks as well. A good third of party supporters call for a strong state - not only as a guardian of law and order - but also as a guarantor of social and economic security at a time when Americans fear recession more than they fear the situation in Iraq.
These fears are addressed by right-wing candidates with nothing more than cheap populism. While they begin to disengage themselves from Bush, they do not have the courage to break from Reagan’s dusty old recipes.
The Republican renewal must wait until after the election.
acharya
Posted 13 February 2008 - 03:06 AM
By Shmuel Rosner
Tags: Israel Factor
1.
Analyzing data for The Israel Factor has become a habit in the weeks of every important vote.
Just before the Iowa caucuses our panel concluded that "On just three questions is there something close to a consensus: The panel feels that it doesn't yet know enough about Huckabee, and it also feels that it is familiar enough with Clinton. They are also certain that Clinton is the better Democratic candidate for Israel."
A week later, just after the New Hampshire primaries, the panel responded to our question regarding the Republican candidates and Iran thus:
"McCain, with his relatively measured response ['don't think that this wasn't a serious situation of the utmost seriousness in one of the most important waterways in the world'], was acceptable to all panelists. He got a score of 4 from all of the panelists save two (who gave him a 3 and a 5), showing that they all liked what he said, but weren't completely bowled over."
2.
Before Florida voted, when we realized that Giuliani would probably not be able to stay in the race for long, we indulged in some guess work, to try to understand how the panel would react to a two-way race between Clinton and McCain: "This month, there are three panelists who rank McCain higher than Clinton, two who rank Clinton higher, and three who give them the same mark."
So who would the panel prefer - a President Clinton or a President McCain? Here is your answer, for now:
3.
Understanding how and why the panel is tied regarding such race requires some explaining.
Here are two other questions we asked this week:
The differences are minor, and more importantly, the panel is in agreement: All the panelists but one gave McCain a 4 or a 5 on both questions. All the panelists but two on the first question and one on the second gave Clinton a 4 or a 5 on both.
If you want to see a difference you'd have to turn to the issue of Iran. Clinton got a 3.875 for her policy regarding Iran, McCain a little more, with 4.375. But what's really interesting here is to see the way the panelists who favored each of these candidates differed on the question of Iran.
The figures above in blue are the members of the panel who support Clinton for president and the figures in red represent McCain supporters. As you can see, Clinton supporters scored McCain almost as highly on Iran (two scores of 5, one of 4 and one of 3), while three out of four supporters of McCain for president gave Clinton lower marks (two scores of 4 and two of 3), dragging down her average.
As we argued time and again, for the Israel Factor, Iran has been a very good predictor in this presidential race.
4.
And here is another example. We asked the panel to judge to what extent they trust the candidate not to change their policy positions after the elections. McCain, again, fares better (4.25 to Clinton's 3.75), but look who's dragging her down.
Three out of the four panelists who'd rather have her as president don't see much difference between the two on the question of reliability. But of the four who think McCain is the better candidate for Israel, it's a mirror image: three rank him higher, and only one thinks they are they same.
5.
And there are also things on which Clinton fares better. For example: The question of "emotional attachment". Here, Clinton is definitely the favorite (she gets a 4, McCain a 2.125).
And even more so, as you can see, here even the panelists who generally prefer McCain see Clinton as the one more attached to the Jewish state.
What does it mean?
As we've seen in the past, this panel never thought of McCain as an emotionally attached friend of Israel. Some panel members think such attachment is critically important. Those are the panelists who'd rather have Clinton as president.
6.
And here is another good predictor of the Clinton-McCain race - but also a confusing one. A couple of months ago we asked the panel what kind of American involvement it wants in the peace process. Five said "like Bill Clinton or more," three said "like George Bush or less." Now look how these panelists voted, taking into account their answers on the current question of whether they prefer Clinton (blue) or McCain (red):
Apparently, the panel thinks Clinton would be more heavily involved in the peace process and don't always like that. Here's proof: When we asked more than a year ago how involved a President Clinton would be, three out of the four who thought she'd be heavily involved now prefer McCain. (The results below show a breakdown of how the panel scored Clinton when we asked this question last year, with those who now prefer McCain shown in red and those who support Clinton in blue).
Does this mean that the panel does not want a peace process? Not at all. As we saw a couple of months ago, it certainly does.
7.
Plenty of new panel data this week.
Yesterday we started with the more entertaining, easy, questions (True or false: Obama is pro-Palestinian, McCain will appoint James Baker).
Today we have Clinton vs. McCain, and later in the week we'll examine Obama vs. McCain.
acharya
Posted 13 February 2008 - 03:07 AM
As part of Al Jazeera's coverage of the"Super Tuesday" polls, Iraqi blogger Raed Jarrar, who writes the Raed in the Middle weblog and now lives in the US, explains his thoughts on the US political process and why it is in dire need of an overhaul.
When I first immigrated to the US in 2005, I was interested in foreign policy issues and spent most of my time working to end the occupation of Iraq and stop the blind support and unlimited aid to Israel.
Then I had a life-changing incident in 2006, when I was stopped at an airport in New York and prevented from boarding to my airplane because my T-shirt had the words "we will not be silent" in both Arabic and English printed on it.
A TSA [transportation security officer] told me that coming to a US airport with Arabic words on my T-shirt was equivalent to visiting a bank while wearing a shirt that read "I'm a robber".
After making me cover my shirt, the officers changed my seat from the front to the back of the airplane.
A new fight
"I came to realise that the same government that had bombed my neighborhood and destroyed my freedom in Baghdad was now attacking my freedom in New York city"
Raed Jarrar, Iraqi blogger
This incident opened my eyes and led me to learn more about the long history of racial discrimination and about the shrinking space for individual freedom in the US.
I came to realise that the same government that had bombed my neighbourhood and destroyed my freedom in Baghdad was now attacking my freedom in New York City.
It was now my personal responsibility to fight, both for my constitutional rights and to end the illegal US intervention in Iraq.
While I cannot vote - because I am not a US citizen - I can still support the candidates financially and volunteer to help their campaigns.
Therefore, I searched carefully for a presidential candidate who would bring all troops out of Iraq, end the US intervention in the Middle East and the rest of the world and restore individual rights to protect me and everyone else who lives in the US.
An 'open' system?
The first thing that drew my attention while following the primaries was the number of interviews with supposedly "ordinary" citizens who were running to win the nomination for one of the two ruling parties.
External link
Click here to read Raed Jarrar's Raed in the Middle blog
Interviews with the candidates were used by the mainstream media as a joke and invested by the establishment to maintain the "open political system" image.
But studying the record of the US elections' system suggests a different picture.
While polls indicate that around 80 per cent of the US population disapproves of the work of the federal congress, more than nine out of 10 DC officials get re-elected every general election.
In 2006, 94 per cent of house incumbents also won re-election and in 2004 they had a better than 99 per cent success rate.
Debating the debates
I learned a lot of other new things about the US political system during the last two years and, the more I learn about this system, the more I realised how closed and exclusive it is.
In focus
In-depth coverage of the
US presidential election
For example, millions of US tax payers - including myself - spend long hours watching the presidential candidates' debates.
We then watch yet more hours of media pundits debating the debates, then spend even more hours with friends and colleagues debating the media debates on the debates!
But not everyone knows that the US presidential debates are administrated by a corporation called the Commission on Presidential Candidates, which is led by former leaders from the two ruling parties.
And they make sure no third party candidates can ever be admitted to use their megaphone.
They even try their best to exclude Republicans and Democrats who are not parroting the establishment's line.
But even after understanding these and other unfair limitations, I still followed the primaries' debates hoping to find decent candidate.
The 'least evil' candidate
Candidates "fight over different tactics for
the same strategy", Raed says [AFP]
After a few weeks I almost fell in the trap of accepting the "least evil" and "most electable" instead of searching for someone who I agree with, but after more consideration I decided that the "least evil" is not good enough for me.
Although I am not sure what "mainstream" and "electable" exactly mean, I don't think I'm ready to compromise and support a candidate just because he or she fits such categories.
As it stands now, all the "frontrunners" or "mainstream" and "electable" candidates from the two ruling parties have exactly the same interventionist foreign policy and different versions of horrible domestic policies.
They fight over different tactics of the same strategy. Some of them want to stay in Iraq to "kill the bad guys", and others want to stay there to "save Iraqis from themselves".
There is not even minor discussion about restoring the US's deteriorating individual freedoms.
A third way
Unfortunately, the 2008 presidential elections will not bring anything new to US foreign or domestic policy.
"A third party can have a foothold that might be the space for a political revolution to take place, one day in the future"
Raed Jarrar, Iraqi blogger
We will see a continuation of the old strategies, with some minor differences in marketing them.
Someone like me who was in Baghdad while the first Bush, then Clinton, then the second Bush dropped bombs on our neighborhoods realises that there is not a "dime's worth of difference" between the two ruling parties and their one foreign policy.
But in the middle of my frustration, the last few weeks gave me hope that a better future is still possible - should a third party emerge.
The growing support for principled leaders such as Ron Paul and Ralph Nader is a great sign that non-interventionists from the "right" and "left" do exist, and a sign that changing the US regime through a strong third party is possible.
I see light at the end of the tunnel and I see an achievable goal of getting five per cent of the general vote that would qualify the third party for federally distributed public funds in the next general elections.
That way, a third party can have a foothold that might be the space for a political revolution to take place, one day in the future.
Al Jazeera is not responsible for the content of external sites
acharya
Posted 13 February 2008 - 03:09 AM
"For the first time in a long time, we are seeing someone who can wash away the cynicism from politics." These words were spoken yesterday by Chris Beutler, the Mayor of Lincoln, the state capital of Nebraska, after watching long lines of men and women, most of them white, wait to vote.
On Saturday, by a decisive majority in three very different states, Democrats voted for the man who may be able to wash away cynicism, Senator Barack Obama, to be their presidential candidate. He won in snow-bound Washington state, he won in Louisiana in the deep south, and he won in the rural heartland of Nebraska. It wasn't close. Obama crushed Senator Hillary Clinton in all three contests.
The status quo fractured at the weekend. Something new is welling up from the body politic. I think it represents the beginning of the end of an era of dynastic politics. Will America vote for Bush, Clinton, Clinton, Bush, Bush, Clinton? Two families that would control the White House for 24 consecutive years? Something stale and static emanates from this possibility and I don't think the American people are going to let it happen.
I think Obama will go to the Democratic convention in Denver in August with the highest number of delegates. He is already raising more money than the Clinton campaign, more momentum, and far more excitement. When Clinton lost in Washington yesterday, she lost in a state where the governor is a woman and both the state's US senators are women. But she lost Washington by a resounding two to one majority.
A year ago, Clinton was the prohibitive favourite to win the Democratic presidential nomination, with a massive war chest, a national organisation, universal brand recognition, the support of the union movement, a strong base in the Senate, and millions of women wanting a woman to be president for the first time.
All this has not proved enough. The only factor that has kept Clinton in the lead has been racial animosity. African-Americans and Latino-Americans do not like each other. Their voting in this campaign has conformed to this reality. While Obama has won the overwhelming majority of the black vote, Clinton has won the overwhelming majority of the Latino vote.
In Washington, the commentariat has attributed the Clinton campaign's dominance of the Latino to the "goodwill factor", a legacy of the presidency of Bill Clinton and his support of the free trade pact with Mexico. This is partly true and mostly rubbish. It is not the goodwill factor but the ill-will factor that has split the Democratic vote so cleanly on racial lines.
acharya
Posted 13 February 2008 - 03:13 AM
The (almost certain) Republican nominee owes a huge amount to the author of the “surge” in Iraq
Tim Hames
John Nance Garner, who held the position of vice-president under Franklin Roosevelt, memorably dismissed the job as “not worth a pitcher of warm spit”.
Actually, that is the sanitised version of his comment. There are plenty of people who believe that the original version referred to a different bodily liquid. Put it this way: he might have been taking the spit out of this office.
John McCain, by contrast, has to regard it far more seriously. He is within a few days of becoming the de facto nominee of the Republican Party. Mike Huckabee is enjoying his swansong, but after the primaries in Maryland and Virginia tomorrow this contest will be over.
The Democratic dogfight will continue for some weeks yet, with the calendar favouring Barack Obama throughout February then Hillary Clinton in March and probably April. If Democrats are lucky, this race will be settled in Ohio and Texas on March 4. If those states split in their verdicts, then Pennsylvania on April 22 will serve as the Gettysburg.
While all that is going on, the one matter of interest on the Republican side is whom Mr McCain will opt to put forward as vice-president. Ladbrokes has already opened a book on the subject, with Mr Huckabee installed as favourite and Charlie Crist, the Governor of Florida, and Tim Pawlenty, Governor of Minnesota, next. The competition, though, is totally open. No one has a compelling claim.
It is, however, an even more important decision for Mr McCain than usual for presidential candidates for three reasons.
The first is that George W. Bush, via Dick Cheney, has revolutionised the post itself. To be US vice-president was, as Nance Garner implied, to have the largest non-job on the planet. Even when the present President's father was VP under Ronald Reagan, it consisted mostly of attending the funerals of foreign dignitaries (Bush Sr quipped that “you die, I fly” was the vice-presidential motto).
When Dan Quayle was VP he virtually had to beg the White House to provide him with chores to do (this was wisely resisted). Mr Cheney, on the other hand, has shown that the vice-president can be the deputy president and has acted accordingly. It is hard to conceive that this portfolio will retreat to irrelevance again.
Secondly, to put it bluntly, there is Mr McCain's age. He will be 72 come polling day. The chance that he might die in office is there and will be discussed. Whoever he selects to be a potential VP has to be perceived as capable of serving as commander- in-chief at a moment's notice.
Finally, there is the politics of this election. The Democrats have the stardust factor this November. Mrs Clinton and Mr Obama have become huge figures. Their battle will make them seem yet bigger as it intensifies.
If she wins (still the more likely result in my view), Mr Obama will have done well enough to compel her to offer him the No 2 slot in order to preserve party unity (despite their obvious personal animosity and the fact that it does not make much strategic sense) and I suspect that he will accept it. If he wins, the reverse is less likely; but if it is not Mrs Clinton then the temptation to put another woman senator or governor on the ticket will be vast. This is what Mr McCain must assume that he will be facing.
An old-fashioned, tactical vice-presidential pick will not therefore be sufficient. Alighting on a man who rejects the theory of evolution (Mr Huckabee) will not do, nor will taking a Mr Crist or Mr Pawlenty, just because they might help to carry their home state. Seeking to offset a Clinton-Obama duo with either an obscure female such as Sarah Palin (Governor of Alaska) or a black former congressman (J.C.Watts) would seem like a feeble imitation of the genuine item. Condoleezza Rice, meanwhile, has the asset of being female and black but the liability of being tied to the Bush regime.
Mr McCain, who has the advantage of being able to wait until after the Democratic convention before making his move, should be audacious, bold and reach for a man who will reinforce his assertion that national security is the central theme in this election.
That audacious, bold, reinforcing choice would be to nominate General David Petraeus, commanding general of the multinational force in Iraq and the author of the “surge” that has saved the United States in Iraq as well as the Iraqi people (and revived Mr McCain's bid for the presidency in the process). His scheme is now being duplicated successfully in Afghanistan by his disciples in the US Army.
America has a long tradition of looking to military leaders in times of turmoil. This has stretched through Washington to Grant to Eisenhower and might have placed Colin Powell in the Oval Office in 1996 if he had been prepared to stand. General Petraeus, who holds a doctorate from Princeton University, is the greatest military thinker of his generation. He has managed to take a vast army that was effective at conventional fighting but close to useless when confronted with a guerrilla enemy and turn it into an organisation that can today do counter-insurgency superbly. This is an achievement that makes turning a supertanker around on the high seas during inclement weather look as easy as clicking one's fingers. General Petraeus is a genius.
A McCain-Petraeus combination would be a team almost above politics. It would be sensational. It would win. I concede that it is unlikely to materialise. Yet if it did, it would be worth a lot more than a pitcher of warm, er, spit.
acharya
Posted 13 February 2008 - 04:15 AM
The U.S. President will be visiting the region in May, just as Russian celebrates its World War II Victory Day, celebrations two of the thress Baltic countries will eschew due to 'lingering bitterness' over the post-war Soviet occupation.
March, 2005
By Adam Szostkiewicz
George W. Bush owes his election, above all, to the Christian evangelicals. He won by almost four million votes - the same amount that Karl Rove, the president's famous campaign strategist, estimated as the total number of the religious right in the electorate. His electoral mobilization plan worked (though the turnout increase cannot be attributed solely to right-wing Christians, as 15 million more Americans voted this time.) So who are these evangelical Christians?
During the campaign, pollsters asked voters which issues they considered most important: the Iraq War, terrorism, the economy, the environment etc. But according to Dr. Lance Montauk of the San Francisco University Hospital, people don't base their decisions on these issues alone.
"Fewer and fewer people identify with one party or the other, or have clearly formed political convictions. Take for example the southern guy who likes to shoot and is therefore for Bush, because he defends the right to bear arms. That same guy lost his job as a result of the free trade policy of Bush's government. The guy comes home and sees gay marriages on TV. Who do you think he'll vote for?"
Before the November [presidential] election, the Christian Coalition sent out 70 million copies of an electoral guide to all fifty states, in both Spanish and English. It reminded voters of Kerry and Bush's take on abortion, public schools, and tax cuts - but it didn't openly call on them to vote for Bush.
The intention, however, was to make sure that voters had no doubt which of the two candidates cared more about faith, family, and freedom. Immediately after Bush's victory, the Christian Coalition intensified its signature gathering effort for its campaign to "Win Back America." Christian Coalition activists wanted to win America back from the hands of the "judicial tyrants" of the federal Supreme Court.
What's wrong with the [Supreme Court] Justices? They legalized abortion, seek to remove the Ten Commandments from public places, and ban the Pledge of Allegiance, with the excuse that it is contrary to the freedom of religion because it invokes God. "Send us letters of support for congressmen who demand that Congress pass laws in accordance with the will of the nation," say leaders of the Coalition. "Distribute the petition among your friends, families and churches."
Organizations like the Christian Coalition are the motors of the American religious right. Its base is composed of Christians of various denominations and churches. For some, the religious right is a movement that inspires hope for America's moral rebirth, for others it is a dangerous sect of religious bigots.
In San Francisco, once the world capital of hippiedom, it is the latter view that dominates. In this part of the world, political neutrality means supporting the Democrats; if someone dares to back the Republicans, he'll be shouted down as being intolerant, says Dr. Montauk. "Bush supporters either stay silent or get out of the city."
But America is more than just California. In the late nineties when Bill Clinton was president, the Coalition was derided as part of the scrap heap of history. But the Coalition returned. Its founder, the Reverend Pat Robertson, campaigned for the Republican nomination in 1988. But the Republicans, though conservative, weren't eager for an open alliance with the religious right. They were afraid that its social radicalism would frighten away moderate and secular voters.
But in the end, the voices of those who saw the radicals' votes as necessary for Republicans and who supported a tactical alliance with them, came to dominate the Party. They tried to downplay or ignore controversial issues like school prayer, abortion or the rights of sexual minorities, while pushing slogans about the war on crime and the growing problem of unwed mothers.
DO WHAT YOU WANT, BUT QUIETLY
Leaders of the Christian Right for their part soon learned the art of electoral politics. Ralph Reed, one of the Coalition's strategists and Pat Robertson's successor, forced the organization to moderate its tone: Do what you want, but quietly; speak up only after you've achieved power. Political struggle is like guerilla warfare - don't betray your positions to the enemy.
acharya
Posted 13 February 2008 - 04:17 AM
Leaders of the Christian Right for their part soon learned the art of electoral politics. Ralph Reed, one of the Coalition's strategists and Pat Robertson's successor, forced the organization to moderate its tone: Do what you want, but quietly; speak up only after you've achieved power. Political struggle is like guerilla warfare - don't betray your positions to the enemy.
The Coalition succeeded and incorporated the earlier conservative Christian movement - the Moral Majority. The name is significant. It was meant to be a movement bringing together all Americans who felt they were being discriminated against in their own country, even though they formed the majority. The Moral Majority fought against legalized abortion, homosexuality, and the undermining of traditional family values in the media. It had supporters among both Republican and Democratic voters. Officially at least, it kept its distance from partisan politics.
Falwell and Robinson, both idols of America's faithful, became famous again after 9/11. Along with the Islamic terrorists, they also blamed godless Americans - "pagans, abortionists, feminists, gays and lesbians, the ACLU, and all those who provoke God's anger." Three days before the 2004 presidential election, the 71-year-old Reverend Falwell attacked John Kerry for his opposition to a ban on gay marriage. "It's as if 150 years ago someone said, personally I'm against slavery but if my neighbor wants to have two slaves, go ahead."
Now, after Bush's second victory, Falwell wants to resurrect the Moral Majority for the twenty first century. It is to be called the Faith and Values Coalition. Like the Christian Coalition, it is meant to help the president appoint anti-abortion judges to the Supreme Court and to seek a candidate who could be the next Bush.
Under Clinton, the opponents of the Christian fundamentalists joked that the Moral Majority was a double myth - neither moral nor a majority. Today the Democrats and the religious left (which of course exist in the U.S. as well) aren't laughing. Even the very liberal representative of the latter, Bishop John Shelby Spong, admits that the political map of America after the elections illustrates the social consequences of "the death of God."
AFTER THE DEATH OF GOD
As a left-wing cleric, Spong is mourning the recent electoral results. According to Spong, the red states were not capable of coming to terms with the end of the traditional understanding of God and the place of religion. That's why they are defending obsolete ideas and a stale vision of the world. In the blue states on the other hand - in places where the spirit of modernity is triumphant, places that cannot be forced into the old framework of religious faith - we are witnessing the birth pangs of a new vision of God.
"As long as childbirth has not been successfully completed, America will remain torn into two camps which symbolize contrasting responses to the same very real spiritual crisis." How accurate is this diagnosis? Well the fact is, there's a lot less blue than red on the map of America.
Not all Christian evangelicals are fundamentalists seeking to remove evolution from the educational system and murdering doctors at abortion clinics. Many of them, probably a large majority, are simply traditionalists attached to two very American ideals - a personal faith in Christ and working for the local community in that spirit. They aren't politically active on a daily basis. Instead, they occupy themselves with bible studies, prayer and help their fellow citizens and try to convert their fellow citizens' (normally, the two activities are linked) in jails, retirement homes, educational and cultural institutions, or simply on the street.
Under Clinton, that sort of religious-social activity was not supported by government funds. Under Bush, the situation has changed radically, which of course provokes the left to protest that this is the favoring of organized religion at the cost of religious neutrality.
Critics have also highlighted the names of evangelical activists - defenders of life and family - who Bush has nominated to represent the U.S. in the U.N. and other international forums. There they have allied themselves with the Vatican and delegates of Muslim states. But the greatest tension comes from the constant desire of evangelicals to mount campaigns aimed at American liberals
REVEREND GRAHAM'S SLIPS OF THE TONGUE
Probably the most famous Christian evangelical in the world is the Reverend Billy Graham. Like many Christians like him, he belongs to the powerful Southern Baptist Church. Like almost all Southern Baptist's, he underwent a spiritual rebirth - "he accepted Christ into his personal life," and accepted the Bible as the one and only infallible guide. From that point on, his sermons have drawn crowds in the U.S. and around the world.
His wife Ruth is a daughter of American missionaries who went to China. The couple has five children, nineteen grandchildren and eight great-grandchildren. She took care of the home and brought up the children, he occupied himself with preaching the gospel and earning money for his family and his missionary organization (he made an enormous fortune which he uses to finance his religious-charitable activities). Ruth went to school in what is now North Korea, winning the Reverend Graham friends even among the Communist authorities. He also served the North's former dictator Kim il-Sung as a diplomatic mailman.
When President Reagan invited him to a reception for the Gorbachevs former leader of the Soviet Union and his wife, the Reverend amused Mrs. Gorbachev with a discussion of the bible. "When one begins to seriously talk with people who call themselves atheists, it becomes clear that they have inside them a hunger for truth and the purpose of life," reminisces Graham. Asked what advice he would give his eldest son, he responded "Study the Word, follow the Bible in your life and spend time with your family." That is the credo of the evangelicals.
But even Dr.Graham has had his problems. He was accused of using his influence on President Nixon to remove journalists of Jewish origin from the media. He was angry that they criticized the Vietnam War. The Reverend had long denied this, but two years ago, recordings of one of his conversations with Nixon became public: "I have many friends among the Jews because they know I'm a friend of Israel, but they don't know what I think of what they're doing to our country." Graham apologized and said he didn't remember the conversation.
He isn't the only leader of Christian America who flirts with anti-Semitism. In one of his many books, Reverend Pat Robertson spoke of a conspiracy of Jewish bankers seeking to rule the world. That doesn't stop some of Christian evangelicals from supporting the Israeli state. That gives them the support of religious conservatives, and pro-Israeli American Jews. Conservative Catholics are another group of allies, who in practice are almost the same as evangelicals, even though the latter are almost all Protestants. American Catholics are on the defensive after a series of sex scandals in the Church. Anger and bitterness push them in the direction of the evangelicals, who mistrust elites.
AN AMERICAN
If this story of America's right-wing Christians reminds anyone of the Radio Maryja movement and its role in Polish politics, I recommend caution. the "Radio Maryja" movement is shorthand for Poland's Catholic extreme right. Radio Maryja is their very popular radio station.]The similarities are at times striking but can also be quite misleading - A farmer from the middle of nowhere [in the U.S.] gets up early in the morning and checks the futures market and his e-mail - only then does he go pray. And the cities [in the U.S.] where people of color are moving are also strongholds of the conservative Christians. The Christian Right occupies a different social class than the Catholic one in Poland.
The Reverend Graham, old and suffering from Parkinson's [disease] is now turning things over to a new generation of preachers. Perhaps the most talented is the Reverend Rick Warren. He's a prophet of the 21st century mega-church. Twenty years ago he started from nothing. Together with his future wife, he founded a seven-person bible discussion group in California. Two hundred people attended his church's first service. Today he has tens of thousands of faithful and millions of readers - he also writes spiritual bestsellers. Republican politicians give them to each other as presents. Warren's community is made up of modern looking people - clean, relaxed, and well dressed - no depressing hicks.
You can see the same thing in Colorado Springs, near Denver, at the headquarters of the New Live Church, another powerful Christian-Right organization. Houses of Christian businessmen who give large amounts of money to the church surround its prayer center. No one here wastes time singing hymns. The activists are active - they organize campaigns against abortion and homosexuals. And with all of the moral slogans, they enlarge the president's political base. The head of the Church, Ted Brendle, was a guest of President Bush at the White House. That's how American Christians do politics these days.
This Christian infantry and its leaders are full of energy. But if this army gets out in front of the civilians (i.e. most of the Republican electorate, which is far less religious and less interested in social issues) and forces its extreme right-wing program on Bush, the pendulum of public opinion will swing in the opposite direction. If Bush becomes hostage to the religious-right, he'll lose moderate Republicans and that will increase the chances for a Democratic victory in four years. In a deeply divided America you can't push too hard - even under Jesus' command.
acharya
Posted 13 February 2008 - 08:10 AM
Bush Denounces Noose Displays
John D. McKinnon reports on the White House
In his final year in office, President Bush keeps going back to the well of compassionate conservatism. Today, he denounced recent displays of nooses as a racist symbol, citing “disturbing reports” around the country that have “heightened racial tensions in many communities.”
The comments follow a new round of minority-friendly proposals in Bush’s State of the Union, including private-school scholarships for inner-city students. Later this week, the president goes on a week-long tour of Africa, to celebrate his successful campaigns against AIDS and malaria. While Bush has long been sympathetic to nonwhites, his latest outreach could also be aimed at smoothing some of the rough edges of his controversial image.
“Our nation has come a long way toward building a more perfect union,” Bush said in remarks at the White House on Black History Month. “Yet as past injustices have become distant memories, there’s a risk that our society may lose sight of the real suffering that took place. One symbol of that suffering is the noose….As a civil society, we must understand that noose displays and lynching jokes are deeply offensive. They are wrong. And they have no place in America today.”
If the American public needed reminding, many in Bush’s audience didn’t. It included Rep. John Lewis (D., Ga.), a hero of the 1960s civil rights movement, and William Coleman, an African-American lawyer who was President Ford’s transportation secretary.
The best-known recent noose display occurred in late 2006 in Jena, La., where several white students hung nooses at a tree at the mostly white Jena High School. The tree had been a hangout for white students, but a black student had asked a school administrator’s permission to sit under it. A group of black teenagers — the “Jena Six” — were charged with beating a white teenager in connection with the incident. The case against the black teenagers became the subject of a huge demonstration last September by thousands of marchers, who viewed the charges — which included attempted murder — as excessive.
Some critics see noose displays as one example of a broader surge of various forms of “stealth” racism in the U.S. The White House on Tuesday pointed to statistics showing that reports of hate-crime incidents in the U.S. rose by almost 8% in 2006.
Spokeswoman Dana Perino said Bush “was deeply disturbed” by the media reports of noose displays and similar incidents. “He felt it was important that as president of the U.S. he very publicly remind the world about the history of that symbol — and why as he said, so many people have a visceral reaction to it.”
Husky
Posted 13 February 2008 - 06:22 PM
I suppose the Rwandans are not quite so bitter as the Serbians, though - the former got hit with US govt's indifference, while the latter got to face active scheming from the US govt which carefully arranged the board against them.
Huzay for Bill clinton's reign... Three cheers... No?
Not that I like obama any better. Everytime I see him, I keep thinking how ignorant he is. I don't know that he's not worse than merely ignorant.
America is faced with the devil and the deep blue sea. So they should find the third option.
The US needs someone like Thomas Paine - someone who intrinsically believes in all people. Someone who doesn't pretend to be 'colour-blind' to win votes, but someone who is innately beyond bothering about ethnicity or gender or other petty nonsense.
Thomas Paine was someone who was for the French Revolution, yet stood up valiantly to save the life of the French royals (he was obviously against taking revenge on the French aristocracy) with his own life in the balance.
This Deist wrote the Rights of Man that sent the castaist christo Brits shrieking in fear. He started the abolition that sent the christos in two continents into hysteria. He also wrote the Age of Reason which scared the living daylights of the christian meme, as he exposed its hollow lies and frauds.
If the US still has another person like this, (s)he should be the president:
http://www.cygnus-study.com/ (section "Learn", subsection "Thomas Paine")
Every once in a while, the world is fortunate to have a great person come to edify. Generally the person is completely ignored or disdained by their own generation but increasingly valued by subsequent ones. Such is the case for the greatest American hero, Thomas Paine.
Thomas Paine came to live in the United States in 1774 at the invitation of Benjamin Franklin. Soon after his arrival, he began to speak his mind and was both hated and loved by many.
Paine was the greatest defender of the disenfranchised that this country has ever known. He was a prolific writer and the first piece that he ever had published was against slavery in America. He pled for the rights of black people, and stated that it was an offense to all humanity that they should be imprisoned and forced into submission. A few short days after the publishing of this article, the American Anti-Slavery Society was formed. Some 90 years later the Emancipation Proclomation finished the job that Thomas Paine got started.
Paine continued to fight for rights. He fought against the practice of dueling, claiming that it was a "barbarous act" that did not solve the right/wrong issue. He fought against the mistreatment of animals with, "A Protest Against Cruelty to Animals." He fought for equal rights for women with, "A plea for the Rights of Women," one of the earliest documents of it's kind in the New World.
Thomas Paine was the first to coin the phrase "The United States of America". He was the first to suggest that colonies become united. He was the first to suggest separation from Great Britain.
The United States of America was born as much from the pen of Thomas Paine as it was from the sword of George Washington.
For the next decade or so, Thomas Paine set about making the newly founded nation as strong as possible. He sailed to France with Ben Franklin in order to secure six million silvers for a loan, as well as clothing and military stores. He raised 1.5 million dollars in 1780 to pay the army which had been considering mutiny.
At the end of all of this, he knew that his work had been done in America. Being a man not prone to idleness, he set out for England to educate the people there.
Once in England, Thomas Paine wrote the well known book, "Rights of Man". In the book he wrote that all people were of the same mother and as such deserved the same equal treatment. He wrote that the upper ruling class was there by birth and not through some feat or divine placement. Needless to say, this text caused BIG trouble in the monarchy of England. (Remember, christo-castaism was ingrained in England. Christoism's castaism was factually everything that they can only ever accuse Hinduism of.)
Immediately upon publication in England, the Rights of Man was suppressed. The author was indicted. Those who published it and those who sold it were arrested. To avoid arrest and probable death, Paine left England. However, his ideas had left their mark on the nation and the English people today enjoy a freedom that stems back to those who rallied around Paine's text.
After leaving England, Paine went to France where he had become widely famous. His actions in America were well known.The pamphlet "Common Sense" had been published in French and was having an immense effect. The French knew of the "Rights of Man". Paine was so popular in France that he was elected to the National Convention by three political parties. Once in government, he founded the first Republican Society in France and wrote their manifesto. These actions helped to give Paine the reputation as the "defender of popular rights" throughout America, England, Scotland, Ireland and France.
Despite his popularity, trouble soon found Thomas Paine in France. After the French Revolution, the king of France was to be executed as a traitor. The National Convention wanted the King dead. But Thomas Paine, being the great humanist that he was, made a plea to the Convention to spare the king's life. He asked that the king be exiled to the United States. He asked not only as a citizen of the United States but also as a member of the Convention. This action of asking for sparing the king's life was, at that time, a request to also be executed.
Robert Ingersoll, a widely published Agnostic, wrote of Paine, "From the moment that Paine cast his vote in favor of mercy - in favor of life - the shadow of the guillotine was on him. He knew that when he voted for the King's life, he voted for his own death."
Paine recognized his predicament, and knew that his time on Earth could be very short. Knowing that there was no time to lose, he set out to write "The Age of Reason". The book contained Paine's thoughts on "revealed religions" and the Bible. This writing was as threatening to the church as "The Rights of Man" had been to the monarchy. In writing "Age of Reason," Paine sought to break the bonds that the church held on the common man. The book is as powerful a source of revelation today as it was when it was written some two hundred years ago.
Ingersoll again points out, "Not one argument that Paine urged against the inspiration of the Bible, against the truth of miracles, against the barbarities and infamies of the Old Testament, against the pretensions of priests and the claims of kings, has ever been answered." And it is true even 100 years after Ingersoll wrote that.
In 200 years, no one has been able to disprove the points that Paine made against the Bible. What are we to make of this?
(Thomas Paine was not an atheist, nor was he a christian disapproving of the church. He was a Deist. His God comes across to me like the Grand Spirit of the native Americans.)
Thomas Paine was arrested just a few short hours after completing the first part of the Age of Reason in December, 1793. He was forgotten by almost everyone but not the future American president, James Monroe. Monroe wrote in Paine's behalf and won his release in November of the following year. While in prison, Paine finished his work on part II of "Age of Reason".
After his release, Paine remained in France for some time before returning to America, expecting to live out his days among those he had helped to gain their independence. What he got was widespread hatred. The Federalists hated him because of how he fought for the rights of the people. The slave-traders hated him for trying to ruin their business. The clergy hated him for his work, and he was labeled an atheist, a blasphemer, a hater and enemy of God and men, alike.
I leave the end of Thomas Paine's life to the words of Robert Ingersoll:
"Thomas Paine had passed the legendary limit of life. One by one most of his old friends and acquaintances had deserted him. Maligned on every side, execrated, shunned and abhorred -- his virtues denounced as vices -- his services forgotten -- his character blackened, he preserved the poise and balance of his soul. He was a victim of the people, but his convictions remained unshaken. He was still a soldier in the army of freedom, and still tried to enlighten and civilize those who were impatiently waiting for his death, Even those who loved their enemies hated him, their friend -- the friend of the whole world -- with all their hearts.
On the 8th of June, 1809, death came -- Death, almost his only friend.
At his funeral no pomp, no pageantry, no civic procession, no military display. In a carriage, a woman and her son who had lived on the bounty of the dead -- on horseback, a Quaker, the humanity of whose heart dominated the creed of his head -- and, following on foot, two negroes filled with gratitude -- constituted the funeral cortege of Thomas Paine."
acharya
Posted 14 February 2008 - 01:57 AM
By FRED BARNES
February 13, 2008
The political stars are aligned for Democrats to capture the White House in 2008. The idea of change is in the air. Grass-roots Democrats are more enthusiastic than they've been in decades, and are voting in record numbers in primaries and caucuses. Democratic candidates are rolling in money. What this means is unmistakable: There are legitimate grounds for Republican pessimism.
But Republicans should not despair or feel defeatist about the general election in November. They can win. True, the outcome isn't entirely in their hands. But Republicans can significantly improve their chances of winning by making smart campaign decisions. And events must also go their way, just as they did for John McCain, now the presumptive Republican presidential nominee.
[Assessing the GOP's Chances]
Let's start with what Republicans need to retain the presidency. Mr. McCain has the biggest role, but other Republicans must help, including President Bush.
- Independent voters. Conservatives unhappy over Mr. McCain's emergence as the Republican nominee have gotten lavish media coverage. But while they love to grumble and grouse, conservatives tend to be loyal Republicans who wind up voting for their party's candidates.
It was the defection of independents, not conservatives, that caused the Democratic landslide in the congressional elections in 2006. Their preference for Democrats jumped to 57% in 2006 from 49% in 2004. Mr. McCain must win many of them back, since independents constitute roughly one-third of the overall electorate.
Mr. McCain is well-positioned to do this, but it won't be easy. What independents like about Mr. McCain -- his maverick style and willingness to deal with Democrats -- is exactly what infuriates conservatives. He must walk a fine line, emphasizing issues like spending cuts and entitlement reform that appeal to both independents and conservatives.
- A volunteer army. Mr. McCain needs one at least as large and powerful as President Bush's was in 2004. Against all odds, Mr. Bush's army of over more than two million volunteers overwhelmed the aggressive, well-financed Democratic effort to drive up voter turnout.
But 2008 is different story. Democrats relied on paid workers in 2004 and can do the same this year so long as rich liberals like George Soros are willing to foot the bill again. The Bush volunteers were motivated by a strong commitment to the president -- a commitment that doesn't extend to Mr. McCain. He'll have to recruit his own army, perhaps by enlisting veterans.
- The right vice president. If elected, John McCain will be 72 when he takes office. (Ronald Reagan was a mere 69 on his first inauguration.) For obvious reasons, this makes Mr. McCain's choice of a vice presidential running mate all the more important.
His pick must not only be credible as a possible president, but also someone viewed by Republicans as a successor should Mr. McCain decide to serve only one term. And that's not all. His running mate must connect with economic and foreign policy conservatives -- and especially with social conservatives. In all likelihood, Mr. McCain will concentrate on attracting independents and downplay issues such as abortion and gay rights. Social conservatives, for whom these issues are crucial, will need a champion.
- President Bush. Given his unpopularity, Republicans don't want the election to be a referendum on the Bush administration. In fact, one of former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush's reasons for staying out of the 2008 race is to prevent Democrats, just because a Bush is on the ticket, from doing exactly that.
But the president does have an important campaign role. On national security issues, he speaks with considerable authority and with a big megaphone. And there are bound to be opportunities for him to criticize or correct the Democratic nominee on the war on terrorism, terrorist surveillance, Iran, Iraq and the surge, Russia, and much else. The trick will be for Mr. Bush to pick his spots wisely (and infrequently) and not overplay his hand.
Now let's turn to matters that neither Mr. McCain nor Republicans can control. But if they break Mr. McCain's way, he'll have a better chance of becoming America's 44th president.
- Iraq. Even on its worst days, the war was backed by a majority of Republicans, a few independents, and practically no Democrats. The success of the surge of additional troops and the counterinsurgency strategy pursued by Gen. David Petraeus has changed that, at least marginally. Republican support is up, independents are increasingly favorable, and Democrats remain solidly anti-war.
Iraq won't be a good Republican issue in 2008. But if it's a wash, Democrats will lose an issue that spurred their victory in 2006. And a wash is quite possible. Further gains on the ground in Iraq are likely, though hardly guaranteed. American and Iraqi troops have routed al Qaeda, pacified most of Baghdad, and have embarked on securing Mosul, the last urban enclave of insurgents and al Qaeda terrorists.
On the other hand, the Iraqi government of Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki has been painfully slow to act. So Democrats argue that despite the surge's success, a troop pullout is necessary because the Maliki government hasn't brought about reconciliation of Shiites and Sunnis. Mr. McCain needs Mr. Maliki to move faster on reconciliation.
- Recession. The good news for Republicans is that few predicted recessions actually occur. A recession would make economic security a bigger issue than economic growth, thus aiding Democrats. That may be illogical, but it's true. A recession has the potential for killing any chance of electing Mr. McCain and retaining a Republican presidency. Mr. McCain should pray for no recession.
- Democratic ham-handedness. Aside from the surge, the best thing that happened for Republicans in 2007 was the performance of congressional Democrats. They were hyper-partisan, yet unsuccessful in achieving anything of lasting importance. This didn't improve Republican popularity, but it did drive down Democratic favorability. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi appears to have figured out what Democrats were doing wrong. Fortunately for Republicans, Senate Democratic Leader Harry Reid doesn't have a clue. The more ham-handed Democrats are, the better for Republicans in 2008.
- Hillary Clinton. No Democratic presidential candidate would be a pushover in 2008, save Dennis Kucinich. But the conventional wisdom in the political community is correct in regarding Mrs. Clinton as an easier opponent for Mr. McCain than Barack Obama. Half of America already dislikes her. That's a pretty good starting point for a winning Republican campaign.
Of course, Mr. McCain and Republicans can't affect the outcome of the Democratic race. Then again, Mr. McCain has a lucky streak going. Things had to break his way, opponents had to flop, the surge had to work, and earned media had to trump paid media for him to get this far. Maybe his luck will hold. Winning the White House may depend on it.
Mr. Barnes is executive editor of the Weekly Standard and a commentator on Fox News Channel.
acharya
Posted 14 February 2008 - 05:46 AM
Matt Zalaznick
Vail, CO Colorado
February 13, 2008
When we tire of hearing how crummy our economy is and the Democrats pick their historic nominee, John McCain and his Republican Party’s hopes of hanging onto the White House are going to get walloped.
By their own war.
War?
Oh yeah — the war, or wars.
There are two underway right now, remember? And who knows? Maybe Halliburton, expecting lean years during the coming Democratic administration, will demand another slew of reconstruction contracts. Maybe W. will start one more military fiasco — in Iran? North Korea? China? Aruba? — before history spits him out in Crawford.
And even though W. has demolished his party’s reputation for fiscal responsibility, the Republicans — and Hillary, too — should be thanking their lucky stars for the so-called subprime mortgage crisis and the recession that’s supposedly just over the horizon.
Our national depression has been redirected from bloodshed to financial anxieties that, though they’re a lot closer to home, are not as a scary as murder and mayhem and suicide bombers and religious fanaticism and intractable ethnic hatred.
But Iraq will be back, and if the Democrats aren’t a bunch of morons, they’ll nominate the candidate who has a clear record against a war that’s so unpopular most of us have just stopped talking about its tremendous cost and horrible repercussions.
So security’s a little tighter in Baghdad and death is down. Mission accomplished! A country that was not a threat has been pulverized into a slightly bigger threat. The nukes Saddam was never going to launch at us (because he didn’t have them) have been replaced by tens of thousands of civilian casualties and terrorists who are eager to kill our troops.
A new generation of Arab children, rather than pledging allegiance to the flag of the United States of America, have been given a reason to despise Uncle Sam.
This fiasco has had McCain’s unflagging support. Hillary’s position has been at times calculating, at times Kerryesque. Obama, on the other hand, pretty much told us what was going to happen before it happened.
After eight years of Rambo foreign policy, Americans deserve someone in the White House who isn’t going to be as shocked and awed as W. was by cool explosions and embedded correspondents reporting hysterically from military convoys on how thick the dust is in the desert.
But perhaps Republicans shouldn’t kick themselves over the war. Their president will be leaving so many other failures behind that the GOP won’t be able to say, “Gee, if we’d just gotten the war right we might still be in charge.”
The GOP can look back on two-terms-worth of aiding and abetting and enabling the disaster that was George W. Bush. Instead of Karl Rove’s 1,000-year Republican Reich, the GOP can blame its demise on not improving education, not improving the economy; not showing any leadership on the environment or health care or civil rights or gay rights; for trying to solve social problems like teen pregnancy with unrealistic, 1950s ideas like celibacy.
Republicans can blame their collapse on devaluing American life by co-opting the barbaric, intolerant values of the religious right; and for then demoralizing the nation with Larry Craig’s, David Vitters’, Bob Ney’s, Duke Cunningham’s, Scooter Libby’s and Mark Foley’s inability to live up to GOP’s own strict moral code.
Republicans can blame their fade into irrelevancy on letting W. and thugs like Rudy Giuliani and Darth Cheney use 9/11 as a political sledgehammer to scare America into stupidity while they pillaged and plundered from the Potomac to Pyongyang.
And on top of all that, we’re no closer to Mars today than we were when, in 2004, W. vowed to put an American on the red planet. But perhaps that was just symbolic — W.’s been in outer space for most of his presidency.
Assistant Managing Editor Matt Zalaznick can be reached at 748-2926, or mzalaznick@vaildaily.com.
acharya
Posted 14 February 2008 - 10:59 AM
CAPITAL JOURNAL
By GERALD SEIB
Time to Look Ahead in Iraq
February 12, 2008; Page A2
Finally, the right kind of campaign debate over Iraq is beginning.
That is to say, the debate has turned toward where the U.S. is going in Iraq, rather than where it has been. The catalyst for the change has been the emergence of Sen. John McCain as the presumptive Republican nominee for president.
Until now, for a campaign in which the word "Iraq" has been used so often, the conversation surrounding that word has been distressingly backward-looking. Among Democrats, the questions were who opposed the war, and when, and by how much. Among Republicans the questions were who supported the war, and who embraced the troop surge, and by how much.
Now, though, the Iraq debate is taking the shape it will have in the general election. To step back from campaign rhetoric for a moment, the country faces three sets of decisions on Iraq: near-term, medium-term and long-term. The near-term ones will have to be made by President Bush in his remaining time in office. The medium-term and long-term ones will face the next president, whoever that might be, and they are the real subjects to discuss.
DISCUSS
[Go to forum]
How much longer do you think a significant number of U.S. troops will remain in Iraq? Share your thoughts.
The main near-term decision is whether to have another set of troop withdrawals starting this summer, continuing the modest drawdown now under way. That's President Bush's call, and just yesterday, it became clear that neither a decision nor further withdrawals will come as fast as some expected.
At the moment, five of the 20 American brigades now in Iraq are being taken out. Defense Secretary Robert Gates, on a visit to Iraq yesterday, endorsed a "pause" this summer before deciding whether to take out additional American troops. Gen. David Petraeus, the top American commander, has been advocating such a pause after the initial five brigades leave before deciding whether to shrink the American force further. Now Mr. Gates has sided with him on that plan.
Gen. Petraeus is due in Washington in April to discuss next steps with President Bush, and it now appears it will be late summer or, more likely, the fall before Mr. Bush makes his last big tactical decision on Iraq, which is whether to take American troop strength down another notch starting late this year.
However that decision comes out, it's clear that the next president will inherit more than 100,000 American troops in Iraq, which will bring the new commander in chief face-to-face with the medium-term decisions.
The most obvious of those decisions is determining how low American troop levels should go in 2009. That will be a huge decision, but hardly the only one. Equally tricky will be the medium-term decision about what shape and role the American force assumes in 2009.
Does it remain largely dispersed in Baghdad's outlying neighborhoods and cities around in the country, doing the work of stabilization at the grass roots? Do American troops dramatically reduce their presence on daily patrols and turn them over largely to Iraqis? Or do American troops begin to pull back into bases and move out from there only when they are needed to help Iraqi forces quell violence?
More fundamentally, does the U.S. military mission begin to evolve away from front-line engagement at all and toward training Iraqi troops? Alternately, do American forces become a kind of antiterrorism strike force designed to fight al Qaeda in Iraq, while leaving domestic insurgents to the Iraqis?
The more profound questions are the long-term ones. Regardless of how things evolve in a new president's first year, the U.S. needs to decide what its lasting role should be in Iraq. Is Iraq to be a permanent American military outpost, and will American troops need to be on hand in some fashion to help defend Iraq's borders for a decade or more, as some Iraqi officials themselves have suggested? Will the U.S. see Iraq more broadly as a base for exerting American political and diplomatic influence in the broader Middle East, or is that a mistake? Is it better to have American troops just over the horizon, in Kuwait or ships in the Persian Gulf?
Driving these military considerations is the political question of what kind of government the U.S. can accept in Iraq. Creating and stabilizing a multiethnic democracy with a strong central government may take longer than simply accepting a balkanized nation with a weak central government and independent ethnic enclaves separated from one another.
In its early stages, even this new phase of the Iraq debate is taking on cartoon-like characteristics, as the two sides shape it for political advantage. Republicans are pretending that either Sen. Hillary Clinton or Sen. Barack Obama would cut and run in Iraq. That isn't really correct. Sen. Obama has endorsed a harder deadline for getting combat troops out of Iraq -- 16 months -- than has Sen. Clinton. But both favor leaving what he calls a "residual force" in the region to maintain Iraqi stability. The issue is how big that force will be, and what exact assignment it will be given.
Democrats are pretending that Sen. McCain wants U.S. troops to stay in Iraq for a century to come. The assertion is based largely on an offhand remark Sen. McCain made in New Hampshire in early January. A voter noted that President Bush said the U.S. might be in Iraq for 50 years to come. Sen. McCain shot back, "Make it a hundred," but followed with a more sober explanation that he wouldn't mind the kind of stabilizing, long-term military commitment the U.S. has made to South Korea and Japan provided American forces weren't taking casualties.
So both sides are stretching a bit -- but at least they're joining the right issue.
Write to Gerald Seib at jerry.seib@wsj.com
acharya
Posted 14 February 2008 - 11:04 AM
By GERALD F. SEIB
Evangelical Power Revives
January 4, 2008; Page A8
So much for the idea that evangelical Christians are a dispirited and declining force in the Republican party.
Last night they showed up in force -- in stunning force, actually -- in Iowa's caucuses. They were the power that made a winner of former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee. And they now pose a challenge for Mitt Romney, Rudy Giuliani and John McCain -- for every other serious contender, in other words.
Some six in 10 Republican caucus-goers described themselves as born-again or evangelical Christians, entrance polls showed. Almost half of them voted for Mr. Huckabee. Just two in 10 voted for former Massachusetts Gov. Romney. In a very real sense, evangelical voters, as much as Mr. Huckabee, won Iowa's caucuses on the Republican side.
Evangelicals probably have had an outsize impact in Iowa. It is a state with a strong streak of Christian conservative activism, and support from such a committed group matters more in a caucus state, where turnout is lower and the impact of those who are organized and resolved to turn out on a subfreezing night is greater than in states with primary elections.
Still, the Iowa results suggest that evangelicals, and Christian conservatives more broadly, retain the same kind of potency they have held for the past two decades in Republican politics. "Values voters spoke loudly tonight in Iowa through Gov. Huckabee's candidacy," said Greg Mueller, a conservative Republican activist who is neutral in the race.
The question is whether those "values voters" will be available to other candidates as the primary calendar now unfolds.
The answer for now is yes. Iowa isn't the entire country, the evangelical movement's priorities are changing, and evangelicals and Christian conservatives more broadly already have shown that they are hardly moving in lock step this year. But the opportunity for other candidates to tap into their power may be limited. The longer Mr. Huckabee looks like a legitimate candidate, the greater his opportunity to lock up the power of evangelicals.
At a minimum, the Iowa results change the conventional wisdom about the power of Christian conservatives in 2008. With no obvious Christian conservative darling among the early leading candidates, the predictions of their demise as a power were widely disseminated: Conservative Christians were too dispirited to get engaged, they might sit on their hands, they might even look for a third-party candidate of their own.
The movement's old leadership, which looked as tired and confused as the conventional wisdom suggested, splintered. Pat Robertson stunned some in the movement by endorsing Mr. Giuliani, despite his three marriages and support for abortion rights. Paul Weyrich and Bob Jones III, both leaders among Christian conservatives, endorsed Mr. Romney, a Mormon. Sen. Sam Brownback, a Christian conservative favorite, endorsed Sen. McCain after his own candidacy flamed out.
And when former Sen. Fred Thompson entered the race, much of the punditry world figured he would be the man to consolidate conservative Christian support.
But what happened in Iowa was that the foot soldiers moved out on their own, without regard to where their leaders were heading. They singled out Mr. Huckabee, and turned him from afterthought to front-runner.
And in so doing, they have changed the character of the Republican contest from here on out. But the point is that the conservative Christian vote is important, not that it is locked up.
The Christian conservative vote is evolving. No longer is it fixated on two issues -- abortion and gay rights. Younger evangelicals are more inclined to worry about global warming, about poverty. Their willingness to consider support for Mr. Giuliani suggests a deep concern about Islamist extremism and terrorism.
Mr. Huckabee succeeded in Iowa in part because he tapped into this new and broader evangelical thinking. "He's more in line with where I think a lot of the more conservative evangelicals are, which is that they care about a lot more than a few issues," says Mara Vanderslice, a Democratic religious activist who has closely followed evangelical thinking.
There are some in the movement who aren't entirely thrilled with the Huckabee candidacy. Pete Wehner, a former Bush aide and Christian activist, wrote in the Washington Post just a few days ago that Mr. Huckabee "is edging close" to being too crass in using his religious beliefs in pursuit of votes in recent weeks.
The task now -- for Messrs. McCain, Giuliani and Romney -- is to tap into the power of Christian conservatism, and soon. Last night, the National Association of Evangelicals Web site featured a summary of a recent survey it did of the group's top leaders, which praised Mr. Huckabee but added: "There is no groundswell support for any Republican or Democratic candidate. Huckabee is a clear first choice but there is concern that he is too far behind in the polls to catch up. If he does well in the Iowa caucuses or early primaries then evangelicals may suddenly rally to his support."
He now has done well, fabulously well, in Iowa. The race for that evangelical support is now under way in full force.
Write to Gerald F. Seib at jerry.seib@wsj.com
dhu
Posted 15 February 2008 - 04:07 AM
http://www.youtube.c...h?v=Yfip0k2Oit8 (Part 1)
http://www.youtube.c...h?v=MvozpwYKuJs (Part 2)
http://www.youtube.c...h?v=nu_t9UkLobA (Part 3)
Mudy
Posted 15 February 2008 - 04:14 AM
This is scary, we know how much Brzienzki loves Pakistan and hate India.
His Carter era messed-up whole world and we are still seeing results.
Obama whole campaign is run by Rockfeller , yale secret
I found this
Is Skull And Bones Member
Austan 'The Ghoul' Goolsbee, Yale '91
By Webster Tarpley
2-4-8
OBAMA'S TRIFECTA: FOREIGN POLICY LINE IS RUN BY TRILATERAL FOUNDER ZBIGNIEW BRZEZINSKI -OBAMA''S WIFE LINKED TO COUNCIL ON FOREIGN RELATIONS
WASHINGTON DC -- Barack Obama's top economics adviser is a member of the super-secret Skull & Bones society of Yale University, of which George H.W. Bush, George W. Bush, and John Kerry are also members, reliable sources confirmed tonight. Goolsbee is widely reported to have told Obama not to back a compulsory freeze on home mortgage foreclosures to help the struggling middle class in the current depression crisis, as demanded by former candidate John Edwards. Hillary Clinton has advocated a one-year voluntary freeze on foreclosures. Obama has offered counselors to comfort mortgage victims as they are dispossessed, citing the 'moral hazard' of protecting the public interest from Wall Street sharks.
By adding the infamous Skull & Bones secret society to his campaign roster, Obama, who bills himself as the candidate of change and hope, has attained a prefect trifecta of oligarchical and financier establishment backing for his attempt to seize the nomination of the Democratic Party for 2008. Obama's main overall image adviser and foreign policy adviser is Zbigniew Brzezinski, the co-founder of David Rockefeller's Trilateral Commission, and the mastermind of the disastrous Carter administration. Obama's wife Michelle is reputed to be closely linked to the Council on Foreign Relations. Behind the utopian platitudes dished up by the Illinois senator, the face of the Wall Street money elite comes into clearer and clearer focus.
George Will, in an October 2007 Washington Post column saluted Goolsbee's "nuanced understanding" of traditional Democratic issues like globalization and income inequality; he "seems to be the sort of fellow -- amiable, empirical, and reasonable--you would want at the elbow of a Democratic president, if such there must be," wrote the arch-oligarchical apologist Will.
From Wikipedia: 'Austan D. Goolsbee is an economist and is currently the Robert P. Gwinn Professor of Economics at the University of Chicago Graduate School of Business. He is also a Research Fellow at the American Bar Foundation[1], Research Associate at the National Bureau of Economic Research in Cambridge, Massachusetts, and a member of the Panel of Economic Advisors to the Congressional Budget Office. He has been Barack Obama's economic advisor since Obama's successful U.S. Senate campaign in Illinois. He is the lead economic advisor to the 2008 Obama presidential campaign.'
ramana
Posted 15 February 2008 - 04:57 AM
Mudy
Posted 15 February 2008 - 05:03 AM
Media is making him as President, Rep machine is not yet out.
Mudy
Posted 15 February 2008 - 05:13 AM
Mudy
Posted 15 February 2008 - 05:15 AM
Here goes Black democrats vote.
She is black and woman, what a master stroke.
rajesh_g
Posted 15 February 2008 - 07:16 AM
dhu
Posted 15 February 2008 - 09:56 AM
Mudy
Posted 15 February 2008 - 11:36 AM
Some black superdelegates reassess Clinton support
Now this is black and white race, by nov this will solidfy.
acharya
Posted 16 February 2008 - 12:23 AM
Immaculate Blackness
By Laurent Tran Van Lieu
Translated by Rami Assadi
February 13, 2008
France - Liberation - Original Article (French)
Barack Obama is going to win the next presidential election because he is not black.
Barack Obama isn’t black? No: and it is not because his mother is “as white as milk” in accordance with the “proper” description of the candidate. The reason that Barack Obama is not representative of black America is because his father is Kenyan.
This is true by the way. One does not say “black,” one says “African American.” And truly, black Americans are not “African” except through a long ago memory of their origin which passed from them by way of the original American sin of slavery.
Barack Obama does not embody this original sin. He is not the creditor of any centuries old guilty conscience. And he makes a point to not give any ethnic character to his candidacy so that the color of his skin does not slow the rallying toward him of not just the grand majority of African American voters (a black man is for the first time in a position to occupy the oval office!) but likewise large chunks of other prominent voting blocks. Beyond his intrinsic qualities, Barack Obama symbolizes a changing diversity, doing so without the for now dormant, but ever-present large American racial conflicts. [One gets] the good conscience without the guilt.
At a time when the president of our [French] Republic proposes to write the respect of [other people’s] diversity into the preamble of the [French] constitution, what significance does the case of Barack Obama have for us?
Mudy
Posted 16 February 2008 - 12:37 AM
acharya
Posted 16 February 2008 - 12:48 AM
'I Have a Long Record of Working Together with Our Allies'
In an exclusive SPIEGEL interview, Republican presidential candidate John McCain, 71, discusses European-American relations, Germany's role in Afghanistan, how he would close Guantanamo and the conditions he would place on a global agreement on climate protection.
Presidential hopeful John McCain (on Super Tuesday in New York): "Every nation has the right to defend itself."
AFP
Presidential hopeful John McCain (on Super Tuesday in New York): "Every nation has the right to defend itself."
SPIEGEL: Senator McCain, Europe is reserving a lot of hope for the next president of the United States. Will you try to win back trust in America around the world?
McCain: I know most of the leaders in Europe and other parts of the world and I have a long record of my positions and my ability to work together with our allies. I think I will start out with a level of credibility.
SPIEGEL: America has lost a lot of friends because President George W. Bush angered, indeed outraged, them. He allowed human rights to be violated at Guantanamo Bay, and he dismissed the joint effort to combat global warming. Under a President McCain, could we expect a change of course?
McCain: Yes. I would announce that we are not ever going to torture anyone held in American custody. I would announce that we were closing Guantanamo Bay and moving those prisoners to Fort Leavenworth, Kansas, and I would announce a commitment to addressing climate change and my dedication to a global agreement -- but it has to include India and China.
SPIEGEL: So is America coming back to renegotiate the Kyoto Protocol?
McCain: I believe America is going to enter into negotiations to try to reach a global agreement. But, as I said, that agreement must include India and China, two of the emerging economies of the world. We would be foolish not to do so.
SPIEGEL: Will America attempt to go it alone less frequently in the future?
McCAIN: Well, we all hope that America will be multilateral again in the future. There were times when the United States acted unilaterally, but I think we would all prefer to work in concert with our friends and allies.
SPIEGEL: What role will the United Nations play? Bush always ignored the UN.
McCain: The United Nations always plays an important role. But right now we are having to deal with a Russia that is clearly intent on blocking action. That's why the UN must act in a league of democracies that share our values and our common principles.
SPIEGEL: Should Germany play a more important role around the world and obtain a permanent seat on the Security Council, for example?
McCain: Germany does play a very influential role around the world, and I value the relationship that we have shared for many, many generations. I believe Germany will continue to play a very influential and important role in the world.
SPIEGEL: What is your impression of German Chancellor Angela Merkel? Have you had the opportunity to have a longer conversation with her?
McCain: I have known her for many years and gone to the Munich Conference on Security every year. In fact, I had to miss that conference this weekend for the first time in many years because of the campaign. I have had excellent relations with her as I have had with other German leaders from both major parties.
SPIEGEL: Everyone is concerned about Afghanistan right now. Do you think that the Germans should be getting more deeply involved in Afghanistan?
McCain: We need more Germans in Afghanistan. There is a great deal at stake -- for all of Europe and the US -- including the export of the poppy crop products into Europe as well as the threat to stability in entire the region.
SPIEGEL: The United States is fighting against the Taliban in southern Afghanistan. Do you expect greater support from the German military there?
McCain: I would like to see more German participation obviously, but those decisions are made by the German government and people.
SPIEGEL: Would you like to see Germany reduce trade with Iran?
McCain: I think we have to punish Iran to force them to abandon their current course.
Viren
Posted 16 February 2008 - 12:56 AM
Announcing Rice as his VP will surely have party conservatives, neo-cons and hawks out there with pitchforks. I doubt McCain will pick up anyone other than far right Christian fundamentalist as his VP candidate. 'Straight talk-express' has become a 'winer mobile' - did anyone notice how he's now voted for torture after being against it all his life?
Mudy
Posted 16 February 2008 - 03:12 AM
rajesh_g
Posted 16 February 2008 - 05:08 AM
Then look at Ohio, which votes March 4. Here Quinnipiac shows Clinton ahead 55 to 34 percent. Whites back Clinton 64 to 28; blacks back Obama 64 to 17. Ohio's population is 11 percent black. Quinnipiac's Peter Brown (whom veterans of the campaign trail will remember as a first-rate reporter) explains why Clinton seems to be doing so well in Ohio (and, by implication, demographically similar Pennsylvania) after losing eight straight contests:
Quinnipiac's result is similar to two other recent Ohio polls. Rasmussen has Clinton ahead 51 to 37 percent; SurveyUSA has her ahead 56 to 39 percent. The only Ohio poll taken in January, by the Columbus Dispatch, showed Clinton ahead of Obama 42 to 19 percent. Obama has apparently made gains since then. But so has Clinton.
In the other big state that votes March 4, Texas, it seems that there has been no public poll since last April(!). Texas's population is 12 percent black and 32 percent Hispanic, so we can expect the Democratic primary electorate there to be about 20 percent black and perhaps 15 to 20 percent Hispanic.
One primary Penn did not stress in his memo was Wisconsin. The Clinton campaign line has been that the post-Super Tuesday February contests are all dismal ground for their candidates. But the Wisconsin polling data tell a different story. Scott Rasmussen shows Obama leading Clinton by only 47 to 43 percent. This is similar to Strategic Vision's Wisconsin survey, which shows Obama ahead 45 to 41 percent. Wisconsin's population is 6 percent black and 3 percent Hispanic.
How can Clinton be doing so much better here than she did in Maryland and Virginia? One reason is that there are smaller percentages of black voters in these states. Another, probably more important, reason is that the white Democratic primary voters are different. In Maryland and Virginia, they tended to be quite upscale and on the young side, especially in the big suburban counties outside Washington, D.C. In Wisconsin, Ohio, and Pennsylvania, they're much more downscale. At a time when Clinton and Obama are essentially tied in national polls, it stands to reason that if Obama is ahead in states like Maryland and Virginia, Clinton will be ahead in Wisconsin, Ohio, and Pennsylvania.
Texas is another, interesting story. Texas doesn't have party registration, and, historically, huge numbers of white voters participated in the state's Democratic presidential primary—1.3 million in 1980, 1.8 million in 1988, 1.5 million in 1992. That number plunged downward to 786,000 in 2000 and 839,000 in 2004, even though the state's population grew from 14 million in 1980 to 22 million in 2004. The obvious conclusion: An awful lot of white Texans began voting in the Republican primary again. This year's Texas Democratic primary could turn out to be largely a battle of minorities, with blacks voting heavily for Obama and Latinos, as in most other states so far, heavily for Clinton. In this battle Obama will undoubtedly have an organizational advantage, both because his campaign— unlike hers— has done organizational work in the post-Super Tuesday states and because of the strength of pre-existing black turnout organizations. As for white Democratic primary voters, upscale Texans still tend to be heavily Republican, though a little less so than 15 or 20 years ago—very much contrary to the pattern in Northern Virginia and Montgomery County, Md. White downscale voters in southern states have generally gone for Clinton, but not by overwhelming margins. Of the four states we've looked at here, Texas appears the most problematic for Clinton, though she's on far stronger ground there than in the already concluded post-Super Tuesday contests.
acharya
Posted 16 February 2008 - 11:41 PM
10 Feb 2008, 0039 hrs IST,Chidanand Rajghatta,TNN
Be it Obama or Hillary, either way, a Democrat Prez this year will truly break the mold (TOI Photo)
For a man who was once dubbed "the best President the United States never had," Adlai Stevenson came up with one of the most deliciously ironic quotes about the highest office in the United States. "In America anyone can be President; that's one of the risks you take," he once said in mock self-deprecation. A twice Democratic nominee for the Presidency in the 1950s, Stevenson's intellectual vim and sparkling wit won him a legion of admirers, but not the ultimate prize in US politics.
At a public meeting during his campaign, Stevenson was once greeted with a cry from a man in the audience who said he would get the vote of every thinking man in America. "Thank you, but I need a majority," Stevenson responded dryly. Mocked by the media and his opponents for wearing a worn-out shoe with a hole in it during the campaign, he sardonically said, "Rather a hole in the shoe than a hole in head." In 1952, Richard Nixon called him as an "egghead," a sobriquet he carried with quiet pride and dignity as he paled into the political twilight as the US envoy to UN.
Decades later, the myth that "anyone can be the president of the United States" continues to be perpetuated ("That's the problem," the comic George Carlin quipped, adding to the make-believe). The truth is, there has been a pattern to the US Presidency going back 232 years. You have to be white, male, and wealthy to make it to the White House, going by the metronomic regularity with which the world's "greatest" democracy has elected 43 presidents of similar pedigree.
Stevenson, despite being arguably the brightest man to run for presidency till Al Gore went for it, would have also fitted the mold. Any other type of candidate, until now, would have been in the realm of fiction. Indeed, the writer Irving Wallace did fictionalize the scenario in his 1960s book The Man, in which Douglass Dilman, a young black politician, is accidentally pitched into the Presidency. But more of that, and how it has come to near-realisation, a little later.
In contrast to the political monoculture that has given the United States 43 white, male presidents in 232 years, it is in India, one of the world's younger democracies, that the truth of the statement anyone can go on to the highest office in the land is being realized all the time. Consider this: in only 60 years and with 14 Prime Ministers, India has already elected a staggering variety of chief executives - from a Kashmiri Pandit to a Punjabi Sikh, India has seen a UP Thakur and Jat, an Andhra Brahmin, a Punjabi Khatri, a Karnataka Gowda, and a half-Parsi, half-Brahmin pilot, among others at the helm.
It has even elected a widow, a widower, and a bachelor among its 14 PMs (the US in contrast, counts only one bachelor among 43 presidents). Counting both domicile and birthplace, India's 14 PMs span nine of India's now 28 states - Kashmir, Punjab, Uttar Pradesh, Karnataka, Maharashtra (Rajiv Gandhi was born in Mumbai), Gujarat, Andhra Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh and Assam - including two who were born in what is now Pakistan's West Punjab (I K Gujral in Jhelum and Manmohan Singh in Gah).
What's more, this dharma of diversity is set to expand wider in the coming years with the prospect of a single Dalit woman from UP, a young modernist Indian who's half-Italian, and an ultranationalistic Gujarati bachelor among others lining up for the highest office in the land. Truly, it is in India that anyone can go on to be the Prime Minister.
In contrast, the American political system has seldom departed from the mold of electing male White Anglo Saxon Protestants (WASPs) to the aptly-named White House. John F Kennedy's election in 1960 was considered a minor exception (he was a Catholic), while Bill Clinton is nominally considered by some as the "first Black president" because of his empathy for African-Americans. But it was not until 1984 that a woman came anywhere near presidency (when Geraldine Ferraro was the Democratic vice-presidential nominee) and it was not until 2004 that a Jew (Joe Liebermann, Democrat-now-turned Republican-leaning Independent) was on the ticket.
Of course, Americans are fed plenty of arresting presidential trivia to suggest that a great variety have occupied the White House. The US has elected a range of presidents, from one who was completely polio-stricken (Franklin Roosevelt) to another who was a fashion model (Gerald Ford) and another who was an actor (Ronald Reagan). There have been large presidents (at 332 lbs, President Taft once got stuck in a bathtub) and small presidents (James Madison was a Shastri-esque 5' 4" and weighed only 100 lbs). There have been Presidents who were loquacious (none more than Bill Clinton) and Presidents who were taciturn (a woman once bet President Coolidge she could get more than two words out of him. "You lose," he responded.)
But in the end, they all responded to the same basic description - White Male.
Now, after 232 years, the United States - at least one political half of it - has come within sniffing distance of truly breaking the mold. Whether the Democrats nominate Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama as their candidate for the White House, history will be made, and even greater history (getting to the White House itself) attempted. If anything, fact will follow fiction, and it's not just by way of Irving Wallace's The Man, a book written in the 1960s when the idea of a black president was truly in the realm of the fantastic. In recent years, there have been a number of films and TV serials that has portrayed black presidents - Chris Rock in Head of State, Morgan Freeman in Deep Impact, Tommy Lister in The Fifth Element and a couple of actors in the TV series '24'. They have been fewer showing women in the presidential role - Meryl Streep is set to play a President in a forthcoming comedy with Robert DeNiro playing "First Man."
But if and when it happens in real life, the US would still be behind the curve with regard to India in at least one aspect - diversity in high office.
chidanand.rajghatta@timesgroup.com
acharya
Posted 16 February 2008 - 11:44 PM
Font:
WEST WING
With Enemies Like McCain's, Who Needs Friends?
By Gabor Steingart in Washington D.C.
It wasn't that long ago that Senator John McCain's candidacy seemed dead in the water. Now, though, the Republican senator from Arizona is getting support from all sides -- including from the Democrats.
Individuals hardly ever find success completely on their own. One needs the right friends and -- at least as important -- the right enemies. John McCain has both.
In the first category, McCain, the 71-year-old Senator from Arizona, can rely on Henry Kissinger. The former secretary of state and national security advisor under Presidents Richard Nixon and Gerald Ford is something of a wise old godfather for the Republican party -- and he threw his weight behind McCain well before his poll numbers began climbing into respectability.
Arizona Senator John McCain is getting help from friends and foes alike.
AP
Arizona Senator John McCain is getting help from friends and foes alike.
It was a time when hardly anyone was willing to even donate a single dollar to the McCain campaign. The phrase "No Surrender" was plastered on his campaign bus. It was supposed to refer to the fight against radical Islam, but it could just as easily have been the defiant credo guiding McCain, the Vietnam veteran-turned-politician.
Kissinger promotes his friend without pause. During an interview with Kissinger in his New York office on Monday, the éminence grise of US foreign policy had nothing but good things to say about McCain. Even off the record, Kissinger didn't shy away from praising the Arizona Senator -- the kind of tone one seldom hears within a political party. There is no one better for the job of president, Kissinger insisted.
INTERACTIVE PRIMARY RESULTS
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America Votes 2008: The Primaries at a Glance
Appealing to America's Political Center
But Kissinger has more than just praise to offer. His voice remains an influential one in conservative America and when he hosts a fundraiser, the guests often open up their wallets before the main course is served. McCain's war chest was depleted last summer but is now overflowing.
Money, though, is only one side of the equation -- when it comes to getting votes, McCain's enemies may be at least as helpful, including those from his own party. When those on the right wing of the party question his conservative credentials and complain about his defiance of Republican positions on such issues as global warming, it makes him more appealing than ever to America's political center.
The list of issues where McCain's deviance from party orthodoxy may help him in a general election is long. Some Republicans accuse him of being faint-hearted because he wants to close down the prison at Guantanamo and rejects torture as an interrogation method. But it's a position which makes him all the more attractive to millions of voters. Other Republicans blast McCain for voting against the tax cuts pushed through by the Bush Administration. But his reasoning for doing so -- a desire to avoid skyrocketing American debt -- has been accepted by many.
The Dispassionate Conservative
In short, whether the Republicans like it or not, their candidate does not -- in contrast to the Republican candidates who have fallen by the wayside -- blindly follow the party line. He is a conservative, but not a Cold Warrior. He is old, but not old-fashioned. This is a candidate who thinks for himself.
But perhaps McCain's most valuable support comes from the left side of America's political spectrum -- from Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama. The two candidates for the Democratic presidential nomination continue to battle it out in their neck-and-neck race. Indeed, the race has the potential for extending well into the summer -- a prospect that brings tears of joy to the eyes of the Republicans.
Neither of the two Democrats has had much luck attracting voters away from each other. Obama has failed to make inroads among Clinton supporters she has likewise found little success luring his followers to her cause. But however the contest ends, the wounds are likely to stick around for a while -- no matter how often Democrats insist they will heal immediately.
An Obama victory over Hillary and Bill would hit the Clintons' far-reaching network hard, and they might prove immune to an Obama charm offensive. In Hillaryland reside those who prefer the solid and the substantive. They want Realpolitik and are not interested in the polit-movement Obama has to offer. The Clinton camp wants to be governed, not inspired.
It is not out of the realm of possibility that a number of Clinton supporters -- those for whom experience is an important consideration -- transfer their support to McCain should Obama eventually win the nomination. At the very least, they will listen to McCain. His promises, after all -- experience, realism, readiness to govern from day one -- sound a lot like hers.
Friends and Foes -- Hand in Hand
Should Hillary come out on top, however, it is difficult to imagine that Barack's supporters will forgive her for torpedoing their dream. She would have to win over an entire army of disappointed Obamists. Indeed, his rise shows something of a dark side. As much as Obama preaches bipartisanship and unity, his followers have developed an intense dislike for Clinton. Their eyes glow when he speaks. But they narrow to tiny slits when she takes the microphone. The togetherness their idol calls for may include everybody, but it doesn't include her.
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Obama's campaign has already motivated a number of young Americans to become involved in politics for the first time. But should he fail, many of them might slink back into the category of non-voters -- a group that is already huge in the US. Almost half of those registered to vote in the US don't cast their ballots in presidential elections.
The beneficiary of this Democratic spat is called John McCain. Eight weeks ago, one could have scoffed at his presidential campaign and pointed to his lack of broad support as a sure sign that he would fail. Now, those propelling his candidacy to success are everywhere to be found -- both his friends and his enemies, hand in hand.
acharya
Posted 16 February 2008 - 11:55 PM
A Nightmare Opponent for the Democrats
By Cordula Meyer in Phoenix, Arizona
It's been an unbelievable comeback. A year ago, you could have pretty much written the obituary for John McCain's 2008 campaign. And now, one day after Super Tuesday, he's firmly at the helm of the Republican ship. His battle, though, hasn't just been with Democrats. Some of his most vicious enemies are part of his own party.
A young supporter holds a sign for Arizona senator and Republican presidential candidate John McCain during a post-Super Tuesday rally in Phoenix.
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AFP
A young supporter holds a sign for Arizona senator and Republican presidential candidate John McCain during a post-Super Tuesday rally in Phoenix.
John McCain's supporters are celebrating like crazy, and their rejoicing is drowning out the loudspeaker announcements. Calm only ensues when the candidate steps up to the microphone for the first time at about 10:30 p.m. local time. But, in the moment of his great victory, he looks reserved. "Tonight, my friends, we have won a number of important victories in the closest thing we have ever had to a national primary," he says, as if he still hasn't even convinced himself yet.
McCain won in the most important states in the Northeast -- New Jersey and New York -- but also in Missouri, Illinois, Oklahoma and, most importantly, in California, which accounts for a fifth of all the delegate votes needed to secure the nomination. "Although I've never minded the role of the underdog ... tonight we must get used to the idea that we are the Republican Party front-runner for the nomination of president of the United States," McCain says, before pausing. He is wan, but he smiles and adds, "And I don't really mind it one bit."
In fact, John McCain's victory was surprisingly clear. His opponent Mitt Romney won a handful of the smaller states, including Massachusetts, where he used to be the governor. Mike Huckabee, the politically gifted Baptist preacher from Arkansas, performed surprisingly well and won in four Southern states, which makes Romney's successes look even feebler.
McCain's victory is an almost unbelievable comeback story. Last summer he was broke, and he couldn't even afford to pay for his campaign bus anymore. He quarreled with his colleagues, and the majority of those who stayed on had to keep on working without a paycheck. At that time, whenever he showed up somewhere, people would look at each other, shake their heads and talk about the tragedy of the headstrong old man, who just didn't know when to give up.
In the end, McCain took out a $3 million (€2 million) loan just to be able to keep his campaign going. Before doing so, though, he was forced to take out another life insurance policy because the bank apparently feared that the 71-year-old man would not survive the campaign.
Now, a good year later, it looks like McCain has locked up the nomination. But he's not celebrating.
Not yet.
He's a superstitious man. Perhaps he fears that victory might still slip through his fingers.
Enemies within His own Party
The Vietnam veteran still has some warm words for his opponents. And then he speaks mostly about "running for the great privilege of leading the party that has been my political home for a quarter-century."
He says even louder those things that should reassure those who fear that he is not really a Republican.
McCain stresses conservative principles. He stresses that he will keep the federal government small and federal spending even smaller. He stresses that the justices on the Supreme Court should apply the law rather than make it.
It is the gesture of a winner, who is extending a hand to the other side. As it is, though, McCain has no more bitter opponents than those on the right-wing of his own party. Right-wing commentators and hosts of the big radio talk shows have joined forces to create a veritable anti-McCain brigade.
For weeks now, right-wing talk show host Rush Limbaugh has agitated against McCain on his program. The closer the Vietnam hero gets to the nomination, the meaner the attacks become. McCain "has stabbed his party in the back so many times," Limbaugh rages. "I can't even say how often." The radio host says that he would prefer to have his party lose the election over having it be led by McCain. "If I believe the country will suffer with either Hillary, Obama or McCain, I would just as soon the Democrats take the hit ... rather than a Republican causing the debacle."
A Thumb in the Eyes of 'True' Conservatives
James Dobson, the head of an arch-conservative Christian group that espouses family values, warned recently on another radio talk show that: "I am convinced Sen. McCain is not a conservative and, in fact, has gone out of his way to stick his thumb in the eyes of those who are."
These right-wing radio programs are very popular. Each week, Limbaugh alone reaches over 13.5 million listeners.
But it's clear that the voters have not listened to the drums beating loudly against McCain. And, instead of transforming Mitt Romney into a kingmaker, it now appears that the influence of the right-wing opinion-makers is smaller than had previously been believed.
Romney tried to take advantage of the boost provided by talk radio, and he declared the election to be a battle for "the direction of the Republican Party." But now the voters have decided in favor of McCain's direction.
The voters evidently want to step back from the slavish obedience to party doctrine that continues to move to the right. Moreover, McCain fits the bill because he presents himself as a man with principals, good judgment and decisiveness.
'I Like the Straight Talk'
As Barack Obama's success also shows, Americans are looking for a leader and not for someone who, like Romney, adapts his beliefs to whichever way the wind blows. "I voted for honesty and integrity," says Mary Dobbins, a retiree from New Hampshire. "Everything else comes after that." That, in a nutshell, is the position of many McCain voters.
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More than anything else, though, this vote was one about character. The voters' beliefs are often at odds with John McCain's, but they put a high value on his character.
"I like the straight talk," says Rick Page, who works in commercial real estate in Illinois. "He just lays it out like it is. Sometimes it doesn't sound great. It's not what you want to hear, but you know what he believes."
This explains what is actually a rather paradoxical situation. America's tanking economy has become one of the most important election issues, but it is not one of McCain's strong suits. Nevertheless, he is still winning because his character outshines everything everything else.
The same holds true when it comes to the war in Iraq. McCain is one of the war's unshakeable advocates, and he only has differences with President George W. Bush when it comes to the question of which strategies are the correct ones. Nevertheless, the former Navy pilot is also currently attacting the votes of Republicans opposed to the war.
On Thursday, McCain will attend a conference of conservatives in Washington in the hopes of dispelling doubts about the legitimacy of his candidacy. It certainly helps that all the surveys say that McCain is the Republican candidate with the best chances of defeating the Democrats in November.
Frank Fahrenkopf, the former chairman of the Republican National Committee, sums up his prospects thusly: "I think he'll be very difficult to stop because of the electability issue. Knowing the party as I know the party, the party doesn't want to lose."
acharya
Posted 17 February 2008 - 12:03 AM
February 13, 2008
Something must give — or will the fight be stopped?
Hillary Clinton
HIllary Clinton has the edge among the so-called super-delegates as a result of a frantic lobbying campaign by her husband
Tom Baldwin in Washington
The Democratic presidential contest is now between an unstoppable force and an immovable object.
Hillary Clinton is retrenching behind what her advisers call “a demographic brick wall” in Ohio and Texas – believing that Barack Obama’s recent momentum will be brought to an abrupt halt next month by the blue-collar and Latino voters who have largely backed her elsewhere.
Mr Obama still surges forward, putting his faith in the “fierce urgency of now” helping him to vault over the next big round of elections on March 4, when 444 delegates are at stake, in the same way that he has already defied the laws of political campaigning.
Something, or someone, has to give. And eyes are turning to the party leadership of 796 “super-delegates” to be a referee that stops this fight before it reaches the presidential nomination convention in August.
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A senior adviser to Nancy Pelosi, the Speaker of the House of Representatives, has suggested that she – along with other “party elders” – will step into the ring if they feel that Democratic hopes of winning back the White House or maintaining control over Congress are being threatened. Ms Pelosi insists that she remains neutral in the race and that her “focus is on reelecting a Democratic majority in the House of Representatives”.
However, her voice would carry great authority among many uncommitted super-delegates on Capitol Hill – and she is said by one of those close to her to be leaning towards Mr Obama. “The party Establishment is not going to turn its back on a candidate who is generating this tremendous excitement and bringing all these new voters into the political process,” an adviser said. Mr Obama’s team is busy pushing the same message, telling members of Congress in districts where he has already won that they would be foolish to alienate their core vote in an election year.
Mrs Clinton still has the edge among super-delegates, not least because Bill Clinton is calling in all the favours he has done them over the past 16 years. Both candidates know that the Democrats are desperate for a win and are putting increasing emphasis on their competing claims to be best-placed to succeed in November’s general election.
The Clinton campaign regards much of current “Obamentum” as media-fuelled hype and says that the picture will look very different after the elections in Ohio and Texas. Her aides profess not to worry that much about Mr Obama sweeping up the February states, with her spokesman, Howard Wolfson, saying that voters have been balancing each other out all the way through this year’s seesaw contest. “Much is made of the concept of momentum but in this primary season it has been precisely the opposite,” he said, “there is no evidence of a stampede one way or another”.
He gruffly dismisses suggestions that relying on future big-state votes make the Clinton campaign resemble that of Rudy Giuliani, the one-time
Republican front-runner, who skipped early contests to concentrate on Florida – only to see his presidential hopes wilt away. Mr Wolfson told The Times that unlike Mr Giuliani, Mrs Clinton had won California and New York. She had “a long track record” of emerging victorious from elections that had been properly contested, he said, without mentioning that her campaign had effectively ceded many smaller states to Mr Obama .
Ohio is regarded not only as big but also natural Clinton country. It is part of the rustbelt and Mrs Clinton is relying on the blue-collar, lower-income vote, who remember the good old days of her husband’s presidency and trust her on issues such as the economy or national security.
In Texas almost a third of the population is of Hispanic origin, a group that skewed heavily towards her in Nevada and California. Many Latinos also say that they owe loyalty to the Clinton name and want a president on the inside track who can deliver for them – rather than an ethnic minority outsider.
Mr Obama’s strategists acknowledge that Mrs Clinton “unquestionably starts out” with significant advantages but they insist that they will run her close or even win one of these states. His aides say that Latino voters have been more sympathetic to Mr Obama’s bid to become the first black president in states such as Arizona and New Mexico, where they are an established community and not competing with African-Americans for low-paid jobs or housing.
In Ohio he is expected to highlight the Clinton Administration’s record on free trade deals, such as Nafta, that are blamed for the loss of many manufacturing jobs.
Aides point out that not only are both states holding “open contests” – allowing the independents who have backed him before to vote – but that he also now has plenty of time, and pots of money, to campaign hard in both states.
“We have demonstrated repeatedly that once people get to know Barack we can come from way behind to either be competitive or win,” one aide said.
There is a more sinister demographic fact that is causing a collective shudder to pass down the Democratic leadership. Mr Obama is consistently trailing Mrs Clinton among white voters and, in the South, white men.
The Clintons would not dare play such a card, even if they wanted to, particularly after the racially charged ructions of South Carolina last month.
The advisers who sneer privately at the fragility of Mr Obama’s coalition of black people and white “latte liberals”, should remember that it was a similar group that elected Mr Clinton in 1992.
rajesh_g
Posted 17 February 2008 - 02:05 AM
By Blake D. Dvorak
A few days ago Pennsylvania Gov. Ed Rendell, a Democrat, stated the obvious. His chosen candidate, Hillary Clinton, he said, was in good shape to win the state's April 22 primary because "[y]ou've got conservative whites here, and I think there are some whites who are probably not ready to vote for an African American candidate." As swift as lightning, down came the curmudgeons of high sensitivity rebuking Mr. Rendell for injecting race into the campaign. In repentance, the good governor spent the next several days explaining what he really meant by using a different example: There are some men, he said, who won't vote for Hillary Clinton either.
In fact, there are a lot of men who haven't voted for Clinton, and there are a lot of whites who haven't voted for Obama. But there are also quite a few African-Americans who haven't voted for Hillary, just as there are a whole bunch of Hispanics who haven't voted for Obama. You get the point.
My colleague Jay Cost, as someone who not only knows what an ordinary least squares regression analysis is, but also knows how to perform one, has calculated that each of the states Obama has won since Super Tuesday played heavily to at least one of Obama's demographic strengths: states with either large African-American populations or, somewhat counter-intuitively, "homogeneously" white populations; states with high median incomes for white voters; states with low Hispanic populations; and states with low union membership.
Using this formula, Cost noted that it is possible to forecast the upcoming contests. So, for instance, Obama should do well in Oregon (homogeneously white) while Clinton should do well in Kentucky (low median white income). The model does not account for momentum, however, which Obama might have picked up by winning the last eight contests. But the larger point is that, given the demographic makeup of the remaining states, one can predict, with a reasonable degree of accuracy, just which candidate should do well in which state. In fact, on average, the remaining states favor Clinton slightly. Good news for her tear ducts.
But bad news for a Democratic Party that can no longer deny that it has a serious problem of identity politics. As long as the Democratic Party was nominating white men who were quickly able knock out the rest of the field, the coalition of competing interest groups defined by race, class, gender, or geography was in little danger of fracturing. But with Clinton and Obama - "one protected species ... running against a member of another," as Bloomberg's Margaret Carlson put it - the politics of identity has turned inward, like the Jacobins turning on the Girondins.
Quite a change of events for a party accustomed to using the politics of identity against the Right: Tax cuts for the rich; "nativist" immigration policies; disenfranchisement of minority voters; Trent Lott -- basically, John Edwards' whole platform. When employed across a broad spectrum like the Republican Party, the strategy works quite well in appeasing the various demographic factions. But when employed inside the party, those who once cried outrage at the slightest infraction now find themselves the ones charged with "insufficient sensitivity." And here all Gov. Rendell was doing was stating something the data empirically proves.
But for all their political expertise, the Clintons never saw it coming. What a shock it must have been for America's "First Black President" to suddenly find himself accused of intentionally demeaning a black candidate by comparing him to Jesse Jackson. Imagine the surprise in Hillaryland when the campaign's video ad showing a bunch of men picking on the woman was suddenly criticized for "playing the gender card." The thought must have sent waves of anxiety through headquarters: "How can we touch this guy if all the old tricks aren't working? Worse, the tricks are being turned against us." Those tears in New Hampshire certainly won't reap the same rewards in Ohio.
And there's more to come. According to The Politico, white men make up 46% of the superdelegates that could decide the nomination in Denver this summer. That's nearly half!
"It's still the old guard, the white men. They always want to control the outcome," an anonymous superdelegate told the newspaper. "But this time, they won't be able to do it." At the risk of making a sweeping generalization, much like our superdelegate friend here, those given the honor of superdelegate status are usually the most partisan, ideologically-driven folks in the party. They're like super-duper caucus-goers. And yet by virtue of their maleness and whiteness, Mr. Anonymous Superdelegate sees nothing but a threat to his particular interest group. Such are the absurd logical contortions one makes when all one knows is the politics of identity.
Republicans must be smiling while they watch foes like the Clintons subjected to the same tactics they once so freely exploited. The schadenfreude will be short-lived. This season of Democratic discontent will eventually end, the loose coalition of squabbling interests will regroup, and it will be back to identity politics as usual.
But if it hadn't before, there must now reside in the Democratic Party the fear that the Obama-Clinton contest has exposed fault lines of serious racial-gender-class fragmentation, any part of which could turn on another. Even Obama, who once had to endure questions of being "black enough," might one day stand accused of racial, class, or gender insensitivity, as the barrel of identity politics is ever in need of targets. Just ask the Clintons.
Mudy
Posted 17 February 2008 - 03:03 AM
acharya
Posted 17 February 2008 - 11:39 AM
By Mladen Andrijasevic February 12, 2008
My fellow Americans,
The time has come for me to set the record straight. Failing to do this would just make things worse, and I think I owe it to the American people.
I am a Christian. In my early years I had a reasonably Muslim upbringing under the auspices of my Indonesian step-father. Denying that would just be denying the truth. At the age of six I regularly attended services in his mosque.
Does this matter? It does because I am seeking to be the president of the greatest country on Earth. It matters where I come from, because where I come from affects where I stand today.
It would be years later that I read about Islam and understood what I had been reciting as a boy. As an American I realized that my values enshrined in the US Constitution are incompatible with certain tenets of Islam: the concept of jihad, the relationship of Muslims towards non-believers; and Islam's attitude towards apostates.
Of course, many religions have violent passages against the other. But what matters is how these passages are interpreted today, not only what they meant hundreds of years ago. How for instance is verse 9:5 of the Koran interpreted? It reads: "Fight and slay the pagans wherever ye find them, and seize them, beleaguer them, and lie in wait for them in every stratagem [of war]; but if they repent, and establish regular Prayers and practice regular Charity, then open the way for them: for Allah is Oft-Forgiving, Most Merciful."
I became acquainted with the verses received in Mecca, with those received in Medina, the concept of abrogation. I read the Hadiths, Ibn Ishaq. Today I have a fair understanding of the faith I once as a child belonged to, if only superficially, by virtue of what I learned from my step-father and his surroundings.
But today we live in a world in which hundreds of terror attacks are committed in the name of the Koran. We do not hear Muslim scholars quoting their religious texts, condemning these attacks. What we hear is the jihadists finding justification on one side. There is only silence on the other.
As an American I cannot remain indifferent to this silence.
For all of you who have brought up this point about my past I say: rest assured. I understand your concern. We share the same values.
My values are those of the founding fathers of America, and its constitutionals freedoms of speech and religion, its tolerance of diversity of opinion, its acceptance the golden rule of most religions to not do unto your brother what is hateful to you.
My values are not those of Sharia. To not address this directly and state this clearly would betray my faith and allegiance to the Constitution of the United States, and the citizens whom I seek to lead.
And that is why I felt compelled to address you on this issue today.
Views expressed by the author do not necessarily reflect those of israelinsider.
acharya
Posted 18 February 2008 - 10:43 PM
Obama – The Savior Superstar
By Corine Lesnes
Translated by Noga Emanuel
February 13, 2008
France - Le Monde - Original Article (French)
What started as a trickle, with an application for candidature, in Springfield, Illinois, Lincoln’s hometown, then turned into a flowing river in the Large Plains, fed by the thawed snows of Iowa. And the overflowing stream swelled into a tidal wave in the Carolinas, Georgia, Missouri, Idaho, and lifted up into a great collective foundry of all races and ages, white mammies, black mamies, trade unionists, rap singers, latte drinking Leftists... Nonetheless, some people found themselves cast off this great centrifugal movement and landed on the wayside… Well, then…
The United States is a country that prides itself on its insistence on the merits of individualism. Nothing is more embarrassing to this country than these great moments of collective obsession (shared, of course, with Superbowl frenzy), where every critical faculty appears to have been abandoned in the service of a universal pursuit. Some blogger compared the Obama phenomenon with the political media rollercoaster, which preceded the war in Iraq. If blindness has struck us, it is only for color, which was transcended in this presidential race. But the media give the same impression of inexorable momentum, as if they knew the end of film before its screening ended.
This "Letter from America" is privileged to have escaped from the constrictions of objectivity. A divergent note, therefore, in the concert of Obama super-star. To clarify, finding criticisms of Obama requires certain doggedness. Even the Republicans have only praises. Never mind the neoconservatives, who seem to see in Obama’s international declarations a revalidation of their theories about democratizing the world.
Sceptics can be found among the blogosphere analysts or in the Leftist economist Paul Krugman, who estimate that the senator is deluded in thinking that he will be able to negotiate amicably the price of healthcare with insurance companies... Or in the writings of black intellectuals who rebuke Barack Obama for allowing the idea that racism is no more than one problem in a society that had transcended it on the collective level.
The writer Kai Wright, for example, is unaffected by Obamania. For him, Obama has contracted the White man’s malaise, which sincerely desires equality. But "the true fairy tale", is the belief that whites would be "ready to give up their privileges” in order to attain that equality. Glen Ford, co-founder of the “Black Commentator”, does not understand how Barack Obama could say that Blacks already covered "90% of the way to full equality" when the average income of a black family is a tenth that of a white family. "There are two places where one finds a 90% equality: in Basketball and in the prison system."
The left, the “true Left”, is not duped. One of the anti-war main activists, Markos Moulitas, supports Barack Obama, but without the effusions. "His speeches are beautiful, but, an hour later, one wonders whether he said anything substantial. And generally the answer is, not."
The anti war activists welcome his anti war positions in 2002, but, once he was elected, they cannot say that he stirred up much debate in the Senate by his speeches on Iraq. He voted for the ratification of the Patriot Act, for the law to build a "wall" at the Mexican border, and chose as mentor the hawkish Joe Lieberman. To the pacifists’ consternation, he wishes to increase the American army by 100 000 soldiers.
And finally there are the disbelievers, the political atheists. They are disturbed by Obama’s linguistic references to scriptures, which adorn his speeches. Joe Klein, of Time Magazine, called it the "mass messianism", that typifies the oratorical style of the televangelist: "WE are the CHANGE that we SEEK"... "Our time has come"... In the meetings, the politically "born again" activists await the invitation “to believe”, and they describe how they “came to” Obama. "When two activists rang my doorbell, I wondered whether they had taken “Ecstasy”, recently joked Joel Stein in the Los Angeles Times, “I was afraid that they might hug me."
Two days before super-Tuesday, in Los Angeles, Maria Shriver, the wife of the Republican governor of California Arnold Schwarzenegger, explained how she had woken up one morning and heard a "call" which had impelled her to go to the general meeting with Barack Obama. "Excuse me, wrote Kathleen Geier, a supporter of the young senator. “But this language is more suited to a cult than to an election campaign."
In volunteer preparation courses for Obama, the acolytes are repeatedly directed not to speak about political issues ("Go the Website"), but to share their experience. The idea is to recruit adherents by appealing to their emotions. Not for nothing was Barack Obama was a " community organizer".
Barack Obama can bring together stadiums packed with 20,000-strong crowds. He fascinates. According to author Shelby Steele, Obama offers White masses the possibility of redemption. "With Jesse Jackson and Al Sharpton, the Whites felt white. Obama cures them of the anxiety of being white."
Saviour, redeemer. America asks a lot from him. Even the feminist Gloria Steinem needed to fictionalize him as a woman in order to demonstrate what she sees as gender bias (Achola would be her name)*.
This is much too much. Barack Obama is but a human being, after all.
* [Translator’s Note: Steinem observed that unlike Obama, a fictional Achola Obama has been unable to achieve more than state legislator and would not be deemed electable. Senator Barack Obama could make that progress because of his gender, says Steinem.]
acharya
Posted 18 February 2008 - 10:44 PM
America is Getting Ready to Turn the Bush Page
Translated by Sandra Stark
February 14, 2008
France - Le Figaro - Original Article (French)
According to Andre Kaspi, Professor Emiritus at the Sorbonne, “the Americans are looking for the candidate who can bring them together, who will erase the current divisions.”
The French would vote overwhelmingly for Barack Obama. Is this a prediction? In 2000, they chose Al Gore; in 2004, John Kerry. It would probably be smarter to guard against premature enthusiasm. Nonetheless, we can draw up the first scorecard of this electoral campaign which began more than a year ago.
From primaries to caucuses, Americans expressed their choice in thirty states. They voted in numbers far greater than other elections. They are hoping to turn the page after eight years of George W. Bush's presidency. They are passionate, as we all are, and the media is keeping that passion alive. What is even more striking is the candidates' use of the most sophisticated technology, from TV ads to internet messages, blogs, and surveys. And at the same time they must make themselves available, shake hands with the people, and hold meeting after meeting, passing from one state to another at supersonic speed, repeating incessantly the same speeches in front of new and attentive audiences. So, it is also a ground campaign. The voters must see the candidates, must touch them.
Modernity has not taken the place of the old ways. Democracy always wins. It works. But it is based on electoral arrangements which, from so many miles away, we don't understand very well, and we have every reason to think that the majority of Americans do not understand them much better themselves. There is a strong sense of anxiety. Money plays too big a part. Ridiculous sums are spent and will continue to be spent. Candidates must constantly seek contributions, as if a full coffer is the sign of incontestable popularity. The results are constantly compared. Hillary Clinton had to loan 5 million dollars of her own money to her campaign, which confirms that she has less money than Barack Obama.
The Democratic party is divided. Not about ideology or programs. It is constantly innovating. In 2000, it presented a Jew for Vice President. In 2008, a woman or a black man could enter the White House. The two candidates, who have been carefully scrutinized, differ less in substance than they do in style. Barack Obama is an excellent orator who ignites the enthousiasm of crowds. He benefits from the support of young people as well as blacks (who too often stay away from elections until the last minute). It doesn't seem to matter that his program is a bit uncertain. He has become the idol of the elite, the best educated, and independent voters alike. Hillary Clinton has her policy at her fingertips. She is counting on the votes of women, Hispanics, Jews, voters older than 40, and bedrock Democrats. Bill Clinton, the former president, brings his support, which is sometimes beneficial and sometimes embarrassing. The candidates are neck and neck. Their battle is without concessions, and almost violent.
Whoever wins, this battle will leave its scars. That is the danger of the primary election system. Before reuniting them to fight the opposing party, the primaries force the opponents into positions which make it difficult to reconcile with each other when it is time for the general election.
The Republican party is also divided. John McCain has not yet convinced the hard-core conservatives, those who are opposed to abortion rights, who want to impose creationism, who defend tooth and nail their religious values. They support Mike Huckabee, the former Baptist minister. But, in a contest against Obama or Clinton, the Republicans won't hesitate to back McCain. He will have to make some concessions. Maybe he will let it be known that Huckabee could be his running mate and, in case of victory, the Vice President. It is also possible that McCain will attract a good number of independents. His candidacy will be situated firmly in the center right, and not at the far right. Can he make people forget his age? Certainly, Ronald Reagan was elected for the first time at the age of 69, and re-elected at the age of 73. For McCain, it's a handicap, unless circumstances would require a President who was well-tested, which would reassure his compatriots.
The key to this campaign? Programs count less than personalities. Americans are looking for a candidate who will bring them together, who will erase the present divisions. As the only nationally elected leader, the President must express the will of the greatest number of voters. He cements the unity of the nation. That is why whenever a candidate is rejected by a part of the electorate, he is no longer considered “eligible.” Once elected, the unifier must manage the country the best he or she can. The work of dealing with international crises, economic questions, social difficulties, and all manner of political traps falls to the President. Every presidential election is a bet on the future. Nothing proves that a good candidate will become a good President, or that a mediocre candidate won't make an excellent President. Are we forgetting that there are still nine months of intensive scrutiny before a new President will be chosen? We don't know what the immediate future will bring. Will there be an international crisis of major importance? Will we escape another terrorist attack? Will the economic recession worsen? Will shattering revelations ruin the chances of any candidate? So many unknowns that can reverse predictions.
In a word, nothing is served by the intoxicating game of forecasting. Nothing is bet. Let's wait, with patience, for November 4th.
Mudy
Posted 18 February 2008 - 10:58 PM
Sweet: Barack Obama lifts some lines from Deval Patrick speech. Video comparison.
http://blogs.suntime...lifts_some.html
An Obama Refrain Bears Echoes of a Governor’s Speeches
http://www.nytimes.c...int&oref=slogin
Obama Echoes Deval Patrick...Again
http://blogs.abcnews...-echoes-de.html
acharya
Posted 18 February 2008 - 11:49 PM
McCain’s Last Battle
Translated By Carolyn French
February 10, 2007
Spain - ABC Journal - Original Article (Spanish)
“I hate to lose.” With these words, perhaps sounding more like a kid during a soccer match than like the governor of Massachusetts who is running for the presidency of the Unites States of America, Mitt Romney said goodbye to his 2008 campaign. Is he retiring for good or just until 2012? Is McCain the winner of the Republican nomination or just the only one left to lose the elections of November 4th?
Even the Republicans believe that this time a Democrat will win. That is the argument Romney used to justify his departure: he assured that by staying, the odds for Hillary Clinton and Barak Obama would increase. Thus, to avoid this, he responsibly quit.
Sure there are many ways to quit. Romney almost forgot to mention McCain, anticipating what president Bush would do the day after: Request the vote for the Republican runner, but without specifying who.
Although Bush has been blamed for many lapses, this is not one of them. His aversion towards McCain is something very personal. John McCain attempted, and almost managed to become the 2000 candidate, and not George W. Bush.
Even now he continues to accuse Bush’s assistants of orchestrating a dark campaign of defamation and gossip against his name, which included the disclosure of his second wife’s dependency on painkillers and put in jeopardy his honor as a Vietnam war veteran and as a former prisoner-of-war.
A man of integrity
That is where it hurt and still does, because if there is something that John McCain has demonstrated throughout his history, it is that he is a man of integrity. Sometimes a concept of integrity a bit irrational: we must take in account the most rancid codes of honor to understand that an American soldier captive in Vietnam resigns to his freedom until all the prisoners-of-war that were caught before him are first set free. “First in, first out” is how it is called in the military in these cases. Five years and half not only of captivity, but also of torture, John McCain III, pilot of the U.S. Navy, served in the Vietnam prisons. He could have saved himself three years by taking advantage of the fact that John S. McCain I and John S. McCain II were U.S. Navy admirals. His father was in charge of all of the American forces in the Pacific, which is a reason why Vietnam originally wanted to release his son. This was an idea that he simply did not accept.
For many years his world was very simple. He never reached the ranks of his father and grandfather. He did not even get involved in politics as an ideologist. However, he did arrive with an eager and moderate spirit for the lacks and contradictions, including some shots of immaturity such as the one that led him to his first divorce after returning from Vietnam.
Stability
His second wife, seventeen years his junior and a teacher from Arizona, has been the starting point of his stability.
McCain, nowadays, is a man who learns from his mistakes as well as from others. He created “squadrons of truth” who would fight against ongoing misinformation, which is not an easy thing to thwart because it does not always make it to the newspapers or mass media. Born in Panama, he does not believe in turning his back to immigrants. A soldier at heart, he hates frivolous wars. And of course he is against simulated drowning during the interrogation of a prisoner.
The best and worst that this Republican politician has is that he does not hate to lose. Maybe because, at his 71 years, he has no other choice. Even if he were younger, possibly he would not mind at all either. Just like Vietnam: “First in, first out.”
A political party is not the same in the U.S. as it is in Spain. It is something with much more discipline and grandeur, specially the Republican “Grand Old Party” (GOP), where three big families, though not always in good terms, live together: the deep conservatives, the falcons of national security, and the ultraliberals.
John McCain, in some instances, has managed to put these three sectors out of their comfort zone. The ultraliberals, because he supports dealing with CO2 emissions to reduce global warming, voted in favor of eliminating “soft money” (non-transparent donations to electorates), and were against President Bush’s proposals of fiscal cu
ts for corporations in 2001 and 2003. The falcons, because, considering his dramatic military history, he was very critical towards the war in Iraq and condemned torture in Guantanamo, which is a topic where he accepts no excuses.
The most irritated at McCain are the deep conservatives, who do not even consider him as a superficial conservative. They do not condone his less than Spartan past, the fact that he has gone through a divorce, and that he has supported more lenient immigration policies, which leaves a more a expedited road to American citizenship for illegal aliens.
acharya
Posted 18 February 2008 - 11:51 PM
By John Thornhill in Paris
Published: February 17 2008 18:42 | Last updated: February 17 2008 18:42
The French, Italians, Spanish and Germans would “vote” for Barack Obama in the US presidential elections – although the British would prefer Hillary Clinton.
An FT/Harris poll of more than 5,000 Europeans found that the two Democratic candidates were by far the most popular, with Mr Obama winning between 35 per cent of the “vote” in Spain and 45 per cent in Italy.
But in the UK Mrs Clinton edged out Mr Obama by a margin of 28 per cent to 23 per cent.
On the Republican side, John McCain and Rudy Giuliani were the two most popular candidates (Mr Giuliani, who was particularly strong in Italy, has subsequently pulled out of the race).
The online poll was conducted between January 30 and February 8.
In a separate FT/Harris poll of 1,020 adults in the US, Mr Obama narrowly beat Mrs Clinton by a margin of 22 per cent to 21 per cent. Mr McCain was in third place with 14 per cent.
US election surveys are normally restricted to likely or, at least, registered voters, whereas the Harris survey sampled all adults and reflects a snapshot of how the US feels on this issue.
This year’s US presidential election has aroused huge interest in Europe, which seems keen to end eight years of often testy relations with the administration of President George W. Bush.
Louis Giscard d’Estaing, a French parliamentary deputy and president of the Franco-American friendship group, said the election of any of the three leading contenders would strengthen transatlantic ties.
ramana
Posted 19 February 2008 - 02:14 AM
Mudy
Posted 19 February 2008 - 02:20 AM
Today Islamic forum endrose Obama. So now you know.
Mother was anthropologist, twice married to Muslim. So you know her choice.
His father's muslim maternal uncle is causing major problem in Kenya.
Read my post on his family.
dhu
Posted 19 February 2008 - 05:00 AM
On the other hand, he could start stealth (secular) christian conflicts in Asia ie JFK, but as only an Islamist he poses less danger to India.
The real danger would be if he is held up as a Savior figure to the so-called third world, a veritable Black Pope.
Mudy
Posted 19 February 2008 - 07:26 AM

This is now a issue (whether he is still Muslim)-
Did Mr. Obama fail to hold his hand over his heart at a recent democratic event where the National Anthem was played?
http://www.obamafact...les/Page443.htm
. Who is Raila Odinga and how is Mr. Obama connected to him?
Raila Odinga is the Muslim extremist who recently lost the Kenyan Presidential election to a Christian. Raila is a “paternal cousin” to Mr. Obama and has visited with him in both Illinois and Kenya.
· Who is Abongo “Roy” Obama?
Abongo is Barack’s brother who recently preaches that the “Black man must liberate himself from the poisons of European cultures and western values”
The way Barack Obama describes his oldest half-brother in his book, Abongo (Roy) Obama inherited their father’s hard-drinking ways but straightened his life out by embracing Islam and his African heritage.
Abongo Obama began using his Luo tribal first name and had sworn off pork, smoking and drinking by the time of his younger brother’s 1992 wedding.
“Abongo’s new lifestyle has left him lean and clear-eyed, and at the wedding, he looked so dignified in his black African gown with white trim and matching cap that some of our guests mistook him for my father,” Obama wrote in Dreams From My Father.
· What exactly is Mr. Obama’s religion?
Mr. Obama belong’s to the Trinity United Church of Christ in Chicago, Illinois. The Church is primarily an African American congregation dedicated to Christian principles with a twist of ALSO pursuing Black ideals and African principles. The following text was sourced directly from Trinity’s website and can be verified by clicking on this link. A video aired on Hannity and Colmes can also be viewed here.
“We are a congregation which is Unashamedly Black and Unapologetically Christian... Our roots in the Black religious experience and tradition are deep, lasting and permanent. We are an African people, and remain "true to our native land," the mother continent, the cradle of civilization. God has superintended our pilgrimage through the days of slavery, the days of segregation, and the long night of racism. It is God who gives us the strength and courage to continuously address injustice as a people, and as a congregation. We constantly affirm our trust in God through cultural expression of a Black worship service and ministries which address the Black Community.
acharya
Posted 19 February 2008 - 09:36 PM
Why Obama Is Not A Lightweight
By Torsten Krauel
Translated by Christiane Thieme
February 15, 2008
Germany - Die Welt - Original Article (German)
The time of the election campaigns is always a time for well directed rumors. One of them describes Barack Obama as an orator without much substance. But that is nonsense and unfair. Obama’s first several speeches may have sound like sermons, but by now, he is discussing serious matters as well.
Obama’s rivals, as well as the majority of the media, suggest that his followers support a lightweight candidate, an idealist without experience or program. This accusation alleges that a rapidly growing number of Americans are jeopardizing the future of the country. But this simply is not correct.
The 46-yar-old senator purposefully began his campaign with speeches that emphasize and embrace both the political and philosophical components of the United States. First of all, Obama competes in this election campaign as a liberal Anti-68er. His objective is to break the narrow-minded truth claim that characterizes the 68ers and their conservative opponents with a new “coalition of the willing”. Second, Obama stresses a concept that is even more important for the tone of his public appearances. To this day, Obama says, black candidates for the White House have appeared as the wrathful denouncers of white people, thus harming themselves and their success. According to Obama, a black person, much more so than a white person, has to appeal to the intertwining political and historical background of the U.S. This is why his speeches have long showed characteristics of national sermons.
Hillary Clinton contrasted these compelling speeches with a rather neutral program. It was a subliminal exploitation of her advantage of being a white woman. Obama recognized this, but did not let it confuse him – until he lost important primaries. Although he had outlined his foreign policy views in April 2007 and had introduced his plan to reform the health care system in the summer of 2007, it was clearly not enough for a series of victories. Small states like Iowa, that love rebels, carried him shoulder high while Clinton won the vote in big states like Michigan and Florida. However, both states have lost any role in picking a Democratic nominee for the White House at the party’s national convention because they had arbitrarily scheduled early presidential primaries. This is to Obama’s advantage, since Clinton otherwise would have had a clear lead in the number of delegates.
Since that time, Obama has started emphasizing major economic issues. His success became obvious during the following primaries. The day before yesterday, he delivered a major economic policy address at a General Motors Assembly Plant in Wisconsin. Like many other businesses in the United States, the company suffers from national idiosyncrasies. The burden of providing appropriate health care and retirement provisions rests on the shoulders of these companies. At the end of 2006, Hillary Clinton had justified her reform plan of the health care system with the relief of U.S. businesses on the global market. However, it was Barack Obama who used the large annual loss of 2007 of the car manufacturer for his campaign – 24 hours prior to Hillary’s visit at General Motors.
Obama presented a comprehensive agenda. He wants to fight the national housing crisis with tax credits that cover ten percent of the mortgage interest payment every year. Furthermore, he plans to create a database for property credits and institute heavy penalties for mortgage fraud. Obama suggests having every worker enrolled in a direct deposit retirement account that places a small percentage of each paycheck into savings. Workers would be able to retain this account even if they changed jobs. In addition, he wants to introduce middle-class tax cuts. Companies that shift jobs overseas will lose tax breaks. Bridges, streets, and harbors would be reconstructed with the help of a National Infrastructure Reinvestment Bank that would invest $60 billion over the next ten years. Every child and the majority of adults would have health insurance. Nevertheless, Obama rejects compulsory universal health care coverage. Opposing Clinton who demands such a liability, Obama believes that such a reform would not be affordable. With this issue, Obama accommodates republican voters who consider universal health care coverage as an invitation for many to take advantage of taxpayers.
Barack Obama does not befriend everyone with his proposals. As early as April, he irritated the left wing of the Democratic Party by strongly hinting toward possible military operations against al-Qaeda in Pakistan. But to befriend everyone is not his objective. Obama wants to create the new “coalition of the willing” – a coalition of the left center, as comprehensive as Ronald Reagan’s right-wing majority or Franklin Roosevelt’s New Deal. The new coalition needs specific objectives, but especially a lot of dedication. It is not numbers alone that keep the “change we can believe in” alive.
Hillary Clinton’s election campaign is characterized by a “policy based on facts”. Obama opposes this approach with a strategy that even includes specific projects. The strategy’s strength, however, comes from the heart and the soul.
acharya
Posted 19 February 2008 - 10:11 PM
McCain is Solid; Uncertainty for the Democrats
By Amy Glover
February 06, 2008
Mexico - Cronica - Original Article (Spanish)
Yesterday was one of the most important days of the presidential primary in the United States, but the process is far from over. On the one hand, the Republicans have a candidate who has shown overwhelming strength. The Democrats face a more complex scenario, because at the end of [the day], the contest between Hillary Clinton and Barak Obama was very even, despite the fact that each candidate tried to interpret the results in their own way.
The process of the primaries in the EU is highly complex and the rules of the process vary among votes. In the case of the Democratic Party, yesterday saw voting in 24 states, while the Republicans had 20 primaries.. Both parties allocate state delegates differently and even within each party, the allocations varies by state. The Democratic Party assigns a number of delegates to each candidate according to the percentage of votes it receives. Republicans, in most cases, give all the delegates from one state to the candidate with the most votes (winner-takes-all), so it is easier to see a clear choice more quickly in the case of Republicans . There are also what are called "superdelegates" - important political personalities who are assigned by each party and who can vote as they like on the convention. They therefore become increasingly important in the event that the contest is close, as is now the case for the Democrats.
The process of the state primaries culminates in the party conventions (23-25 August for the Democrats and 1-4 September for the Republicans), but important primaries remain in the coming months, particularly in Wisconsin on 19 February in Texas on 4 March. In the case of the Democrats, there is a possibility that there will not be a clear candidate at the party to the convention, which means nearly seven months of uncertainty, unless in the coming one of the two candidates decides to withdraw.
The uncertainty among the Democrats is a disadvantage because attacks will continue between Clinton and Obama, causing greater “wear”. Rather than be fighting among themselves, Democrats need to quickly develop a strategy to beat the Republicans in November. The longer the selection of the presidential candidate takes, the more fissures will open up in the party and the more time Republicans will have to build their attack.
This problem has plagued the Democratic Party for decades. It is a party with diverse currents of the center-left and often it has significant internal differences of opinion, as we see today. The Republican Party, on the other hand, was largely Anglo-Saxon, Protestant and upper middle class. The homogeneity of the Republicans is a strength to that allows the party to build unity and consensus more easily.
The perception of the strength of the candidates will be extremely important in the coming weeks and months, as it ensures that they can continue to seek funds - the essential fuel of the entire campaign.
It will also be interesting to follow up on speculation regarding who might be invited as vice-presidential candidates. McCain will probably look for someone who can generate support among the most conservative of his party. It is difficult to predict who might be a potential candidate for the vice-presidency on the Democrat side, but it will be important to consider a politician from a southern state to balance the strengths of both Clinton and Obama in the north.
As usual, and we know that the Republicans will offer a white man to fight for the White House in November. What remains to be seen is whether McCain will face in the ring a woman or an African American.
retroaliment@yahoo.com
acharya
Posted 19 February 2008 - 10:48 PM
By The Daily Star
Monday, February 18, 2008
Editorial
Recent developments in the marathon process by which the United States chooses its presidential candidates have buttressed that country's claim to greatness but also reaffirmed that it has yet to approach its full potential. Specifically, the rise of Senator Barack Obama as a viable contender for his Democratic Party's nomination has broken new ground for even America's unchallenged capacity for self-reinvention by taking it into a new domain: that of race in general and of Obama's African heritage in particular. The notion of the first black man in the Oval Office has also spurred hope that a new generation of Americans is ready to back away from some long-held assumptions about matters outside their country's borders as well, especially in the turbulent Middle East, and so to increase their own security even as they improve the lives of people in this region.
Obama's emotional expressions of profound concern for the Palestinian and Israeli peoples have been unprecedented for a major American presidential hopeful, encouraging some observers to presume that he could be the man to fix the problem at the core of the Middle East's many woes. Predictably, Obama has come under fire from some on the American right who have sought to paint him as a dangerous radical. He has also been criticized by elements of the left and of the Arab-American community, too, who claim that he has not gone far enough in addressing their concerns. This is surprising - and disappointing, too, because it fails utterly to appreciate the courage it has taken Obama to go as far as he has. It also demonstrates a myopic willingness to let the perfect be the enemy of the good.
Obama has moved many long-overdue conversations forward in America, and for that he deserves credit. If he wins the presidency and ends up being the man who brokers Middle East peace, he will earn even more appreciation. Repairing all that is wrong with this part of the world has always been about breaking down barriers to new ideas, and an Obama presidency would demonstrate that Americans are still capable of doing so at home, a feat that would bode well for his ability to do something similar abroad.
Mudy
Posted 19 February 2008 - 10:59 PM
Do they just go for words or plagiarism issue change perception?
It will be interesting.
ramana
Posted 19 February 2008 - 11:05 PM
acharya
Posted 20 February 2008 - 12:33 AM
20:28pm 17th February 2008 Comments Comments
Keith Waterhouse
Barack Obama & Hillary Clinton
Barack Obama and Hilary Clinton: Still a toss-up between the two
American democracy's covered wagon rolls on, across the peaks and the prairies. Republicans seem to be settling for John McCain as their presidential candidate. A good choice.
For the Democrats, it could still be a toss-up between Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama.
It could in fact be such a damn close-run thing that the question of whether Democratic voters get a woman presidential candidate or a black presidential candidate might still have to be decided on the floor of their convention centre.
It beats your average municipal by-election, anyway. And it does give me the opportunity to issue my four-yearly warning, as regards the United States, of counting your turkeys before they are out of the egg.
This applies even to icons of the political scene, such as the great H.L. Mencken of the Baltimore Sun, the most influential newspaper journalist of his day.
Or, as some of his followers would say, of any day.
The year is 1924, the month a sweltering July, the temperature in the 90s and rising.
We join Mr Mencken in the dining car from Baltimore to New York's Grand Central. Checking his bags in at The Algonquin Hotel, he instructs his Yellow Cab driver to convey us to Madison Square Garden.
We are about to witness the most historic Democratic Party convention since American party politics began. Certainly the longest.
It will continue for 15 stifling nights, the only form of airconditioning being if you waved your hat around like a fan.
Before the Dems shook themselves up and got properly prepared for this kind of jamboree ("I'm not a member of any organised political party - I'm a Democrat," quipped the comedian Will Rogers) there was no real separation of the sheep from the goats as in the present highly-tuned system of primaries and caucuses.
Thus when the party assembled in New York to decide who it wanted to fight the good fight, it had 24 hopefuls in tow.
With the then 48 states voting ponderously in turn, it took some days to thin the contenders down to two - William G. McAdoo of California, ex-Secretary of the Treasury, son-in-law of former President Woodrow Wilson, a supporter of Prohibition and with delegates who supported the Ku Klux Klan.
This nowadays would be like our own LibDems rooting for the BNP, but that was then. They were known as Dixiecrats.
On the other half of the ticket was Al Smith, the popular governor and former mayor of New York and a dedicated opponent of Prohibition.
Mr Mencken was on his side. But the rules of the Democratic Party at that time were not.
They seemed geared to arrange that nobody could win. McAdoo and Smith fought almost hand to hand, through ballot after ballot, without either of them gaining an inch.
Finally, to break the deadlock, the party dragged in their Mister Cellophane - a totally obscure ex-congressman from West Virginia and sometime ambassador to the Court of St James's, called John W. Davis.
It all seemed even more hopeless than ever, and yet another ballot - the 103rd - was looming. Mr Mencken drew up his Remington Portable and composed his dispatch for the Baltimore Sun:
"Nothing is certain in the world of politics but of one thing we can be absolutely sure.
"John W. Davis from West Virginia will not be the victor in the 103rd ballot for the presidential nominee in the 1924 Democratic National Convention."
Mr Mencken then wired his story to Baltimore and went across the road to a neighbourhood bar, where he fell among friends, as you do.
Returning a few hours later, and long after the Baltimore Sun had gone to press, he heard that John W. Davis had, despite all expectations, won the 103rd ballot.
Whereupon Mr Mencken was heard to utter: "I just hope those know-nothings down in Baltimore have at least had the savvy to remove the word 'not'."
Many years ago, that prolific writer Arnold Bennett of Five Towns fame wrote a little book called How To Live On 24 Hours A Day.
Its theme was the art of getting a pint into a half-pint pot. Our Arnold crammed more into each day than most of us can manage in a week.
He insisted that we all start out each morning with exactly the same ratio of time - which some of us use to the hilt, while the rest of us fritter much of it away.
If Arnold's little book had not been long out of print, I should have asked Culture Secretary Andy Burnham to send copies of it to all the headteachers in this country, following his plan for schoolchildren to spend five hours a week on cultural activities such as visiting theatres and galleries.
Given that they're already expected to find more time for cookery classes, lessons in citizenship, tests and exams, extra reading, a restoration of compulsory sports, not to mention Gordon's new holiday for a day of patriotism, where are these five hours a week to be found?
Arnold would know. Does Andy?
ramana
Posted 20 February 2008 - 01:25 AM
Mudy
Posted 20 February 2008 - 02:03 AM
I think today Wisconsin may show trend. I want to know how average American feel, are they feel cheated or they don't care. Is this is Biden for Obama?
Gallup poll is reflecting public mood, Hillary gained 6% within one day.
http://www.gallup.co...ction-2008.aspx
I think, before convention we will know.
Mudy
Posted 20 February 2008 - 09:45 AM
Obama may get ticket and McCain will be next President.
acharya
Posted 20 February 2008 - 01:52 PM
Joshua Lott/Getty Images
With the two rivals now battling state by state over margins of victory and allotment of delegates, surveys of voters leaving the Wisconsin polls showed Mr. Obama, of Illinois, making new inroads with those two groups as well as middle-age voters and continuing to win support from white men and younger voters — a performance that yielded grim tidings for Mrs. Clinton, of New York.
On the Republican side, Senator John McCain of Arizona won a commanding victory over Mike Huckabee in the Wisconsin contest and led by a wide margin in Washington State. All but assured of his party’s nomination, Mr. McCain immediately went after Mr. Obama during a rally in Ohio, deriding “eloquent but empty” calls for change.
For Mr. Obama, Wisconsin was his ninth consecutive victory, a streak in which he has not only run up big margins in many states but also pulled votes from once-stalwart supporters of Mrs. Clinton, like low- and middle-income people and women. Voters in Hawaii were also holding caucuses, but results were not expected until Wednesday morning.
Mrs. Clinton wasted no time in signaling that she would now take a tougher line against Mr. Obama — a recognition, her advisers said, that she must act to alter the course of the campaign and define Mr. Obama on her terms.
In a speech in Ohio shortly after the polls closed in Wisconsin, she alluded to what her campaign considers Mr. Obama’s lack of experience, and his support for a health insurance plan that would not initially seek to cover all Americans.
Mudy
Posted 20 February 2008 - 08:53 PM
Republicans regestired as Democrats and voted for Obama. Check % people voted for Obama and Hillary. People voted for Hillary alone is more than GOP voters. More than 29% voters new regestered voters voted for Obama.
If you check two previous Presidental election, Kerry and Al Gore barely won these states by less then 1%.
Democrats will get really shock in Nov 2008, if they give ticket to Obama.
I am enjoying it.
Obama had become cult, women are fainting during speeches, as they do during EJ sermons.
Mudy
Posted 20 February 2008 - 09:35 PM
Bamboozling the American electorate again
Bush-Cheney strategy involves G.O.P. crossover voting to take out Hillary, marketing newcomer Obama, an "independent" ticket, and maybe even martial law...
dhu
Posted 20 February 2008 - 10:37 PM
By John Nichols, The Nation.
If we look past their bland pronouncements on the campaign trail, it becomes clear that Clinton and Obama have widely divergent views on Cuba.
It is often suggested that there is not much difference between Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton when it comes to the stands they have taken as senators. And on the question of how the U.S. relates to Cuba -- an issue that has suddenly moved to the forefront with the news that Fidel Castro is stepping down as the leader of the Caribbean nation -- the candidates can sound similar.
When word came of Castro's move, Obama said the Cuban president's decision to hand power to his younger brother "should mark the end of a dark era in Cuba's history. ... Fidel Castro's stepping down is an essential first step, but it is sadly insufficient in bringing freedom to Cuba."
Clinton said, "The United States must pursue an active policy that does everything possible to advance the cause of freedom, democracy and opportunity in Cuba."
That's reasonably standard language for presidential candidates talking about Cuba.
But this is a case where the records behind the words really do tell different stories.
During their shared tenure in the Senate, and over the course of the current campaign, Obama and Clinton have taken different stands and sent distinct signals.
They have even voted differently on an issue that has provided a regular test of congressional sentiments regarding U.S. policy toward Cuba.
When the Senate has debated proposals to strip funding for TV Marti -- the always-troubled initiative to beam U.S. produced television programming into Cuba, which in turn jams the signal -- Obama has sided with those who argue that the $200-million propaganda campaign wastes money and good will.
Breaking with the powerful anti-Castro lobby in the Cuban-American community, the senator from Illinois voted twice to cut off TV Marti funding.
In contrast, Clinton voted to maintain TV Marti funding.
Last year, The Washington Post wrote that, "Obama spokesman Robert Gibbs said the senator's opposition to TV Marti was primarily about cost. But within Florida's large Cuban exile population, one of the most powerful voting blocs in the state, Clinton's and Obama's stances ally them with distinct groups: the older hard-liners and a younger, more progressive group of second-generation Cuban Americans and more recent immigrants whose numbers are growing."
Miami-based pollster Sergio Bendixen, one of the ablest analysts of campaigning on issues related to Cuba, says, "(Clinton) is going with the status quo." In contrast, argues Bendixen, "(Obama) is with the position of change."
It is not just on the question of funding for TV Marti that Obama is distinguished from Clinton.
The senator from Illinois says he wants to ease U.S.- Cuba travel restrictions, while the senator from New York would maintain the harsher policies imposed by the Bush administration. Obama went so far as to outline his position in an August, 2007, opinion piece written for the Miami Herald, in which he argued that, "Cuban-American connections to family in Cuba are not only a basic right in humanitarian terms, but also our best tool for helping to foster the beginnings of grassroots democracy on the island." As a result, he said, "I will grant Cuban-Americans unrestricted rights to visit family and send remittances to the island."
In that same article, Obama also raised the possibility of opening bilateral talks with a post-Castro government.
Those are hardly radical positions, and Obama is no friend of Castro's. He's criticized the outgoing Cuban leader over human rights concerns and said today that, "Cuba's future should be determined by the Cuban people and not by an anti-democratic successor regime."
But the Illinois senator's relative moderation on travel and diplomatic fronts has drawn criticism from several of his opponents, including Clinton, who argued when Obama wrote his Miami Herald piece that, "Until it is clear what type of policies might come with a new government, we cannot talk about changes in the U.S. policies toward Cuba."
The criticism from Republican John McCain has been even more pointed. McCain, who has campaigned ....
Viren
Posted 20 February 2008 - 10:45 PM
http://www.delegatehub.com/
Obama supporters can't list a single accomplishment!!
Chris Matthews Humiliates State Senator Kirk Watson On MSNBC
But he was unable to answer Chris Matthews most basic demand: "Name some of his legislative accomplishments... name any..." A fantastically awkward mix of dead air, stuttering, laughter and repetition ensued, as Watson could not name a single one.
The 2 debates scheduled in comming days would be most interesting. I predict Hillary running circles around Obama wagon on this.
Media bias at it again:
Networks Interrupt Clinton Speech For Obama
Mudy
Posted 20 February 2008 - 11:06 PM
Greatest Coup in my life time, oh yes Democracy at work.
Chris Mathew or Tim Russert or Andrea Mitchel or whole MSNBC are biased and they had broken even Fox record.
This one pro Clinton by Chris Mathew is just paying one due for his long list of insults on Hillary.
acharya
Posted 21 February 2008 - 12:44 AM
Obama Holds Off Clinton in Wisconsin
By JACKIE CALMES
February 20, 2008 12:32 p.m.
Barack Obama held off Hillary Clinton's belated attempt to brake his momentum in Wisconsin's Democratic primary and Hawaii's caucuses, winning his 10th-straight presidential-nominating contest as the two get closer to the showdown Sen. Clinton has promised in Ohio and Texas two weeks away.
In Wisconsin's Republican primary and Washington state caucuses, Arizona Sen. John McCain prevailed as expected over his main remaining challenger, former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee. The senator drew closer to the 1,191 delegates that would make official his current status as the party's presumptive nominee, though a sizable number of social conservatives continued to register their unhappiness by voting for his rival.
In his victory speech last night, Sen. McCain left no doubt which Democrat he expects to run against -- Sen. Obama. Without naming the 46-year-old first-term senator from Illinois, the 71-year-old fourth-term Sen. McCain clearly had his younger rival in mind in drawing a blistering contrast between his own national-security experience and "an eloquent but empty call for change."
Barack Obama chalked up another democratic primary win over Hillary Clinton, while Wisconsin also had some good news for John McCain. Fox's Doug Luzader reports. (Feb. 20)
Further previewing a potential anti-Obama campaign -- while ignoring Sen. Clinton -- Sen. McCain asked whether the next president will have the experience to counter the world's threats, or "will we risk the confused leadership of an inexperienced candidate, who once suggested bombing our ally Pakistan and suggested sitting down without preconditions or clear purpose with enemies who support terrorists and are intent on destabilizing the world by acquiring nuclear weapons?"
Sen. Obama, already campaigning in Texas last night, used his Wisconsin valedictory speech not only to re-emphasize his message of political inclusiveness and an end to partisan gridlock, but to answer both his Democratic and potential Republican rivals.
Even as Sen. McCain was poised for his attack on Sen. Obama from the Republican side last night, in the Democratic arena Sen. Clinton had mounted a new offensive against Sen. Obama in Youngstown, Ohio, contending that only she is "ready on day one to be commander in chief."
[Chart]
But Sen. Obama told a cheering rally of thousands in Houston, "As your commander in chief my job will be to keep you safe...and I will not hesitate to strike against any who would do us harm."
He called Sen. McCain "a genuine American hero," then added, "but when he embraces George Bush's failed economic policies, when he says that he is willing to send our troops into another 100 years of war in Iraq, then he represents the politics of yesterday, and we want to be the party of tomorrow. And I'm looking forward to having that debate with John McCain."
Also yesterday, Sen. Obama easily won the Democratic caucuses in the state where he spent much of his youth, Hawaii. With 100% of precincts reporting, Sen. Obama took 76% of the votes compared with 24% for Sen. Clinton.
Despite Sen. Obama's hot streak since he roughly split with Sen. Clinton the results of the 22-state "Super Tuesday" contests early this month, the two remain close in convention delegates won in the 38 contests so far. Before yesterday, Sen. Obama had a 63-delegate lead according to an Associated Press tally -- with 1,281 delegates to Sen. Clinton's 1,218. Wisconsin had 74 delegates at stake, and Hawaii, 20.
Scramble for Commitments
[Click for more photos]
Sens. John McCain and Barack Obama spoke at their rallies Tuesday.
Neither senator is expected to be able to reach the 2,025 majority needed for nomination in the remaining contests to June, given Democratic Party rules that delegates be divided in line with each candidate's vote. That has spawned a separate scramble for commitments from 795 super-delegates, the party's top officers and states' elected officials who are free to vote for the candidate of their choice.
Sen. McCain was expected to get the bulk of Wisconsin Republicans' 40 delegates, which the state awards according to the winner of each congressional district. He had 908 going into the primary, or about three-quarters of the total needed, to 245 for Mr. Huckabee and 14 for libertarian Rep. Ron Paul of Texas, by the AP's count.
For the Democrats, Wisconsin became something of a warm-up for the March 4 contest in Ohio -- another economically distressed Midwestern state with a mix of blue-collar and rural voters receptive to candidates promising change. Both senators ratcheted up their populist economic rhetoric, pledging relief to middle-class voters struggling with mortgage and health-care costs and emphasizing the downsides of free trade for displaced workers.
Sen. Clinton initially seemed to cede the Badger State to Sen. Obama -- much as she had the eight other contests since Super Tuesday -- in her focus on Ohio and Texas, and their combined 334 Democratic delegates. But Sen. Obama's bigger-than-expected mid-February victories -- and thus, his fatter delegate hauls -- forced a change of strategy.
Late last week, the Clinton campaign decided to make a stand in Wisconsin, to at least hold down Sen. Obama's margin of victory, if not upset him. The state's Democratic electorate seemed potentially receptive, mostly white and female, with many older and blue-collar voters.
But exit polls of voters for the AP and television networks showed Sen. Obama doing well among most subgroups of voters, including some that have favored Sen. Clinton in previous state contests. The New York senator led as usual among women, and among the oldest and the poorest Democratic voters, but Sen. Obama was splitting the votes or narrowly leading among voters without college degrees, and moderate and conservative Democrats.
The exit polls suggested another big gender gap for Sen. Clinton, with Sen. Obama significantly winning among male voters, even as he improved on some of his past showings among women. As usual, he was the clear choice of liberals, the college-educated and independents. With Wisconsin's Democratic primary open to all voters, independents made up about a quarter of the turnout, according to exit polls, and Sen. Obama was their choice by nearly 30 percentage points over Sen. Clinton. Among Democratic voters, the two were about even.
Economic angst was the backdrop for voters' decision-making; as in earlier states, Democrats were most discouraged. They split only over whether the economy was in bad shape, or poor, according to exit polls. More Republican primary voters were sanguine about the economy, yet a majority agreed it is in bad or poor shape.
Wisconsin Democrats' responses on international trade illustrated why both Sens. Obama and Clinton emphasized heightened skepticism of free trade, with Sen. Obama in particular emphasizing that he would review the North American Free Trade Agreement that Sen. Clinton's husband, President Bill Clinton, concluded with Canada and Mexico in 1993. Seven in 10 Democrats said foreign trade costs jobs in Wisconsin, while fewer than two in 10 said it creates more jobs; one in 10 said trade has no impact on jobs.
As in other states, turnout was higher in the Democrats' primary than in the Republicans' contest, reflecting Democrats' greater enthusiasm for recapturing the White House this year and Republicans' demoralization as President Bush and the Iraq war remain widely unpopular. But in these later contests, Republican turnout may be depressed further by a sense that the race is over.
While the Republicans are coming closer to choosing their nominee, the Democratic race is becoming increasingly negative as the delegate count remains close. (Feb. 19)
Yet Mr. Huckabee heads to Texas today, fighting on for conservatives' votes, to the chagrin of some party leaders who want Sen. McCain freed to focus on uniting the party and turning to the general-election campaign against a Democrat. In Wisconsin, Mr. Huckabee emphasized that he -- not Sen. McCain -- supports constitutional amendments against abortion and same-sex marriage, and a so-called "fair tax" national sales tax to replace the federal income-tax code.
Both Ohio and Texas are must-win states for Sen. Clinton, Democratic strategists agree, given her declaration that those are her firewall to stop the Obama offensive.
Ace Smith, Sen. Clinton's Texas state director, told reporters in a conference call, "We're comfortable we're going to have a ground operation we haven't seen in the state in a long time."
With early voting beginning yesterday in Texas, and continuing through Feb. 29, both campaigns were mobilized to get voters to cast ballots without waiting for March 4. A CNN poll out Monday gave Sen. Clinton a narrow 50% to 48% lead against Sen. Obama -- a statistical tie. A separate USASurvey poll gave Clinton a slighter larger 50% to 45% edge.
Clinton Fund Raising
The Clinton aides, seeking to dismiss recent reports of financial woes, boasted that the campaign had raised about $15 million online in February's first 15 days -- a $1 million-a-day pace that roughly matched Sen. Obama's unprecedented January haul.
They also sought to allay concerns among supporters about Sen. Obama's momentum coming into the Lone Star and Buckeye states. "Texas is one of those great independent-thinking states," said Mr. Smith, the Clinton state director. Robby Mook, Clinton's Ohio state director, agreed. "I don't think Ohio voters are concerned about the horse race," he said. "We have two weeks, two debates, there's a lot of time for voters here to really get to know Sen. Clinton." The debates are tomorrow in Austin, and next Tuesday in Cleveland.
Write to Jackie Calmes at jackie.calmes@wsj.com
Mudy
Posted 21 February 2008 - 01:10 AM
In WA, Obama win was big
but yesterday, even after momentum , poll result
http://vote.wa.gov/e...ei/results.aspx
Hillary Clinton Democrat 243,306 46.90 %
John Edwards Democrat 9,082 1.75 %
Barack Obama Democrat 259,323 49.99 %
Bill Richardson Democrat 1,493 0.29 %
dhu
Posted 21 February 2008 - 02:48 AM
By Aysha Hussain
You've seen the headlines: "Are Americans Ready for a Black President?" "Is Obama Black Enough?" "Obama: America's First Black President?"
Ever since the nation first met Illinois Sen. Barack Obama in 2004, his race has been called into question more times than Michael Jackson's. Obama is clearly a black man, but is this really a breakthrough? Some blacks say Obama isn't "black enough," which seems ironic because for many blacks, former President Bill Clinton was "black enough." In 2001, Clinton was honored as the nation's "first black president" at the Congressional Black Caucus (CBC) Annual Awards Dinner in Washington, D.C.
Were there other "black" presidents? Some historians have reason to believe people don't really understand the genealogy of past U.S. Presidents. Research shows at least five U.S. presidents had black ancestors and Thomas Jefferson, the nation's third president, was considered the first black president, according to historian Leroy Vaughn, author of Black People and Their Place in World History.
Vaughn's research shows Jefferson was not the only former black U.S. president. Who were the others? Andrew Jackson, Abraham Lincoln, Warren Harding and Calvin Coolidge. But why was this unknown? How were they elected president? All five of these presidents never acknowledged their black ancestry.
Jefferson, who served two terms between 1801 and 1809, was described as the "son of a half-breed Indian squaw and a Virginia mulatto father," as stated in Vaughn's findings. Jefferson also was said to have destroyed all documentation attached to his mother, even going to extremes to seize letters written by his mother to other people.
President Andrew Jackson, the nation's seventh president, was in office between 1829 and 1837. Vaughn cites an article written in The Virginia Magazine of History that Jackson was the son of an Irish woman who married a black man. The magazine also stated that Jackson's oldest brother had been sold as a slave.
Lincoln, the nation's 16th president, served between 1861 and 1865. Lincoln was said to have been the illegitimate son of an African man, according to Leroy's findings. Lincoln had very dark skin and coarse hair and his mother allegedly came from an Ethiopian tribe. His heritage fueled so much controversy that Lincoln was nicknamed "Abraham Africanus the First" by his opponents.
President Warren Harding, the 29th president, in office between 1921 and 1923, apparently never denied his ancestry. According to Vaughn, William Chancellor, a professor of economics and politics at Wooster College in Ohio, wrote a book on the Harding family genealogy. Evidently, Harding had black ancestors between both sets of parents. Chancellor also said that Harding attended Iberia College, a school founded to educate fugitive slaves.
Coolidge, the nation's 30th president, served between 1923 and 1929 and supposedly was proud of his heritage. He claimed his mother was dark because of mixed Indian ancestry. Coolidge's mother's maiden name was "Moor" and in Europe the name "Moor" was given to all blacks just as "Negro" was used in America. It later was concluded that Coolidge was part black.
The only difference between Obama and these former presidents is that none of their family histories were fully acknowledged by others. Even though Obama is half-white, he strongly resembles his Kenyan father. And not only is Obama open about his ancestry, most people acknowledge him as a black man, which is why people will identify Obama, if elected, as the first black president of the United States.
Mudy
Posted 21 February 2008 - 06:50 AM
http://youtube.com/watch?v=FgctsioisJg
fainting - Karl ROve
http://youtube.com/w...feature=related
dhu
Posted 21 February 2008 - 10:01 AM
The corporate media and most Blacks with access to a mass public never seem to seriously examine the meaning of the most dramatic, history-shaking statistic in Barack Obama's march to the White House: he's picking up strong majorities of white men. That's unheard of in the annals of electoral activity in the United States. White men have always been the most reactionary, racially-bonded voting group, the deepest well of anti-Black hostility in the country. So, what makes them flock to Obama's banner? The answer is simple: Obama has based his entire strategy on sending messages to white males, assuring them he will take race and sex privilege off the table of American discourse. They got the message, and vote accordingly. The other side of this color blind coin is Black Americans, who don't seem to hear the conversation that's going on all around them.
Tuesday's Democratic primaries saw Barack Obama racking up over 60 percent of the white male vote in Wisconsin, riding an unprecedented historical demographic anomaly that will likely send him to the White House - barring a third consecutive general election theft by the Republicans. It appears Hillary Clinton's goose is cooked.
Once whites demonstrated their willingness to vote for a "certain type" of Black man, in Iowa back in January, it was a foregone conclusion that African Americans would line up in overwhelming numbers behind the Illinois Senator. Before then, all that had held back the tides of Black mass commitment to Obama's candidacy were lingering doubts that whites would support any "type" of Black person's elevation to the nation's highest office. When that dam broke, the African American celebration began. After 400 years in slave hell and Jim Crow purgatory, we've finally got a chance! Or so the crowd believes.
Obama wasn't taking any chances. His strategy from the very beginning has been to flip the historical script by appealing directly to the most backward demographic in electoral politics: white males. This "white male strategy" - smelling eerily of a previous Republican "southern strategy" - required constant assurances to white men that Obama's run would signal the end of race as a point of political contention in the United States. No longer would whites, especially males, be compelled to answer for their privileged status. A 40-plus year annoyance was nearly over, since Blacks had "already come 90 percent of the way" to equality. Obama told them so.
Reagan-loving whites - especially the white men who have always led the "backlash" against real and perceived African American gains - found themselves wooed by a Black man who understood their sense of revulsion at "the excesses of the Sixties and Seventies." Wow! That's the kind of change we've been waiting for, exclaimed increasing numbers of white males. A new day beckoned, free at last of psychological harassment from the likes of Reverends Jesse and Al.
Obama is a world-class wooer. His white male wooing is made much easier by the fact that those who consider themselves his "sisters" and "brothers" demand nothing whatsoever from him. Just come home when you get ready, brother. Obama is free to concentrate his attentions on the hard-to-get demographics, especially white men with their peculiar notions of "change." No need for Obama to promise the hood a damn thing, except that he'll cut a dashing figure in the Oval Office and make the homefolks proud that he's there, symbolically representing them.
Republicans and GOP-leaning "independents" (meaning, deep-dyed whites) are crossing over in herds to vote for Obama. They've gotten the message: happy days are here again, when the darkies smiled and were careful not to hurt our feelings by telling the truth. That's the kind of "change" we've always "hoped" for, by golly!
The white liberal/left, ineffectual and geographically scattered, are drawn irresistibly to the Black man who regales them with sweet nothings - literally, nothing in the way of the concrete policies for peace and social justice they claim to champion. His presence in their midst is enough. Besides, Obama is someone who is "capable of forging a progressive majority," they say.
That's a strange concept, since Obama doesn't act like a progressive, or claim to be one. But he has no problem with folks gathering around him. He's a real party guy.
The no-nonsense white men that rule society and cling to ownership of the world were harder nuts to crack; you've got to sign a prenuptial to get skin-tight with them. No problem. Before Obama even began to strut on the national runway, he'd won the approval of the Wall Street and military/industrial (and nuclear power) branches of the Money Family. Run-of-the-mill citizens will be barred from state court relief, so as not to jam up big corporations with their silly lawsuits. Energy companies can count on their usual subsidies. The "sanctity of contracts" will not be violated to save homeowners from foreclosure, no matter how deep the credit crisis becomes. The voracious military will be fed an additional 92,000 soldiers and Marines, regardless of what happens in Iraq, to be available for more wars. Most importantly - and this is the really smooth part of Obama's game - the ever-increasing military budget will make moot all of Barack's and Hillary's (near identical) promises about health care, affordable housing, the whole public agenda that has been dangled in front of those fans and groupies in the cheap seats.
Once he gets in office, many of the swooners will find out that he's already married to the Power Mob.
But that's OK. Obama knows his most enthusiastic supporters - the ones that claim him as their own as a matter of blood - will stick by him without complaint. Hell, their "leaders" show every sign of allowing him to wine and dine and make promises to everybody else BUT them, at least until he is comfortably in office - maybe for the entirety of his first term. For the time being, though, Black folks aren't even hearing what he's saying to the white men or anybody else - they're just enjoying the music: "It's been a long, a long time coming, but I know, a change gonna come."
Oh no it ain't.
acharya
Posted 21 February 2008 - 10:27 PM
KEN CHAPLIN
Tuesday, February 19, 2008
The year was 1960 and I was travelling by train from Florida to New Orleans, Louisiana - part of a tour under a journalist fellowship sponsored by the United States government. The coaches were segregated. As I looked at the passengers in the "coloured" (black) coach they looked like caged birds.
The train stopped at Baton Rouge where the railway station was divided in two sections - one for "whites" and the other for "coloured". When we reached New Orleans, there was another division along colour lines at the railway station. The scenes dramatised race relations in the southern parts of the USA since the abolition of slavery in 1865. It was my first visit to America, "land of the free and the home of the brave" - supposedly. The Black Americans (now called African Americans) were putting up an epic struggle against the colour bar and for equality and justice. This was the struggle in which Marcus Garvey, now one of Jamaica's national heroes, participated while living in the USA.
Over the next 20 years I visited the US south twice again on leader fellowships awarded by the US government. Those visits took me to many southern states, including North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia and Texas. In those 20 years a great deal of progress had been made by blacks.
Led by the National Association for the Advancement of Coloured People, they fought the doctrine of separate but equal education and won. They fought race segregation in public education facilities and won. These two historic victories and the power of education were the driving force for the progress of Black Americans. They grasped the opportunities and importance of education which also helped them to understand better the nature of politics. They began registering to vote and the system produced legislators as well as statesmen and stateswomen like Colin Powell and Condoleezza Rice, distinguished educators and many world-class sportsmen. The fight against race discrimination in many areas was prolonged and often bloody. Martin Luther King Jnr, hero of the black movement, led the fight with massive marches in Alabama and Washington DC. Rosa Parks refused to give up her seat on a segregated bus and became a heroine. Angela Davis and Stokely Carmichael were revolutionaries in the Black Power Movement. And there were a lot of other heroes, including white Americans, some of whom died in the struggle. In the last 20 years I have visited the south on my own and have seen further progress of Black Americans in almost every field of human endeavour. Yet there is still more work to be done to improve the lives of more black people.
One of the Black Americans who has risen to unprecedented heights through education is Barack Obama who is running neck-and-neck with Senator Hillary Clinton, wife of former President Bill Clinton in the presidential nomination of the Democratic Party. The contest is of historic proportion.
Obama is seeking to become the first black president of the USA while Clinton wants to become the first woman president. Obama is the son of a black economist from Kenya and a white American mother, a teacher from Kansas.
Obama, like his wife Michelle, is a Harvard University Law School graduate. He is the senator for Illinois, and four years ago he delivered the main speech at the Democratic Party's Convention which stunned the world for its eloquence. In the election campaign he has created a black and white coalition on the premise of change. His campaign message: "Change, Yes, We Can" has resonated among Democrats of all classes. At some of his campaign meetings, whites outnumber blacks. He has drawn a road map that has changed the face of America, perhaps forever, even if he does not make it to the White House.
Obama appeals to upscale voters, African Americans, young people (both black and white), and liberals. His victories in such bastions of race discrimination and hatred as South Carolina and Alabama, where a large number of white people voted for him, were described as a phenomenon and a miracle by Americans. The finance for his campaign is provided by 600,000 grass-roots people from around the country, while Clinton's campaign funds dwindled and she had to put US$5 million of her own money into the campaign. The growth of Obama's finance means that he has been able to offer a promotional campaign superior to Clinton's.
Clinton appeals mostly to middle-class white women, older voters, Hispanics and lower-income people. Obama's strong point is that he brings hope and inspiration to people. Many of the family of the late President John F Kennedy endorse him because he is the most inspiring leader since JFK.
Clinton claims she has more experience being a senator for many years. Each has pledged to bring home the troops from Iraq within a few months after becoming president. To Obama's powerful message of change, Clinton countered by saying that she has the experience to effect change. She says there is little difference between them in economic terms, health care and the war in Iraq. Clinton says the difference is in speech vs solution and hope vs action. The campaign became unpleasant at times. Bill Clinton played the race card once, but he was pilloried by sections of the American media and had to apologise. Some of Obama's supporters referred to her husband's dalliance with Monica Lewinsky in the White House while he was president which led Hillary to declare that nothing like that would happen again if she became president.
The contest looks as if it might continue on the floor of the Democratic Party's convention where delegates selected by millions of popular voters at primaries and caucuses and 800 super delegates, including party leaders, congressional representatives and special interest people, will battle it out on the conference floor to determine who the presidential nominee will be. If there is a close contest the super delegates could well determine the nominee which would be an undemocratic process in a Democratic Party. All delegates to the convention should come from the primaries and caucuses. But the small number of super delegates will not be the determining factor. Up to yesterday the race was wide open.
acharya
Posted 21 February 2008 - 10:28 PM
“Obama-Land” Gets Larger
By ADRIENNE WOLTERSDORF
February 21, 2008
Germany – Die Tageszeitung- Original Article (German)
The results from Tuesday’s Wisconsin primary present us with a clear guidepost. Barack Obama can start on the final stretch of his journey to the White House. His decisive victory in this northern state, 57% to 41%, is not just one more win, one of a convincing series of victories since Super Tuesday. The results from Tuesday also show that the candidate for president is gaining ground among the groups of voters who were seen as core supporters of his rival Hillary Clinton: women , union members, low income earners, and middle-age white voters.
The blue collar state Wisconsin, which has few African-Americans or other minorities, was a litmus test for Obama – and for the former First Lady Hillary Clinton. She now has to be worried about her chances in Ohio and Texas – her “bulwark states” – when they vote on March 4. After the loss in Wisconsin, Clinton must score landslide victories in both states in order to gain the number of delegates required for the Democratic nomination. But in view of Obama’s momentum it appears more and more unlikely that the Senator from New York can beat him.
There are several reasons for this. Evidently Clinton’s newfound populism was not convincing enough for the voters. People in Ohio are reeling from the economic slowdown and Texas has the large immigrant communities, so Senator Clinton is aggressively making her case to unions and low income voters. But Obama has recently been gaining ground precisely with these groups. He also has just put forward tax incentive plans and investment programs targeted to middle class Americans. While both senators’ plans are virtually identical, Obama’s approach connects well with his message of a new beginning in Washington. Clinton, on the other hand, seems to be struggling to find the right message.
Even the complicated Texan voting procedure in two weeks seems to work in favor of Obama. Not only do voters have to show up at an evening caucus, but they have to also cast a vote in the primary. Obama has demonstrated over and over that he succeeds best where a level of voter commitment is required – as in the caucus states. Texas also offers numerous delegates in places where in the previous primaries showed a high level of voter participation, namely college and university towns – traditionally “Obama-Land”. Both candidates now have fourteen days to regroup, but it now appears that Hillary Clinton will not be in a position to end her series of losses.
acharya
Posted 21 February 2008 - 10:38 PM
Bara Hasibuan, Jakarta
The exhilaration over Barack Obama's recent surge to claim the front-runner status in the Democratic Party nomination process is not just felt in the United States but also here in Indonesia.
Never before has there ever been a candidate in the history of the U.S. presidential elections with such strong historical ties to this country.
Many here are hopeful that an Obama presidency would usher in a new era in the U.S.-Indonesia bilateral relations. But would it?
First of all the notion that just because a candidate lived in a foreign country for a few years during childhood might somehow mean she or he would focus extra attention to that particular country if elected president is somewhat fanciful. Foreign policy is not driven by romanticism but by priorities and strategic interests.
It is not clear at this point how strategic Indonesia is for Obama -- or for any other candidate for that matter -- as the country has never been brought up throughout the campaign, whether in debates or stump speeches.
In the most comprehensive foreign policy speech Obama made last year in Chicago, Indonesia was hardly mentioned. Obama's foreign policy plan, as laid out on his campaign website, only calls for "new partnerships in Asia", without specifically identifying which countries in Asia with which he would seek new partnerships.
The only serious reference Obama has ever made to Indonesia has been in the context of his childhood living in a country with a Muslim majority which would make him the best candidate in dealing with one of the most pressing challenges the next President would face: repairing the U.S. image in the Muslim world.
But as he was once unduly attacked by a smear campaign charging that he had attended a Madrasah while living in Indonesia, Obama has been forced not to overtly stress his historical ties to the country.
And if we look at Obama's record in the U.S. Senate, it is equally hard to assess how he views Indonesia. Obama does in fact sit on the Foreign Relations Subcommittee on East Asian and Pacific Affairs but he has never shown notable interest on Indonesian issues.
Yes true on Capitol Hill when it comes to priorities related to Asia, Indonesia is of less importance compared to China, Afghanistan, Japan, India and North Korea.
But there are a handful of senators and congressmen known to take up Indonesian issues from time to time, whether in a critical or a supportive way.
Just to name a few: Senators Patrick Leahy, Kit Bond, Russ Feingold and Congressmen Robert Wexler and Eni Faleomavaega.
It is not clear why Obama has never used his assignment on the Foreign Relations Subcommittee on East Asian and Pacific Affairs to take up Indonesian issues.
One would think with such strong historical ties Obama would position himself as an ally of Indonesia.
It is conceivable that early on in his Senate career he had made a strategic decision not to get associated with Indonesia as he was already thinking ahead of a possible presidential bid. Or perhaps for Obama Indonesia simply has a less strategic value compared to other foreign policy priorities.
Indeed, whoever ends up in the White House in January 2009 foreign policy priorities for the U.S. will not change dramatically.
The new president will still have to deal with the mess in Iraq, how to get the Israelis and the Palestinians to agree to a workable peaceful solution, uncertainty about Iran's nuclear programs, the rise of Russia as an economic and military power and energy security.
For Asia the priorities will still be dominated by the rise of China, the North Korea nuclear programs, the uncertainty in Pakistan, the mess in Afghanistan and India's economic rise.
And whoever is elected President, he or she will continue to maintain strong ties with U.S. traditional allies in Asia Pacific: Japan, South Korea and Australia.
Another factor that needs to be put into the equation is Congress -- a body that has a lot of influence in shaping U.S. foreign policy through the power of the purse.
The Democrats are expected to continue to control Congress after the 2008 elections. That means issues like human rights, the role of the military and labor that have often times been contentious in the U.S.-Indonesia bilateral relations may not go away.
True one of the main attractions to Obama is that as President he would have the ability to mobilize support from Congress, including from those who are across the aisle.
But it remains unclear whether Obama would have the ability or the power to sway members of his own party on issues that are traditionally close to their hearts.
And we also need to bear in mind that despite all the talk about bipartisanship and reaching across the aisle Obama is ideologically liberal.
He in fact was voted the most liberal senator in 2007 by the publication, National Journal. This may make it instinctively hard for him to disregard issues like human rights and labor.
Nevertheless, the prospect of an Obama presidency is thrilling. There is no doubt of all the candidates who remain in the race, he is the best one to restore the U.S. global image.
His assets are obvious: The face and the background. And these assets would be the most powerful weapons to meet one of the biggest challenges for the next administration: How to win the hearts and minds of those who have been alienated by the Bush Administration.
The writer was an American Political Science Association (APSA) congressional fellow 2002-2003.
acharya
Posted 22 February 2008 - 12:11 AM
acharya
Posted 22 February 2008 - 12:14 AM
US elections 2008: Barack Obama won a huge victory in Wisconsin, but the elements of a media backlash are still lining up against him
Dan Kennedy
February 20, 2008 3:45 AM |
It was bound to happen.
For weeks, Barack Obama had sailed with the media's wind at his back. Political journalists have despised the Clintons since the 1990s. So when Obama rose to challenge the notion that Hillary Clinton was inevitable, much of the press treated him like - well, I'll let MSNBC's Chris Matthews say it: "I felt this thrill going up my leg."
Now, suddenly, Obama is on the defensive. He recently parried criticism that he's a man of words, not action, by channelling Martin Luther King Jr, Thomas Jefferson and Franklin Roosevelt. As it turned out, Obama was borrowing a riff used by Massachusetts governor Deval Patrick when Patrick faced the same rap two years ago. The Clintons pounced - and the media followed suit.
A few observations. Obama and Patrick share a political consultant, David Axelrod. Patrick has endorsed Obama. Patrick also said he didn't mind Obama borrowing his language. It seems absurd to accuse Obama of anything so serious as plagiarism, especially since, as Noam Scheiber of the New Republic writes, "you can't listen to a Clinton speech without hearing multiple riffs she's filched from other candidates" - including a few from Obama himself. But that hasn't stopped the Clinton forces from using the p-word.
The thing is, the Clintons' tactic is pretty much guaranteed to work, at least up to a point. At the most crucial moment of the Democratic contest, Clinton has tapped into a central reality about the media - that they desperately need to think of themselves as fair, whether they actually are fair or not. With Obama cruising to a double-digit victory in Wisconsin, and with Clinton delivering what struck me as a graceless and tone-deaf concession speech, maybe the moment will pass quickly. But the elements of a media backlash against Obama are there.
You could trace this theme back several generations, but for our purposes the 2000 presidential campaign will do. As has been documented by the likes of Bob Somerby and Eric Alterman, the press loathed Al Gore and thought George Bush was kind of a cool guy.
Because of that, the media went on a virtual wilding against Gore, accusing him of claiming to have "invented the internet" (something he never said), of having falsely boasted that he and Tipper were the models for the maudlin novel and movie Love Story (he was accurately recounting an inaccurate newspaper story), and on and on.
It's no exaggeration to say that the media, as much as the US supreme court, handed the presidency to Bush. And guilt set in. In 2004, for example, even though John Kerry was never a press favourite, the ludicrous claims of the Swift Boat Veterans for Truth pretty much stayed in the conservative-talk-show ghetto except for the occasional mainstream debunking. Members of the so-called liberal media often like to prove their virility by beating up on liberal politicians. But there was a determination not to do to Kerry what had been done to Gore.
Hillary Clinton may now benefit from that same instinct. It's not merely that reporters have been unfair to her - it's that they know they've been unfair, and they're looking for a chance to make up for it. MSNBC, to name just one outlet, has been apologising on a regular basis for its hosts' over-the-top anti-Clinton outbursts. If anyone is due for some good press, it's Clinton.
This is not to say that Obama doesn't deserve some criticism. As Boston Phoenix media columnist Adam Reilly notes, Obama should already have been on notice that the rhetorical similarities between him and his fellow Axelrod client could raise doubts about his authenticity. "The real question, I think, is where Axelrod's thoughts and convictions end and Obama's and Patrick's begin," Reilly says. Axelrod has worked for John Edwards, too, and Dana Milbank of the Washington Post has found similar parallels between Obama's and Edwards' rhetoric.
But let's not look too closely for logic. If Clinton had accused Obama of plagiarism two months ago, she would have been ignored. He's getting it in the chops now because it's time - he's ahead, his press has been too positive and a lot of pundits want to balance all the nasty things they've said about the Clintons. It's Obama's turn, and there's not much he can do but hang on and hope for the best.
acharya
Posted 22 February 2008 - 12:15 AM
US elections 2008: Nothing becomes Obama like Clinton's attacks. So once more unto the breach - we come to analyse Obama, not to praise him
Ian Williams
About Webfeeds
February 19, 2008 8:00 PM |
It is symptomatic of the Clinton campaign's drearily academic approach that, while demanding a full critical apparatus for their opponent's speech, they have not noticed that Obama lifted his slogan "Yes We Can!" from Bob the Builder, ("Can we build it? Yes....") One is almost surprised they have not accused him of pandering to the hard-hat union vote.
I am somewhat agnostic about Obama. While I am certain that Hillary Clinton will do the right thing, in every sense, by the moneyed interests that have been backing her, he has not yet had the opportunity to do so on the same scale. Neither she nor Obama have the courage to adopt the single-payer system that is the only sensible solution to American health care's lack of structure, and both of them have burnt a pinch of incense on the altar of neo-liberal economic doctrine.
But the latest attack from the Clinton camp for alleged plagiarism - like the previous attempt to play the race card against him - should have footnoted it as a cover of "Karl Rove and the Swift Boaters: Greatest Hits, volume one". It is difficult not to suspect that the alleged linking of Obama to "terrorism" because an alleged Weatherman sent $200 to the campaign is also a leak from the Clinton campaign.
When Joe Biden stole Neil Kinnock's speech back in 1987, he was hounded out of the race, not so much for plagiarism as for absolute inappropriateness. Kinnock's speech celebrated what the 1945 Labour government in Britain had done for his family, generations of whom had toiled at the literal Welsh coal faces, while Biden's ancestors were trying to get their lips around silver spoons. Around that time, I was a writer on Kinnock's election team, and he took scrupulous care rewriting our contributions - so the bit Biden filched was all his.
The question to ask is, who writes Hilary's speeches? Does she really compose them herself, or, like most American politicians of her ilk, are they the distillation of focus group opinions being replayed back to ensure that no potential donor's feathers are ruffled?
The cult of originality derives from the ferocious Darwinian struggle for tenure in academic America. Like most pre-modern authors, Shakespeare's work is a pastiche of quotations, liftings and unacknowledged citations that, if he were writing now, would have him up for copyright violations. But in Obama's case, apart from Bob Builder, whose intellectual property has been appropriated? He paraphrased a paragraph from Deval Patrick, the governor of Massachussets - who is a friend and supporter, and who has not complained about it.
Indeed, if the Clinton team had academic insight to match their shallow academic spite, they would have noticed what their opponent said in New Hampshire last December:
"But you know in the end, don't vote your fears. I'm stealing this line from my buddy [Massachusetts Governor] Deval Patrick who stole a whole bunch of lines from me when he ran for the governorship, but it's the right one, don't vote your fears, vote your aspirations. Vote what you believe."
The Clinton tactics highlight the self-destructive absurdity of the primary system, in which a party's potential candidates spend almost two years providing ammunition for the other side in the general election. In the absence of clear macro-policy differences, they go for quibbles and personalities. But the primaries also highlight the self-destructive egotism of Hillary Clinton and her husband. Their speedy disavowal of their longtime friend Lani Guinier when faced with a proto-swiftboating by the Wall St Journal editorialists shows that they lacked attachment to their friends and their principles if they thought it detracted from dynastic power.
Swiftboating may indeed work in a Republican primary, where the wackos have disproportionate influence, and even in a general election, but it will backfire in a Democratic primary. And as for an accusation of plagiarism, maybe voters in the general election should be required to spell it, or even define it, before registering?
Mudy
Posted 22 February 2008 - 01:24 AM
This is what I was expecting, after Wisconsin election, Obama rating is going down. People don't like plagirism or fooled.
Wisconsin was Rep coup. But I think Obama machine latest attack on McCain will make Rep to change strategy.
Mudy
Posted 22 February 2008 - 01:51 AM
Make sure you watch this
http://youtube.com/w...feature=related
This is scaring lot of people, check above my youtube link and understand what OReily and Rove is talking.
Traditional democrats are behind her, only Rep. are creating fun.
Mudy
Posted 22 February 2008 - 03:59 AM
acharya
Posted 22 February 2008 - 04:40 AM
HOW TO KEEP REAGAN OUT OF OFFICE
Thu Feb 21, 2:06 PM ET
Ann Coulter
Inasmuch as the current presidential election has come down to a choice among hemlock, self-immolation or the traditional gun in the mouth, now is the time for patriotic Americans to review what went wrong and to start planning for 2012.
How did we end up with the mainstream media picking the Republican candidate for president?
It isn't the early primaries, it isn't that we allow Democrats to vote in many of our primaries, and it isn't that the voters are stupid. All of that was true or partially true in 1980 -- and we still got Ronald Reagan.
We didn't get Ronald Reagan this year not just because there's never going to be another Reagan. We will never again get another Reagan because Reagan wouldn't run for office under the current campaign-finance regime.
Three months ago, I was sitting with a half-dozen smart, successful conservatives whose names you know, all griping about this year's cast of presidential candidates. I asked them, one by one: Why don't you run for office?
Of course, none of them would. They are happy, well-adjusted individuals.
Reagan, too, had a happy life and, having had no trouble getting girls in high school, had no burning desire for power. So when the great California businessman Holmes Tuttle and two other principled conservatives approached Reagan about running for office, Reagan said no.
But Tuttle kept after Reagan, asking him not to reject the idea out of hand. He formed "Friends of Reagan" to raise money in case Reagan changed his mind.
He asked Reagan to give his famous "Rendezvous With History" speech at a $1,000-a-plate Republican fundraiser in Los Angeles and then bought airtime for the speech to be broadcast on TV days before the 1964 presidential election.
The epochal broadcast didn't change the election results, but it changed history. That single broadcast brought in nearly $1 million to the Republican Party -- not to mention millions of votes for Goldwater.
After the astonishing response to Reagan's speech and Tuttle's continued entreaties, Reagan finally relented and ran for governor. In 1966, with the help, financial and otherwise, of a handful of self-made conservative businessmen, Reagan walloped incumbent Edmund G. (Pat) Brown, winning 57 percent of the vote in a state with two Democrats for every Republican.
The rest is history -- among the brightest spots in all of world history.
None of that could happen today. (The following analysis uses federal campaign-finance laws rather than California campaign-finance laws because the laws are basically the same, and I am not going to hire a campaign-finance lawyer in order to write this column.)
If Tuttle found Ronald Reagan today, he couldn't form "Friends of Reagan" to raise money for a possible run -- at least not without hiring a battery of campaign-finance lawyers and guaranteeing himself a lawsuit by government bureaucrats. He'd also have to abandon his friendship with Reagan to avoid the perception of "coordination."
Tuttle couldn't hold a $1,000-a-plate fundraiser for Reagan -- at least in today's dollars. That would be a $6,496.94-a-plate dinner (using the consumer price index) or a $19,883.51-a-plate dinner (using the relative share of GDP). The limit on individual contributions to a candidate is $2,300.
Reagan's "Rendezvous With History" speech would never have been broadcast on TV -- unless Tuttle owned the TV station. Independent groups are prohibited from broadcasting electioneering ads 60 days before an election.
A handful of conservative businessmen would not be allowed to make large contributions to Reagan's campaign -- they would be restricted to donating only $2,300 per person.
Under today's laws, Tuttle would have had to go to Reagan and say: "We would like you to run for governor. You are limited to raising money $300 at a time (roughly the current limits in 1965 dollars), so you will have to do nothing but hold fundraisers every day of your life for the next five years in order to run in the 1970 gubernatorial election, since clearly there isn't enough time to raise money for the 1966 election."
Also, Tuttle would have to tell Reagan: "We are not allowed to coordinate with you, so you're on your own. But wait -- it gets worse! After five years of attending rubber chicken dinners every single day in order to raise money in tiny increments, you will probably lose the election anyway because campaign-finance laws make it virtually impossible to unseat an incumbent.
"Oh, and one more thing: Did you ever kiss a girl in high school? Not even once? If not, then this plan might appeal to you!"
Obviously, Reagan would have returned to his original answer: No thanks.
Reagan loved giving speeches and taking questions from voters. The one part of campaigning Reagan loathed was raising money. Thanks to our campaign-finance laws, fundraising is the single most important job of a political candidate today.
This is why you will cast your eyes about the nation in vain for another Reagan sitting in any governor's mansion or U.S. Senate seat. Pro-lifers like to ask, "How many Einsteins have we lost to abortion?" I ask: How many Reagans have we lost to campaign-finance reform?
The campaign-finance laws basically restrict choice political jobs, like senator and governor -- and thus president -- to:
(1) Men who were fatties in high school and consequently are willing to submit to the hell of running for office to compensate for their unhappy adolescences -- like Bill Clinton, Rudy Giuliani, Mike Huckabee and Newt Gingrich. (Somewhere in this great land of ours, even as we speak, the next Bill Clinton is waddling back to the cafeteria service line asking for seconds.)
(2) Billionaires and near-billionaires -- like Jon Corzine, Steve Forbes, Michael Bloomberg and Mitt Romney -- who can fund their own campaigns (these aren't necessarily sociopaths, but it certainly limits the pool of candidates).
(3) Celebrities and name-brand candidates -- like Arnold Schwarzenegger, George Bush, Giuliani and Hillary Clinton (which explains the nation's apparent adoration for Bushes and Clintons -- they've got name recognition, a valuable commodity amidst totalitarian restrictions on free speech).
(4) Mainstream media-anointed candidates, like John McCain and B. Hussein Obama.
What a bizarre coincidence that a few years after the most draconian campaign-finance laws were imposed via McCain-Feingold, our two front-runners happen to be the media's picks! It's uncanny -- almost as if by design! (Can I stop now, or do you people get sarcasm?)
By prohibiting speech by anyone else, the campaign-finance laws have vastly magnified the power of the media -- which, by the way, are wholly exempt from speech restrictions under campaign-finance laws. The New York Times doesn't have to buy ad time to promote a politician; it just has to call McCain a "maverick" 1 billion times a year.
It is because of campaign-finance laws like McCain-Feingold that big men don't run for office anymore. Little men do. And John McCain is the head homunculus.
You want Reagan back? Restore the right to free speech, and you will have created the conditions that allowed Reagan to run.
acharya
Posted 22 February 2008 - 04:42 AM
THERE'S A DEMOCRAT BEHIND DOOR NO. 1, 2 AND 3
Thu Feb 14, 6:47 PM ET
A few more primary wins and B. Hussein Obama will be able to light up a cigarette during a televised speech and still get the nomination. It looks like the only thing that can stop him now is an endorsement from Al Gore.
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Gore is always lunging into a movement just as it has passed its prime -- the Internet, Howard Dean, global warming, trying to talk black when he campaigns at a black church. He probably bought a big house a few months ago. Gore is such a supremely unlikable human being, he even subverted the mainstream media's affection for liberalism during the 2000 election.
And my brave little Hillary needs a bold move after the Potomac primaries this week. If she can't trick Gore into endorsing Obama, she may have to divorce Bill.
Hillary is, shockingly enough, the most conservative candidate among the top three presidential candidates.
The Rev. Jerry Falwell once remarked that his people would rather vote for Beelzebub than Hillary Clinton.
He didn't mention John McCain.
Pat Buchanan says if McCain is the nominee, the Republican Party will lose its soul. I'm more worried about the Republican Party losing its mind.
Republicans are doing what the Democrats tried in 2004 with John Kerry. In a state of despair, Democrats dumped the legitimate leader of their party, Howard Dean, for a candidate they deemed "electable." Kerry served in Vietnam! Republicans: Conniving has never been our strong suit. Honor is our strong suit.
Sen. John McCain's claim to being a Republican comes down to two factors:
(1) He was a POW -- I know that because he mentions it more often than John Kerry told us that he served in Vietnam.
And (2) he has a relatively conservative voting record compared to, say, Maxine Waters.
I note that there were hundreds of POWS in Vietnam. We can't make them all president. If we're just going to pick one, how about one who doesn't want to shut down Guantanamo and give amnesty to 20 million illegal immigrants? Hey, didn't Duncan Hunter serve in Vietnam? Why, yes, I believe he did!
Moreover, it's crazy to imagine that military service makes one qualified to be president. Everyone knows the true test of presidential leadership is an ability to cry on cue. Another point for my Hillary.
To be sure, McCain has a relatively conservative voting record -- but only relative to Republicans who have to get elected in places like Vermont. Relative to Republicans from conservative Arizona, McCain's voting record is abominable.
We keep hearing about McCain's "lifetime" rating from the American Conservative Union being 82.3 percent. But McCain has been a member of Congress for approximately 400 years, so that includes his votes on the Spanish-American War. His more current ratings are not so hot.
In 2006 -- the most recent year for which ratings are available -- McCain's ACU rating was 65. That year, the ACU rating for the other senator from Arizona, Jon Kyl, was 97. Even Chuck Hagel's ACU rating was 75, and Lindsey Graham's was 83.
Since 1998, only four Republican senators have had worse ACU scores than John McCain -- and none were from Goldwater country: Lincoln Chafee, Susan Collins, Olympia Snowe and Arlen Specter. The last time McCain ranked this far down in his class, he was at the Naval Academy.
In fact, McCain and Romney are mirror opposites: As Romney had to tailor his conservative views to the liberal voters of Massachusetts, McCain has had to tailor his liberal views to the conservative voters of Arizona. While Romney's record in a liberal bastion is as bad as it will ever be, McCain's record from a conservative bastion is as good as it will ever be. Which isn't very good.
In the immortal words of -- well, me, actually: Always choose a strong conservative from a blue state over a lukewarm conservative from a red state.
Bob Dole from Kansas had a pretty good voting record, too. But no one fully believed he believed it. Another feather in his cap was that he didn't burden voters with a "Straight Talk Express," a means of conveyance even more useless and idiotic than an electric car.
Even McCain's supporters on the Spaghetti-Spined Express know he can't be trusted on social issues like abortion. I notice how everyone seems to agree that of course Rudy Giuliani's voters would go to McCain.
Why would that be? On the two seminal issues of our time other than abortion -- taxes and the war on terrorism -- the two could not be more different.
Rudy cut taxes in New York City and, as a presidential candidate, proposed the biggest tax cut in U.S. history.
McCain voted against Bush's tax cuts twice.
Rudy supports torturing terrorists -- or using "enhanced interrogation techniques," as they say, announcing in one of the debates: "I would tell the people who had to do the interrogation to use every method they could think of."
McCain is hysterical about pouring water down terrorists' noses and campaigns to shut down Guantanamo.
He demands that no terrorist interrogation be "degrading" -- perhaps recalling how not degrading it was for people in the upper floors of the Twin Towers to have to leap to their deaths rather than be burned alive on Sept. 11.
So why is it obvious to everyone that Rudy would endorse McCain?
Because everyone knows he'll take the liberal position on social issues like abortion -- and everything else -- as soon as he doesn't need the voters of Arizona anymore.
COPYRIGHT 2008 ANN COULTER
DISTRIBUTED BY UNIVERSAL PRESS SYNDICATE---->
acharya
Posted 22 February 2008 - 06:18 AM
by Jitendra Joshi Thu Feb 21, 2:29 PM ET
WASHINGTON (AFP) - Barack Obama, the wunderkind of US politics, has long basked in adulatory press coverage for his historic White House bid -- but a media backlash appears to be building.
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Hillary Clinton, Obama's bitter rival for the Democrats' presidential nomination, has long complained that the young Illinois senator is getting a free ride from journalists in thrall to his promise of change.
"Obama is the new story this year and reporters love novel plotlines," said Darrell West, a political scientist and media expert at Brown University in Rhode Island.
"But as it gets closer to the nomination, there is going to be more scrutiny of him. Reporters are going to examine his statements, his votes and his background," he told AFP.
Some Obama supporters fret already that his campaign has the trappings of a messianic cult, as thousands upon thousands pack auditoriums to bask in his uplifting oratory.
"Obamaphilia has gotten creepy," Los Angeles Times columnist Joel Stein wrote. "The best we Obamaphiles can do is to refrain from embarrassing ourselves."
But even seasoned Republican commentators have found something refreshing in the 46-year-old Obama's drive to become the first African-American president and turn a page on two decades of political rancor.
MSNBC presenter Joe Scarborough, a former Republican representative, has commented admiringly on Obama's ability to rally independents and even Republicans to his cause. "I've never seen anything like this before," he said.
For a fickle media pack always desperate for the next big thing, the Obama phenomenon has shone beside the tarnished luster of Clinton and her former president husband Bill.
That frustrates Clinton aides such as communications chief Howard Wolfson, who said his boss had been "vetted" thoroughly.
"There is a role that the press plays in vetting candidates and that role is presumably ongoing," he said, arguing that recent disclosures about Obama were better late than never.
The candidate himself denies that he has received an easy ride, noting that for much of last year the coverage was not so excitable when he was focused on nuts-and-bolts stump issues.
"We got good press (at first) because we raised more money than people had expected," Obama said late last month. "And then there was a big stretch of about six months when we couldn't do anything right.
"We were not complaining when other candidates were touted as inevitable and their campaigns were flawless and we were the gang that couldn't shoot straight. So I just think we have to keep it in perspective."
Obama has kept the press at arm's length, giving fewer on-the-record briefings than Clinton, the once "inevitable" nominee who has become more accessible as her campaign has faltered.
Still, Obama brings to mind the original "Teflon president," Ronald Reagan, to whom scandal failed to stick and whose talent for communication lives on in the Illinois senator.
The Clinton campaign has struggled to whip up media interest in Obama's financial links to a Chicago businessman, Antoin Rezko, who is due to go on trial for fraud next month.
The New York senator has gained traction more recently for her accusation that Obama has plagiarized other politicians' speeches, although that piece of spin did nothing to halt Obama's momentum in Wisconsin Tuesday.
Television networks cut away from Clinton mid-speech on the night of the Wisconsin primary as Obama stole her thunder at a victory rally in Texas, a small but telling sign of the shift in media attention from last year.
But Obama hasn't been immune to attack.
Fox News presenters last year relayed false claims by Insight, an online journal published by Sun Myung Moon's Unification Church, that he attended a radical Islamic school as a child in Indonesia.
Insight had said the Clinton campaign was preparing to assert that Obama had covered up this period of his life, but the New York Times said the report was "quickly discredited" and Fox backtracked.
However, Obama is now under broader fire as his chances of winning the Democratic nomination have surged with victories in 11 contests running.
In an article headlined "The Obama Delusion," Washington Post columnist Robert Samuelson said the senator "seems to have hypnotized much of the media and the public with his eloquence and the symbolism of his life story."
"The result is a mass delusion that Obama is forthrightly engaging the nation's major problems when, so far, he isn't."
Mudy
Posted 22 February 2008 - 06:43 AM
Provide link, we don't want people chasing India-forum.
dhu
Posted 22 February 2008 - 08:46 AM
The European Union at 100
Is the best yet to come?
LIKE anybody nearing a 50th birthday, the European Union needs a makeover. But as this special report has suggested, the past two years' talk of a deep crisis is overblown. The union is functioning as well (or as badly) as it did before French and Dutch voters rejected the constitution.
The efforts by the Germans to use their stint in the EU president's chair to resuscitate the constitution may thus be as mistaken as the fatuous logo they have chosen (above). It is possible that an agreement may be reached on a minimalist treaty, but it depends on a string of heroic assumptions: that Mr Sarkozy wins the French presidency; that the Poles can be bullied into accepting institutional change; that some way can be found to buy off Britain; and that almost everybody can avoid referendums. Since at least one of these assumptions is likely to prove wrong, the odds of a successful deal on the constitution seem low.
Rather than harping on institutional reform that may never happen, the EU should concentrate on things it can achieve. That means putting forward sound policies in fields such as the environment; continuing the union's enlargement to take in the western Balkans and, ultimately, Turkey; and doing more work, both in Brussels and in national capitals, to engage citizens in the project. Above all, it means taking advantage of the present recovery to push through economic reforms.
The future of the EU is hard to predict. Over the next decade or so it could undergo a burst of further integration; it could fall apart into opposing camps of those who would go forward and those who would go back; or, perhaps most likely, it could just muddle through. So how might it look in 50 years' time?
A centenary celebration, 2057
The EU is celebrating its 100th birthday with quiet satisfaction. Predictions when it turned 50 that it was doomed to irrelevance in a world dominated by America, China and India proved wide of the mark. A turning-point was the bursting of America's housing bubble and the collapse of the dollar early in the presidency of Barack Obama in 2010. But even more crucial were Germany's and France's efforts later in that decade, under Angela Merkel and Nicolas Sarkozy respectively, to push through economic reforms.
These reforms produced a sharp fall in unemployment just as Europe began to enjoy a productivity spurt from the spread of information technology. The eventual result was a growing labour shortage, which was not resolved until the arrival of Turkey and Ukraine as full members in 2025. The accession soon afterwards of the first north African country, Morocco, helped to prolong Europe's boom.
Of course it was not all plain sailing. The great Italian crisis of 2015, when the government of Gianfranco Fini quit the single currency just as David Miliband's Britain was about to join, cast a long shadow. Yet although Italian bondholders took a hit from the subsequent default and Italy's economy was soon overtaken by Spain's, financial markets proved forgiving, and the government of Walter Veltroni managed to rejoin the euro fairly quickly. Since then no country has been tempted to repeat Italy's painful experiment.
The other cause for quiet satisfaction has been the EU's foreign policy. In the dangerous second decade of the century, when Vladimir Putin returned for a third term as Russian president and stood poised to invade Ukraine, it was the EU that pushed the Obama administration to threaten massive nuclear retaliation. The Ukraine crisis became a triumph for the EU foreign minister, Carl Bildt, prompting the decision to go for a further big round of enlargement. It was ironic that, less than a decade later, Russia itself lodged its first formal application for membership.
At the same time politicians in Brussels and Washington, grappling with the blocked Middle East peace process, had a eureka moment. EU membership had worked, eventually, in Cyprus, which was reunified in 2024; why not try it again? So it was that Israel and Palestine became the EU's 49th and 50th members.
The big challenge now is what to do about Russia. Its application has been pending for 15 years. Some say that it is too big, too poor and not European enough to join. But now that the tsar has been symbolically restored, Russia has an impeccably democratic government. A previous tsar saved Europe from Napoleon nearly 250 years ago. It would be apt to mark the anniversary by welcoming Russia back into the European fold.
acharya
Posted 22 February 2008 - 11:22 AM
By Steven Thomma | McClatchy Newspapers
* Posted on Thursday, February 21, 2008
WASHINGTON — She had everything going for her. The most famous name in politics. A solid lead in the polls. A war chest of at least $133 million.
Yet Hillary Clinton now finds herself struggling for political survival, her once-firm grasp of the Democratic presidential nomination seemingly slipping away.
What happened?
Barack Obama, for one thing, a uniquely gifted speaker with a face that appeals deeply to the Democratic Party. He also had a better-organized campaign.
But Democrats say that Clinton, whose central theme is her readiness to be president, also made blunder after blunder. She chose an inexperienced campaign manager, crafted a message that didn't match the moment, fielded poor organizations in key states and built a budget that ran dry just when she needed money most.
"She got outmaneuvered," said Mark Mellman, a Democratic strategist who isn't aligned with any of this year's candidates. "Her campaign allowed her to be outmaneuvered on several fronts."
"To think that someone named Clinton with $130 million could end up here is amazing," another neutral Democratic strategist said. He spoke only on the condition of anonymity to permit more candor, as did many party insiders quoted here who dare not offend the still-powerful Clintons.
Clinton isn't out of it yet. Aides this week dismissed talk of mismanagement and mistakes and said that she can fight back in Ohio and Texas on March 4 and in Pennsylvania on April 22, and win the nomination at the Democratic National Convention in August.
"People have made the mistake of writing off Senator Clinton before," campaign spokesman Phil Singer said.
Yet it's undeniable that the New York senator has fallen awfully far awfully fast.
One factor is Obama, an Illinois senator.
"You've got to give credit to Barack Obama. He is a once-in-a-generation politician," Mellman said.
His soaring rhetoric and uplifting message of a more civil, less divisive politics as the key to such goals as better health care has inspired Democrats since he seized the spotlight at the party's national convention in Boston in 2004.
Also, his race strikes a chord in Democrats who hunger for the chance to nominate and elect the first African-American president, arguably a stronger ideal for some than electing the first woman.
Yet Democratic strategists and insiders think that Clinton could have bested Obama so far had she run a better campaign.
Some key points:
MESSAGE
Clinton ran most of last year on her experience, at one point surrounding herself with party icons from the past, such as former Secretary of State Madeleine Albright.
It was a strategy designed for wartime, presenting her as a tough, experienced leader in the mold of Margaret Thatcher, someone who could be trusted to keep the country safe.
But that made her look rooted in the past, even part of the status quo, as Obama cast himself as the voice of a new generation. Young people surged to his rallies, and helped give him his first big win, in Iowa.
"Everybody has known for a year at least that if you trade experience for change, people want change over experience 2-1. Why they put themselves on the short end of that, I don't know," said one Democrat who worked on John Kerry's 2004 campaign. "It was a bad choice."
Though she later answered Obama's rise in the polls by changing her message to say she had the experience to deliver change, this Democrat called it "too little too late."
Said a Democrat who worked on Al Gore's 2000 campaign: "A message based on experience was not going to work in that environment. It was doomed to fail."
IOWA AND THE CAUCUS STATES
Starting with Iowa, Clinton was out-hustled and out-organized in almost every state that had caucuses rather than primaries.
Her aides and surrogates criticized caucuses as unrepresentative because it's harder for voters to attend the town hall-like meetings than it is to vote in primaries. As Obama rolled up win after win, they tried to dismiss caucus results as less important than primaries.
"They seemed to give up on organization," one Democratic strategist said. "To lose every caucus but Nevada is to say we do not care about organization.
"Should he have won Idaho? Is that his demographic? No. Should he have won Maine? No. Places like Idaho and Maine were much more Clinton's demographic. But she had neither the organizational strength nor the strategy to lock down these places."
Clinton strategist Harold Ickes denied that the campaign ceded the caucus states to Obama. Instead, it chose to allocate limited resources to different places.
"Every campaign has the allocation-of-resources issue," he said. "And in the context of the resources that we had, the delegates at stake . . . we allocated our resources as we did. You know, we certainly did not cede anything, but . . . those were the factors that were at play in those decisions."
SOUTH CAROLINA
Clinton's one burst of momentum — after wins in New Hampshire and Nevada — ended in South Carolina.
"It was a terrible campaign," said a senior South Carolina Democrat who supported Clinton.
"There was never any concept of how South Carolina should be addressed in terms of identifying voters and getting them out. The skill set of people in the Clinton campaign was pretty low, and there was no central guidance or direction. They had plenty of resources; money wasn't a problem. They just didn't execute."
Worse, Bill and Hillary Clinton hit Obama heading into the South Carolina primary in terms that struck many African-Americans as racially charged.
On the day of the primary, for example, Bill Clinton appeared to dismiss Obama's victory in a state with a large black population by noting that Jesse Jackson had won there, too. That was true. But Clinton had to skip over the 20 years of white winners in South Carolina to settle on Jackson. It was as if he were saying, "a black winner here doesn't matter, because only blacks voted for him."
Well into the campaign in Virginia weeks later, elder statesmen such as Doug Wilder, the nation's first elected black governor, were still smarting over the Clinton tactics. Clinton went on to lose Virginia in a 64-35 percent landslide.
"They blew up in South Carolina," said a white Democrat who worked in the Clinton White House. "It changed everybody's perceptions of them."
POST-SUPER TUESDAY
Short of cash as the race turned toward the Super Tuesday voting Feb. 5, Clinton lent her campaign $5 million. Even as some wins Feb. 5 helped her raise $15 million, she lost ground to Obama and appeared to lack a clear strategy for how to compete after that.
She seemed to write off Virginia, for example, and didn't even comment on her loss that night, Feb. 12, by almost 30 points.
In Wisconsin, which voted Tuesday, she was outspent 4-1 and pulled out a day early to head to the next contests, in Ohio and Texas. She lost Wisconsin by 17 points.
Even looking ahead to Pennsylvania, which she considers a must-win for her comeback, Clinton aides failed to file a full slate of delegates for that April 22 primary. While they can file them later, the oversight was hardly the sign of a well-oiled machine.
ADVERTISEMENTS
Many of Clinton's TV ads featured her talking about the issues, standard fare.
But the ads struck one Democratic consultant as a mistake, since Obama's ads also feature excerpts from his speeches. Airing the similar ads invites a comparison of the two candidates' speaking styles at the very time she's been trying to downplay her disadvantage.
"They suck," the consultant said. "The truth is he's a better speaker. He has a better speech. They don't want a side-by-side comparison, but they're making it."
MANAGEMENT
Clinton recently replaced her campaign manager, Patti Solis Doyle, with Maggie Williams, who served as her chief of staff when she was first lady.
Doyle got mixed reviews.
"It does seem odd to have someone at the top of the organization who has no campaign experience," one strategist said. "Bill Clinton had people who had run campaigns. Patti and Maggie were there by virtue of their personal loyalty, not their campaign experience."
But another Democrat said Doyle was singled out unfairly for blame, as often happens in Washington when a politician stumbles.
"Every decision that was made — whether it was spending or the message or what states to invest in — was a collaborative process," the other strategist said. "It's unfair to Patti to blame her. It was a ministerial position."
(William Douglas contributed to this article.)
McClatchy Newspapers 2008
http://www.mcclatchy...tory/28357.html
Mudy
Posted 22 February 2008 - 09:03 PM
start counting
Obama once visited '60s radicals
ramana
Posted 23 February 2008 - 03:00 AM
from Deccan Chronicle, 23 Feb., 2008
By V. Balachandran
In May 1981, our embassy in Paris was not mentally prepared for Francois Mitterrand’s victory over Giscard d’Estaing as President. Our ambassador frankly admitted that he knew no one in the Socialist Party. A similar situation arose in 1992, when a Congress Party delegation from Delhi wanted to visit Little Rock to felicitate Bill Clinton. Our embassy in Washington DC, which never thought of developing contacts with the President-Elect’s group, had to search deep inside Arkansas to locate an Indian American doctor to facilitate a meeting with Clinton.
Bureaucracy is notorious for its inability to anticipate new situations as Laurence J. Peter (The Peter Principle) said: "Bureaucracy defends the status quo long past the time when the quo has lost its status." A similar situation should not arise in November 2008 if John McCain is to clash for the high office with Barack Obama, now buoyed with the triple "Potomac" victory on February 12, unless derailed by Hillary Clinton’s superdelegates.
The contrast between the two could not have been sharper. John Sidney McCain III will be the oldest President if elected (72), while Barack Hussein Obama "Junior" (Barry) will be the fifth youngest (47). McCain, a highly decorated soldier, comes from an illustrious family of naval officers. Nicknamed "McNasty" in the Navy, he was fearless but rebellious, a tendency he has displayed even during his Congressional term since 1982, where he was considered a maverick because of his speeches and actions. But he was a national hero, showing the highest leadership quality in refusing to be released on priority ahead of his comrades when he was a prisoner of war for six years in Vietnam where he was often tortured.
Iraq will be the central issue for McCain and Obama for different reasons. McCain believes in a militarist Jacksonian model of foreign policy on unilateral overseas intervention if American interests are threatened. His ideas conveyed through Foreign Affairs (November-December 2007) go beyond the Bush and Cheney doctrine of a military and civilian "surge" in Iraq, strengthening Pervez Musharraf in defeating Taliban, organising unilateral or multilateral sanctions on Iran, supporting Israel against its enemies, increasing US military muscle by raising US Army and Marine troop level to 900,000 and setting up a new Second World War type OSS to fight unconventional warfare and covert operations to "take risks that … bureaucracies today rarely consider taking." McCain wants a new US information agency to defeat Islamic extremism, the creation of a "worldwide League of Democracies" as envisioned by Theodore Roosevelt, to take over when the United Nations fails, close cooperation with European Union and cementing a growing partnership with India.
Obama "Junior" comes from a lower middle class family where the burden of raising children fell on his mother and grandmother. Barack Hussein Obama "Senior" hailed from a remote Kenyan village. In 1959 he was selected for a US scholarship to Hawaii University where he met a White student, Ann Dunham from Kansas. Their marriage lasted only till 1963 when he moved to Harvard to study economics. He returned to Kenya with another American wife, became an alcoholic and died in a car accident in 1982. Later Obama would pen a sensitive sketch of how he missed his father in his best-selling book Dreams from My Father (1995) remembering that "more than half of USA’s 5.6 million black boys lived in fatherless households, 40 per cent of them impoverished."
Ann Dunham then married an Indonesian student, moved to Jakarta in 1967 where Obama studied in Indonesian schools spending four years of "joyous time, full of adventure and mystery" as he wrote in his second book The Audacity of Hope (2006), another best-seller. Always at the top of his class at Harvard Law School, he became the first African American president of the Harvard Law Review in 1991. His anti-Iraq War speech in Chicago in October 2002 at a time when he was considering running for the US Senate and when 28 Democratic senators had voted for the proposed war, was a great risk, but it paid off. His impressive keynote address at the Democratic National Convention in 2004, despite being a state legislator, won him instant fame.
The Audacity of Hope contains his political philosophy of "empathy and inclusiveness." Chapter 8, "The World Beyond Our Borders" contains his foreign policy scheme. He credits the post-Second World War American leadership of crafting "a new architecture combining Wilson’s idealism with hard headed realism" which saw its results after 60 years. However "American foreign policy has always been a jumble of warring impulses." Nationalist movements, ethnic struggles, reform efforts or left leaning policies were viewed through Cold War lenses and considered potential threats, since, "US policymakers unnecessarily viewed problems elsewhere in the world through a military lens rather than a diplomatic one." The post 9/11 policies were old and outdated strategies, "dusted off, slapped together and with new labels affixed."
On the other hand, he decries "isolationism," since globalisation has made the US economy, health and security captive to events outside. Also, such transnational threats are from "the margins of the global economy," through weak or failing states, corruption and poverty which the US had earlier ignored. Unilateral military action should only be when US faces imminent threat. In all other cases, a multilateral action on the lines of George H.W. Bush’s First Gulf War should be undertaken, with cooperation from other countries. "Freedom means more than elections" in many parts of the world reeling under poverty. He faults US trade barriers, patent regimes and World Bank-IMF policies for depriving the poor access to drugs, food and development.
Obama’s July 2007 declaration in Charleston that he would meet the leaders of Cuba, Syria, Venezuela, Iran and North Korea in the first year of office to resolve differences, was attacked by Hillary Clinton as "naïve." However, for a world tired of the present American policy which creates more problems, this would come as a breath of fresh air. Also, it would prove that Obama is the "future" while Clinton is the "past." Would US electors choose a further dose of militarism or "empathy and inclusiveness"?
V. Balachandran is a former Special Secretary, Cabinet Secretariat
acharya
Posted 24 February 2008 - 06:51 PM
The Democrats' Embarrassment of Riches
By Peter Ross Range
With two of the strongest personalities in Democratic politics vying for the party's presidential nomination, the party is facing a tough choice. But either way the primaries in Ohio and Texas go next week, America stands to gain.
How can the Democrats go wrong?
Zoom
REUTERS
How can the Democrats go wrong?
This election is a head-spinner. First, it's Hillary Clinton. She's ahead in all the polls for months and months, even among African-Americans. Then, suddenly, after the Iowa primary, it's Barack Obama, a winner with momentum -- nearly a sure thing to take New Hampshire. But, wait! Now comes Hillary again, scooping up the women and the independents to remind Obama that she's had an electoral machine in New Hampshire for 16 years, ever since Bill Clinton made his comeback there in 1992.
Then comes South Carolina. It's Obama again, riding the tide of African-American support. Still, some of Hillary's traditional supporters among African-American leaders stay with her. To them, the million-dollar-smile of Barack Obama is still a shooting star, a man destined for great things, just not this year. "I want Barack Obama for president -- in 2016," intones former United Nations ambassador Andrew Young, a hero of the American civil rights movement.
And sure enough, Hillary's base sticks with her through Super Tuesday, giving her the big states of California, New York and New Jersey while Obama takes eight smaller ones. Wait! They're in a virtual tie.
Now things start to heat up, but good. People like me, a veteran of the 1960s civil rights movement as well as of the glorious Clinton years in the 1990s, are beginning to feel whipsawed. Obama proves his chops in a string of states, winning higher and higher percentages among African-Americans, cutting into Hillary's base of white women and lower-income voters. He even begins to edge her out among white men, a huge psychological shift.
Then come Obama's victories in Wisconsin and Hawaii, making it a string of 10 straight wins! As the campaign roars into Texas and Ohio for the March 4 primaries, he seems to have seized the mantle of inevitability that Hillary wore for so long before the primary season. Analysts calculate that Clinton would have to win both states by a landslide just to pull even with Obama. And hypothetical match-ups between John McCain and either of the Democratic candidates show Obama beating the Republican by nearly five points, while Clinton loses to McCain by more than five points.
PETER ROSS RANGE
Peter Ross Range is a veteran Washington D.C. journalist and a former Germany correspondent for Time Magazine. From 1999- 2007, he was editor of Blueprint, the politics and policy journal of the Democratic Leadership Council.
Even Clinton stalwarts like Congressman John Lewis, another civil rights hero who now sees the real possibility of an African-American president in his lifetime, are beginning to waver. Lewis, a great moral voice of the 1960s, always echoed Martin Luther King's call for achievement of "the beloved community"-- a state of grace and racial comity when the color of one's skin really didn't matter. Is Obama about to make it happen? How can Lewis resist?
How can I resist? Well, I do, about once a day, especially when I read a detailed dissection of Obama's policy programs. His offerings include cures for all that ails us, every program we all want, but no explanation of how to pay for them. In other words, once he's in the White House, he'll have difficulty making it work. Clinton has something for everything, too. But she and her team, who have been there before, understand the budget battles and compromises ahead. Hillary is the vessel of Clintonism--programs and policies that work. Obama is the inspiration that people want to hear. Can he sustain it through Election Day?
Every other day I start feeling the Obamania again, compounded by the seeming inevitability. I'm moved by his rhetoric of unity and hope, even though I still have strong doubts about how he will do on such issues as foreign policy. Since he staked his campaign heavily on the Iraq war ("I was against it before it started!") Obama would face a huge challenge from John McCain if things continue to improve in Iraq through November. It could happen: Violence by insurgents and sectarian militias is down 80 percent from one year ago, the Iraqi military says. Ironically, Obama (or Clinton) would have just as big a challenge from McCain if, God forbid, there's a turn for the worse in Iraq or some new terror attack on US soil.
While Hillary strains to sound inspiring with a voice and style better suited to running policy meetings, Obama, the natural, croons like a political Sinatra. I'm seduced by the idea that we as Americans can rise above some of our differences, and, yes, that just having Barack and Michelle in the White House, throwing the obligatory state dinners--"Hello, President Sarkozy! Hello, King Fahd! Hello, President Hu Jintao!--would set the world back on its heels a bit. Michelle Obama, with her forthright style and raw intelligence, is becoming a super-star in her own right. The very thought of an African-American First Lady takes my breath away. America is different; America is about the future; let's try to get it right.
I constantly feel the ground shifting under me. It shows, if nothing else, that we Democrats are, for once, blessed with an embarrassment of riches, almost a no-lose situation. Is it a landslide? An avalanche? Or just a passing tremor? Never have Democratic Party politics felt so seismic, so unpredictable. Or so good.
acharya
Posted 24 February 2008 - 06:52 PM
Sun Online
February 21, 2008 08:20 am | Barack Obama has not only just taken the lead in the contest to become the Democrats� presidential candidate by winning the Potomac primaries, but he also swept up the Grammy Award for the audio version of his book, The Audacity of Hope last week. If nothing else, that shows his real popularity.
It was, therefore, an apt and timely idea for the Hungarian opposition leader, Viktor Orbán, to base his regular, state-of-the-nation speech on one of the cornerstone thoughts of Obama’s book.
“That which binds us together is greater than that which drives us apart,” Obama writes in the prologue in his book, and Orbán did not simply use this as a nice phrase to open up with, but returned to the thought, emphasizing it two more times during his speech, calling for unity and alliance.
Obama is, of course, a liberal nominee, while Orbán is head of a conservative party, but those titles don’t matter too much these days. The line between left and right had already been blurred by the beginning of the 21st century, and, at the level of slogans, at least, there probably aren’t far fewer values Fidesz shares with today’s Democratic Party than with the “classical” conservative movements of the 20th century.
There is even a (coincidental) ) similarity between Fidesz’s Social Referendum logo and Obama’s 2008 campaign, which has long been a source of internet humor.
Alas, it seems Orbán has never read Obama’s book any further than the prologue. If he had, it would have surely occurred to him that when Obama calls for unity, he doesn’t just mean unity with more and more of his own supporters, but rather unity with his political opponents too.
In Obama’s thinking, an alliance can be described as “let’s put our debates aside and work together for the good of all,” while in Orbán’s understanding, it seems to mean “let’s come together and follow me against them.”
Respect
It is only a few pages further where Obama discusses at length how he respects George W Bush as a man, and how he admires most of his personal values, despite their serious disputes on most political questions, and Obama’s belief that Bush should be held personally accountable for the damage his administration has caused.
“I recalled my previous two encounters with the President... and both times I’d found the President to be a likable man... with the same straightforward manner that had helped him win two elections,” writes Obama.
For the President, read Ferenc Gyurcsány, and imagine the improbability of Viktor Orbán saying this at any time of his political career.
Following the logic that a politician’s past mistakes can come to stand as a symbol for the person – based on which Orbán usually dubs Gyurcsány a symbol of lying, the head of the opposition is undoubtedly a symbol of division in Hungary.
He started digging a ditch between the two sides while leading his 1998-2002 government and proclaiming “the House could always work without an opposition; it would just be a bit more boring.”
But he became especially vigorous and successful in establishing clear water between them after losing the general elections in 2002.
First, he told his supporters that they “can never be in opposition,” suggesting that the newly elected Socialist government was illegitimate and unpatriotic, and ended up at a degree where he makes his whole parliamentary group leave the debating room whenever the prime minister has something to say (a position that is still upheld today).
So if Gyurcsány, following his “lying” speech, is the one man who shouldn’t keep talking about honesty and transparency (a claim frequently reiterated by Fidesz politicians), then Orbán, surely, is one person who’d better keep quiet about unity and alliance.
But then again, his speech had nothing really to do with forming an alliance or unity: it was a harsh campaign speech, aimed solely at the approaching referendum.
It was telling how Orbán addressed the issue of the mandatory, although illegal, hálapénz (or gratitude money) for doctors and nurses, in order to gather support for the abolishment of the visiting fee (one of the three questions Hungarian citizens will be asked on Mar 9).
Failed struggle
“Look where we got in our failed struggle against gratitude money: now we have both gratitude money and the visiting fee.... This means we are paying twice for the same thing. It is like we had to pay for a theater both beforehand, and on our way out,” he exclaimed.
In other words it means that, by supporting a ban on the visiting fee, Orbán implicitly approves the illegal practice of the gratitude money (so that we pay only once).
“We either exaggerate the degree to which policies we don’t like impinge on our most sacred values, or play dumb when our own preferred policies conflict with important countervailing values.”
This quote is not from Orbán, it’s from Obama. But it could well be about Orbán, too. The policy of division has driven Fidesz to a point where collation of competing values is not possible any longer.
The benefits and disadvantages of any proposal are judged exclusively by its origin. If it doesn’t add up, they have no other choice but to play dumb. And so they do.
Oh, and by the way, the expected overwhelming victory of the referendum, as opposed to what we had heard earlier, will not now overthrow the government.
Were it likely to do so, Orbán surely would have mentioned it on Wednesday.
acharya
Posted 24 February 2008 - 06:59 PM
Black Hero Threatens Not to Vote for Hillary
By Rik Kuethe
Translated By Dorian de Wind
February 19, 2008
The Netherlands - Elsevier – Original text (Dutch)
John Lewis is one of the most well-known figures from the Civil Rights Movement. As a young seminarian he was the first one who let himself be beaten to a pulp on the Edmund Pettus Bridge in Selma.
He led a procession of blacks who were demonstrating for the right to be registered as voters. Lewis was not afraid of the blows by the police, since he was used to that. But, he was afraid that the state troopers would throw him off the bridge, because he could not swim.
Wounds
Lewis was not much of a talker, but rather somewhat shy. Other activists became famous for their pronouncements, Lewis for his wounds. On every group photograph from around that time, with Martin Luther King inexorably in the middle, Lewis stands to the side.
It is all discussed in his autobiography “Walking with the Wind.” The title refers to an incident when Lewis was just four years old. On a certain day, a tremendous thunderstorm burst over Pike County in Alabama, where his parents worked in the cotton fields. His aunt Seneva called all the children, 16 in number, to help her keep her ramshackle wooden house from blowing away.
Religion
As Lewis describes it, the children held on to the house, four at each corner, the same way as one would try to keep a flapping tarpaulin from flying skywards. Anyway, the house was saved.
Young John, who hated everything that had anything to do with cotton, was crazy about chickens. During his early youth, already steeped in religion, he preached to the gathered flock of chickens and held a religious funeral service whenever a member of the brood passed away.
In 1986, somewhat surprisingly, Lewis was elected to the House of Representatives, representing a district in Georgia. He holds a seat there, and is still a very valued member who has risen to become the Chairman of the Black Caucus. Politically speaking, this Democrat was still very close to the Clinton couple.
Super-delegates
Because of the mere fact that he is a member of Congress, Lewis belongs to the 796 so-called super-delegates, party barons who at the Democratic convention in August have voting rights without themselves having been elected through a primary (see my weblog: “Will Democrats later on be so democratic.”)
Lewis had already said last year that he would vote for Hillary Clinton for the Democratic nomination. But that was when Barack Obama was still miles behind. In the meantime, Lewis’s voting district voted for Obama 3-to-1 during the Super Tuesday primaries.
A few days later, the senator from Illinois said that the inherent undemocratic character of a nomination where the party barons become the decisive factor (should it come this far) can be neutralized. This can be done if the super-delegates promise to follow the will of the voters in their state or district.
Strange
Lewis has told the New York Times that his supporters are strongly insisting that he vote for Obama at the Convention. Lewis said that , because of democratic considerations, he was very sensitive to that call.
Then there is something else. When Lewis on that summer day more than 40 years ago in Selma let himself be beaten up , it was, among other reasons, because the day would come (then, unbelievably far away) when a “negro” would have a good chance to become president of the United States. That day has now arrived. Thus, it would be strange if, of all people, John Lewis would withhold his vote from Barack Obama.
Mudy
Posted 25 February 2008 - 04:56 AM
Mudy
Posted 25 February 2008 - 10:24 PM
Rajesh,
Check today Video and listen to two black blogger. Here they are openly discussing race issue.
dhu
Posted 26 February 2008 - 12:32 AM
Rajeev Srinivasan
Barack Obama might be ahead of Hillary Clinton, but his path to White House will not be an easy one
There certainly is a buzz around Mr Barack Obama. His string of 11 straight victories over Ms Hillary Clinton in the Democratic primaries has startled both pundits and average voters. The extravagant comparisons to John Kennedy's fabled Camelot, the enthusiastic youngsters who mob him everywhere, the immense fund-raising he has managed -- all this suggests that Mr Obama's momentum is unstoppable.
There is a generation gap among voters: Those who remember Camelot and those who read about it later. The older generation is much more willing to accept Ms Clinton's record of experience and maturity. The young are swept away by the promise of change and the idealism that are the cornerstones of the Obama campaign.
So Mr Obama has the "Big Mo", momentum. It is indeed remarkable that a Black man is now offering a credible challenge for the US presidency. After all, the brutal racism of Jim Crow, the landmark Supreme Court decision Brown vs Board of Education, and Rosa Parks's refusal to yield a seat on a bus are all within living memory.
There certainly has been considerable progress in the ability of individual Blacks to rise to the top in the US. But it is questionable whether America is ready to accept a non-White as the Commander-in-Chief. The President is almost deified in the US, his (yes, his, as there has never been a woman in the position) every move and every word is analysed with great interest, he becomes the role model for youngsters. And America still thinks of itself as largely WASP, White Anglo-Saxon Protestant. As a result, it is unclear whether the enthusiasm shown by the crowds today will translate into a winning coalition.
In opinion polls conducted today pitting Mr Obama against Mr John McCain, Mr Obama ends up winning. But do these opinion polls mean much? The prejudices of the pollsters enter into the picture, as has been seen often in the disastrous predictions of so-called psephologists in India. Besides, it is likely that many people will appear more liberal in a poll than they really are. Some of Mr Obama's perceived support may well vanish at the polling booth.
Besides, Mr Obama is all rhetoric and no substance. He has no track record. Yes, we all want world peace and want to stop global warming, but oratory won't do it. Mr Obama's watchword is change. All very nice, but exactly what is he going to change?
Is Mr Obama going to immediately pull out of Iraq and Afghanistan? Is he going to bring in universal health care? Is he going to single-handedly rescue the recession-bound American economy? Is he going to change American foreign policy so that the US stops supporting dictators like Pakistan's President Pervez Musharraf? Is he going to immediately reverse the decline in American education and competitiveness?
Is Mr Obama going to move away from depending on Saudi petro-dollars? Is he going to make the plight of oppressed racial minorities in America much better? How is he going to rein in rampaging China and resurgent Russia? Is he going to reduce global warming by America dramatically?
None of these are amenable to quick fixes. It is, therefore, not entirely clear exactly what Mr Obama is going to change. He may be able to beat Ms Clinton based on all this rhetoric, but Mr McCain may not be quite so easy.
Ms Clinton suffers from some disadvantages: One, the public is tired of her, and of her spouse. Two, Americans are more sexist than racist. But there is no question about her competence or her experience and she may yet be the "Comeback Kid", as Mr Bill Clinton was.
There are also troubling issues about Mr Obama's faith that Mr McCain will exploit. Apparently Mr Obama's personal pastor is an Afro-centrist to the extent that staffers had to prevent him from being prominent in the campaign, fearing he would alienate Whites.
And indeed, there is some murky stuff about Mr Obama's religion. He wears his Christian faith on his sleeve, loudly proclaiming all the right Jesus-saves stuff. But is it that a case of "milady doth protest too much"? It is a fact that Mr Obama was born a Mohammedan, to a Mohammedan father (a Kenyan) and a converted-Mohammedan (White) mother. He spent some years of his childhood with his Mohammedan step-father in Indonesia. All this makes him, forever, a Mohammedan in the eyes of, say, Saudi Arabia.
This has also led to persistent rumours that Mr Obama is a Manchurian Candidate, someone whose loyalties lie elsewhere, and someone who is being bank-rolled by them, specifically by oil-rich Arabs. Whether or not this is true, there will be a determined smear-campaign to this effect. In an America that feels embattled both by terrorism and by the influx of foreign money, this may well resonate.
In the end, Mr Obama will not be a winning candidate against Mr McCain. There is an intriguing possibility, though: The Democratic Convention may draft Mr Al Gore. After all, he actually did win the presidency some years ago, only to be cheated out of it on technicalities. And since then, he has burnished his credentials, winning not only a Nobel Prize but also an Oscar. It is unlikely that Mr Gore would want to have Ms Clinton as his running mate. This leads to the possibility of a Gore-Obama ticket; which could well be a winner. Mr Gore's southern roots may win them votes there. In the West, North-East and Mid-West, both of them have enough charisma. Mr Gore's stolid earnestness combined with Mr Obama's oratorical flourishes may be just the ticket.
Mudy
Posted 26 February 2008 - 12:59 AM
That is my view also, the way media is hammering Hillary, it seems everyone had very bad experience with their own mother, wife and daughter. Sexist show feeling overtly, racist shows covertly.
WASP men are voting against her.
I still feel Republican will come back.
If Hillary gets ticket she can win TN, AK, OK, that is key to be President. Obama had no chance in these three states. Media always say Ohio or Florida because if nominee is unable to carry these three states, they are forced to win Ohio or Florida or this year California may be in list. Al Gore was unable to carry his state TN and blamed his loss to Nader or Florida. Same happened with Kerry.
Bill Clinton and Carter were able to carry these three state.
If Obama gets ticket, California will be toss up state.
Mudy
Posted 26 February 2008 - 07:37 AM
acharya
Posted 26 February 2008 - 11:01 AM
By Andy Sullivan Mon Feb 25, 9:15 PM ET
CINCINNATI (Reuters) - Republican presidential front-runner John McCain on Monday retracted his earlier statement he would lose the November election if he did not convince Americans they were winning the war in Iraq.
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"I don't mean that I'll, quote, lose," McCain told reporters on his campaign bus. "I mean that it's an important issue in the judgment of the American voters."
"It's not often I retract a comment," said the likely Republican nominee.
McCain, a staunch supporter of the Iraq war, said earlier in the day he would lose the election if he did not convince the American public the U.S. military was succeeding in Iraq.
Most Americans now say the 2003 invasion of Iraq was a bad idea and disapprove of the way President George W. Bush has waged it.
Democratic candidates Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama both advocate withdrawing U.S. troops if they are elected president.
McCain, a former Navy aviator who was a prisoner of war in Vietnam, often says on the campaign trail that withdrawing from Iraq prematurely would amount to surrender and give Islamic extremists a propaganda victory.
The Arizona senator has criticized how the war was waged under former Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld, who was replaced in late 2006. McCain says the country has made important strides in security and political stability since the United States increased its troop presence last year.
McCain has said U.S. troops may have to maintain a presence in Iraq for up to 100 years, a statement that has drawn criticism from Democrats. McCain has added he expects casualties to decline as Iraqi troops take on more security duties.
On his campaign bus on Monday, McCain pointed out U.S. troops were still stationed in Japan, Germany, South Korea and Bosnia although those wars have ended.
"We will succeed in Iraq and the Iraqis will take over their responsibilities. Americans will withdraw. But Americans may have, as they have in so many other countries, a security arrangement far into the future," he said.
(Editing by Peter Cooney)
(To read more about the U.S. political campaign, visit Reuters "Tales from the Trail: 2008" online at http://blogs.reuters.com/trail08/)
Mudy
Posted 27 February 2008 - 12:24 AM
Although Obama is not Muslim, TV and the Internet (including newspaper Web sites) broadcast stories that Nation of Islam Minister Louis Farrakhan endorsed Barack Obama on Sunday on the same day the Pew Internet project released its report on the state of religion in the U.S. We are a nation under many gods, but primarily One.
Farrakhan's speech was entitled, "The Gods At War -- The Future is All About Y.O.U.th." He said Obama's the "hope of the entire world" that the U.S. will change for the better.
He never endorsed Obama. He came to the McCormick Center in Chicago to praise Obama, not to bury him.
Farrakhan also took some jabs at Hillary Clinton, saying she represents the politics of the past and has been engaging in dirty tricks.
Obama campaign spokesman Bill Burton distanced the campaign from Farrakhan: "Sen. Obama has been clear in his objections to Minister Farrakhan's past pronouncements and has not solicited the minister's support."
Farrakhan's speech wasn't inflammatory. He compared Obama to the religion's founder, Fard Muhammad, who also had a white mother and black father.
"A black man with a white mother became a savior to us," he said. "A black man with a white mother could turn out to be one who can lift America from her fall."
That positive message though will not be found when someone searches for Farrakhan. Many people are searching for Farrakhan. They'll likely find his anti-Semitic remarks and Elijah Mohammed's relationship with Malcolm X. At best they'll find a religion that promotes black empowerment and nationalism, neither of which promise to help Obama's presidential aspiration.
In the late 1970s Farrakhan rebuilt the Nation of Islam, after W.D. Mohammed, the son of longtime leader Elijah Mohammed, moved his followers toward mainstream Islam.
What's unique about the Obama challenge: people are searching for information and finding disinformation. Search has a viral aspect as the Obama keywords
ramana
Posted 27 February 2008 - 12:33 AM
Bush hopes to spring an October Surprise out of TSP that is why they want Msuhy in power there and not get kicked out by the newly elected parties.
shamu
Posted 27 February 2008 - 12:42 AM
Mudy
Posted 27 February 2008 - 12:45 AM
Ticket to Obama will deliver them. He is over hyped already and reached his plateau too soon.
Yesterday someone reminded me of 1964 election, Barry Goldwater was attracting big crowd, much bigger then Osama, but Goldwater lost by one single ad. That was countdown number with mushroom cloud. He lost election even after his charisma, celestial light and speeches better then any leader before and after him.
So, crowd puller comes down very fast. One ad can do the magic, Rep can do it.
Again if you see, Barry lost TN, OK, AR. He lost by one of the largest margins in the history of U.S. Presidential elections.
What a coincidence? Obama and Goldwater both have Barry as name.
acharya
Posted 27 February 2008 - 06:57 AM
Gwynne Dyer
I knew the US presidential race was over last week when my son preemptively announced that he had lost his bet with me: Hillary Clinton was not going to be the Democratic candidate.
The question of whether Barack Obama can beat John McCain is still open, according to the opinion polls, but it probably won’t stay open long once the two men go head to head. McCain has many attractive qualities, but he is 71 and Obama is 46.
McCain is also a Republican in a year when the US is heading into a recession after eight years of a Republican administration. Even more importantly, he is committed to continuing a war in Iraq that most Americans just want to leave behind. Curiously, this means that the two men with the greatest potential influence on McCain’s political future are Osama Ben Laden and Moqtada Sadr.
The one thing that could swing the 2008 election in favour of the Republicans is another large-scale terrorist attack on the United States. If Al Qaeda has any ability to provide that attack, it will certainly do so, for Ben Laden is well aware that his greatest recruiting tool in the Arab world is the American military presence in Iraq. But it is unlikely that Al Qaeda has any significant presence within the United States.
Sadr is a more interesting case. He is the leader of the Mehdi army, the biggest Shiite militia in Iraq, and he has just extended his unilateral ceasefire against American troops and rival militias for another six months. His two main objectives in life are to evict the US from Iraq and to gain control of the Iraqi government, and the first is a necessary preliminary to the second.
As long as the US presidential election promises to result in an administration pledged to withdraw from Iraq, he doesn’t have to lift a finger. But if by August it looks like McCain has a chance of winning, then Sadr has every incentive to end his ceasefire and launch a mini-Tet offensive against US troops. The point would not be to win. It would be to remind American voters that Iraq is a quagmire that they should leave really soon.
So one way or another, Obama is almost certain to be the president of the United States by January of next year. He has hedged his commitment to withdraw American troops from Iraq in various ways from time to time, but there is little doubt in most people’s minds that he really intends to do it.
What will the Middle East look like after the Americans are gone? Not just gone from Iraq, either.
There are currently US military bases of one sort or another in almost every country along the southwestern (Arab) side of the Gulf, but with Iran emerging as the new great power of the region, many of the host countries will soon be asking the Americans to leave. They don’t fear invasion by Iran; they fear internal destabilisation if Iran incites their own Shiite minorities against them. So keep Tehran happy by sending the Americans home.
Iraq, contrary to all the predictions of disaster, will probably be all right after the withdrawal of US troops. It will never again be the secular, female-friendly society of the past, and it will take at least a decade to recover from the economic devastation of the embargo, the invasion and the occupation, but it won’t break up.
Most of the smaller ethnic and religious minorities have fled from Iraq or been killed, and the larger groups - Sunni and Shiite Arabs, and Kurds - have mostly retreated into homogeneous districts and neighbourhoods, so there’s not much left to fight about except along the boundary between Arab Iraq and Kurdistan. It’s even possible that the more or less democratic system imposed by the US occupation will survive the departure of the Americans.
Iran will indeed emerge as the new paramount power of the Gulf, but its actual influence even over predominantly Shiite Iraq will be quite limited. Farther afield, the notion of dangerously radical Shiites running through Iraq, Syria and Lebanon is sheer nonsense: Shiites are a minority in Lebanon, and a very small minority in Syria. It is mainly the US State Department that promotes this fantasy, with the aim of scaring Sunni Arab states into a new, US-dominated alliance against Iran.
The real fall-out from the US invasion of Iraq is the greatly heightened prestige of Islamist revolutionaries throughout the Arab world. Whether this will ever result in a successful Islamist revolution in a major Arab country remains to be seen - they have been trying and failing for 30 years now - but the odds have probably shifted somewhat in that direction.
And the big loser of this decade’s events is Israel, which must now deal with a strengthened Iran, a Gaza Strip under Islamist control, and a United States in retreat from the Middle East. It still faces no serious military threat from its neighbours, but its political options are significantly narrower than they were.
It’s not much of a headline: “Small, nasty war in Iraq Ends; Middle East largely unaffected.” But then, history often works like that. The equivalent headline in 1975 would have read: “US defeated in Vietnam; no wider consequences.”
The writer’s new book, “After Iraq”, has just been published in London by Yale University Press.
Mudy
Posted 27 February 2008 - 07:38 AM
People already had buyer's remorse. Wait till Nov.
dhu
Posted 27 February 2008 - 12:18 PM
These individuals desire to be morose about the loss rather than taking the effort to explicate the nuances of a culture which can mount a wrenching challenge to the dominant paradigms. In the British Cantonments, there was always a barely tolerated jester who could wax philosophical at times and present the vanquished viewpoint, an Oscar Wilde of sorts.
Rushdie is probably the closest fit to Obama; they are intelligent enough to understand the issues but they have had just enough exposure to the other world to realize that their power to condemn the heathen can recover for them a sense of agency, as well as a role in the dominant paradigm. Thus they repeatedly recourse to the leverage of their one and only skill: the equal equal tactic. Rather than disparaging their own ambiguously (subaltern) oppressive Somali or Muslim antecedents, the heathen will be harmlessly substituted.
Obama as a product of the Anthropology movement:
By Spengler
"Cherchez la femme," advised Alexander Dumas in: "When you want to uncover an unspecified secret, look for the woman." In the case of Barack Obama, we have two: his late mother, the went-native anthropologist Ann Dunham, and his rancorous wife Michelle. Obama's women reveal his secret: he hates America.
We know less about Senator Obama than about any prospective president in American history. His uplifting rhetoric is empty, as Hillary Clinton helplessly protests. His career bears no trace of his own character, not an article for the Harvard Law Review he edited, or a single piece of legislation. He appears to be an empty vessel filled with the wishful thinking of those around him. But there is a real Barack Obama. No man - least of all one abandoned in infancy by his father - can conceal the imprint of an impassioned mother, or the influence of a brilliant wife.
America is not the embodiment of hope, but the abandonment of one kind of hope in return for another. America is the spirit of creative destruction, selecting immigrants willing to turn their back on the tragedy of their own failing culture in return for a new start. Its creative success is so enormous that its global influence hastens the decline of other cultures. For those on the destruction side of the trade, America is a monster. Between half and nine-tenths of the world's 6,700 spoken languages will become extinct in the next century, and the anguish of dying peoples rises up in a global cry of despair. Some of those who listen to this cry become anthropologists, the curators of soon-to-be extinct cultures; anthropologists who really identify with their subjects marry them. Obama's mother, the University of Hawaii anthropologist Ann Dunham, did so twice.
Obama profiles Americans the way anthropologists interact with primitive peoples. He holds his own view in reserve and emphatically draws out the feelings of others; that is how friends and colleagues describe his modus operandi since his days at the Harvard Law Review, through his years as a community activist in Chicago, and in national politics. Anthropologists, though, proceed from resentment against the devouring culture of America and sympathy with the endangered cultures of the primitive world. Obama inverts the anthropological model: he applies the tools of cultural manipulation out of resentment against America. The probable next president of the United States is a mother's revenge against the America she despised.
Ann Dunham died in 1995, and her character emerges piecemeal from the historical record, to which I will return below. But Michelle Obama is a living witness. Her February 18 comment that she felt proud of her country for the first time caused a minor scandal, and was hastily qualified. But she meant it, and more. The video footage of her remarks shows eyes hooded with rage as she declares:
For the first time in my adult lifetime, I am really proud of my country and not just because Barack has done well, but because I think people are hungry for change. And I have been desperate to see our country moving in that direction and just not feeling so alone in my frustration and disappointment.
The desperation, frustration and disappointment visible on Michelle Obama's face are not new to the candidate's wife; as Steve Sailer, Rod Dreher and other commentators have noted, they were the theme of her undergraduate thesis, on the subject of "blackness" at Princeton University. No matter what the good intentions of Princeton, which founded her fortunes as a well-paid corporate lawyer, she wrote, "My experiences at Princeton have made me far more aware of my 'Blackness' than ever before. I have found that at Princeton no matter how liberal and open-minded some of my White professors and classmates try to be toward me, I sometimes feel like a visitor on campus; as if I really don't belong."
Never underestimate the influence of a wife who bitch-slaps her husband in public. Early in Obama's campaign, Michelle Obama could not restrain herself from belittling the senator. "I have some difficulty reconciling the two images I have of Barack Obama. There's Barack Obama the phenomenon. He's an amazing orator, Harvard Law Review, or whatever it was, law professor, best-selling author, Grammy winner. Pretty amazing, right? And then there's the Barack Obama that lives with me in my house, and that guy's a little less impressive," she told a fundraiser in February 2007.
"For some reason this guy still can't manage to put the butter up when he makes toast, secure the bread so that it doesn't get stale, and his five-year-old is still better at making the bed than he is." New York Times columnist Maureen Dowd reported at the time, "She added that the TV version of Barack Obama sounded really interesting and that she'd like to meet him sometime." Her handlers have convinced her to be more tactful since then.
"Frustration" and "disappointment" have dogged Michelle Obama these past 20 years, despite her US$300,000 a year salary and corporate board memberships. It is hard for the descendants of slaves not to resent America. They were not voluntary immigrants but kidnap victims, subjected to a century of second-class citizenship even after the Civil War ended slavery. Blackness is not the issue; General Colin Powell, whose parents chose to immigrate to America from the West Indies, saw America just as other immigrants do, as a land of opportunity. Obama's choice of wife is a failsafe indicator of his own sentiments. Spouses do not necessarily share their likes, but they must have their hatreds in common. Obama imbibed this hatred with his mother's milk.
Michelle Obama speaks with greater warmth of her mother-in-law than of her husband. "She was kind of a dreamer, his mother," Michelle Obama was quoted in the January 25 Boston Globe. "She wanted the world to be open to her and her children. And as a result of her naivete, sometimes they lived on food stamps, because sometimes dreams don't pay the rent. But as a result of her naivete, Barack got to see the world like most of us don't in this country." How strong the ideological motivation must be of a mother to raise her children on the thin fair in pursuit of a political agenda.
"Naivete" is a euphemism for Ann Dunham's motivation. Friends describe her as a "fellow traveler", that is, a communist sympathizer, from her youth, according to a March 27, 2007, Chicago Tribune report. Many Americans harbor leftist views, but not many marry into them, twice. Ann Dunham met and married the Kenyan economics student Barack Obama, Sr, at the University of Hawaii in 1960, and in 1967 married the Indonesian student Lolo Soetero. It is unclear why Soetero's student visa was revoked in 1967 - the fact but not the cause are noted in press accounts. But it is probable that the change in government in Indonesia in 1967, in which the leftist leader Sukarno was deposed, was the motivation.
Soetero had been sponsored as a graduate student by one of the most radical of all Third World governments. Sukarno had founded the so-called Non-Aligned Movement as an anti-colonialist turn at the 1955 Bandung Conference in Indonesia. Before deposing him in 1967, Indonesia's military slaughtered 500,000 communists (or unfortunates who were mistaken for communists). When Ann Dunham chose to follow Lolo Soetero to Indonesia in 1967, she brought the six-year-old Barack into the kitchen of anti-colonialist outrage, immediate following one of the worst episodes of civil violence in post-war history.
Dunham's experience in Indonesia provided the material for a doctoral dissertation celebrating the hardiness of local cultures against the encroaching metropolis. It was entitled, "Peasant blacksmithing in Indonesia: surviving against all odds". In this respect Dunham remained within the mainstream of her discipline. Anthropology broke into popular awareness with Margaret Mead's long-discredited Coming of Age in Samoa (1928), which offered a falsified ideal of sexual liberation in the South Pacific as an alternative to the supposedly repressive West. Mead's work was one of the founding documents of the sexual revolution of the 1960s, and anthropology faculties stood at the left-wing fringe of American universities.
In the Global South, anthropologists went into the field and took matters a step further. Peru's brutal Sendero Luminoso (Shining Path) guerilla movement was the brainchild of the anthropologist Efrain Morote Best, who headed the University of San Cristobal of Huamanga in Ayacucho, Peru, between 1962 and 1968. Dunham's radicalism was more vicarious; she ended her career as an employee of international organizations.
Barack Obama received at least some instruction in the Islamic faith of his father and went with him to the mosque, but the importance of this experience is vastly overstated by conservative commentators who seek to portray Obama as a Muslim of sorts. Radical anti-Americanism, rather than Islam, was the reigning faith in the Dunham household. In the Muslim world of the 1960s, nationalism rather than radical Islam was the ideology of choice among the enraged. Radical Islam did not emerge as a major political force until the nationalism of a Gamal Abdel Nasser or a Sukarno failed.
Barack Obama is a clever fellow who imbibed hatred of America with his mother's milk, but worked his way up the elite ladder of education and career. He shares the resentment of Muslims against the encroachment of American culture, although not their religion. He has the empathetic skill set of an anthropologist who lives with his subjects, learns their language, and elicits their hopes and fears while remaining at emotional distance. That is, he is the political equivalent of a sociopath. The difference is that he is practicing not on a primitive tribe but on the population of the United States.
There is nothing mysterious about Obama's methods. "A demagogue tries to sound as stupid as his audience so that they will think they are as clever as he is," wrote Karl Krauss. Americans are the world's biggest suckers, and laugh at this weakness in their popular culture. Listening to Obama speak, Sinclair Lewis' cynical tent-revivalist Elmer Gantry comes to mind, or, even better, Tyrone Power's portrayal of a carnival mentalist in the 1947 film noire Nightmare Alley. The latter is available for instant viewing at Netflix, and highly recommended as an antidote to having felt uplifted by an Obama speech.
America has the great misfortune to have encountered Obama at the peak of his powers at its worst moment of vulnerability in a generation. With malice aforethought, he has sought out their sore point.
Since the Ronald Reagan boom began in 1984, the year the American stock market doubled, Americans have enjoyed a quarter-century of rising wealth. Even the collapse of the Internet bubble in 2000 did not interrupt the upward trajectory of household assets, as the housing price boom eclipsed the effect of equity market weakness. America's success made it a magnet for the world's savings, and Americans came to believe that they were riding a boom that would last forever, as I wrote recently [1].
Americans regard upward mobility as a God-given right. America had a double founding, as David Hackett Fischer showed in his 1989 study, Albion's Seed . Two kinds of immigrants founded America: religious dissidents seeking a new Promised Land, and economic opportunists looking to get rich quick. Both elements still are present, but the course of the past quarter-century has made wealth-creation the sine qua non of American life. Now for the first time in a generation Americans have become poorer, and many of them have become much poorer due to the collapse of home prices. Unlike the Reagan years, when cutting the top tax rate from a punitive 70% to a more tolerable 40% was sufficient to start an economic boom, no lever of economic policy is available to fix the problem. Americans have no choice but to work harder, retire later, save more and retrench.
This reversal has provoked a national mood of existential crisis. In Europe, economic downturns do not inspire this kind of soul-searching, for richer are poorer, remain what they always have been. But Americans are what they make of themselves, and the slim makings of 2008 shake their sense of identity. Americans have no institutionalized culture to fall back on. Their national religion has consisted of waves of enthusiasm - "Great Awakenings" – every second generation or so, followed by an interim of apathy. In times of stress they have a baleful susceptibility to hucksters and conmen.
Be afraid - be very afraid. America is at a low point in its fortunes, and feeling sorry for itself. When Barack utters the word "hope", they instead hear, "handout". A cynic might translate the national motto, E pluribus unum, as "something for nothing". Now that the stock market and the housing market have failed to give Americans something for nothing, they want something for nothing from the government. The trouble is that he who gets something for nothing will earn every penny of it, twice over.
The George W Bush administration has squandered a great strategic advantage in a sorry lampoon of nation-building in the Muslim world, and has made enemies out of countries that might have been friendly rivals, notably Russia. Americans question the premise of America's standing as a global superpower, and of the promise of upward mobility and wealth-creation. If elected, Barack Obama will do his utmost to destroy the dual premises of America's standing. It might take the country another generation to recover.
"Evil will oft evil mars", J R R Tolkien wrote. It is conceivable that Barack Obama, if elected, will destroy himself before he destroys the country. Hatred is a toxic diet even for someone with as strong a stomach as Obama. As he recalled in his 1995 autobiography, Dreams From My Father, Obama idealized the Kenyan economist who had married and dumped his mother, and was saddened to learn that Barack Hussein Obama, Sr, was a sullen, drunken polygamist. The elder Obama became a senior official of the government of Kenya after earning a PhD at Harvard. He was an abusive drunk and philanderer whose temper soured his career.
The senior Obama died in a 1982 car crash. Kenyan government officials in those days normally spent their nights drinking themselves stupid at the Pan-Afrique Hotel. Two or three of them would be found with their Mercedes wrapped around a palm tree every morning. During the 1970s I came to know a number of them, mostly British-educated hollow men dying inside of their own hypocrisy and corruption.
Both Obama and the American public should be very careful of what they wish for. As the horrible example of Obama's father shows, there is nothing worse for an embittered outsider manipulating the system from within than to achieve his goals - and nothing can be more terrible for the system. Even those who despise America for its blunders of the past few years should ask themselves whether the world will be a safer place if America retreats into a self-pitying shell.
Note
1. Obama bin lottery Asia Times Online, January 29, 2008.
Mudy
Posted 27 February 2008 - 09:16 PM
dhu,
His rallies are very creepy, he knows how to play with minds and it all comes from Anthropology/Commie movement. This FOSA/FOIL etc anti-India crowd is a Anthropology movement against India.
rajesh_g
Posted 27 February 2008 - 09:52 PM
------------------
Ramana, more then studying the candidates and strategic impact on India its absolutely essential to demystify other societies. US is the sone-ki-chidiya right now and India has to build a mental image of the US just like a mental image of India was built back then.
------------------
Anyways an interesting take.
http://www.tnr.com/p...7293d6a0&k=9716
Post-racial
by Michael Crowley
Even white supremacists don't hate Obama.
Post Date Wednesday, March 12, 2008
Mudy
Posted 27 February 2008 - 10:45 PM
Yes, but they change everyday.
Mudy
Posted 28 February 2008 - 02:00 AM
IRS Probes Obama's Church Over Speech
....
In a letter the denomination received Monday, the IRS said "reasonable belief exists" that the circumstances surrounding the speech violated restrictions on political activity for tax-exempt organizations. The denomination has denied any wrongdoing.
Obama, a member of Trinity United Church of Christ, spoke about faith and public life at the denomination's June 2007 General Synod in Hartford, Conn.
acharya
Posted 28 February 2008 - 03:56 AM
The United States presidential election of 2008 will be held on 4 November 2008. <br><br>
The election will determine electors for the United States Electoral College, and whichever presidential candidate receives a majority of votes in the Electoral College (at least 270) will be the 44th President of the United States, whichever vice presidential candidate receives a majority of votes will be the 47th Vice President of the United States. <br><br>
If no presidential candidate receives a majority in the Electoral College then the president-elect is selected by a vote of the House of Representatives and if no vice presidential candidate receives a majority then the vice president-elect is selected by a vote of the Senate.<br><br>
As in the 2004 presidential election, the allocation of electoral votes to each state will be partially based on the 2000 Census. The president-elect and vice president-elect will be inaugurated on Tuesday, January 20, 2009.<br><br>
For the first time since 1928, both major parties will have open contests for the Presidential nomination without a sitting President or Vice President in the running.<br><br>
COSTLIEST ELECTION<br><br>
The reported cost of campaigning for President has risen significantly in recent years. One source reported that if the costs for both Democrats and Republicans campaigns are added together (for the Presidential primary election, general election, and the political conventions) the costs have more than doubled in only eight years ($448.9 million in 1996, $649.5 million in 2000, and $1,016.5 million in 2004).<br><br>
2008 U.S. presidential race will be "the most expensive election in American history." The 2008 race will be a "$1 billion election," and that to be "taken seriously," a candidate will need to raise at least $100 million by the end of 2007.<br><br>
PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES
List of Anounced Candidates. Other possible candidates in Italics.<br><br>
REPUBLICAN PARTY:
US Senator Sam Brownback (R-Kansas)
Former Governor Jim Gilmore (R-Virginia)
Former US House Speaker Newt Gingrich (R-Georgia)
Former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani (R-New York)
US Senator Chuck Hagel (R-Nebraska)
Former Governor Mike Huckabee (R-Arkansas)
Congressman Duncan Hunter (R-California)
US Senator John McCain (R-Arizona)
Former Governor George Pataki (R-New York)
Congressman Ron Paul (R-Texas)
Former Governor Mitt Romney (R-Massachusetts)
Radio Talk Show Host Michael Savage (R-California)
Congressman Tom Tancredo (R-Colorado)
Former Governor Tommy Thompson (R-Wisconsin)<br><br>
DEMOCRATIC PARTY:
US Senator Joe Biden (D-Delaware)
Former Army General Wes Clark (D-Arkansas)
US Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton (D-New York)
US Senator Chris Dodd (D-Connecitcut)
Former US Senator John Edwards (D-North Carolina)
Former Alaska US Senator Mike Gravel (D-Virginia)
Congressman Dennis Kucinich (D-Ohio)
US Senator Barack Obama (D-Illinois)
Governor Bill Richardson (D-New Mexico)
Rev. Al Sharpton (D-New York)
Governor Tom Vilsack (D-Iowa)
THE TWO PARTY US of A<br><br>
DEMOCRATIC PARTY (DNC)<br><br>
After the 2006 elections, Democrats control several key governorships (including PA, NY, MI, IL, VA, OH, NJ, NC, CO, VA and WA) and many state legislatures. The Democrats also recaptured congressional majority status inside the Beltway for the first time since 1994.<br><br>
Former Vermont Governor Howard Dean tried a new "50-states strategy" approach to rebuilding the party since becoming DNC Chair in 2005, abandoning the old "targeted states" approach in favor of building a 50-state party organization. Dean's fundraising has also been solid as chair, and he has made a real effort to drop the angry demeanor he exhibited during his '04 White House run. DCCC Chair Rahm Emanuel (D-IL) and DSCC Chair Chuck Schumer (D-NY) were the other two key architects, along with Dean, with the successful 2006 strategy -- even if the two insiders were frequently at odds with Dean over tactics and spending until late in the cycle.<br><br>
While prominent Democrats run the wide gamut from the near Euro-style democratic-socialist left (Barbara Lee, Dennis Kucinich and the Congressional Progressive Caucus) and traditional liberals (Russ Feingold, Nancy Pelosi, Dick Durbin and John Kerry) to the Dem center-right (Joe Lieberman, Evan Bayh, Harry Reid and the New Democrat Network) to the GOP-style conservative right (Ben Nelson, Gene Taylor, and Allen Boyd) ... most fall somewhere into or near the pragmatic Democratic Leadership Council's "centrist" moderate-to-liberal style (Howard Dean, Barack Obama, Joe Biden, The Third Way). <br><br>
The Democrats swept into office in '06 include a combination of some vocal progressive "Deaniacs," some centrists, and some very conservative ex-Republicans.<br><br>
REPUBLICAN PARTY (RNC)<br><br>
Republicans hold the big job in Washington DC: the Presidency. President George W. Bush -- regardless of which party holds control on Capitol Hill -- has the ability to largely keep Congress in check with his veto power. <br><br>
The GOP also held control of the US House from the Gingrich/Contract with America/anti-Clinton election sweep of 1994 until they were dumped from power in 2006 in a backlash to the Iraq War, the anti-Bush vote and concerns about insider corruption problems. The GOP also hold several key Governorships (including TX, CA, GA, MN and FL), and narrowly held majority status in the US Senate in 1995-2001 and 2003-07. <br><br>
In the aftermath of the 2006 races, watch for the normal finger-pointing and reorganizing between different ideological camps within the party as they gear up for the 2008 White House race. <br><br>
Leading Republicans fall into several different ideological factions: traditional conservatives (President George W. Bush, Denny Hastert, Bill Frist, Rick Santorum and the Club for Growth), the Religious Right (Sam Brownback, the National Federation of Republican Assemblies and the Christian Coalition), the rapidly dwindling old Nixon/Rockefeller "centrist" or "moderate" wing (Arnold Schwarzenegger, Rob Simmons, Christie Whitman and the Republican Main Street Partnership), libertarians (Ron Paul and the Republican Liberty Caucus), and a "paleo-conservative" wing that backs strict anti-immigration controls (Tom Tancredo and Pat Buchanan).<br><br><br><br>
US ELECTIONS CALENDER<br><br>
Early stages
In 2007, because of the long lead time for fundraising and because Federal election laws require the reporting of funds raised for the primary elections, fundraising began in earnest.<br><br>
As pre-primary season unfolds, media will likely anoint front-runners on the basis of reported fund-raising totals. For example, the media treated Howard Dean as the front-runner going into the 2004 cycle, although he was initially considered by some to be a long shot. (Dean was in fact defeated for the Democratic nomination, withdrawing prior to Super Tuesday.)<br><br>
There will be series of events sponsored by the different parties during 2007, including debates, straw polls, and other events designed to give voters a chance to get to know the candidates. <br><br>
The Democrats, for example, are hosting a series of candidate forums and debates in Nevada, beginning with a forum on February 21, as well as hosting a debate in New Hampshire on April 5 and one in South Carolina on April 26.<br><br>
The Republican Party is also planning events for the candidates, such as televised debates in New Hampshire on April 4 and one in South Carolina on May 15, as well as the traditional Ames Straw Poll in Iowa on August 11. In 1999, two of the nine candidates that participated in the straw poll dropped out of the race for the 2000 nomination after faring poorly there.<br><br>
Official primary/caucus dates
Delegates to national party conventions are selected through direct primary elections, state caucuses, and state conventions. The process continues through June, but in previous cycles, including 2004, the
Democratic and Republican candidates were effectively chosen by the March primaries, because the leading candidates had collected enough committed delegates to win in the national convention. Most third parties select delegates to their national conventions through state conventions.<br><br>
Democratic primaries and caucuses
January 14, 2008 - Iowa
January 19, 2008 - Nevada
January 22, 2008 - New Hampshire
January 29, 2008 - South Carolina
February 5, 2008 - Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, Delaware, Missouri, New Jersey, New Mexico, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Utah
February 10, 2008 - Maine
February 12, 2008 - District of Columbia, Tennessee, Virginia
February 19, 2008 - Wisconsin
February 26, 2008 - Hawaii, Idaho
March 2008 (date to be determined) - American Samoa, Democrats Abroad, Guam, Michigan, Minnesota, North Dakota, Virgin Islands, Wyoming
March 4, 2008 - Connecticut, Georgia, Maryland, Massachusetts, New York, Ohio, Rhode Island, Texas, Vermont
March 7, 2008 - Colorado
March 8, 2008 - Kansas
March 11, 2008 - Florida, Louisiana, Mississippi
March 18, 2008 - Illinois, Oregon
April 2008 (date to be determined) - Alaska
April 1, 2008 - Pennsylvania
May 6, 2008 - Indiana
May 13, 2008 - Nebraska, West Virginia
May 20, 2008 - Kentucky
May 27, 2008 - Washington
June 3, 2008 - Montana, South Dakota, California <br><br>
Note: New Hampshire officials have stated that by state law, theirs must be the first primary in the nation and must precede any similar contest by at least seven days, and thus, the state may not abide by DNC approved dates. The DNC has threatened to withhold NH delegates if the state moves the primary earlier than the 22nd. <br><br>
Republican primaries and caucuses
January 21, 2008 - Iowa
January 28, 2008 - New Hampshire
February 2, 2008 - South Carolina
February 5, 2008 - Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, Delaware, Missouri, New Jersey, New Mexico, North Carolina, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Utah, West Virginia (which will nominate a candidate at a state nominating convention)
February 5, 2008 (unofficial date) - Florida, Michigan
February 12, 2008 - Tennessee
February 9 or February 16, 2008 (date to be determined) - Louisiana
February 19, 2008 - Minnesota, Wisconsin
February 26, 2008 (unofficial date) - Virginia
March 4, 2008 - Connecticut, Georgia, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, New York, Ohio, Rhode Island, Texas, Vermont
March 4, 2008 (unofficial date) - Pennsylvania
March 11, 2008 - Mississippi, Washington
March 18, 2008 - Illinois
April 15, 2008 - Colorado
April 26, 2008 - Kansas, Nevada
May 2008 (date to be determined) - Alaska
May 6, 2008 - Indiana
May 10, 2008 - Wyoming
May 13, 2008 - Nebraska
May 20, 2008 - Kentucky, Oregon
May 27, 2008 - Idaho
June 3, 2008 - California, South Dakota
June 6, 2008 - Hawaii
June 9, 2008 - Montana
[edit] Later events
May 23-26, 2008 - 2008 Libertarian National Convention, to be held in Denver, Colorado
July 12-15, 2008 - 2008 Green National Convention, to be held in Reading, Pennsylvania
August 25-28, 2008 - 2008 Democratic National Convention, to be held in Denver, Colorado
September 1-4, 2008 - 2008 Republican National Convention, to be held in Saint Paul, Minnesota.
November 4, 2008 - All 50 states and the District of Columbia will hold elections to select members of the Electoral College.
December 15, 2008 - Members of the U.S. Electoral College meet in each state to cast their votes for President and Vice President.
January 6, 2009 - Electoral votes officially tallied before both Houses of Congress.
January 20, 2009 - Inauguration Day.
Mudy
Posted 28 February 2008 - 04:13 AM
check video
Obama's Houston Office with Cuban flag and picture of Che Guevara
Here are all dots of anthropolgy, communism, FOSA, FOIL, COngress, Marx, Mao .....
dhu
Posted 28 February 2008 - 06:22 AM
Capt M Kumar
Posted 28 February 2008 - 07:21 AM
http://www.safo2008....Feb_29_2008.pdf
Feb-27-2008
I wanted to call your attention to this op-ed by Presidential candidate Barack Obama published in the February 29th issue of India Abroad (http://www.safo2008.com/Media/India_Abroad_Op-Ed_Feb_29_2008.pdf). I hope you will not only take the time to read this piece, but pass it on to others as well. This piece is important for a number of reasons, but I want to focus on just two in particular. First, to have a serious candidate for the presidency, who is the front-runner for his party’s nomination, take the time at this moment in the campaign to reach out to the Indian-American community in such a fashion is truly emblematic of how far we have come as a relevant voice in American politics. Second, he both comments upon the vital issues of the day for our community and is an articulate proponent of the positions we as a community espouse.
If, in fact, Senator Obama wins the nomination of his party and becomes President of the United States, it will be critical for Indian-Americans like yourself to hold him accountable to his proposed agenda and maintain a firm grasp of his outstretched hand throughout his time in office.
With warm regards,
Sanjay Puri
Chairman of USINPAC
acharya
Posted 28 February 2008 - 12:00 PM
Primaries and the
Illusion of Democracy
By Philippe Marlière
The Drawing of Lots Would Be Less Costly
Translated By Rami Assadi
February 19, 2008
France - Rue 89 - Original Article (French)
Never before have the American primaries stirred up such a strong and sustained interest throughout the rest of the world. The media coverage that stood by for the very first vote cast in Iowa pulled the trigger on a frenzy that does not give [appropriate] measure to the importance of the event. The candidates themselves [their personal attributes] do not explain why there is such infatuation with the process. [One has] two heterodox candidates on the democratic side in Hilary Clinton and Barak Obama, as well as John McCain representing the republicans.
Public Fatigue
Would the American primaries be as “addictive” as the Super Bowl or the World Cup? Nothing is certain here. The BBC website recently took and onslaught from members complaining of “primary fatigue.” Exasperated, they asked why the BBC felt it had to bring such wasteful attention to all the [state primaries and caucuses] more than 10 months before the actual presidential vote.
One could respond that it’s all about a fundamental part of the most important election that exists in the world today. This would justify such a deployment of the [European] media who leave [and therefore] neglect to report national or European news [translator’s note-this national/European news he considers just as pressing to the interests of Europeans]. After all, do we not share a share, indirectly, a destiny with that of the most influential democracy of the “free world?” [translator’s note-again he means to say that since he sees an inherent connection between Europe and the United States, are not the political, etc. happenings of Europe just as important, and therefore warrant just as much attention from the media.]
Supporters of the primaries estimate that these elections show that which is best about American democracy. However, records indicate mediocre participation in the primaries thus far. Do the primaries not constitute an essential vector for the politicized citizen? Do they not permit the organization of debates that inform the public of the intentions of the different contestants?
Primed for the Centrist Consensus
In reality, up until now, the primaries have not fulfilled their intended functions. The break-through of evangelist Michael Huckabee has caused John McCain to reposition himself over his moral views [amid criticism coming from] the rich republican right. The differences between Obama and Clinton are brought out over questions of international importance (Mrs. Clinton, former supporter of the army’s various interventions, vaguely promised to bring home the troops from Iraq while Mr. Obama did not clearly distinguish this from bi-partisan consensus over the “war on terrorism”) and national importance (i.e. health insurance). [Thus far] the media has given preference to those who hold to centrist tenants and has neglected the other, atypical candidates (examples being Ron Paul or Dennis Kucinich).
The candidates compete then very carefully, engaging each other in a very hazy and confusing manner, while adopting few to no identical positions. Like it or not, the candidates have become the stars of a soap opera.
Primed for Clichés
More than a month after the start of this political media distraction, what has one learned from the primaries? There is Hillary’s crying in New Hampshire, the clumsy aggressiveness of Bill, and the elegance of Barak. The debate has risen out of moments when commentators discuss either the candidates’ sex or skin color. This analysis’ paroxysm goes to those who put forth several generalizations to “vote Black” or “Latino.” With few exceptions, the primaries are a democratic parody that reinforces several clichés and socio-political prejudices.
Primed for “opinion trendsetters”
The primaries give a sizable influence to “opinion trendsetters,” [the exit polls] that sound the results before the results state by state (such as the “huge victory” of Obama in New Hampshire that ended up being won by Clinton) as well as all the commentators that announce sensationally all the “decisive moments” (the momentum) that a campaign has to maintain (attested to by often contradictory polls collected by each candidate, by the speeches made for self-promotion coming from the candidates spin-doctors, eaten up complacently by the media, etc.).
The Drawing of Lots Would Be Less Costly
On can see [in the American primaries] a gangrenous system from the power of [all the] money [that when spent produces images, commercials, etc] that cannot treat the candidates in any fair or equal way [in effect, it is] style of substance. The voting public has now brought about a break between Clinton and Obama, two candidates who are both capable and determined, two competitors that are not separated by any fundamental politics. The voters must choose between two personalities that are “sold” by their speeches. Rather than proceed with such costly primaries (in both time and money) Noam Chomsky suggested investing in a candidate by a simple draw [of sticks, cards, etc].
This fast and thrifty system would be less unpredictable than the repetitive voting currently forced upon Americans as well as the rest of the world. One could smile at such practices if it were not for the fact that they starting to make appearances in Europe. A system of primaries has already been adopted by the Democratic Party in Italy (a regrouping of the post-social democrats and post-democratic Christians). Ségolène Royal and the rest of the socialist party would like to introduce this selection system by the next presidential election. If this measure is taken by the Socialist Party, that would then sanction the death of the Epinay party as a place of serious debates, both contradictory and pluralistic.
acharya
Posted 28 February 2008 - 12:03 PM
By José Luis Mínguez Goyanes, Director of Archives for the University of A Coruña, Spain
Translated By Beatrice Butler
February 21, 2008
In the U.S.A.’s election pre campaign all of the candidates are making a call towards change and to the return of hope. The word ‘change’ is a talisman. A new approach to politics is needed and it appeals to a common undertaking of the nations to seek out the best in themselves.
Spain - El Diario Exterior - Original Article (Spanish)
In the U.S.A.’s election pre campaign all of the candidates are making a call towards change and to the return of hope. The word ‘change’ is a talisman. A new approach to politics is needed and it appeals to a common undertaking of the nations to seek out the best in themselves.
The American candidates are making calls for the ability to generate hope. Just as in the early sixties, the era of J.F. Kennedy. This how it is being referred to in the democratic camp. And this marks the tendency toward what will surely be American politics in the post Bush era, in the Democratic as well as in the Republican camp. It is that call to the new generations to be inspired by the ‘American Dream’.
While politics in Spain are entangled in endless arguments, many times looking backward and not exactly to bring out the best in ourselves, but rather the worst. In the electoral campaign --well it has been some time since we’ve had a campaign-- there is a zealous urge to seek out again the least exportable from our recent history. In Spain a gloomy way to be political predominates, with ultra Spanish conservative tragic airs.
A short while ago the only surviving child of President J.F. Kennedy published a letter in The New York Times in which she appeals for change and endorsed the candidacy of B. Obama. The author puts out a call for hope in an era ------the Kennedy presidency--- which is remembered with nostalgia and which has left a footprint in [several] generations of Americans, including the ones who were born much later after the death of the president. It’s another way to be political.
Such a call in current Spain would be unthinkable. What is the difference? Here we also have a recent referent and it is the transition, an era in which Spain can truly feel proud of itself. The transition remains like a reference in the collective subconscious. Nevertheless some political leaders keep persisting in bringing out the worst in ourselves. One of them will surely return to the ghost of the civil war, and if not, to those times [themselves]. Sometimes it seems that the candidates in Spain have lost hope and are entangled in interminable arguments over neighborhood courtyards: definitely rancid politics, very far from what will be the tendency in the more civilized countries around us.
acharya
Posted 28 February 2008 - 01:09 PM
Obama Is Assassinated?
By Rik Kuethe
Charismatic politicians in America always summon great opposition. So much that malignant forces consider it a solemn duty to extinguish “the ignited light”, if necessary by murder. It is a diabolical dialectic.
February 26, 2008
The Netherlands - Elsevier - Original Article (Dutch)
Every Dutch person who was born before 1950 still remembers what he was doing and where he was when he heard of the assassination of John F. Kennedy. Except for the North-Koreans and for the single drunk Bushman, this is indeed true for every citizen of the world who was 13 years of age or older at the time.
As for me, on that November day in 1963 as I was leaving the movie theater “Lido” in Leiden--where with my friend Alexander Heldring I had watched a French movie with Sylvie Vartan-- a young person screamed:
“Kennedy is dead!”
“What a bad joke,” I thought.
Protected
Five years later, the assassinations of Dr. Martin Luther King Jr. and Robert F. Kennedy followed, a few months apart from each other. The latter occurred on the day that the brother of the president had won the Democratic primary in California.
No wonder that in the circles around Barack Obama, but also among the journalists, the thought regularly comes up: is the Illinois senator adequately protected or are there deficiencies in his security? It is a thought that one does not readily expresses and even less readily writes about. This reservation stems from some kind of superstitious fear that it may invite such a misfortune for Obama.
This means that everyone, the candidate foremost, has to “act like the weather is nice” while at the same time everyone is well aware of the chances for a thunderstorm.
Praying
The New York Times reported that two sisters in Colorado pray every day for the safety of Obama. In New Mexico, a daughter convinced her mother to still vote for Obama in spite of her fear that winning could be extremely dangerous for him.
Obama has enjoyed Secret Service protection since 2007. This service, which must primarily guard the president, has given Obama the name “Renegade.” As more people attend his gatherings, the number of agents who guard him grows. Now and then, it seems as if he is being better protected than President George W. Bush.
Diabolical dialectic
Charismatic politicians in America always summon great opposition. So much that malignant forces consider it a solemn duty to extinguish “the ignited light”, if necessary by murder. It is a diabolical dialectic.
Kennedy, after all, was not as great a president as many think. But he certainly was charismatic.
A century earlier, Abraham Lincoln without a doubt spoke to the imagination. He is regarded by most scholars as the greatest president ever.
While Washington was awash with the sounds of revelry because of the Civil War victory, Lincoln was shot to death on April 11, 1862, by a well-known actor who could not accept the victory by those from the North.
Disappointed job seekers
Of the four presidents who died at the hands of assassins, two were not charismatic at all. James Garfield was, after a presidency of only a few months, shot by a disappointed job seeker on July 2, 1881. On September 6, 1901, William McKinley met the same fate in Buffalo.
Last week Barack Obama, campaigning in Texas, drove in his motorcade in Dallas by the spot where Lee Harvey Oswald 45 years ago (Obama was then one year old) had fired the fatal shot.
The senator had briefly looked upward toward the Texas Book Depository. Every member of his entourage, and for sure Obama, was aware of the significance of the moment. But no one said a word.
dhu
Posted 29 February 2008 - 09:36 AM
by Daniel Hopsicker
The lavishly-furnished custom Boeing 727 airliner (727PX) which ferried Senator John McCain on four occasions during his Presidential run in 2000 also flew Saudi Royals out of the U.S. right after 9/11, carrying an entourage of Saudi Royals from Las Vegas to London six days after the 9/11 attack in a controversial operation later scrutinized by the 9/11 Commission.
The 727 figures in the current tempest over his relationship with female lobbyist Vicki Iseman, who provided and flew with McCain on the plane.
With hundreds of air charter companies and airliners to choose from, the Saudis chose a company that owns “Worship Ministries” and Christian Network, Inc., turning to Paxson Communications, a “Christian broadcaster” which owned the plane, to make its corporate jet available to spirit the Saudi princes and their entourage out of the U.S. six days after 9/11.
The Saudi Royal party made good their escape from Las Vegas on an airliner sporting a Christian symbol of peace, a dove, on it’s tail, an intriguing detail and compelling human interest story—Muslims flying Air Jesus—that has to date been reported nowhere but in the MadCowMorningNews.
Mudy
Posted 29 February 2008 - 11:29 AM
http://www.alexa.com/
compare Hillaryclinton.com and BarackObama.com
dhu
Posted 29 February 2008 - 01:59 PM
Barack Hussein Obama: An unknown whose rise to political power was built upon the scandals of his political rivals. Both his Democratic and GOP rivals for the US Senate were taken out by well timed exposes involving abuse and sex scandals. Mysteriously, legally sealed divorce records were opened against the wishes of the clients that were than used to torpedo Obama's rival. Obama will at best give us a Euro-America and most likely turn America into an EU surrogate. The very same media that gives us ceaseless drivel of irrelevancy and daily doses of trauma, murders, rapes and perversion has given us Obama. No surprise really once we learn that George Soros is a major player behind the Obama ascendancy. Despite his alleged liberality, in part based on his extreme and impassioned defense of partial birth abortion, Obama is dedicated to the so-called drug war against the people and continued subsidization of the prison industrial complex.
John Sydney McCain: A 5+yr Prisoner of War. Potential Manchurian Candidate, torture victim with his finger on the nuclear button. Scary thought. Ever ready to continue draining America's resources in foreign wars and misadventures lasting up to one hundred years if necessary. Like Hillary and Obama, McCain is dedicated to the so-called drug war against the people and continued subsidization of the prison industrial complex.
Michael Dale Huckabee: Christian idealist that is allegedly for freedom yet supports the continued drain on our resources for foreign wars and international entanglements. Dedicated to the so-called drug war against the people and continued subsidization of the prison industrial complex.
Alan L. Keyes: Articulate and intelligent but his disastrous Senate campaign against Obama says it all. Dedicated to the so-called drug war against the people and continued subsidization of the prison industrial complex.
Ralph Nader: A passionate consumer advocate. However he has no track record of governance and is more suitable in a role of an advocate. He could make an excellent congressional representative. Nader's presidential campaigns have no doubt raised many legitimate issues. Refreshingly Nader is dedicated to ending the drug war and freeing America from the corporate stranglehold. Admittedly positive goals yet Nader appears to represent special interests of another sort rather than the Nation as a whole. He would, of course, be a good addition to any administration.
Mudy
Posted 29 February 2008 - 09:27 PM
Team behind Obama is scary. Whole team is fanatics. Even his fan club.
Not good for world at this stage. I will like to see Clinton and McCain on ticket.
I am watching all three candidates’ blog and internet discussion. After Farrakhan and Hussein are out in open, people are having big buyer remorse. People who had voted for Obama are now driving to Texas to support Hillary, they are saying they were "duped" by Obama team in caucus, and we know how to handle caucus and they are volunteering for Prescient Caption in Texas. Students are taking off. They are doing on their own; lot of people had open house for volunteers. This is a big difference now and 5Feb. Now race is changing into Black and white pride. Hillary site had started contribution and call meter on people request, people ask them to start meter and set target for collection. And people are beating target amount and time. Yesterday within 24 hours they had collected 2 million from online contributor. Early this week they collected 3.5 million within 48 hours. They asked people to make million calls and people met target within 24 hour. I think they will start call meter again for million calls again.
I've Switched to Hillary: In Texas, El Paso County Commissioner and former Sen. Obama supporter Veronica Escobar switched her support to Hillary.
Obama mistake, he started forcing black delegates to switch to Obama so soon.
Now he can’t win NOV. I am very much sure he will lose Texas, RI, Ohio. Texas caucus I am not sure yet.
acharya
Posted 29 February 2008 - 10:03 PM
By NATHAN THORNBURGH 38 minutes ago
Barack Hussein Obama, Jr.: that is the full name of the junior Senator from Illinois - neither a contrivance nor, at face value, a slur. But John McCain couldn't apologize quickly enough after Bill Cunningham, a conservative talk radio host, warmed up a Cincinnati rally with a few loaded references to "Barack Hussein Obama." Asked afterwards if it was appropriate to use the Senator's middle name, McCain said, "No, it is not. Any comment that is disparaging of either Senator Clinton or Senator Obama is totally inappropriate."
The pundits were quick to applaud McCain's fatwa against the use of Hussein, and broadcasters began trying to report on the controversy without actually saying the name too much, dancing around the offending word as if they were doing a segment on The Vagina Monologues. In both cases, the word comes off as not quite illicit, but certainly a little taboo.
So who gets to say Hussein? At the Oscars, host Jon Stewart took innuendo about as far as it can go, saying that Barack Hussein Obama running today is like a 1940's candidate named Gaydolph Titler. But that reference, served up to a crowd that presumably swoons for Obama, got laughs. So maybe the H-word is more like the N-word: you can say it, but only if you are an initiate. Blacks can use the N-word; Obama supporters can use the H-word.
Obama's campaign thanked McCain's for his apology, claiming a victory for the high road. Fine. But McCain might also know that if middle names become fair game, John Sidney McCain III has his own liabilities. Recently, it has been the unmanly middle names that have caused their owners the most political trouble. In 2006, Jim Henry Webb hammered home the fact that his Virginia Senate opponent was actually George Felix Allen - a middle name that conjured up images of Felix Unger, or perhaps the real life Prince Felix of Luxemburg, either one a far cry from the tobacco-chewing good ole boy Allen styled himself as. In the last presidential election, both Bush and Kerry had middle names inherited from elite East Coast families. But Bush's middle name had much more swagger; you'll never see a TV show called Forbes, Texas Ranger.
Online, the onomastics are already in high gear. Lefty bloggers, in full Obama rapture, point out that Hussein means "beautiful". One conservative observer insinuated that Obama, as a Christian with a Muslim name, might be marked for death by even our allies in the Islamic world, if they think he converted from Islam (for the record, he was never Muslim). By that ornately twisted logic, though, one might add that it was the martyrdom of Hussein in the year 680, beheaded at Karbala in a clash with the caliphate, that gave rise to 1400 years or so of Sunni/Shi'a violence. So how on earth could Obama be a fair broker in Iraq?
The real problem is that if the right wants to start a whispering campaign about the name Hussein, Obama is only helping them. By cutting short the discussion, Obama is banishing his name to the voters' subconscious, where the dark opposites of hope - bigotry and fear - can turn the word over and over again in their minds until November.
The same day that Cunningham was dropping H-bombs on Cincinnati, Obama was at the Democratic debate in Cleveland, hastily accepting Hillary Clinton's assertion that she didn't order the leak of a picture of Obama wearing a turban in Kenya. "I think that's something we can set aside," he said.
It was a missed opportunity. He could have explained that he has nothing to hide. Explained why there's nothing wrong with him dressing in ceremonial clothes on official visits - like batik Bill in Indonesia in 1994 or headscarf Hillary in Eritrea in 1997. Maybe even explained why his middle name is Hussein - what his heritage means, and what it doesn't mean. In short, to reintroduce himself to those general election voters who are just starting to pay closer attention.
No matter what his advisers say, Obama wins nothing by shying away from his differences. After all, Obama is the candidate of change. He should take a cue from McCain's courage on Iraq. Say what you will about McCain, but he knows he's the war candidate. And though may have regretted saying it out loud, McCain clearly accepts that if voters don't buy his vision for the war, he'll lose. It's not too much risk for Obama to stake his campaign on voters' ability to rationally understand the difference between a Hawaii-born Christian and Saddam Hussein, the butcher of Baghdad. View this article on Time.com
Mudy
Posted 29 February 2008 - 11:04 PM
“This is the politics of the 1950s,” he complained. “A lot of members are experiencing a lot of ugly stuff. They’re not going to talk about it, but it’s happening.”
...................
“I’ve gotten threatening mail,” Watson said. “They say, ‘Your district went 61-29 Obama and you need to change.’ But I don’t intimidate. I can hold the ground. … I would lose my seat over my principles.”
....
Black superdelegates are getting heavy pressure from such groups as ColorOfChange.org, a grass-roots organization backing Obama.
“Some [Congressional Black Caucus] members are threatening to vote against their constituents, and perhaps against the will of the American people, by casting their superdelegate vote for Sen. Clinton,” the ColorOfChange.org website reads. “We can prevent this from happen by letting black leadership know we're watching.”
..............
Rep. Gregory W. Meeks (D-N.Y.), a Black Caucus member, said he is still “very strong” for Clinton even in the wake of Lewis’s turnaround. He was unmoved by discord in his Queens district, which backed Obama in the New York primary.
“Some people threw out flyers. That doesn’t faze me at all. If someone wants to run against me, that’s democracy,” he said. “Sen. Obama is a very inspirational person. People in the district are proud. I’m proud. You can’t not be proud being an African-American… But I have to do overall what’s in the best interests of my district.”
....
Cleaver questioned why white superdelegates such as Massachusetts Sens. Edward M. Kennedy and John F. Kerry weren’t being targeted to support Clinton after she carried their state.
“If white people were being harassed and threatened because they were not supporting a white candidate, we’d see headlines,” he said.
Mudy
Posted 29 February 2008 - 11:32 PM
Mudy
Posted 01 March 2008 - 02:44 AM
This will give you some idea.
I have already sent my absentee ballot in the mail for HILLARY, the 44th President of the United States!
My dad, a registered republican who will be VOTING AND CAUCUSING for HILLARY, texted me and said that at his precinct in Plano, the line was 300+ deep. This is a VERY conservative area. My dad re-committed yesterday to voting for Hillary after Rush Limbaugh encouraged Republican voters to get out the vote for Hillary.
dhu
Posted 01 March 2008 - 04:01 AM
Mudy
Posted 01 March 2008 - 05:27 AM
There is change in mood now, wind is blowing in different direction, here is another example.
Previously students were forcing parents to vote for Obama , because it was cool thing to do, now these kids are bored with brand Obama and now they are going back to Clinton. It is as simple.
Now he will be punished -
acharya
Posted 02 March 2008 - 10:27 AM
Translated By Ester Luteranova
20 February 2008
http://watchingameri...-discriminates/
Slovakia - SME - Original Article (Slovakian)
Various human rights groups in Geneva noted on Wednesday that the United States is responsible for "ongoing and systematic" racial discrimination throughout all aspects of society, from Guantanamo Bay to the justice and education systems. "The government of the United States does not react to permanent and systematic racial discrimination problems" despite ratifying the UN Convention on the Elimination of All Forms of Racial Discrimination (CEDR) in 1994, according to Ajamu Baraka, the executive director of the U.S. Human Rights Network (USHRN).
"Unfortunately, we are finding that the government has not complied with its obligations since 1994² Baraka said to reporters, specifying the effects of Hurricane Katrina on the African-American population in New Orleans, treatment of immigrant workers, police brutality and housing discrimination. "These issues escaped examination" by the government. The American Committee on the Elimination of Racial Discrimination (CERD) will publish its evaluation of Washington's efforts later this week. USHRN and other organizations, including Human Rights Watch (HRW), prepared their own evaluations, stressing serious cases of racial discrimination.
HRW stated that different legal standards applied to non-American citizens held in Guantanamo. "American policies are holding foreigners without judicial process and their arrests are based on discriminatory practices, violating CEDR," said Alison Parker, an HRW Deputy Director of the United States Division. She also stated that American citizens were transferred from Guantanamo to a standard U.S. justice system, which grants them more rights. She also mentioned disproportionate judicial proceedings against African-Americans and other minorities, mainly life sentences of youth offenders charged with murder without the possibility of parole.
Experts noted that administrations led by both democrats and republicans have failed to apply the Convention to its full extent since 1994, but hope that the upcoming presidential elections in November will bring some progress on these issues.
acharya
Posted 02 March 2008 - 11:49 AM
Hope and fear
Feb 28th 2008
From The Economist print edition
Democratic economic policy sounds worryingly populist
AP
FOR a man who has placed “hope” at the centre of his campaign, Barack Obama can sound pretty darned depressing. As the battle for the Democratic nomination reaches a climax in Texas and Ohio, the front-runner's speeches have begun to paint a world in which laid-off parents compete with their children for minimum-wage jobs while corporate fat-cats mis-sell dodgy mortgages and ship jobs off to Mexico. The man who claims to be a “post-partisan” centrist seems to be channelling the spirit of William Jennings Bryan, the original American populist, who thunderously demanded to know “Upon which side shall the Democratic Party fight—upon the side of ‘the idle holders of idle capital’ or upon the side of ‘the struggling masses’?”
There is no denying that for some middle-class Americans, the past few years have indeed been a struggle. What is missing from Mr Obama's speeches is any hint that this is not the whole story: that globalisation brings down prices and increases consumer choice; that unemployment is low by historical standards; that American companies are still the world's most dynamic and creative; and that Americans still, on the whole, live lives of astonishing affluence.
It is not fair, moreover, to blame Mr Obama exclusively. His rival, Hillary Clinton, is no less responsible for the Democratic Party's wholesale descent into economic miserabilism. Both candidates have threatened to pull America out of NAFTA, the free-trade deal with Mexico and Canada, unless it is rewritten. Both rail against oil companies, drug companies, credit-card companies—the usual suspects. Both want more government spending and regulation to protect individuals against predatory companies. Indeed, in some ways, Mrs Clinton is worse. She appears to be sceptical of all trade deals, including the multilateral Doha round which would produce big benefits for the world's poorest countries. Unlike Mr Obama, she has proposed a deeply unsound five-year freeze on interest payments for subprime borrowers, which would surely result in higher rates and scarcer credit for future borrowers.
Beyond the campaign
How worrying is their populism? The sanguine—and conventional—argument is that none of it matters much. Democratic candidates always veer to the left during primaries, because that is where the votes are. But come the general election, the winner will tack back towards the centre, where the crucial independent voter resides.
The winner, unless Mrs Clinton can stage a dramatic comeback in the big primaries on March 4th, is likely to be Mr Obama. If you look on his website rather than listen to his speeches, there are plenty of intelligently designed, reasonably centrist proposals to be found (see article). It is sensible, for instance, to make it easier for people to save for retirement by enrolling everyone in a scheme unless they specifically opt out. His plans for health-care reform, like Mrs Clinton's, are middle-of-the-road. And his economic advisers, even more than hers, are sound academic economists. So although it might seem odd to advise suspicious voters to ignore the rhetoric of a man whose principal appeal rests on his speeches, Mr Obama in office would surely seek to be something other than the capitalist-hating demagogue he has recently sounded like.
Yet there are reasons to worry. The longer the Democratic race grinds on, the more entrenched the candidates may become in their populism. As America moves into the election proper, there is every likelihood that it will do so against a backdrop of worsening macroeconomic figures and rising numbers of house repossessions. Both John McCain and the Democratic nominee will then be chasing swing voters who are, typically, white working men—the type already prone to pessimism about their prospects. This group is not a natural part of Mr Obama's constituency and, if he were the nominee, he might well be tempted to keep the populism turned up high. If he were elected president, backed by a Democratic Congress with enhanced majorities, Mr Obama might well feel obliged to deliver on some of his promises. At the very least, the prospects for freer trade would then be dim.
The sad thing is that one might reasonably have expected better from Mr Obama. He wants to improve America's international reputation yet campaigns against NAFTA. He trumpets “the audacity of hope” yet proposes more government intervention. He might have chosen to use his silver tongue to address America's problems in imaginative ways—for example, by making the case for reforming the distorting tax code. Instead, he wants to throw money at social problems and slap more taxes on the rich, and he is using his oratorical powers to prey on people's fears.
Mr Obama advertises himself as something fresh, hopeful and new. But on economic matters at least he, like Mrs Clinton, has begun to look a rather ordinary old-style Democrat.
acharya
Posted 02 March 2008 - 11:49 AM
By Christopher Bowe in New York
Published: February 29 2008 02:39 | Last updated: February 29 2008 02:39
Americans should be living four years longer at current rates of healthcare spending, signalling that US society is helping to make people sicker, a report on health inequality said on Thursday.
The report by the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation (RWJF), an influential US philanthropy, presented new evidence of widening disparities in health between income levels in the United States.
The nation’s poorest adults were nearly five times more likely to be in “poor or fair” health as the richest - 31 per cent versus 6.6 per cent - and at every income level the wealthier group was healthier than the next lower one.
This trend of declining health according to income was seen in all race groups. Although socioeconomic factors are “harshest” on the poorest, the report said, “economic inequality has increased in the United States and the middle-class has lost ground.”
Dr Risa Lavizzo-Mourey chief executive of RWJF said: “A far greater determinant is the sometimes toxic relationship between how we live our lives and the economic, social and physical environments that surround us. Some of the factors affecting our health we certainly can influence on our own; many of the factors, however, are outside our individual control.”
The report and a new commission formed by the RWJF to look at remedies highlight potentially wider discussion and scrutiny on health disparities due to socioeconomic status and income inequality.
Researchers, including social epidemiologists, have long sought wider attention to socioeconomic forces to improve national health and reduce healthcare spending.
Dr Stephen Bezruchka, of the University of Washington school of public health, told the Financial Tines in an interview this month: “That is the key thing. Inequality basically shapes the whole structure of society. The thing is - in America - people seem to like it. But that’s what’s killing us.”
US healthcare reform proposals have so far centred around better access to basic healthcare for all Americans, in particular 47m people without health insurance.
Americans’ health and life expectancy is relatively poorer than other rich countries, even though the US spends more than $2,000bn a year on healthcare and nearly double per capita than the amount spent in the UK.
Dr Mark McClellan, former chief of both Medicare, the US health programme for elderly and poor, and the Food and Drug Administration said: “In fact, wealthy Americans have worse health than middle income Britons, as measured by several major chronic conditions. But there are promising strategies out there that show we can take practical steps to close the gap.”
Dr McClellan will lead a commission comprised of leading private and public sector voices, including Wal-Mart, to explore how to mitigate US society’s worsening health despite significantly higher healthcare spending than other countries.
It plans to take two years to formulate potential remedies to health disparities through in urban planning, economic development, improved schools and access to higher education, housing subsidies and health prevention efforts.
Linda Dillman, head of Wal-Mart risk management and benefits, said US society presents some obstacles to good health, and fixing them is good for the nation and makes better customers. “There are underlying causes that need to be addressed in this country. For instance, compared with Europe, we’re a ’drive-thru’ country,” she said.
Copyright The Financial Times Limited 2008
acharya
Posted 02 March 2008 - 11:49 AM
Europeans Hopeful US Democrats Will Rescue Trans-Atlantic Ties
Hillary Rodham Clinton and Barack Obama
Großansicht des Bildes mit der Bildunterschrift: Europe has high hopes for the Democratic presidential hopefuls
Europeans think the next US president will be better. They hope a Democrat in the White House will reinvigorate trans-Atlantic ties. But the candidates aren't necessarily much more in tune with Europe.
Europeans' interest in the US primaries and caucuses is immense: leading German newsmagazine Der Spiegel even devoted its title story to Democrat Barack Obama last week, and the Internet is alive with young Europeans commenting on the campaigns in innumerable blogs and forums.
US soldiers talk to journalists in BaghdadBildunterschrift: Großansicht des Bildes mit der Bildunterschrift: Many have been unimpressed by the Americans' actions in Iraq
Many Europeans connect the election of a new US president with the hope for a new beginning in trans-Atlantic relations, which suffered setbacks due to numerous controversies, from George W. Bush's uncompromising approach to climate change to his foray into the Iraqi desert. To many Europeans, everything will get better once there's a new president. And if he or she is a Democrat, they believe, it's guaranteed.
Regardless of how passionately Europeans follow the duel between Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton, Europe plays a negligible role in the top Democratic contenders' campaigns. Aside from a few sentences in speeches and essays, the two have hardly said a word about Europe.
And according to some, European hopes will likely be dashed.
"A fundamental new evaluation of the trans-Atlantic relationship will not take place," said Esther Brimmer, research director at the Center for Transatlantic Relations (CTR) at Johns Hopkins University in Washington, DC.
But the tone will change.
"Obama and Clinton will make themselves out to be more cooperative, more international. And for every American president, Europe remains the most important partner," Brimmer said.
US won't allow Europe to dictate
On points of contention between the US and Europe, such as climate change or human rights, the Europeans could expect significantly more cooperation than in the past, she added.
President Bush in Biloxi, Mississippi, surveying damage caused by Hurricane Katrina in 2005Bildunterschrift: Großansicht des Bildes mit der Bildunterschrift: A new president may take a different approach to climate change
But whether under a President Obama or a President Clinton, the US would demand the leadership role in fighting climate change. It would also refuse to let the Europeans dictate what should be done, Brimmer said. And it's inconceivable that a new president would ratify the statutes of the International Criminal Court (ICC), an issue that looms large for Europeans.
"With so much military personnel all over the world, the US doesn't want to be subjected to politically motivated accusations from other states at the ICC," Brimmer said.
But a new president wouldn't try to actively thwart the ICC, as the Bush administration did at the start.
And when it comes to Iraq and Iran's nuclear ambitions, a President Obama or Clinton would discuss the issues more closely with the Europeans, Brimmer reckoned.
Obama attracted attention last year by suggesting he would try to engage in direct talks with Iran. Clinton called the suggestion naive.
Grown apart
Brimmer said the biggest difference between the two Democrats in regard to Europe was that Obama wanted to set the course for where the US would be in 30 or 40 years, particularly in terms of climate change and international dialogue. Clinton, on the other hand, was focused on improving America's standing in the world in the near term.
The World Trade Center on fireBildunterschrift: Großansicht des Bildes mit der Bildunterschrift: Sept. 11 doesn't loom as large for Europeans as it does for Americans
This different approach "naturally influences the role Europe plays for the US in the mid-term," Brimmer said.
Though Bush's foreign policy may have caused a storm over the Atlantic, actually there had been a fundamental, structural change in the trans-Atlantic relationship, said Karen Donfried, vice president of the German Marshall Funds of the United States.
"The attacks on Sept. 11, 2001, hit the US at a time when the Europeans -- after the end of the Cold War -- felt safer than ever," she said. The US and Europe had not only developed different interests, but were also no longer united by a common enemy.
Polls reinforce that view: While Americans identify terrorism as the number one threat, Europeans say climate change is the biggest problem.
Finding a common cause
The rise of new 'super powers,' such as China and India could, however, bring Americans and Europeans closer together again, according to Donfried.
"The EU and the US must work together to integrate countries that come from outside this tradition into the global political system they have so clearly molded," she said.
In that sense, Obama and Clinton would certainly view Europeans as effective partners. But the "Europeans would have to finally get their house in order," Donfried said.
"In haggling over a new European constitution and the Lisbon reform treaty, the Europeans were so occupied with themselves that they were neither united enough nor did they have the necessary view of the outside world to be this effective partner," she said.
acharya
Posted 02 March 2008 - 11:50 AM
A yearning for a new day in US politics is behind Obama's success, but other factors will determine if he wins the Democratic nomination, says Mike Rosenberg for ISN Security Watch.
Barack Obama by Joe Crimmings. (Joe CrimmingsFlickr)
Image: Joe Crimmings, Flickr
Commentary by Mike Rosenberg for ISN Security Watch (27/02/08)
Europeans are scratching their heads over how US Senator Barack Obama - until recently a politician relatively unknown outside the US - has become not only the front-runner in the Democratic presidential primaries, but also a serious contender to become what is arguably the most powerful political leader in the world.
To understand this peculiar American phenomena - in which the media appear only too ready to compare the Illinois senator to that of US president John F Kennedy without further explanation - one needs to understand not only how most Americans perceive recent presidents, but also how Obama's campaign is the by-product of a deep cynicism that has become ingrained in the past 50 years.
Kennedy is something of a mythical figure that held the Russians at bay and took on the Mafia. Beating out then-vice president Richard Nixon in the 1960 presidential election, he offered a vision of the US that was progressive, while promising to make the world a better place. While Kennedy's administration made a number of mistakes - and his personal life was questionable - he is nevertheless remembered as the US' last great president.
Following Kennedy's assassination in 1963, then-vice president Lyndon B Johnson, a Democrat from Texas, took office. Johnson's presidency was heavily marked by the Vietnam War, for which he is largely blamed.
After Johnson, America fell in love with the late president's brother, US senator Robert Kennedy. After the latter's assassination just before the 1968 Democratic Convention, the party turned to a rather gray but qualified man, Hubert Humphrey, who went on to lose the presidential race to Nixon.
Nixon is remembered of course for bombing Cambodia, losing the war in Vietnam, and authorizing the 1972 Watergate break-in, as well as a number of other "dirty tricks" against domestic opponents.
The disgraced commander-in-chief was followed by a line of US presidents who left dubious legacies: Gerald Ford, remembered for pardoning his old boss, Nixon; Jimmy Carter, who although some believe did a lot of things right, will go down in history for his handling of the Iranian hostage crisis; Ronald Reagan, viewed by many as the country's greatest president and harbinger of tremendous optimism, while others remember him for huge deficits, simplistic views of issues and siestas; and George Bush, who most would say did a credible job, but had the bad luck to run for re-election during an economic slowdown and losing to Bill Clinton.
But while the country did well by most measures during the Clinton years, and he demonstrated a certain mastery of detail and an interest in very complex policy discussions combined with optimism, the lasting legacy of Clinton's presidency is his relationship with a White House intern.
After Clinton, the divided nature of the US electorate was brought to a head and George W Bush won a very narrow and, to some, controversial victory over Al Gore. Since then Americans have seen 9/11, the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq and lately a crumbling economy.
Yes we can
Into this picture come two very different politicians competing for the Democratic nomination. Obama and his opponent, US Senator Hillary Clinton, actually have the same or similar views on most policy questions. If not for their both having chosen this moment to make their presidential bid, they would probably be allies. Besides the obvious aspects of the first woman and first black American to get this far in their quests for the Oval Office, each offers a compelling vision of how to meet the challenges facing the country.
Clinton projects competence and carefully researched policy positions on a myriad of questions and to some degree tells voters that she can repeat the success of her husband's tenure. Obama, on the other hand, offers hope. He, like Kennedy, Reagan and Bill Clinton, makes people believe that the US can do better on all fronts and terms the presidential race a choice between the "past and the future."
The real success of the Obama campaign has been its ability to penetrate the US' accumulated cynicism and give the country a glimmer of hope that it can actually move beyond its current divisions and come together. He echoes one of Kennedy's most famous ideas, saying that "we are the change we've been waiting for" and telling Americans that they have a role in "healing the nation and repairing the planet."
The role of new media
There is a further lesson in Kennedy's win over Nixon in 1960. The most common explanation of why a relatively young and inexperienced senator from Massachusetts could beat a popular vice president was that Kennedy was the first politician at the national level who understood how to portray himself on television.
What is clear about the Obama campaign is that it is using the internet in a way that has never been used before to raise money and awareness, as well as to organize voters at the local level to register and vote in the caucuses and primaries.
The success of his campaign is due, to a large extent, to a "viral" movement begun many months ago that used the internet as a key ingredient for spreading its message of hope and change and "infecting" potential supporters.
Both the message and the medium appeal particularly to people under 35, who are supporting Obama in record numbers. Currently, around 100,000 people send the campaign donations every month. For many, this is the first time they have contributed money to a political campaign.
My European friends have a hard time seeing the simplicity of the message for what it really is and accepting that millions of Americans are ready to suspend their disbelief and support what the Obama campaign calls a "movement for change."
The role of the super-delegate
Will Obama's campaign go all the way? Will the momentum continue to build until the national convention in August? The race is far from over and the Clinton campaign is betting heavily on winning in Ohio and Texas on 4 March.
But the story – as perhaps it can only be in the US – doesn't end there. Perhaps the most interesting question is assuming that Obama goes into the convention with a lead in delegates, will the roughly 800 "super-delegates" split evenly across the two candidates or would they, as a group, come out for Clinton?
This is not a question in vain.
Unlike the Republicans, Democrats, prompted by the battle between Walter Mondale and Gary Hart in 1984, instituted a system whereby super-delegates can have the final say of who will be the party's presidential candidate.
Super-delegates are political insiders, senators, representatives and governors who are not bound by any previous primary vote to cast their selection for the presidential candidate. In essence, they are free to cast their vote as they wish, however, in practice their vote may be susceptible to political pressures. In the end it is these super-delegates that may very well hold the keys to the White House.
Obama has said that he feels it would be "unwise" for the party officials to go against the will of the people – in reference to delegates awarded in the various primaries. However, to see if the Democrats are willing to listen to the voice of the people we may have to wait until the convention in Denver.
Mike Rosenberg is a professor of strategic management at IESE Business School, Barcelona, Spain.
The views and opinions expressed herein are those of the author only, not the International Relations and Security Network (ISN).
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